NBC: 'Do No Harm' Is Certain To Be Canceled, Of Course

Categories: Cancel/Renew Index,Cancel/Renew NBC Shows

Written By

February 5th, 2013

Click this link for the latest NBC renewal / cancellation information:



Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts the network's decision on renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2012-13 season in May, 2013.  (includes results from December 31, 2012- February 3, 2013):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Do No Harm :oops: (canceled 2/8) 0.55
Animal Practice* canceled 0.66
The New Normal :cry: :cry: 0.76
1600 Penn :cry: :cry: 0.84
Guys With Kids :cry: :cry: 0.84
Go On :| :| :| 0.89
Deception :cry: :cry: 0.89
Whitney :| :| :| 0.92
30 Rock* final season complete 0.93
Parks & Recreation :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.10
Parenthood :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.12
Law & Order: SVU :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.22
The Office final season 1.29
Chicago Fire :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.37
Up All Night :cry: :cry: pending
Grimm (F) :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: pending
Revolution :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: pending

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2/8 Update: To no one's surprise, Do No Harm was canceled.
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While it's blindingly obvious that Do No Harm is certain to be canceled after the lowest premiere rating in history for any scripted show on the big 4 broadcast networks, the SEO gods demand I get the name into a headline before NBC yanks it from the schedule.

The gods now satisfied, I can turn to NBC's sitcom mess full time next week.

I was going to hold off on a wholesale revisiting of NBC sitcom predictions until after Community premiered this week, but their continuing ratings free fall has caused me to move up my timeline. While future ratings are guaranteed to move these predictions around further, I decided to move a few predictions this week. The collapse of The New Normal ratings have dropped its prediction to likely to be canceled. Similarly, the collapse of Go On ratings have it downgraded to a "toss up" for renewal or cancellation. Could The Voice return in March and buoy both enough to save them? Perhaps, but I'll move my predictions up if it does.

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. This season you can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.
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*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

From now through the end of the broadcast season in May, the Renew/Cancel Index values will only be calculated using new episodes airing during 2013. However, until new episodes of a show air in 2013, I will keep the "old"  Fall predictions in the table.

Want to know what the NBC Renew/Cancel Index table looked like at the end of the Fall season? Click here.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2013
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2013
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2013
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2013
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2013

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ie. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from past television seasons.

 
  • Honey Badger

    Bill Gorman
    Posted February 5, 2013 at 5:34 PM
    “@ If you are serious about wanting networks improve their ratings you would offer suggestions instead of saying this sucks and that sucks, offer suggestions, also this suggestion goes to Bill Gorman”
    If you’re delusional enough to think that comments on a website (or the original post itself, for that matter) are for anything but fun (and for us a little money), then you are the one who needs some “serious” help.

    @Bill, What the what? I was counting on my postings and comments being reviewed by very important people, and then the networks making changes according to my suggestions, and then me being hired to run a major network.
    the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear was my ticket to fame, power and riches.
    Kenneth on 30 Rock became President of NBC, so I should be able to use my comments on tvbythenumbers.zap2it.com to become President of a network,
    Then I was going to have my comments on the “The Interweb” expand to all entertainment fields.
    And then I will win a EGOT “EGOT” (The term for entertainment’s quadruple crown—Emmy, Grammy, Oscar and Tony—was not invented by 30 Rock, nevertheless, the show took ownership of the acronym by using it as a verb, “Egotting.”)

  • Honey Badger

    bruce
    Posted February 5, 2013 at 5:26 PM
    If you are serious about wanting networks improve their ratings you would offer suggestions instead of saying this sucks and that sucks, offer suggestions, also this suggestion goes to Bill Gorman .

    @ bruce, don’t worry about Bill, my comments are brilliant and I will be rewarded soon (see my posts above)

  • Ultima

    @Oliver
    What would you do if two of NBC’s new comedies bomb by November? ABC kept Scrubs and Better Off Ted around as mid-season replacements when they relaunched Wednesdays in 09-10.

    Hank bombed and was pulled off the schedule very quickly. ABC didn’t even attempt to air Better Off Ted or Scrubs on Wednesday, instead leaving them on Tuesday to replace DWTS and running only three Wednesday comedies for virtually the entire season.

  • Ultima

    @Tommy M
    If I was in charge of NBC’s renewal/cancellation decisions I would cancel every single comedy they have

    It’s hard to imagine NBC cancelling Parks & Rec. Otherwise, yes, they probably should cancel everything else.

    They really need to cut back on their comedy hours. I would go down to two hours (plus Off Their Rockers while The Voice is on hiatus).

    Either two hours on Thursday, with Parks & Rec at 8pm so they don’t need to air something new against The Big Bang Theory; or, Wednesday 8pm and Thursday 9pm, with reality leading off the night on Thursday.

  • Pepper

    As long as Community and SVU are renewed, I’ll be happy :)

  • dave

    Really been one episode and allready definite cancelled?are they for real?

  • Chanel

    I just found out bout this show when Ms. Phylicia Rashad was on Steve Harvey talking bout it. What time does it come on, I grew up watching Ms. Rashad on The Cosby Show and I’m glad she’s back on t.v.

  • Ultima

    @dave
    Really been one episode and allready definite cancelled?are they for real?

    Lowest. Rated. Premiere. EVER.

    Why are people surprised that it is certain to be canceled? The shocking thing is that NBC is airing a second episode…

  • langslow

    Three reasons to cancel the show now:

    1. The buzz on the show was bad before the general public saw it.
    2. The publicity about a historically bad rating will not entice new viewers
    3. The word of mouth has been been awful, at least in my neck of the woods.

    Last week’s ratings are the best ratings it would ever get.

  • Oliver

    @Ultima

    Hank bombed and was pulled off the schedule very quickly. ABC didn’t even attempt to air Better Off Ted or Scrubs on Wednesday, instead leaving them on Tuesday to replace DWTS and running only three Wednesday comedies for virtually the entire season.

    Because the repeats did almost as well as originals of Scrubs (and much better than BoT) and were a better fit for the 8pm timeslot.

  • Oliver

    Parks is being offered up for syndication for Fall 2014.

    The in-house production company clearly believe it’s incredibly unlikely that it will be cancelled, otherwise they would have offered it up for Fall 2013 instead.

  • Hugh

    “Who knew bears ate flowers?”
    Bears eat everything! Take note TV fans.

  • Mark

    As it says on the post, the data taken into account is “from December 31, 2012- February 3, 2013″. That’s just like three or four episodes of each show. It is not is NOT a global average. It simply indicates an index of a very short and concrete period. There are many points that a network will consider before renewing and canceling a show. I may not know them all, but as fas as experience tells me, Go On and The New Normal are (out of the likely cancellation shows) the best positioned to be renewed, independently of the overall numbers.

  • Richard Steven Hack

    I’m still hoping Revolution crashes this spring. God, that show is a mess.

  • rob60990

    lol at Courtney Cox guest starring on Go On. Talk about desperate…

    If I were NBC I would do this on Thursday:
    Parks & Rec
    Go On
    Michael J Fox comedy
    another new comedy

    On Tuesday after The Voice, I would put the Cee Lo Green multi-cam comedy with another multi-cam comedy, while Wednesday at 8 goes to a drama. There’s already comedy & reality in that timeslot. Arrow is the only drama airing then. Stick Revolution there.

  • Sorkin_Fanboy

    I enjoyed the Do No harm premiere and I find it odd that it crashed SO hard. It’s no where near the worst new show of the season.

  • Honey Badger

    I have been saying over and over NBC needs to do something drastic to save the network going forward. They are too heavily dependent on NBC NFL Sunday Night Football and The Voice for their overall ratings. And “ The Voice “ being a singing show, we know they are going to start dropping in the ratings soon, with the oversaturation of singing and talent shows they are all dropping.

    Without “ The Voice “ as a lead in almost all NBC are below a 2.0 18-49 rating. And one of the shows that gets above a 2.0 rating is “The Office “ is in its last season. Chicago Fire barely gets above a 2.0, and “The Biggest Loser “ usually gets around a 2.3.

    NBC has highest rated shows: Grimm, Revolution, Chicago Fire, The Biggest Loser, and Law & Order: SVU should be the only shows kept for next season on NBC. (Besides NBC NFL Sunday Night Football, and The Voice). Everything else should be cancelled as their ratings will continue to drop.

    And NBC needs to find some people who can pick shows to air.
    And NBC keeps getting worse, last week, “Do No Harm is certain to be canceled after the lowest premiere rating in history for any scripted show on the big 4 broadcast networks”
    Then last night “The second season premiere of NBC’s Smash managed just a 1.1 adults 18-49 rating in its 2 hour premiere” This is worse than a disaster for NBC.
    Deception is DOA. Go On ratings have dropped to the low 1’s without “ The Voice ” as a lead in.
    The Cancellation Bear should have a feast cancelling NBC shows. Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear , it is just a matter of when.

    What does NBC do now?

  • Monday:
    8PM: The Voice
    9PM: Crossbones
    10PM: Revolution

    Tuesday:
    8-10PM: The Voice
    10PM: Hannibal

    Wednesday:
    8PM: Parenthood
    9PM: Law & Order
    10PM: Chicago Fire

    Thursday:
    8-8:30PM: Go On
    8:30-9PM: Community
    9-9:30PM: Parks & Recreation
    9-30PM-10PM: Michael J. Fox Comedy
    10PM: The Sixth Gun

    Friday:
    8PM: Dateline
    9PM: Grimm
    10PM: Dracula

  • Zachary

    Courteny Cox will be guesting on Go On. That basically guarantees renewal.

  • Zachary

    @rob60990

    NBC has ordered all of it’s comedy pilots. Cee Lo’s show is dead as a doornail. The multi cams will probably be Happiness and The John Mulaney Show.

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