CBS: 'Rules Of Engagement' At Best A "Toss Up" For Renewal Or Cancellation

Categories: Cancel/Renew CBS Shows,Cancel/Renew Index

Written By

February 12th, 2013

Click this link for the latest CBS renewal / cancellation information:


Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts the network's decision on renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2012-13 season in May, 2013. (includes results from December 31, 2012- February 10, 2013):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Made In Jersey (F)* canceled 0.36
Blue Bloods (F) :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 0.51
CSI:NY (F) :cry: :cry: 0.52
Vegas :cry: :cry: 0.57
The Good Wife :| :| :| 0.60
The Mentalist :| :| :| 0.70
Partners* canceled 0.79
Elementary :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 0.81
CSI :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 0.84
Hawaii Five-0 :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 0.90
Criminal Minds :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.01
NCIS: Los Angeles :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.03
Rules of Engagement :| :| :| 1.07
Person Of Interest :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.12
Mike & Molly :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.15
NCIS renewed 1.28
2 Broke Girls :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.32
How I Met Your Mother renewed 1.33
Two and a Half Men** :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.44
The Big Bang Theory renewed 2.08

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The return of Rules of Engagement last week has it starting out as a "toss up" for renewal or cancellation. There's no space for the show on next Fall's schedule unless CBS either (a) expands their comedy time (possible), or (b) premieres no new sitcoms (not realistically possible). Of course, it could be renewed for another short schedule filling season like it was this year. That's possible, but I don't think it's likely.

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. This season you can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.
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*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

** The Renew/Cancel Index does not attempt to predict shows ending because the cast or production company chooses to end them. These shows have the ratings for renewal, but rumored cast/production company moves may end the shows.

From now through the end of the broadcast season in May, the Renew/Cancel Index values will only be calculated using new episodes airing during 2013. However, until new episodes of a show air in 2013, I will keep the "old"  Fall predictions in the table.

Want to know what the CBS Renew/Cancel Index table looked like at the end of the Fall season? Click here.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2013
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2013
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2013
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2013
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2013

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from past television seasons.

 
  • MichaelChickless

    Looks like CBS is trying a NEW The Mentalist at 9pm on March 3

    I’ll be curious to see its ratings in a *slightly* better timeslot.

  • Bob

    Holy Cow. CBS is incredible. They certainly have the highest ratings. Sad that Rules of Engagement will most likely be cancelled. However, if Rules was not on, would they REALLY cancel Mike and Molly as they are the next lowest comedy on CBS?

  • Petar Ivanov

    @Holly who said:
    Interesting…

    Indeed. More info please. Official will be great.

    Sunday is reaaly worst CBS day so i expect to be rebuild next season. May be survivor at 8 as leas-in is perfect fit. Or those single cam sitcoms.

  • steve

    Keep Rules of Engagement CBS. You know every new comedy you put on next year is not going to be a hit (Hello, Partners) and ROE gives a good fallback replacement plus more syndication dollars for CBS.

  • Petar Ivanov

    @Bob
    NOPE. Mike and Molly has syndication deal already.

  • Dan

    @Bob – Peter Ivanov is right also its not about numbers, among CBS’s 5 stable comedies. They arent going to say, well Mike & Molly is lower rated then 2 Broke Girls and HIMYM its next in line. As long as its a reliable perfomer it will continue. I can see Mike & Molly lasting up to 6 seasons. Rules wont be cancelled because its the lowest rated but only because CBS has so many more comedies to consider for next season.

  • gerry

    oh, that mentalist news makes me nervous. i guess they’re testing things to see what happens in the fall. hopefully they will just end tgw on friday next year with a s5 ‘final’ season. fingers crossed.

  • Ram510

    I really hope Rules of Engagement sticks around, I’m not ready to say goodbye.

    As for Patrick getting casted in a new comedy, it doesn’t mean that the show will even make it on the air. It hasn’t been picked up by the network yet.

  • Dan

    @Steve – Unfortunately that only worked for CBS this year. They lucked out by renewing Rules because Partners flopped and Friend Me has so many problems so far that Rules worked perfectly as a midseason replacement. It benefitted the series because Sony got exactly 100 episodes in their current syndication deal and the show gets 1 more season to wrap up storylines (Audrey & Jeff’s baby), (Adam & Steph’s wedding). Had Rules not been renewed I would have expected Partners to get a few more eps and Friend Me to replace it.

    With HIMYM ending, I expect CBS to have their current 5 comedies on the falls schedule plus 3 more comedy Pilots (Including Mom), Whether or not they expand Thursdays comedy block, remains to be seen.

  • Dan

    @Ram510 – I love the show, but I’m very surprised after being bounced around the schedule so many times that Rules has lasted 7 seasons. I expected it to just last 7 episodes. Most primetime shows reach 100 episodes by their 5th season but Rules is just making it with Season 7. However with all the failed comedies over the years (Worst Week, Accidentally on Purpose, Bleep My Dad Says, Rob, How to Be a Gentleman) Rules is a great utility player for CBS but eventually its time to say good bye. I’m just glad it’s this May rather than last May.

  • KJ Styles

    @TV Dude-I think if it’s not back, it’s because of the cast (or cost of the cast since it’s an older show now) rather than space in the schedule.

    Agreed. If the cast all agrees to come back, renewal is likely. With How I Met Your Mother ending next year (and possibly Two & A Half Men) they’re gonna need to expand their comedy hours.

  • Petar Ivanov

    I think rules fans should be happy and thanks cbs. I mean rob was cancel with better ratings than rules. Not many if any lower rated sitcoms survive so long on cbs.

    ps deadline already report yesterday that friend me will be burn off in summer and actors are already cast in new pilots. rules lead actor is cast in cbs pilot again comedy more good news for rules fans.

  • Tommy M.

    If RoE ratings stay stable I wouldn’t be shocked for them to renew it again as a back up in case they end up with another new dud comedy like Partners. I’m still hoping that they expand their comedy hours.

  • Greg

    With Rules hitting such high ratings, I wouldn’t be surprised if it finds a new home in any of the other four networks (especially NBC, which’s the only one with multi-camera comedies on week days).

    Similarly, if they cancel The Mentalist, then NBC or FOX should pick it up for a new season. We saw that The Mentalist is capable of hitting over a 2.0 with The Good Wife as a lead in so if paired with Bones or Chicago Fire, it should do very well.

  • Ricky

    I have to wonder if Rules is gonna get another season. It was very lucky to get this one. Unless CBS can’t score big with any new comedies that show is pear-shaped.

    Rebooted: The Elimination Game. http://tvbythenumbers.zap2it.com/2013/02/10/play-the-elimination-game-page-3/168989/comment-page-3/#comment-1387409

  • TVDude

    I will be pretty surprised if Rules comes back. From what I understand, everyone’s contracts are up for renewal and couple people are tired of the “will we, won’t we” treatment. I mean, they’ll sign on if they have nothing else working out, but this season is creatively put together as a final season. If it’s renewed, it’ll kind of mess the ending up, which I believe is already filmed. I’m not for or against it being canceled, personally, but there’s a lot going against the show returning. It’s possible, but not necessary creatively or financially.

  • omabin

    CBS Fantasy Schedule

    Monday
    How I Met Your Mother
    New Comedy (Mom)
    2 Broke Girls
    Mike and Molly
    Hawaii Five-0

    Tuesday
    NCIS
    New Drama (NCIS Red)
    NCIS LA

    Wednesday
    Survivor
    Criminal Minds
    CSI

    Thursday
    The Big Bang Theory
    Two and a Half Men
    Person of Interest
    New Drama (Intelligence)

    Friday
    The Good Wife
    CSI NY
    Blue Bloods

    Sunday
    The Amazing Race
    Elementary
    The Mentalist

    I must say, I am a bit unsure about an all NCIS night. If not that, then just move LA to Monday nights and swap it with Five-0. I think LA is marginally stronger than Hawaii so it will not vastly improve on the slot IMO (a couple of tents or something at maximum) and is one extra move, so I would not do it, but I dunno. Other than that, I know this won’t happen because yeah, they will premiere another drama, but this is what I think they should do, I see no point in premiering yet another friday drama and I don’t think that they should be bumping any other Monday-Thursday show to the weekend. Even 5-0, I think it would be a mistake, although that is probably what will happen.

  • omabin

    Also, rules can be canceled now, because there is big bang repeats in case Mom fails and then again, the likelihood of that happen is way smaller than it was with Partners.

  • TVDude

    @omabin,

    I think CBS might move M&M to 8:30pm next season. I could be wrong, but the only reason it has been at 9:30pm is because of its syndication deal. Since that won’t matter after next season, there’s no need to keep it there anymore. Unless they have a show that will work better out of HIMYM, they’ll probably use 2BG to launch a new show.

  • jake3988

    RoE may be the bastard red-headed stepchild of CBS, but it always managed to find its way back. Next season, I can definitely forsee expanded comedy hours, but even if not, yet another 13 ep season is certainly possible.

    On the other hand, it’ll be (IIRC) at exactly 100 episodes. It’s a good point to end I suppose.

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