Click this link for the latest NBC renewal / cancellation information:
Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts the network's decision on renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2012-13 season in May, 2013. (includes results from December 31, 2012- February 3, 2013):
|Program||Status||Renew/ Cancel Index|
|Do No Harm||(canceled 2/8)||0.55|
|The New Normal||0.76|
|Guys With Kids||0.84|
|30 Rock*||final season complete||0.93|
|Parks & Recreation||1.10|
|Law & Order: SVU||1.22|
|The Office||final season||1.29|
|Up All Night||pending|
2/8 Update: To no one's surprise, Do No Harm was canceled.
While it's blindingly obvious that Do No Harm is certain to be canceled after the lowest premiere rating in history for any scripted show on the big 4 broadcast networks, the SEO gods demand I get the name into a headline before NBC yanks it from the schedule.
The gods now satisfied, I can turn to NBC's sitcom mess full time next week.
I was going to hold off on a wholesale revisiting of NBC sitcom predictions until after Community premiered this week, but their continuing ratings free fall has caused me to move up my timeline. While future ratings are guaranteed to move these predictions around further, I decided to move a few predictions this week. The collapse of The New Normal ratings have dropped its prediction to likely to be canceled. Similarly, the collapse of Go On ratings have it downgraded to a "toss up" for renewal or cancellation. Could The Voice return in March and buoy both enough to save them? Perhaps, but I'll move my predictions up if it does.
Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. This season you can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.
*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.
From now through the end of the broadcast season in May, the Renew/Cancel Index values will only be calculated using new episodes airing during 2013. However, until new episodes of a show air in 2013, I will keep the "old" Fall predictions in the table.
- - certain to be cancelled by May, 2013
- :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2013
- - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2013
- - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2013
- - certain to be renewed by May, 2013
The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ie. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).
(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.
How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from past television seasons.