NBC: 'Do No Harm' Is Certain To Be Canceled, Of Course

Categories: Cancel/Renew Index,Cancel/Renew NBC Shows

Written By

February 5th, 2013

Click this link for the latest NBC renewal / cancellation information:



Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts the network's decision on renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2012-13 season in May, 2013.  (includes results from December 31, 2012- February 3, 2013):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Do No Harm :oops: (canceled 2/8) 0.55
Animal Practice* canceled 0.66
The New Normal :cry: :cry: 0.76
1600 Penn :cry: :cry: 0.84
Guys With Kids :cry: :cry: 0.84
Go On :| :| :| 0.89
Deception :cry: :cry: 0.89
Whitney :| :| :| 0.92
30 Rock* final season complete 0.93
Parks & Recreation :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.10
Parenthood :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.12
Law & Order: SVU :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.22
The Office final season 1.29
Chicago Fire :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.37
Up All Night :cry: :cry: pending
Grimm (F) :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: pending
Revolution :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: pending

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2/8 Update: To no one's surprise, Do No Harm was canceled.
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While it's blindingly obvious that Do No Harm is certain to be canceled after the lowest premiere rating in history for any scripted show on the big 4 broadcast networks, the SEO gods demand I get the name into a headline before NBC yanks it from the schedule.

The gods now satisfied, I can turn to NBC's sitcom mess full time next week.

I was going to hold off on a wholesale revisiting of NBC sitcom predictions until after Community premiered this week, but their continuing ratings free fall has caused me to move up my timeline. While future ratings are guaranteed to move these predictions around further, I decided to move a few predictions this week. The collapse of The New Normal ratings have dropped its prediction to likely to be canceled. Similarly, the collapse of Go On ratings have it downgraded to a "toss up" for renewal or cancellation. Could The Voice return in March and buoy both enough to save them? Perhaps, but I'll move my predictions up if it does.

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. This season you can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.
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*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

From now through the end of the broadcast season in May, the Renew/Cancel Index values will only be calculated using new episodes airing during 2013. However, until new episodes of a show air in 2013, I will keep the "old"  Fall predictions in the table.

Want to know what the NBC Renew/Cancel Index table looked like at the end of the Fall season? Click here.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2013
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2013
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2013
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2013
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2013

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ie. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from past television seasons.

 
  • SF Gay

    Totally agree with many commnets, Shows with good potential should be showing after the Voice. Definately, “the New Normal” will ruin all NBC shows on Tuesday… actually any days. Just cancel it.
    The bottome line is… JUst Cancel the second lowest show of “The New Normal”.. Got a enough break.. should have canceled it after few shows… Do Not Know Why That show is still around???
    I bet, you put any shows other than The New Normal after the Voice, will have much higher ratings.

  • Jim

    Deception = Flop
    Do No Harm = Flop
    Smash = Flop

    This is NBC – Live Hard, Flop Hard.

  • Jesse Cardoza

    I only watch three drama shows on NBC and I’m relieved to know that they all have a good shot at being renewed.

  • AnthonyMule

    The Office, Parks and recreation, Community and 30 rock are just a 2 hour block of the same show. ALL BAD!!!

  • rob60990

    @Zachary, oh that’s surprising. I haven’t really been keeping track of pilot orders yet. It’s still early.

  • rob

    If the networks are going to risk airing a show, please air the whole season or however how many episodes they’ve created. People get hooked on bad shows just as much as good ones. And what are networks going to replace it with? More episodes of “Dateline”? Please, like that’ll roll in commercial dollars. If a series’ life depends on it’s debut, then market it well and put it on a desirable timeslot for a few weeks. Then see if viewers/fans follow it if you change the night it airs. That’s the true test. Not putting it up against the #1 crime show of the week and expecting good numbers. Good grief! Why did the network green light any project if they’re just going to go with debut ratings to see if it’s cancelled or not. It’s stupid impatient people, making stupid decisions based on stupid irrelevant numbers. Yeah, like Seinfeld had enormous numbers right out of the gate….

  • Nick

    @rob

    And what are networks going to replace it with? More episodes of “Dateline”? Please, like that’ll roll in commercial dollars.

    It would. In fact, if they could do it without tiring out Dateline, NBC would probably cut all of its low-rated programming and fill it with cheap newsmagazines like Dateline. That would “roll in” a lot of “commercial dollars”.

    like Seinfeld had enormous numbers right out of the gate….

    It didn’t have the worst premiere numbers EVER!!!

  • David Howell

    At this rate, NBC will have more scripted shows averaging 0s than 2s by 2015.

    The worst thing about that DNH number is that it’s *still* above 0.5 on the R/C Index!

    Can NBC devise a new made-for-TV sport to air Sundays from February? This is probably no less ridiculous a solution than anything else they seem capable of right now.

  • Leondre

    Cancel:
    The New Normal
    Go On(This show will never be a decent preforemer on it’s own)
    Community
    Guys with Kids
    Do No Harm
    Deception
    Smash
    1600 Penn

    Renew:
    Parenthood
    SVU
    Chicago Fire
    Grimm
    Revolution
    Whitney (2 seasons of 25 episodes will be enough for sydication and at least one of their new comidies will probably fail.)

  • Oliver

    @David Howell

    Sunday Night Handball

  • Chris

    It’s a little sad; as someone said earlier, Do No Harm was far from being the worst new series of this season. But the numbers don’t lie: being the worst-rated premiere ever wins you a golden YOU ARE CANCELED trophy and nothing else.

    I can’t figure out why it pulled such terrible ratings, but then, Nielsen viewers are a mystery to me. I suspect NBC’s hamfisted and frankly god-awful commercials for DNH played a part, but the season that NBC doesn’t do its level best to make its own shows look terrible in 30-second spots is the season they just stop promoting anything.

  • Oliver

    Whitney actor Dan O’Brien has stated on Twitter that Whitney will be airing originals til Spring.

    This lends further credence to the idea that Up All Night will replace Guys With Kids. I suspect they will then replace them with double episodes of Save Me for the rest of the season.

  • Jack

    Here’s what NBC should do:

    Monday, Tuesday
    8:00 The Voice
    9:00 Dramas…

    Wednesday, Thursday
    8:00 The Voice Kids
    9:00 Comedies…

    Friday, Saturday
    8:00 The Voice: Elder Club
    9:00 Infotainment shows…

    Sunday
    Pre-Football, Football, Post-Football

    ;-)

    Now, seriously. The Voice: Kids is doing well in Europe. And teen stars are on the rise. They should consider it. Also, THE NEW NORMAL will have a second season. Before the brake, when it aired after The Voice, it had an average of 1.94 in the demo with 5.11 million. And in spite of its decline this year, their average demo is still high: 1.75, much above the other shows. Nothing guarantees NBC that a new show will surpass that, so in my opinion, GO ON and THE NEW NORMAL will stick together for a second season next year. Even if it’s a reduced season to match The Voice episodes. If I were wrong, NBC would be burning its episodes already, but they are not.

  • Mitholas

    I keep seeing talks about Parenthood getting canceled because the cast is getting too expensive. All I have to say to that is that loads of the cast already rotates. There are ways to work around that. They now also have 4 less cast members to worry about (Jason Ritter, Ray Romano, Sarah Ramos and Miles Heizer are all gone) money-wise, or at least it looks that way. Aside from that, Parenthood has been one of NBC’s precious few solid, consistent performers. I don’t think NBC can really afford to let the solid shows go, as well as the underperformers.

  • Laie

    Ever heard of the “corporate social responsibility”? It is a self-regulation for business to do something to gain social reputation even if it isn’t as profitable as other areas of their business. Well, this corporate social responsibility is one of the reasons why NBC will keep The New Normal on air next season: A gay-themed comedy simply looks good on your schedule. Plus, the show is good and works well with a lead-in (other shows just don’t work with or without a lead-in). I’m in for its renewal.

  • Michael

    I like “Guys with Kids” and “The New Normal,” but they were both recently beaten by re-runs of “The Big Bang Theory.” No, not on CBS, but TBS!!!

  • Ultima

    @rob
    More episodes of “Dateline”? Please, like that’ll roll in commercial dollars

    While Dateline is no longer the ratings monster it was during the 90s (when it aired five nights a week), it is still a cheap show that pulls in decent ratings.

    If the ad revenue boost from Dateline over a failing drama is more than enough to offset the cost of producing the extra hour, then it is worth pulling the drama.

    Why did the network green light any project if they’re just going to go with debut ratings to see if it’s cancelled or not. It’s stupid impatient people, making stupid decisions based on stupid irrelevant numbers.

    Networks don’t decide if a show is canceled or renewed based solely on the premiere, unless that premiere happens to be so bad that they’re losing too much money to continue airing additional episodes.

    When was the last time a show doubled its viewership over the course of its first season? I’m pretty sure it was House in 2005, and that was due to American Idol. That’s what Do No Harm would need to do in order to get renewed. It’s simply not going to happen.

    Yeah, like Seinfeld had enormous numbers right out of the gate….

    Enormous? No. Good? Yes.

    Seinfeld’s first season was during the summer, where it averaged a 14.2 HH rating for five episodes (including a rebroadcast of the pilot that was burned off the previous summer). That was on par with the in-season performances of freshman comedies The Simpsons and Doogie Howser and fellow NBC sitcom Night Court.

    Its premiere had a 16.2/28 HH rating/share, topping the previous four episodes of Wings (which also aired in the Thursday 9:30pm timeslot and which was also renewed), including an episode that had aired with an all new NBC lineup.

  • Ultima

    @rob
    stupid irrelevant numbers

    I forgot to add – you do understand that television is a business, right? Ratings aren’t stupid, irrelevant numbers; they determine how much advertisers will pay for commercial time.

  • Ultima

    @Laie
    Ever heard of the “corporate social responsibility”? … A gay-themed comedy simply looks good on your schedule.

    Sweet new tile for Fan Excuse Bingo! :)

    Let’s pretend you’re right; wouldn’t NBC be better off picking up a gay-themed pilot that actually has a chance of being successful instead of throwing good money after bad with The New Normal?

  • Ultima

    @David Howell
    Can NBC devise a new made-for-TV sport to air Sundays from February?

    Did they already try that with the XFL? ;)

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