ABC: 'Zero Hour' Is Certain To Be Canceled

Categories: Cancel/Renew ABC Shows,Cancel/Renew Index

Written By

February 19th, 2013

Click this link for the latest ABC renewal / cancellation information:


Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts the network's decision on renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2012-13 season in May, 2013. (includes results from December 31, 2012- February 14, 2013):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Don't Trust The B in Apt 23* canceled 0.50
Last Resort* canceled 0.57
Happy Endings :oops: 0.58
Malibu Country (F) :| :| :| 0.62
Private Practice* canceled 0.63
666 Park Avenue* canceled 0.68
Zero Hour :oops: 0.69
Last Man Standing (F) :| :| :| 0.70
The Neighbors :) :) :) :) 0.90
Revenge :) :) :) :) 0.93
Castle :) :) :) :) 0.96
Nashville :) :) :) :) 0.96
Suburgatory :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.07
The Middle :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.13
Once Upon A Time :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.30
Scandal :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.34
Grey's Anatomy :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.47
Modern Family :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 2.05

-
This is a special "short week" holiday edition of the ABC Index, having been written the evening of Friday, February 15 with ratings through only February 14.

That thud you heard on Thursday night was the 1.4 adults 18-49 rating for the premiere of Zero Hour, the Cancellation Bear's latest meal in ABC's Thursday 8pm timeslot. Enjoy it while you can, it's certain to be canceled.

Happy Endings has been downgraded to certain to be canceled. It didn't make the headline this week, but there's always next week!

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. This season you can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.

-
*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

From now through the end of the broadcast season in May, the Renew/Cancel Index values will only be calculated using new episodes airing during 2013. However, until new episodes of a show air in 2013, the "old" Fall predictions will carry over.

Want to know what the ABC Renew/Cancel Index table looked like at the end of the Fall season? Click here.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2013
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2013
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2013
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2013
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2013

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from past television seasons.

 
  • SJ

    Possible 2013-14 schedule:

    Monday:

    8pm-10pm – The Bachelor / DWTS / The Bachelorette
    10pm Castle

    I know, pure fantasy, given ABC’s general scheduling inertia. But keeping DWTS at two regular-season cycles (it would still come back in the summer instead of The Bachelorette in my scenario) and failing to take advantage of the resurgent Bachelor seems like a waste.

    Tuesday:

    8pm – The Taste / DWTS Results / The Taste
    9pm – New Drama (S.H.I.E.L.D.?)
    10pm – Body of Proof

    I know, way premature. We still don’t know how BoP is going to do, but my guess is, if it does at least halfway decently (1.7-1.9), ABC will give it a full season and a fall time slot to burn through episodes and get to syndication faster. I’ve been saying this since Lost left the air, but the Tuesday 9pm time slot is ripe for a new drama takeover. The Taste (two cycles a year, I guess) and the Dancing Results should give ABC a solid 1.8-2.0 rating in the 8pm hour, which, at this point, should be enough.

    Wednesday:

    8pm – The Middle
    8:30pm – Suburgatory
    9pm – Modern Family
    9:30pm – New Comedy
    10pm – Nashville

    Nashville will be the face-saving drama renewal of the season. Suburgatory moves back to the time slot it does better in while The Neighbors is cancelled. ABC finally gives the post-MF time slot to a new show starting in the fall. Cancel How to Live… as a preemptive strike. ABC doesn’t need another Don’t Trust the B—- situation. Family Tools is dead on arrival, premiering two weeks before the upfronts.

    Thursday:

    8pm – Shark Tank
    9pm – Grey’s Anatomy
    10pm – Scandal

    Isn’t this the most obvious solution to ABC’s Thursday 8pm problem?

    Friday:

    8pm – Last Man Standing
    8:30pm – Malibu Country
    9pm – New Drama
    10pm – 20/20

    Yes, I am optimistic about the Friday comedy block. Also, ABC hasn’t had a drama on Fridays for quite some time. It’s bound to do better than the recent Thu 8pm entries, and even if it doesn’t, Primetime: What Would You Do or Primetime Nightline can swoop in and save the day anytime. If the Friday drama experiment is a success, ABC could air the newsmagazines on Saturdays after football. They’d do better than movies.

    Sunday:

    7pm – AFHV
    8pm – Once Upon a Time
    9pm – Revenge
    10pm – New Drama (Venice?)

    Air the three dramas like so: 11 episodes, in the fall, 11 in the spring after the Oscars. No interruptions, no reruns. Use the pre-Oscars week to do recap episodes on all three (assuming the 10pm one makes it that far). Make January the “Hallmark Hall of Fame month” and air all three HHOF movies at once. Schedule 20/20 news specials for the remaining two (?) weeks in late January/early February.

  • Olka

    Max isn’t the first who commented.
    I’m surprised.

  • Ted Craig

    I’m a little surprised none of these line-ups has The Neighbors. It has a number of factors going for it, including decent ratings and ABC as a producer. At least there aren’t any delusional “HE at 9:30 Wednesday.”

  • Greg

    ABC will probably renew this TGIF block, but I think they should cancel it. Shark Tank/What Would You Do? was doing better back in the fall.

  • rob60990

    @Ted Craig, the ratings for The Neighbors aren’t decent. They’re bad. It’s consistently below a 2.0 and bleeds heavy audience out of The Middle. ABC can do better.

  • Skylar James

    For me

    Mon:
    8pm Once Upon a Time
    9pm Revenge
    10pm Nashville

    Tue:
    8pm Shark Tank
    9pm DWTS results
    10pm Castle

    Wed:
    8pm The Middle
    8.30pm Suburgatory
    9pm Modern Family
    9.30pm new comedy
    10pm new drama

    Thur:
    8pm Greys
    9pm Scandal
    10pm new drama

    Fri:
    8pm Last Man Standing
    8.30pm new comedy
    9pm The Neighbors
    9.30pm Malibu
    10pm 20/20

    Sun:
    8pm DWTS (The Bachelor/Bachelorette)
    10pm new drama

  • omabin

    Sunday (Fall/Winter/Spring)
    Once Upon a Time/ Winter Wipeout/ Once Upon a Time
    DWTS/ The Taste/ DWTS
    DWTS/ Celebrity Wife Swap/ DWTS

    Monday (Fall/Winter/Spring)
    DWTS Results/ The Bachelor/ DWTS Results
    Revenge/ The Bachelor/ Revenge
    Castle

    Tuesday
    Shield (New Drama)
    New Male Skewing Drama (Gothica or Big Thunder for instance)
    Body of Proof

    Wednesday
    The Middle
    Suburgatory
    Modern Family
    New Comedy
    Nashville (13 ep Season a la Scandal to see if it grows… if not, replace it with a new drama at midseason)

    Thursday
    Grey’s Anatomy
    Scandal
    New Female Skewing Drama (there a lot of pilots for this)

    Friday
    Last Man Standing
    Malibu Country or The Neighbours
    Shark Tank
    20/20

  • Skylar James

    Also The Taste could replace the DWTS results slot once the cycle ended.

  • Greg

    @SJ

    I think The Bachelor’s ressurgence is due to the lack of a stronger competition. It would probably fall to low 2′s if it were to compete against The Voice.

  • EatMorePez

    @Steve

    Thank you for showing all visitors to TVBTN that it’s possible to like both Revenge and Scandal.

  • SJ

    I’m not saying my schedule is perfect, but everyone who has Grey’s Anatomy on Thursdays at 8pm gets an automatic F.

    @rob60990

    the ratings for The Neighbors aren’t decent. They’re bad. It’s consistently below a 2.0 and bleeds heavy audience out of The Middle. ABC can do better.

    Thank you!

  • Skylar James

    @SJ: Why? It will likely be its last season, no new show is ever gonna work there, might as well move an established show that is likely to retain its audience, or at least a good part of it

  • Ted Craig

    @SJ and rob60990

    Decent means the fourth highest rated comedy on ABC. Yes, it’s on Wednesday and it’s lower than The Middle, but consistent. And I see no evidence ABC can do better with what it has now and nobody really knows how any pilot will do until it gets on the air.

  • Leon Gee

    Zero Hour was shown on VALENTINES day….HELLO???!!!!
    Now all of a sudden we hear talk of cancellation. Give the show a chance. Else, stick it into a summer schedule as a filler.
    There are many of us out here in the world who find this show interesting.
    It was just getting started, AND it was interesting… so, give it a chance!….PLEASE????

  • SJ

    @Skylar James

    Networks never move their flagship shows to rough time slots for their final seasons. Lost and Desperate Housewives also got to keep their time slots for their final seasons and Grey’s Anatomy should rate much better than DH did near the end.

    @Ted Craig

    Suburgatory can and will do better than The Neighbors at 8:30 and a new comedy airing after Modern Family will do better than what Suburgatory’s been getting at 9:30. There’s just no way a line-up consisting of The Middle, SUB, MF and a new show can do any worse than the current line-up which features The Neighbors

  • iowegian

    @rob6060

    If I understand your posts you are stating that The Neighbors should be cancelled. My question for you is this: Will The Neighbors be cancelled and not get a 2nd season?

  • Ted Craig

    @SJ
    “There’s just no way a line-up consisting of The Middle, SUB, MF and a new show can do any worse than the current line-up which features The Neighbors.”

    Of course it could. Suburgatory can do the same as The Neighbors. Look at the actual numbers this year. Neighbors and Suburgatory aren’t that far apart. What’s more, a new show at 9:30 can do worse.

  • Skylar James

    @SJ: well maybe networks dont move it, but I’m not here posting what I think ABC would do, but what I think they SHOULD do.

  • Hillbilly

    Bill & Robert aren’t my friends any more. Both have ZH as certain to be cancelled. :mad:

    Nielsen families just ain’t smart. ;)

  • Fred

    Sun:

    AFHV- Too profitable to ignore.
    OUAT- Though ratings have been falling, this is the best slot for it.
    NEW SHIELD- Should work well with family oriented OUAT
    NASHVILLE-Still feels like a Sunday Night Show to me.

    Sunday has been hurting recently. Perhaps this will help.

    Mon:

    DWTS/Bachelor- 2 Hours
    NEW DRAMA- Time to move Castle to an earlier slot and nourish something new.

    Tues:

    DWTS / Bachelor/Shark Tank/ The Taste- Any of these are cheap enough.
    Castle- ABC should just give up on sitcoms here for a while.
    Body of Proof- If doesn’t do well, NEW DRAMA.

    I realize its risky moving CASTLE, but ABC needs to develop something new on Monday at 10:00. Also Castle might help BOP better than low rated sitcoms.

    Wed:

    Middle
    Suburgatory
    Modern Family
    New Sitcom
    Revenge- Time to come back home.

    Thurs:

    Grey’s- Will score higher than the latest expensive low rated drama.
    Scandal-Time for an upgrade.
    NEW DRAMA- Should be helped by strong Scandal.

    Fri:

    Shark Tank -Much more profitable than sitcoms
    Prime Time/The Taste
    20/20- This ends a rather lucrative night.

© 2014 Tribune Digital Ventures