NBC: 'Do No Harm' Is Certain To Be Canceled, Of Course

Categories: Cancel/Renew Index,Cancel/Renew NBC Shows

Written By

February 5th, 2013

Click this link for the latest NBC renewal / cancellation information:



Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts the network's decision on renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2012-13 season in May, 2013.  (includes results from December 31, 2012- February 3, 2013):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Do No Harm :oops: (canceled 2/8) 0.55
Animal Practice* canceled 0.66
The New Normal :cry: :cry: 0.76
1600 Penn :cry: :cry: 0.84
Guys With Kids :cry: :cry: 0.84
Go On :| :| :| 0.89
Deception :cry: :cry: 0.89
Whitney :| :| :| 0.92
30 Rock* final season complete 0.93
Parks & Recreation :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.10
Parenthood :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.12
Law & Order: SVU :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.22
The Office final season 1.29
Chicago Fire :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.37
Up All Night :cry: :cry: pending
Grimm (F) :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: pending
Revolution :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: pending

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2/8 Update: To no one's surprise, Do No Harm was canceled.
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While it's blindingly obvious that Do No Harm is certain to be canceled after the lowest premiere rating in history for any scripted show on the big 4 broadcast networks, the SEO gods demand I get the name into a headline before NBC yanks it from the schedule.

The gods now satisfied, I can turn to NBC's sitcom mess full time next week.

I was going to hold off on a wholesale revisiting of NBC sitcom predictions until after Community premiered this week, but their continuing ratings free fall has caused me to move up my timeline. While future ratings are guaranteed to move these predictions around further, I decided to move a few predictions this week. The collapse of The New Normal ratings have dropped its prediction to likely to be canceled. Similarly, the collapse of Go On ratings have it downgraded to a "toss up" for renewal or cancellation. Could The Voice return in March and buoy both enough to save them? Perhaps, but I'll move my predictions up if it does.

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. This season you can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.
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*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

From now through the end of the broadcast season in May, the Renew/Cancel Index values will only be calculated using new episodes airing during 2013. However, until new episodes of a show air in 2013, I will keep the "old"  Fall predictions in the table.

Want to know what the NBC Renew/Cancel Index table looked like at the end of the Fall season? Click here.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2013
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2013
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2013
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2013
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2013

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ie. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from past television seasons.

 
  • Rebecca

    ^ agreed with Laie.

  • Oliver

    As expected, NBC has scheduled the season finale of Guys With Kids for the 27th. Whitney will still have five ordered episodes remaining at that point. Presumably Up All Night was originally going to be paired with Whitney, but Applegate’s departure makes that unlikely

    NBC still hasn’t scheduled any repeats of Goon/TNN, so presumably they’re burning straight through their orders. As it stands, both Go On and The New Normal have five unscheduled episodes (including an unaired episode of the latter, Para-New Normal Activity, from earlier in its order). There is three unscheduled weeks left (5 March, 12 March, 19 March) before The Voice returns.

    There is 9 unscheduled episodes of Community, 6 unscheduled episodes of Parks and Recreation, presuambly 6 unscheduled episodes of The Office (counting the finale as a single episode), and 6 unscheduled episodes of 1600 Penn (which is liable to be pulled).

    There’s also 13 episodes of Save Me.

    NBC has to announce their Spring schedule soon. It’s going to be fun.

    My guess: NBC (finally) cancels Up All Night. They double-pump Whitney to clear the Wednesday slot by the 17th. They strip the first week of The Voice and premiere Save Me at Tuesday 8pm at week 2 (along with the season finale of Goon), before double-pumping episodes of Save Me at 8pm Wednesday. Hannibal gets the 9pm Tuesday timeslot (much to The CW’s chagrin). NBC pulls 1600 Penn early, repeats the entire Thursday block at the same time and airs the extra episodes of Community after The Office.

    Downsides: a single unaired episode of TNN, NBC needs to fill the 8pm Wednesday slot during the last week of sweeps (although, since competing with the Idol finale is folly, perhaps not), and needs to fill the 9pm Thursday timeslot (move Rock Center, Grimm or Fashion Star).

  • Oliver

    That should be: “They double-pump Whitney to clear the Wednesday slot by the 27th”.

    If they really wanted to, they could place the extra TNN episode after an episode of Whitney.

  • I Claudius

    I just don’t understand why WHITNEY is still on…

  • Makmorn

    Don’t get it, so many lame shows this season and they cancel the only one with promise. It’s a shame too, I bet half the shows they don’t cancel won’t last more then one season. Pasquale was perfect for this role.

  • Holly

    @Makmorn,

    Don’t get it, so many lame shows this season and they cancel the only one with promise

    Promise? It was the lowest-rated broadcast premiere EVER, and it dropped for its second episode.

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