FOX: 'Touch' Is Certain To Be Canceled

Categories: Cancel/Renew Fox Shows,Cancel/Renew Index

Written By

February 12th, 2013

Click this link for the latest FOX renewal / cancellation information:


Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts the network's decision on renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2012-13 season in May, 2013. (includes results from December 31, 2012- February 10, 2013):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
The Mob Doctor* canceled 0.31
Fringe* (F) final season complete 0.50
Touch :oops: 0.50
Ben And Kate* canceled 0.60
The Cleveland Show :cry: :cry: 0.65
The Mindy Project :| :| :| 0.81
Raising Hope :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 0.82
New Girl :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.13
Bones renewed 1.15
Glee :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.15
Bob's Burgers renewed 1.15
American Dad renewed 1.18
The Simpsons renewed 1.36
Family Guy renewed 1.53
The Following :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.57

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An anecdote from last May's Fox upfront meeting was amusing, and is again topical. When asked what he would tell Kiefer Sutherland after his show (Touch) was being moved to Friday, Fox chief Kevin Reilly replied "Hey, you're still on the air". After last Friday's disastrous premiere ratings (1.1, 0.9 for the hours) for Touch, I wonder what he'll tell him now that the show is certain to be canceled?

Even though it's not in the calculations above, I did see the drop in The Following's ratings last night. It will have to drop a lot further before it's in any danger, but there must now be at least a little "Alcatraz Anxiety" at Fox.

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. This season you can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.
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*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

From now through the end of the broadcast season in May, the Renew/Cancel Index values will only be calculated using new episodes airing during 2013. However, until new episodes of a show air in 2013, I will keep the "old"  Fall predictions in the table.

Want to know what the Fox Renew/Cancel Index table looked like at the end of the Fall season? Click here.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2013
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2013
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2013
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2013
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2013

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from past television seasons.

 
  • Holly

    RE:Touch… IMO, the networks make a huge mistake by taking so much time in between seasons and then taking these long mid-season breaks. People forget about them and move on to other shows. Also, people with DVRs don’t watch a lot of commercials and sometimes aren’t aware that shows have returned. I found the new season by accident.

  • tscchope

    @ The End

    Yes Terra Nova was expensive and would have had more expense to come in its second season becauses the producers were planning to move production to a new country, so yes I can understand it being cancelled. On the other hand it was an in-house production, but the ratings did not fall below 2.0, which makes it the most successful of Fox’ failed new dramas (none of the others managed to stay above 2.0).

    The Following had a big fall. If it has another, it will be below 2.0 and may fall further. I remain sceptical about The Following’s renewal chances even if it stays at 2.0 or slightly above, unless it gets moved to Fridays. They aren’t Monday numbers. Bones hasn’t Monday numbers either. By that I mean the ratings a network would want a show to pull on Mondays.

  • Elle

    My dream schedule:

    Monday:
    8.00 Bones
    9.00 the List (13 Episodes) / The Following (15 Episodes)

    Tuesday:
    8.00 New Girl
    8.30 Untitled Goor/Schur Comedy
    9.00 Glee(13 Episodes) / JJ Abrams Drama (13 Episodes)

    Wednesday:
    8.00 The X Factor/American Idol

    Thursday:
    8.00 The X Factor/American Idol
    9.00 Delirium

    Friday:
    8.00 The Mindy Project
    8.30 Raising Hope
    9.00 Kitchen Nightmares

    Sunday:
    8.00 The Simpsons
    8.30 American Dad
    9.00 Family Guy
    9.30 Dads

    MIDSEASON: Bobs Burgers

  • Josh

    Fox is probably thinking they should have kept Alcatraz instead of Touch. Alcatraz was getting quite suspenseful and intriguing oh well that’s why I have given up on Fox.

  • mike

    Good. Cancel it and either do a 24 movie or a mini-season of 13 episodes to keep the costs down.

  • tvlog

    The Cleveland Show has been treated worst than Ben and Kate! It ran against run off of CBS Football or 60 Minutes! The Cleveland Show should have chance on Tuesday night! Dream Scheduler! Seth has Flintstone reboot coming this fall or next year spring! Bob Burgers isn’t funny!

  • Sarah

    I think Glee is the more likely candidate to move to Fridays than Bones, especially after last night’s numbers, but that’s JMO. Now I know yesterday was V-Day and mostly everything was down, but those numbers were pretty bad. Not to mention it has Idol as a lead-in and it’s only managed a 2.1 and 2.2 with the last 2 episodes. Granted, I know that Idol isn’t nearly what it used to be, but those numbers are bad, IMO. Bones managed a 2.2 this week and it doesn’t have a lead-in. Plus, it has 4 years on Glee.

    Now I’m not saying either one will move to Fridays, but those two reasons are why I put Glee’s chances of it happening higher than Bones’.

  • Ben

    Potential FOX schedule next year:

    Monday
    8-Bones
    9-NEW DRAMA/The Following

    Tuesday
    8-New Girl
    8:30-NEW COMEDY
    9-Glee

    Wednesday
    8-The X Factor/American Idol (for the first 2 months of each show, air a 90 min episode to increase ratings for a new comedy airing afterwards
    9:30-NEW COMEDY (September to end of October, January to beginning of March)

    Thursday
    8-The X Factor/American Idol
    9- NEW DRAMA

    Friday
    8-The Mindy Project
    8:30-Raising Hope
    9-Bob’s Burgers
    9:30-The Cleaveland Show

    Sunday
    8-The Simpsons
    8:30-NEW ANIMATED SHOW
    9-Family Guy
    9:30-American Dad

    2 New Dramas, 2 New Comedies, 1 New Animated Show
    I know it’s strange to move animation to Friday, but the post Simpsons spot needs to be cleared, and Cleaveland is already doing poorly so why keep it on Sundays? Also, Glee back on Tuesdays has to happen. A 90 minute reality block for the earlier parts of the seasons of idol and X factor so that a comedy can get a boost from those ratings.

  • omabin

    I agree that Glee is strongly making a case for a Friday move. I think it will tank there, given how young skewing it is, it will be a disaster of epic proportions. But it is appear more and more that it can no longer be sustained on its own… If it does like this following Idol, how will it do all by itself?

  • Honey Badger

    @ Bill Gorman @ Robert Seidman , I saw this posting and it makes sense to me. Am I missing something?

    Jay Raskin
    Posted February 15, 2013 at 4:35 PM
    American Idol’s 3.7 in the 18-49 demo is its lowest rating ever in that demo. Added all together, “American Idol” is averaging 4.9 over its first 10 episodes.

    This would be terrific for any other show, but consider that “American Idol” does not repeat. Let us presume that a show gets a 3.4 on its first showing and a 1.7 on its second showing. Costs for repeating the show is negligible, but the ad revenue is the same as if the show had gotten a 5.1 on a single showing. For Fox, Idol’s 4.9 is the equivalent of a 3.3-3.4 for a one hour dramatic or comedy series which can be repeated. A 3.7 rating on American Idol is equivalent to a 2.4 for a repeatable show.

    X Factor had a 3.0 rating for the 18-49 demo in Season 2 and barely got renewed. American Idol is a much more expensive show to produce with star salaries alone costing a reported $56-57 million or nearly $3 million per week.

    The threshold for Fox renewal is probably around 3.5. If the show continues to slip at the rate it has been for the first 5 weeks of season 12, it may slip below the 3.5 threshold and not be renewed for next year. If it is renewed, any further slippage will certainly make next year its last.

  • PeterScott

    I just realized the only Fox shows I watch are the cartoons and only if I have nothing to do Sunday night.

    Every other show they start is kind of crap.

    Touch was just way too annoying with Kiefer running around after his kind shouting all the time, that and the pointless “touched by an angle” happy ending crap happening to random people in other countries.

    So Good riddance. But it isn’t like I expect they will start having good shows anytime soon.

  • andri

    When ? Let’s. move on pro-rating the Cleveland show and the Mindy project. The bones finale this season anyone? New beginnings

  • Jeff

    It’s unfortunate that Touch premiered so low. I really liked the first season and was looking forward to the second season. After watching the first episode of S2 though, I can’t say I’d surprised if they cancelled it. They shelved the show for so long after it’s first season. Also, the tone and formula (if you will) is very different in Season Two compared to Season One. Kiefer Sutherland is now seeming more like Jack Bauer this season. Also, the original premise (Autistic child leading his father to help people based on the connectivity of everything) has taken a back seat to the more “conspiracy theory” sub plot. I know the show received a lukewarm reception for Season One and maybe Tim Kring and Kiefer Sutherland were told by the studio to rework the show. Or perhaps Tim Kring and Co. weren’t sure which direction to take the show (as it felt after the second season of Heroes, imo). Who knows. I’ll keep watching because I still think it’s a quality show. I just hope the story and pacing pick up.

  • Linda

    Touch is a great show its to bad also for the Following great show also lookin like its going to have a second season.

  • Error!

    Touch doing awful.
    Time to bring back FRINGE!!

  • Error!

    * is.

  • Jaime04

    I agree that Glee needs to go back to Tuesdays!
    AI isn’t helping and anything against Grey’s is not good.

    I think this would be better!

    Tuesday
    8-New Girl
    8:30-NEW COMEDY
    9-Glee

    We’ll see once all the shows are renewed where they land.

  • Adam Decker

    This seems sad considering how Touch was Fox’s highest rated show last year. (You can correct me if I’m wrong.) I’ve never seen a show as well written as Touch and it just might be my favorite Fox show of all time. That being said, Fox has a way of screwing their best shows off the air such as a- putting Touch on Fridays or b- making it a midseason replacement instead of a fall show. But I’m sure people reading this comment think that I’m crazy. I just hope that it has an ending if it does get cancelled because most shows like this don’t.

  • PeterScott

    Touch did dismal last year as well. Renewing it made little sense. It was a dollhouse move.

  • Michelle

    I love Touch. I watched it for the first time by accident on Netflix. I enjoyed it so much that I had to watch all of season 1 in one weekend. I for one hope that it doesn’t get cancelled. Not yet anyway.

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