CBS: 'Rules Of Engagement' At Best A "Toss Up" For Renewal Or Cancellation

Categories: Cancel/Renew CBS Shows,Cancel/Renew Index

Written By

February 12th, 2013

Click this link for the latest CBS renewal / cancellation information:


Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts the network's decision on renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2012-13 season in May, 2013. (includes results from December 31, 2012- February 10, 2013):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Made In Jersey (F)* canceled 0.36
Blue Bloods (F) :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 0.51
CSI:NY (F) :cry: :cry: 0.52
Vegas :cry: :cry: 0.57
The Good Wife :| :| :| 0.60
The Mentalist :| :| :| 0.70
Partners* canceled 0.79
Elementary :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 0.81
CSI :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 0.84
Hawaii Five-0 :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 0.90
Criminal Minds :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.01
NCIS: Los Angeles :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.03
Rules of Engagement :| :| :| 1.07
Person Of Interest :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.12
Mike & Molly :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.15
NCIS renewed 1.28
2 Broke Girls :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.32
How I Met Your Mother renewed 1.33
Two and a Half Men** :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.44
The Big Bang Theory renewed 2.08

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The return of Rules of Engagement last week has it starting out as a "toss up" for renewal or cancellation. There's no space for the show on next Fall's schedule unless CBS either (a) expands their comedy time (possible), or (b) premieres no new sitcoms (not realistically possible). Of course, it could be renewed for another short schedule filling season like it was this year. That's possible, but I don't think it's likely.

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. This season you can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.
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*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

** The Renew/Cancel Index does not attempt to predict shows ending because the cast or production company chooses to end them. These shows have the ratings for renewal, but rumored cast/production company moves may end the shows.

From now through the end of the broadcast season in May, the Renew/Cancel Index values will only be calculated using new episodes airing during 2013. However, until new episodes of a show air in 2013, I will keep the "old"  Fall predictions in the table.

Want to know what the CBS Renew/Cancel Index table looked like at the end of the Fall season? Click here.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2013
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2013
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2013
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2013
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2013

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from past television seasons.

 
  • Fan

    For me, the best thing to do is:

    MONDAY
    8:00 – How I Met Your Mother
    8:30 – Mike & Molly
    9:00 – 2 Broke Girls
    9:30 – Mom
    10:00 – Hawaii Five-0

    TUESDAY
    8:00 – NCIS
    9:00 – NCIS: Red
    10:00 – Elementary

    WEDNESDAY
    8:00 – NCIS: Los Angeles
    9:00 – Criminal Minds
    10:00 – CSI

    THURSDAY
    8:00 – The Big Bang Theory
    8:30 – Two and a Half Men
    9:00 – Person of Interest
    10:00 – Intelligence

    FRIDAY
    8:00 – Beverly Hills Cops / Undercover Boss
    9:00 – CSI: NY
    10:00 – Blue Bloods

    SUNDAY
    7:00 – 60 Minutes
    8:00 – The Amazing Race
    9:00 – Survivor
    10:00 – The Good Wife

    Let Me explain:
    1) Monday needs to premiere a new Comedy at 9:30 and i don’t see why CBS should move Hawaii Five-0 which can get a boost if Mom is a hit.
    2) Move Elementary at 10 because the Show is too weak for Thursday and Premiere the new NCIS after the Mothership.
    3) NCIS: Los Angeles has to move (an NCIS night would be a disaster). No reasons to change the two others.
    4) Person of Interest is a good lead-in so it should be used to launch a new Drama at 10.
    5) Renew CSI: NY for a Tenth and final Season because the Show is the PERFECT lead-in for Blue Bloods. Premiere a new Drama at 8.
    6) Create a Reality night on Sunday, move The Good Wife at 10 and cancel The Mentalist.

  • Nick

    @Ben

    Please give me comments on the schedule!

    OK, I’ll bite. There is one main thing wrong with your schedule, and it is only 2 new dramas. CBS is in the set-in-stone habit of having 3 new dramas each year, and its a great habit. Two new shows is just not enough. I’d bump Vegas for a new drama (Beverly Hills Cop would work great there).

    The only other thing is that CSI’s ratings aren’t Friday-worthy yet. It’s CBS’s highest-rated 10pm drama. Move Hawaii Five-0 instead.

    @tv#1

    That’s a good schedule, except for one thing: it’s a LOT of drama movement. It’d be really hard to promote all of those. You should make some small changes with dramas, like switching CSI & Criminal Minds so you only have to promote the latter.

  • Oliver

    My guess is that if CBS expands Thursday, they move Mike & Molly to Thurs 9:30pm, turning Monday into a young-skewing comedy night and Thursday into an old-skewing comedy night.

  • Holly

    There’s nothing new or unexpected in that story. It’s not like CBS was ever going to premier 8 new shows. They’ll premiere the 3 dramas/1-2 comedies as usual (or 2 dramas/3-4 comedies if they decide to expand their comedies, but that seems unlikely for this year).

  • Petar Ivanov

    @Holly

    I agree. 3-5 new shows like every season. But some people in cbs page(here) write really craze sith so many shows and changes. As this season nbc shows us more shows can’t be promoted and advertise properly and most people even not know tham.

  • Ben

    @Nick
    Thanks for the advice. I will try a new schedule incorporating some of your ideas.

    Monday
    8-How I Met Your Mother
    8:30-Two and a Half Men
    9-2 Broke Girls
    9:30-Mike and Molly
    10-”Beverly Hills Cop” (NEW DRAMA)

    Tuesday
    8-NCIS
    9-”NCIS RED” (NEW NCIS LA SPIN OFF)
    10-Hawaii Five-0

    Wednesday
    8-Survivor
    9-Criminal Minds
    10-CSI

    Thursday
    8-The Big Bang Theory
    8:30-”Mom” (NEW COMEDY)
    9-Person of Interest
    10-NCIS: LA

    Friday
    8-The Mentalist
    9-The Good Wife (13 episode final season)/Undercover Boss
    10-Blue Bloods

    Sunday
    7-60 Minutes
    8-The Amazing Race
    9-NEW DRAMA
    10-Elementary

    Please give me comments.

  • Michael

    Has CBS ever said anything about “Friend Me?” Will it even air?

  • Petar Ivanov

    @Michael
    cbs don’t know, but deadline said. Summer burn-off. Not sure when exactly.

  • scarps

    MONDAY
    8:00 – How I Met Your Mother
    8:30 – Mike & Molly
    9:00 – 2 Broke Girls
    9:30 – Mom
    10:00 – Beverly Hills Cops

    TUESDAY
    8:00 – NCIS
    9:00 – NCIS: Red
    10:00 – Criminal Minds

    WEDNESDAY
    8:00 – Survivor
    9:00 – NCIS: Los Angeles
    10:00 – CSI

    THURSDAY
    8:00 – The Big Bang Theory
    8:30 – Two and a Half Men
    9:00 – Person of Interest
    10:00 – Intelligence

    FRIDAY
    8:00 – Elementary
    9:00 – The Good Wife
    10:00 – Blue Bloods

    SUNDAY
    7:00 – 60 Minutes
    8:00 – The Amazing Race
    9:00 – Hawaii Five-0
    10:00 – The Mentalist

  • Petar Ivanov

    @scarps
    Your schedule is one of most reasonable till now. Congrat. May be only h5o can stay where it is althou at 9 on sunday can be with same if not better demo. But i think will stay. Only question is what happen if cbs go with these single cam hour commedies. Than POI will be move to wednesday and survivor at sunday or CM at 10. Which is even better for POI will continue to grow even more and will escape fall football on thusdays and big time mess that cbs can create there(which lower the chances they to put these single cams on thursday…. unfortunately) Really think that if POI is move to wednesday will grow more without football and nba games.

  • omabin

    @scarps,

    I like your schedule too, except for the Criminal Minds/ NCIS-LA move. Minds is way stronger than LA, which is extremely lead-in dependent. LA would collapse on Wednesdays against the likes of Modern Family and Idol and would bring the entire night down with it (see what happened when criminal minds wasn’t on this week). I understand that making Tuesday an all NCIS night does not seem appealing, but I think it is better than swap Minds and La like that. Other than that, I like it (I would probably swap the good wife and elementary on fridays, I think elementary is stronger than the good wife and it would go better with blue bloods).

    However, I think it is looking more and more like CBS will expand its comedy hours, whether multicams or singlecams. They have just casted Sarah Michelle Gear on the robin williams sitcom, and they also have the rupert grimm one. These two, together with Mom, would be enough to expand, plus one another as a backup. I know their recent declarations don’t suggest that, but it certainly seems possible to me. If that is the case, I think Survivor will timeshare with the amazing race (and both would probably gain in the demo if that was the case) and poi would go to wednesdays at 8, where it should also increase. Thursdays would however become extremely risky, with three new shows on the night, so they would have to be really confident in that, because the big bang theory can only do so much (I think a bigger problem would also be the fact that two and a half men is probably not strong enough to anchor a night at 9pm anymore, and they are not likely to want to move big bang)

  • omabin

    Also, I have just realized (and that is pretty much my fantasy schedule as well) that in that case, the only day CBS would remain unchanged would be Wednesdays:
    - Mondays: a new comedy and a new drama
    - Tuesdays: a new drama and a move of another drama
    - Thursdays: a new drama
    - Friday: two reallocated dramas to the night
    - Sunday: one reallocated drama to the night

    This past season:
    - Mondays: a new comedy
    - Tuesdays: a new drama
    - Thursdays: a new drama
    - Fridays: a new drama
    - Sundays: a reallocated drama

    Bottom line: way too many movement for CBS’s traditional scheduling

  • chris

    Hello,

    why Rules of Engagement in toss up with 107 and Blue Bloods is safe with a rating of 57??. So can you explain this to me, cause it makes no sense to me.

  • Ali

    Rules of engagement was never given time to thrive, CBS always used it as a filler and never let it settle and build an audience. IT has consistently done better than the vast majority of its new comedies

  • NE1

    I just discovered Rules of Engagement, I hope it stays on. Also I forgot to watch the first week, but have been totally watching the syndicated eps..

  • Gus

    Ali hit the nail on the head in regards to Rules Of Engagement. CBS has used as a fill in when some show failed or showed the show in the summer. Since it is already in syndication the need to keep ROE on for another season is minimal. It isn’t as important to CBS as say “2 Broke Girls”or “The Big Bang Theory” is and does anyone care what happens to the characters on this show? Didn’t think so.

  • Adam Decker

    @Michael Family Guy had Bonie pregnant from the time she was introduced until some time much later in the series. I was shocked that the baby was even born at all.

    CSI: New York, The Mentalist, The Good Wife, Vegas, and Rules of Engagement all seem the most in danger. But I’m sure that CBS could always make a CSI: Chicago if they wanted to and they don’t need New York anymore. Of those five, I’d keep The Mentalist, but that has the most hated CBS timeslot, which I know is a Fan Excuse Bingo saying, but it’s true.

  • chrisss

    Monday

    8pm- HIMYM
    8.30pm- Mike and Molly
    9pm- 2 Broke Girls
    9.30pm- Mom
    10pm- Beverly Hills Cop

    Tuesday

    8pm- NCIS
    9pm- NCIS: LA
    10pm- NCIS: Red

    Wednesday

    8pm- Single Cam Comedy
    8.30pm- Single Cam Comedy
    9pm- Criminal Minds
    10pm- CSI

    Thursday

    8pm- TBBT
    8.30pm- TAAHM
    9pm- POI
    10pm- Intelligence

    Friday

    8pm- The Good Wife (10 episodes)/Undercover Boss
    9pm- CSI:NY
    10pm- Blue Bloods

    Sunday

    7pm- 60 Minutes
    8pm- The Amazing Race/ Survivor (One cycle each)
    9pm- Elementary
    10pm-HF0

    I really don’t get the argument that 3 NCISes would be to much for one night: is NCIS Red really going to be that much different of a show than any other crime drama CBS could put there?

    POI is doing really well Thursday @ 9, so for me that’s why the comedy expansion goes to Wednesday @8.

    Good Wife is renewed for a final 10 episode season to get the total episode count to 100. CSI:NY gets renewed instead of The Mentalist because of CSI:NY’s syndication revenue.

    Elementary and HF0 moved to Sunday because Monday @ 10 and Thursday @ 10 are better slots to launch new shows than Sunday is.

  • scarps

    MONDAY
    8:00 – How I Met Your Mother
    8:30 – Mike & Molly
    9:00 – 2 Broke Girls
    9:30 – Mom
    10:00 – Beverly Hills Cops

    TUESDAY
    8:00 – NCIS
    9:00 – NCIS: Red
    10:00 – NCIS: LA

    WEDNESDAY
    8:00 – Survivor
    9:00 – Criminal Minds
    10:00 – CSI

    THURSDAY
    8:00 – The Big Bang Theory
    8:30 – Two and a Half Men
    9:00 – Person of Interest
    10:00 – Intelligence

    FRIDAY
    8:00 – Elementary
    9:00 – The Good Wife
    10:00 – Blue Bloods

    SUNDAY
    7:00 – 60 Minutes
    8:00 – The Amazing Race
    9:00 – Hawaii Five-0
    10:00 – The Mentalist

  • Bill O’Meara

    To make a sports analogy if roe was a ball player, it would be a long relief pitcher and as such has filled a vital role at CBS for years. Not everyone is a starter….

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