CBS: 'Rules Of Engagement' At Best A "Toss Up" For Renewal Or Cancellation

Categories: Cancel/Renew CBS Shows,Cancel/Renew Index

Written By

February 12th, 2013

Click this link for the latest CBS renewal / cancellation information:


Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts the network's decision on renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2012-13 season in May, 2013. (includes results from December 31, 2012- February 10, 2013):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Made In Jersey (F)* canceled 0.36
Blue Bloods (F) :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 0.51
CSI:NY (F) :cry: :cry: 0.52
Vegas :cry: :cry: 0.57
The Good Wife :| :| :| 0.60
The Mentalist :| :| :| 0.70
Partners* canceled 0.79
Elementary :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 0.81
CSI :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 0.84
Hawaii Five-0 :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 0.90
Criminal Minds :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.01
NCIS: Los Angeles :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.03
Rules of Engagement :| :| :| 1.07
Person Of Interest :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.12
Mike & Molly :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.15
NCIS renewed 1.28
2 Broke Girls :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.32
How I Met Your Mother renewed 1.33
Two and a Half Men** :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.44
The Big Bang Theory renewed 2.08

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The return of Rules of Engagement last week has it starting out as a "toss up" for renewal or cancellation. There's no space for the show on next Fall's schedule unless CBS either (a) expands their comedy time (possible), or (b) premieres no new sitcoms (not realistically possible). Of course, it could be renewed for another short schedule filling season like it was this year. That's possible, but I don't think it's likely.

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. This season you can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.
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*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

** The Renew/Cancel Index does not attempt to predict shows ending because the cast or production company chooses to end them. These shows have the ratings for renewal, but rumored cast/production company moves may end the shows.

From now through the end of the broadcast season in May, the Renew/Cancel Index values will only be calculated using new episodes airing during 2013. However, until new episodes of a show air in 2013, I will keep the "old"  Fall predictions in the table.

Want to know what the CBS Renew/Cancel Index table looked like at the end of the Fall season? Click here.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2013
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2013
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2013
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2013
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2013

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from past television seasons.

 
  • MichaelChickless

    @Aja — I guess we’ll just see soon enough.

  • Mia

    Mentalist has to be renewed!!!

  • fringewillget5seasons

    TGW is the biggest waste of airwaves currently on broadcast television. Should never have been put at 9, all it did was drag down the 10pm show. As if it’s compatible with any audience from football overruns either.

    Survivor is getting old and tired. If Sundays looked like 60 Minutes/TAR/Survivor/Mentalist I would think that could be a solid lineup.

    Criminal Minds losing Wed@9 also wouldn’t surprise me, though if it and CSI stay they will probably continue to be a solid block. The real question is does Elementary get to stay on CBS’ best night after seeing no boost at all from the Superbowl?

  • Michael

    These half seasons of “Rules” are kind of like when Sheldon created that robot to live his life for him on “The Big Bang Theory.” It may be expanding the life span, but it’s just not the same. All shows die, but only some shows truly live.

  • Mon

    I think Elementary is moving to Sunday 9pm replacing The Good Wife next season. I wouldn’t bet on it if Elementary had shown sign of healthy ratings on Thursday. But so far, it’s still disappointing, even after the Super Bowl. Furthermore, CBS has just secured Lost actor Josh Holloway on a pilot called Intelligence. That show sounds good and Mr. Holloway seems to have a large following so it looks like a sure pick-up to me. It would be a nice companion to Person of Interest (or Criminal Minds but since CSI is strong, there’s no need to move it).

  • The Steve Sanders

    David Spades character killed this show….way to unlikable,and yes Michael,Family Guy drew out Joe’s wife’s pregnancy for 9 years.

  • Unknown

    I hope TBBT gets at least 10 seasons, I love TBBT and Castle the most so I NEED Castle to be renewed

  • mike

    As far as I’m concerned, CSI:NY should’ve ended last season, especially after MK left. Although I’ve cooled now but to me, as much as I like Sela Ward, MK’s abrupt leaving killed the show for me and it should retire into the history books. I’m not optimistic about Golden Boy though so…

    The Good Wife and Mentalist still have a little life left in them but even critical acclaim will carry TGW for one more season. If the ratings go lower though, I see 2014 as the show’s swan song.

  • Ben

    CBS wil probably renew ROE just because they haven’t exactly had success launching new sitcoms recently (other than 2BG). I see a similar strategy by CBS next year, to try out a new sitcom, and have ROE as a backup if it fails.

  • Dinaminjo

    @Aja

    The contract does not mean it will be renewed..

    The creators of the show are not responsible for renewals but are for contracts. They have to make sure the cast is set.

    But that does not mean that the renewal people are going to green light a new season.

  • Nick

    @The End

    keeping with your current ideas for Sunday, I can’t see Amazing Race being moved off the 8pm slot, but flipping the shows so it stays at 8pm and Survivor on 9, with your suggestion for 10, would actually be pretty decent.

    I could see TAR being at 9 pm (since its original timeslot was Tue@9), but I agree that TAR at 8 pm and Survivor at 9 pm would probably be better, if only to limit the number of schedule changes that need to be promoted.

  • Ben

    A potential schedule for next season CBS

    Monday (move 2.5 men back to Monday and put it at 9:30 and move Mike and Molly to 8:30, swap Vegas with Hawai Five-0)
    8-HIMYM
    8:30-Mike and Molly
    9-2 Broke Girls
    9:30-Two and a Half Men
    10-Vegas (renew it and move it to Mondays)

    Tuesday
    8-NCIS
    9-NCIS RED (new NCIS LA spin off)
    10-Hawai Five-0

    Wednesday (cancel CSI: NY and send csi to Friday and move NCIS LA to Wednesday at 10)
    8-Survivor
    9-Criminal Minds
    10-NCIS LA

    Thursday
    8-The Big Bang Theory
    8:30-NEW COMDEY (Mom)
    9-Person of Interest
    10-Elementary

    Friday (clear space on Sunday for a New Drama)
    8-The Mentalist
    9-CSI
    10-Blue Bloods

    Sunday
    7-60 Minutes
    8-The Amazing Race
    9-NEW DRAMA
    10-The Good Wife (short 13 episode final season, finale in December)

    Midseason Replacements: Rules of Engagement, Undercover Boss

    Please give me comments on the schedule!

  • tv#1

    A Possible 2013-2014 CBS Schedule could be…

    Mon:
    How I Met Your Mother
    *Ex-Men*
    2 Broke Girls
    Mike and Molly
    *Beverly Hills Cop*

    Tue:
    NCIS
    Person of Interest
    *Intelligence*

    Wed:
    NCIS:LA
    *NCIS:RED*
    Criminal Minds

    Thur:
    The Big Bang Theory
    *Untitled Greg Garcia Projects*
    *Crazy Ones*
    Two and a Half Men
    CSI

    Fri:
    Survivor
    Hawaii 5-0
    Blue Bloods

    Sun:
    60 Minutes
    The Amazing Race
    Elementary
    The Good Wife

    Mid-Season:
    Rules of Engagement
    *Hostages*

  • Mon

    It looks like the new Mentalist at 9pm on March 3 is a not going to happen. It’s maybe just an error in the press release. Now it says 10pm, though it said “at a special time, 9:00-10:00 PM” before. But it’s quite hard to have an error that long!

  • Aja

    @Dinaminjo,

    I’ll take my odds that TGW will be renewed. You have, perhaps, a few weeks to live in smug denial…savor the moments :)

  • Michael

    @The Steve Sanders,

    Thanks. Do you know if any character not played by Patrick Warburton has had to wait more than 2 seasons for a baby?

  • Nettie

    never miss Mike and Molly love whole cast. Billy Gardell is awesome.

  • Ben

    Another possible 2013-2014 schedule

    Monday
    8-How I Met Your Mother
    8:30-Mike and Molly
    9-2 Broke Girls
    9:30-”Mom”(NEW COMEDY)
    10-Hawai Five-0

    Tueday
    8-NCIS
    9-NCIS RED (NEW NCIS LA SPIN OFF)
    10-Elementary

    Wednesday
    8-NCIS LA
    9-Criminal Minds
    10-NEW DRAMA

    Thursday
    8-The Big Bng Theory
    8:30-Two and a Half Men
    9-Person of Interest
    10-NEW DRAMA

    Friday
    8-Survivor (line loyal fans will follow this show to the death slot)

  • Ben

    To finish of my schedule (I hit send too early)

    Friday
    8-Survivor (the loyal fans will follow this show to the death slot)
    9-CSI
    10-The Good Wife

    Sunday
    7-60 Minutes
    8-The Amazing Race
    9-Vegas
    10-The Mentalist

  • omabin

    Does anyone who follows pilot season regularly know if it is normal that CBS orders as many single cam pilots as it is ordering this year? Could it be that they are going for a single-cam comedy hour? On Wednesdays at 8pm for instance, or Fridays at 8pm. It just seems weird to me that they are ordering so many of those, as I cannot imagine them just randomly sticking one on the monday comedy block, not to mention that spot has Chuck Lore’s “Mom” written all over it.

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