CBS: 'Rules Of Engagement' At Best A "Toss Up" For Renewal Or Cancellation

Categories: Cancel/Renew CBS Shows,Cancel/Renew Index

Written By

February 12th, 2013

Click this link for the latest CBS renewal / cancellation information:


Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts the network's decision on renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2012-13 season in May, 2013. (includes results from December 31, 2012- February 10, 2013):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Made In Jersey (F)* canceled 0.36
Blue Bloods (F) :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 0.51
CSI:NY (F) :cry: :cry: 0.52
Vegas :cry: :cry: 0.57
The Good Wife :| :| :| 0.60
The Mentalist :| :| :| 0.70
Partners* canceled 0.79
Elementary :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 0.81
CSI :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 0.84
Hawaii Five-0 :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 0.90
Criminal Minds :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.01
NCIS: Los Angeles :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.03
Rules of Engagement :| :| :| 1.07
Person Of Interest :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.12
Mike & Molly :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.15
NCIS renewed 1.28
2 Broke Girls :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.32
How I Met Your Mother renewed 1.33
Two and a Half Men** :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.44
The Big Bang Theory renewed 2.08

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The return of Rules of Engagement last week has it starting out as a "toss up" for renewal or cancellation. There's no space for the show on next Fall's schedule unless CBS either (a) expands their comedy time (possible), or (b) premieres no new sitcoms (not realistically possible). Of course, it could be renewed for another short schedule filling season like it was this year. That's possible, but I don't think it's likely.

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. This season you can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.
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*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

** The Renew/Cancel Index does not attempt to predict shows ending because the cast or production company chooses to end them. These shows have the ratings for renewal, but rumored cast/production company moves may end the shows.

From now through the end of the broadcast season in May, the Renew/Cancel Index values will only be calculated using new episodes airing during 2013. However, until new episodes of a show air in 2013, I will keep the "old"  Fall predictions in the table.

Want to know what the CBS Renew/Cancel Index table looked like at the end of the Fall season? Click here.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2013
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2013
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2013
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2013
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2013

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from past television seasons.

 
  • DW

    im changing my tune. tgw and tm stay right where they are. vegas is gone so is csi : ny friday night sitcom block at 8 one ncis spin off or the first CSI then blue bloods. then they add the new ncis to tues at 9 and move ncis :la to wed 10 or thurs at 9 and move poi to wed at 10.

  • Elijah

    Vegas is actually a likely renewal considering how pitful some of CBS other shows are doing and how Vegas has been steadily increasing.

  • PurpleDrazi

    @ Elijah – Um…which “pitful” shows are you talking about?

  • Dan

    @TV Dude – CBS won’t have Mike & Molly be the black sheep, if anything its possible CBS may move it to Thursdays to take advantage of the Big Bang lead in.

    There’s no chance Rules gets cancelled and uncancelled. If anything CBS may hold on a decision. They made a good decision this year because Partners flopped and Friend Me has no premiere date. Rules will now have 100 eps, a syndication deal and a chance to wrap up this season.

    At best Rules has a shot at a 13 episode midseason order, which I think CBS would rather reserve for a new comedy.

    CBS made a good decision last season but its time to say goodbye to Rules this May. CBS has too many returning hits.

  • Chris

    Rules doesn’t seem to do any worse than Mike and Molly. How is it a certain renewal?

  • Dan

    @Elijah – Considering the show achieves a 1.6 while its NCIS LA lead in gets a 3.1 makes it a no shot for renewal. If total viewers mattered the show would have a shot but the series skews very old and CBS wants that slot for the new NCIS spinoff next season. Winning its timeslot doesn’t mean anything because it has no competition. Vegas is dead.

  • Ultima

    @Elijah
    Vegas has been steadily increasing

    Steadily increasing to a series low for its latest episode? :roll:

    2.5, 2.0, 2.0, 1.6, 1.7, 1.6, 1.8, 1.6, 1.5, 1.6, 1.6, 1.6, 1.9, 1.5

  • Ultima

    @Chris
    Rules doesn’t seem to do any worse than Mike and Molly. How is it a certain renewal?

    Mike & Molly needs another season for syndication, Rules of Engagement does not.

  • Dan

    @Chris – Ratings dont matter for Rules anymore because it does well anywhere on the schedule. The fact is over its 7 seasons Rules has been bounced so many times, its surprising the show is still around. Mike & Molly has been in the same slot for 3 seasons and has and will air from Sept-May. Its not a midseason prop up show, its a Chuck Lorre syndication full season type show.

    You cant compare ratings between Rules and M&M because Rules is older and has less to offer CBS.

  • Rick

    I think CBS should try an hour comedy block on Friday. I’ve always been surprised they never have. Other then some episodes of Undercover Boss it couldn’t do worse than anything else they put there. This would be my friday lineup for next season

    ROE, Mike and Molly
    New Drama
    Blue Bloods

    That way they can put two new comedy’s in on Monday night and hopefully find a hit since it will be the last season of HIMYM.

  • Common Anomaly

    The following is for comparison purposes only:

    CSI: Miami
    2007-2008 – Monday 10PM – 21 episodes – 4.42 avg. demo
    2008-2009 – Monday 10PM – 25 episodes – 3.98 avg. demo – 10% decrease
    2009-2010 – Monday 10PM – 24 episodes – 3.59 avg. demo – 9.8% decrease
    2010-2011 – Sunday 10PM – 22 episodes – 2.41 avg. demo – 32.87% decrease
    2011-2012 – Sunday 10PM – 19 episodes – 2.14 avg. demo – 11.2% decrease

    The Mentalist
    2008-2009 – Tuesday 9PM – 23 episodes – 3.75 avg. demo
    2009-2010 – Thursday 10PM – 22 episodes – 3.39 avg. demo – 8.8% decrease
    2010-2011 – Thursday 10PM – 23 episodes – 2.91 avg. demo – 14.9% decrease
    2011-2012 – Thursday 10PM – 23 episodes – 2.61 avg. demo – 9.28% decrease
    2012-2013 – Sunday 10PM – 13 episodes – 1.82 avg. demo – 31.1% decrease

    The Good Wife
    2009-2010 – Tuesday 10PM – 23 episodes – 2.68 avg. demo
    2010-2011 – Tuesday 10PM – 23 episodes – 2.22 avg. demo – 17.3% decrease
    2011-2012 – Sunday 9PM – 22 episodes – 2.01 avg. demo – 9.46% decrease
    2012-2013 – Sunday 9PM – 13 episodes 1.74 avg. demo – 13.46% decrease

    While both CSI: Miami and The Mentalist’s demo decreased by over 30% each when moved to Sunday 10PM, a main difference between the two is their lead-ins.

    CSI:Miami’s lead-in when it moved to Sunday 10 PM was 2.83 avg. demo.
    The Mentalist’s lead-in when it moved to Sunday 10 PM is 1.78 avg. demo.

    CSI:Miami’s lead-in, The Good Wife, in it’s final season had a 2.01 avg. demo.

  • a p garcia

    I don’t think CBS will cancel ROE because it is CBS clutch program and that it seems to do well wherever it is placed. TV execuitves are unique and strange people, canceling programs that should be left alone, uncanceling programs, so who knows what CBS executives will do.

  • TVDude

    @Dan,

    Are you a Mike and Molly fan? It’s the lowest rated full season comedy. That’s not much to offer to CBS. Heck, it’s only a tenth of a ratings point higher than Rules after four(?) seasons. As soon as CBS gets a couple new hit shows, it’s a goner. Syndication doesn’t matter since CBS doesn’t own it and after next season they will already have enough episodes. I know that’s a long way out, but it won’t be on CBS for over a decade like TBBT or 2.5 Men.

  • Casey

    Season 7 of RoE has already been completely produced and if you read interviews with the cast and exec producer Tom Hertz they’ve already given away some spoilers. Hertz said himself that this season’s finale can double as a series finale.

    I don’t know if CBS is going to expand comedy or not. If they do, they almost have to keep RoE because they haven’t exactly had a strong track record of introducing new comedies lately outside of 2BG. They’d need 9 comedies overall to add an extra hour, 8 to fill that time and then probably at least 1 more if one of those 8 doesn’t work and needs to be replaced midseason.

    Things get interesting if they can’t make a deal to bring back Two and a Half Men.

  • Dan

    @TV Dude – I like the show but that doesn;t have anythjing to do with CBS keeping it around for a few more seasons. Here are the facts, while Mike & Molly is the lowest rated comedy, CBS has a good relationship with Chuck Lorre and CBS has 5 stable comedies. How I Met Your Mother, Two and a Half Men, Mike & Molly, The Big Bang Theory and 2 Broke Girls. With HIMYM ending next season, and the aging Two and a Half Men likely on its way out, and no guarantee of any new comedy hits, would CBS really get rid of a stable performer like Mike & Molly? Granted its the lowest rated but not by that much. And say if HIMYM and TAAHM both end next season, CBS will have Big Bang, 2 Broke Girls, Mike & Molly and maybe a new comedy should it break out. Mike & Molly is a show CBS can keep around because like Rules, its always steady but M&M was never bounced around the schedule.

    @Casey – They don’t have to keep ROE And they will figure out a deal to keep Men for at least 1 more season. A comedy with a 4.4 average in its 10th season even airing after Big Bang is impressive. Rules will end this May with a proper sendoff it deserved and CBS will be in search of a new comedy once again next season.

  • Carmen

    @ Rebecca
    ” I sometimes watch MAM and a bit of 2BG but only while I wait to change the channel for Castle…”

    That’s exactly my viewing pattern (for Monday 9:00-10:00) also.

  • Mon

    Looks like CBS is trying a NEW The Mentalist at 9pm on March 3! No press release yet whether a new The Good Wife airs at 10pm.

    http://cbspressexpress.com/cbs-entertainment/releases/view?id=34588

    and repeats of TGW and TM flip too on Feb 24.

  • Mon

    I really hope The Mentalist scores above a 2.0 so that TGW says good bye this May. TGW show has stayed for way too long.

  • Holly

    @Mon,

    Looks like CBS is trying a NEW The Mentalist at 9pm on March 3!

    Interesting…

  • MichaelChickless

    Looks like CBS is trying a NEW The Mentalist at 9pm on March 3

    I’ll be curious to see its ratings in a *slightly* better timeslot.

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