CW: '90210' Now Likely To Be Canceled, So Much For Nostalgia

Categories: Cancel/Renew CW Shows,Cancel/Renew Index

Written By

February 12th, 2013

Click this link for the latest CW renewal / cancellation information:


Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts the network's decision on renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2012-13 season in May, 2013. (includes results from December 31, 2012- February 10, 2013):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Emily Owens, M.D.* canceled 0.54
90210 :cry: :cry: 0.58
Gossip Girl* final season complete 0.61
Nikita (F) :) :) :) :) 0.66
The Carrie Diaries :| :| :| 0.84
Hart Of Dixie :| :| :| 0.84
Beauty And The Beast :) :) :) :) 0.97
Supernatural renewed 1.35
Arrow renewed 1.49
Vampire Diaries renewed 1.86

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All season I've been writing that the only way 90210 gets renewed is for a nostalgic short final season. Now, I think its recent ratings slide has likely made that nostalgia too painful for the CW.

90210 relative ratings are much lower than other recent "nostalgia" final season shows. 90210 2013 ratings (not including last night) are currently at just 58% of the CW scripted show average. Compare that to Gossip Girl last spring (83%), and One Tree Hill the spring before (89%). Nostalgia's easier if you're not having to renew a complete ratings albatross, and gets even more painful if you have to cancel a show doing OK to get nostalgic. Nostalgia still could overwhelm ad revenue, but now I'm guessing it's not likely.

Did I jump the gun when I moved Beauty & The Beast to "likely renewed" last week after just 2 weeks of 0.7 ratings? The last episode's 0.6 rating suggests I may have. Stay tuned.

This is looking like an interesting spring for the Cancellation Bear and the CW. Once Cult premieres, the CW will likely cancel two of Beauty & The Beast, Cult, Hart Of Dixie, and The Carrie Diaries (in addition to 90210)  to make room for next season. Considering the level of crazy in some of those fan groups, the bear expects fireworks!

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. This season you can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.

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From now through the end of the broadcast season in May, the Renew/Cancel Index values will only be calculated using new episodes airing during 2013. However, until new episodes of a show air in 2013, I will keep the "old"  Fall predictions in the table.

Want to know what the CW Renew/Cancel Index table looked like at the end of the Fall season? Click here.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2013
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2013
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2013
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2013
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2012

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from the 2010-11 broadcast television season.

 
  • PurpleDrazi

    If Cult is getting paned by critics it will probably do really well.

  • Brandy

    90210 I think will be renewed, they’re filming episode 21 of. 22 already, and the finales already. Written ,Likley ending in a cliffhanger as always and they’ll film the finale in the next three weeks so there’s no time to wrap up or rewrite the finale and there’s also no time to order extra episode or two to wrap up.
    I think HoD and Nikita(too bad) will be renewed, too soon to tell about CD,BatB,Cult.I love HoD,CD,batab is good too I wish they could all be renewed.

  • dottydorothy

    Cult is sounding too much like “The Following” and with that doing well I doubt people will watch another show on the same concept! That too premiering this close to The Following premiere itself! Plus Cult doesn’t seem to have any actors that would attract viewers by themselves. They arent new but havent yet proven to be enough of an audience-magnet. So I doubt it will do much better in the ratings. I’d say Cult and BATB go to make room for a new show and The Originals. Much as I’d prefer TCD to be the one going :( but with the terrible 90210 for company its not doing so bad and HoD holding its own on a Tuesday, these 2 seem like a better bet! BATB has TVD for a lead-in and manages to hold on to barely half its audience- not a good sign :( Though I sincerely doubt The Originals is gonna do any better! Lets see how Oxygen and The selection pan out!

  • guest

    90210 deserves to be cancelled. Does anyone ever notice their drive through love stories? The writers are beyond terrible. CW should have cancelled it last season for that crappy finale.

  • Win

    Does anyone know if like Gossip Girl, 90210 actors are contracted for a sixth season? Wouldn’t not renewing 90210 mean paying them out? But if, like Gossip Girl they renew for 8-10 episodes, they fulfill the actors contracts and provide the “fond-farewell” and have Spackle?

  • Justin121

    1- No way Hart of Dixie gets cancelled.

    2- Carrie and Beauty are Certain Renewals at +0.6.

    Nikita is fine at +0.5 and Cult at +0.6.

    CW needs new blood. No embaressment of riches.

    They will work something out like time-share.

    Vamp Diaries and Supernatural can’t run forever.

  • Ray

    This show should have been canceled 2 or 3 seasons ago, just from creative standpoint.

  • Melissa

    Renew Hart of Dixie! Best show on the CW and more and more people I know are starting to get into it now that it’s on Netflix. I think it will only continue to grow.

  • Chelle

    I can’t see any benefits in renewing 90210, with it’s declining ratings I wouldn’t be surprised if it gets 0.1/0.2 in its final season.
    I think TCD/HoD will get renewed and then paired together in the fall since they both have female leads and would attract the same kind of audience. The CW looks to be heading in a sci/fi / fantasy direction and I don’t think pairing either TCD or HoD with those genre types will make much sense or work.
    My prediction:
    Renewed – HoD, TCD, Nikita, BaTB.
    Then pick up 3 new shows in the fall.
    (Too early to comment on Cult yet)

  • Wright

    SPN and VD can most certainly run forever. Looking for to many more seasons. TCD is a horrible concept. I never understood the appeal of Sex and the City. Hopefully everyone tunes in live for the premiere of Cult. I can’t wait. By the way Cult isn’t playing off of The Following. It’s the other way around. The story of Cult was shelved for a few years and just newly rediscovered.

  • Charmed

    Predicted schedule:

    MONDAY

    8pm: The Carrie Diaries
    9pm: (New Show)

    TUESDAY

    8pm: Hart Of Dixie
    9pm: (New Show)

    WEDNESDAY

    8pm: Arrow
    9pm: Supernatural

    THURSDAY

    8pm: The Vampire Diaries
    9pm: The Originals

    FRIDAY

    8pm: Nikita
    9pm: 90210 (Fall) Reruns (Spring)

  • Alex S.

    I think 90210 should have been cancelled since Episode 2.

    The ratings never recovered from the Series Premier when viewers never returned after realizing how bad the show was.

    If you want to watch a show that’s good, has quality, and features characters that you actually care about… Just watch re-runs of the original 90210.

    The new edition never even came close

  • John

    Nikita seems to have stabilized on Friday night so I feel like its safe to assume it gets renewed

  • Charmed

    I think if they do decide to renew 90210 it could go on Friday, it’s a horrible pairing with Nikita but it will keep the fans quiet.

  • Honey Badger

    fantastic bear picture !!!

  • Dan

    Cult’s premiere can change a lot but it performing well can only hurt Beauty and the Beast. Nothing can help it.

    CW will save 90210. Its the Gossip Girl, Private Practice, Chuck, Fringe, etc and while horribly low rated, CW will wrap this one up. If not it would be the first time they dont announce a final season for a veteran drama and CW wouldn’t do that to 90210. On a network where all ratings are garbage, they do treat veterans well.

    Carrie Diaries may be salvaged because CW apparently really likes the show and they do give shows that they like and get OK ratings another chance.

    Nikita and Hart of Dixie will both return because of Syndication, Nikita is a mere 1 season away while Hart of Dixie.

    I still think while Beauty and the Beast is upgraded on the list its just another Secret Circle. CW has no reason to keep this one if it cant hold on to Vampire Diaries.

    I feel this is a year where CW will fil up their schedule. With no ANTM this fall, CW will air 10 dramas this fall likely 7 returning and 3 new (I don’t see them trying any reality shows at least until midseason)

    My guess
    Renewed
    90210 (Short final season)
    Hart of Dixie
    The Carrie Diaries
    Nikita (Final 22 episode season)
    Arrow
    Supernatural
    Vampire Diaries

    Cancelled
    Gossip Girl
    Emily Owens MD
    Beauty and the Beast

    Its too early for Cult but it can easily bump a renewed show off the list. Its more likely The Carrie Diaries since Nikita will maintain its Friday at 8 slot, and a renewal has no effect on a 90210 final season. Nikita and 90210 will air Fridays so CW doesn’t have to air a new or returning show on Friday which actually may have a shot at continuing.

  • Lem

    I love 90210 but it has been really dry this season. I’m hoping that they do get a final season to close everything up though.

  • Dan

    @Charmed – Based on my predicted renewals That would be my exact schedule. Its obvious that CW will air The Originals behind Vampire Diaries and its also likely both ending 90210 and Nikita will air Fridays. If Carrie Diaries gets a shot they may use it to anchor Mondays as well as try another new series behind Hart of Dixie. CW may continue the pairing of Arrow and Supernatural though one does have to wonder if CW will want to launch a new show behind Arrow.

  • halloween

    canceled – cult,90210,Hod
    13 episode order TCD, 13 episode for BatB Friday deathslot
    Nikita renewed full season

  • Joe

    90210 should be canceled. Order another 2 or 3 episodes for this season and give it closure. If a final sixth season is a must, then it should be even shorter than Gossip Girl ie 6 to 9 episodes.

    As for BATB/TCD/Cult/HOD… I would say renew BATB and HOD, and cut Cult and TCD.

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