CBS: 'Rules Of Engagement' At Best A "Toss Up" For Renewal Or Cancellation

Categories: Cancel/Renew CBS Shows,Cancel/Renew Index

Written By

February 12th, 2013

Click this link for the latest CBS renewal / cancellation information:


Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts the network's decision on renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2012-13 season in May, 2013. (includes results from December 31, 2012- February 10, 2013):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Made In Jersey (F)* canceled 0.36
Blue Bloods (F) :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 0.51
CSI:NY (F) :cry: :cry: 0.52
Vegas :cry: :cry: 0.57
The Good Wife :| :| :| 0.60
The Mentalist :| :| :| 0.70
Partners* canceled 0.79
Elementary :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 0.81
CSI :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 0.84
Hawaii Five-0 :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 0.90
Criminal Minds :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.01
NCIS: Los Angeles :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.03
Rules of Engagement :| :| :| 1.07
Person Of Interest :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.12
Mike & Molly :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.15
NCIS renewed 1.28
2 Broke Girls :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.32
How I Met Your Mother renewed 1.33
Two and a Half Men** :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.44
The Big Bang Theory renewed 2.08

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The return of Rules of Engagement last week has it starting out as a "toss up" for renewal or cancellation. There's no space for the show on next Fall's schedule unless CBS either (a) expands their comedy time (possible), or (b) premieres no new sitcoms (not realistically possible). Of course, it could be renewed for another short schedule filling season like it was this year. That's possible, but I don't think it's likely.

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. This season you can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.
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*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

** The Renew/Cancel Index does not attempt to predict shows ending because the cast or production company chooses to end them. These shows have the ratings for renewal, but rumored cast/production company moves may end the shows.

From now through the end of the broadcast season in May, the Renew/Cancel Index values will only be calculated using new episodes airing during 2013. However, until new episodes of a show air in 2013, I will keep the "old"  Fall predictions in the table.

Want to know what the CBS Renew/Cancel Index table looked like at the end of the Fall season? Click here.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2013
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2013
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2013
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2013
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2013

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from past television seasons.

 
  • Casey

    Believe me, I love Rules as much as anyone but with Patrick Warburton taking another pilot and the contracts of the cast all being up…handwriting, meet wall.

  • Lewis

    I was about to call you crazy for thinking that roe is going to get cancelled with ratings like that. I then realized that i’st cbs’s lowest rated comedy. Must be good to be CBS.

  • Kyle

    I really like Rules of Engagement. It actually gets good ratings even after all these moves in timeslot. I bet if it actually had a home and stayed at the timeslot then it would be doing better.

  • David Howell

    The decisions here seem to be a case of VORP – Value Over Replacement Programming. (Why not riff off baseball stats? Nate Silver is a pop culture icon now, right?)

    The bubble procedurals are battling against each other, the least valuable will go, the most valuable will stay. The middle of the three (likely TGW if it has a syndication deal, almost certainly CSI NY if TGW lacks a deal) could be replaced by a comedy block. Hence VORP. That replacement programming is likely a Rules/#2 new sitcom block. Such a block would have no immediate syndication prospects (Rules doesn’t syndicate well for some reason) but would likely beat TGW/CSINY by close to a full point in the demo, if not more.

    Even Rules’ fate is down to syndication economics! (Unless Casey’s analysis is correct. I’m hoping it isn’t just so these posts get interesting.)

  • TVDude

    Technically, CBS has the exact same sitcoms up for renewal as it did last season (minus Rob), so it’s more than possible for it to be renewed. I think the Rules cast is ready for it to be over though. Every time I hear David Spade say anything about the show it’s “I think it’s the last year” or “I’m ready for a different role”. As long as it continues to get around the same ratings as Mike and Molly, there is no reason for it to go from a ratings standpoint.

    I think if it’s not back, it’s because of the cast (or cost of the cast since it’s an older show now) rather than space in the schedule.

  • Dan S

    I have a strong feeling CBS will finally expand their comedies on Thur. I see it being anchored at 9pm by the new Robin Williams show Crazy Ones followed by another new single cam show. ROE however will not likely be returning all the same

  • Common Anomaly

    CBS has ordered 12 comedy pilots this development cycle, including 7 single cam. In the last 5 pilots seasons, CBS has ordered a total of 3 single cam comedies and only one was ordered to series (Worst Week). In 2007, CBS ordered 6 single cam comedy pilots but not a single one was picked up to series.

  • Ben

    I wonder if Rules of Engagement might be this year’s Unforgettable-cancelled and then uncancelled? It certainly filled a empty prime time slot (Monday from 8:30 to 9), which first had Partners and then by repeats of other comedy programs.

  • MichaelChickless

    Cancel:

    Vegas (which I like)
    The Good Wife
    Rules of Engagement
    And probably Golden Boy

  • THE OLD MAN

    I’m starting to lean toward the comedy expansion theory, but either way, ROE is “toss-up” at best

  • TVDude

    If Rules does get canceled, I could see Mike and Molly becoming the black sheep and being kept to midseason so that CBS can launch two new shows in the fall instead of one. They have a lot of pilots ordered, including one from a Rules cast member, so one has to wonder if they’re going to open up more than one time slot next season. I do not think Mike and Molly is in danger though of anything more than a midseason bump though.

  • http://tvbythenumbers.com Bill Gorman

    “I wonder if Rules of Engagement might be this year’s Unforgettable-cancelled and then uncancelled?”

    Unlikely that happens, but remember last season the ROE deal didn’t get done until after the CBS upfront day in May, that’s possible.

  • Dinaminjo

    I wouldn’t be surprised to see a comedy hour on Fridays against ABC.

    Mike & Molly + ex. McCarthys leading into Ordained into Blue Bloods.
    Having 2 midweek slots for new comedies.

    Monday: HIMYM, new, 2BG, new, H50
    Tuesday: NCIS, NCIS on the road, CSI
    Wednesday: Survivor, Criminal Minds, Elementary
    Thursday: TBBT, 2.5 Men, Person of Interest, New Drama
    Fridays: M&M, new comedy, New drama, Blue Bloods
    Sunday: Amazing Race, Los Angeles, The Mentalist

  • Rebecca

    All I watch on CBS is TBBT, Rules and HIMYM, so as long as they stay on the air I’m good. I could see this being a final season for Rules so I hope the young couple gets married and we see the new baby born to the older couple. I sometimes watch MAM and a bit of 2BG but only while I wait to change the channel for Castle…those comedies are okay but 2BG is too vulgar/young for me. I enjoy Melissa McCarthy more in movies…never watched Gilmore Girls but enjoyed her in Samantha Who.

  • Fed

    Cancell TAAHM already. Please Kutcher if you have any dignaty leave.

  • PurpleDrazi

    Anything that gets David Spade off my television is welcome. I can’t stand that guy!

    Also: nice to have something in the headline other than (Good Wife vs. Mentalist vs. CSI:NY)

  • JacobYates

    Vegas could regain some viewers next week against Smash and the weak rated BOP. Though likely not enough to get renewed.

  • MichaelChickless

    My posts are being blocked in the ABC and FOX Renew/Cancel articles for some unknown reason. I didn’t try to post anything in those other than the list of shows I thought should be cancelled.

  • Petar Ivanov

    @I wouldn’t be surprised to see a comedy hour on Fridays against ABC.

    If cbs go with comedies on friday will be these single cams. They repeats BAD not like CBS multi cam and procedurals so don’t really fit well with CBS business model.

    Robin Williams comedy is single cam and can be anchor on friday. But remmember last season martin lawrence multi cam was not even pick up. Robin Williams is great but a litle bit aging actor. But CBS is with aging vieqwers so may be fit. Still don;t get it shy they want single cams and orders almost moe single cam than drama pilots. Multi cam is waaaay better like business fot great with CBS procedurals with 24 ep per season strong on reruns etc. Single cam are mess.

  • Michael

    I wouldn’t mind ROE ending, as long as we get some closure. At the very least, we need to see that baby. These half-seasons are bogus. Has a show ever stretched a pregnancy out over 3 seasons?

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