ABC: 'Zero Hour' Is Certain To Be Canceled

Categories: Cancel/Renew ABC Shows,Cancel/Renew Index

Written By

February 19th, 2013

Click this link for the latest ABC renewal / cancellation information:


Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts the network's decision on renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2012-13 season in May, 2013. (includes results from December 31, 2012- February 14, 2013):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Don't Trust The B in Apt 23* canceled 0.50
Last Resort* canceled 0.57
Happy Endings :oops: 0.58
Malibu Country (F) :| :| :| 0.62
Private Practice* canceled 0.63
666 Park Avenue* canceled 0.68
Zero Hour :oops: 0.69
Last Man Standing (F) :| :| :| 0.70
The Neighbors :) :) :) :) 0.90
Revenge :) :) :) :) 0.93
Castle :) :) :) :) 0.96
Nashville :) :) :) :) 0.96
Suburgatory :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.07
The Middle :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.13
Once Upon A Time :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.30
Scandal :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.34
Grey's Anatomy :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.47
Modern Family :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 2.05

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This is a special "short week" holiday edition of the ABC Index, having been written the evening of Friday, February 15 with ratings through only February 14.

That thud you heard on Thursday night was the 1.4 adults 18-49 rating for the premiere of Zero Hour, the Cancellation Bear's latest meal in ABC's Thursday 8pm timeslot. Enjoy it while you can, it's certain to be canceled.

Happy Endings has been downgraded to certain to be canceled. It didn't make the headline this week, but there's always next week!

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. This season you can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.

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*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

From now through the end of the broadcast season in May, the Renew/Cancel Index values will only be calculated using new episodes airing during 2013. However, until new episodes of a show air in 2013, the "old" Fall predictions will carry over.

Want to know what the ABC Renew/Cancel Index table looked like at the end of the Fall season? Click here.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2013
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2013
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2013
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2013
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2013

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from past television seasons.

 
  • rob60990

    I’m not saying ABC can’t do worse than The Neighbors but they can do better. There’s no way The Neighbors would do well anywhere else on its own if it can’t even do well in between The Middle & Modern Family.

    I really hope ABC changes their mind about even bothering to premiere Family Tools in May and rushing through Suburgatory’s episodes. Just stick with The Middle/Sub/MF/How to Live…Parents until end of May.

  • The End

    @SJ

    I personally can see ABC going with that, you have everything nailed down perfectly. Though I have a ? over Revenge, I’m not entirely sure if the show will be renewed for certain now, that said no one saw the shows decline in viewers coming. It’s likely it might be moved from the 9pm Sunday slot if renewed.

  • Rare

    Not sure if Happy Endings should really be a certain cancellation given the whole Sony thing. After Til Death’s fourth season renewal…

  • m k sims

    Does it really matter how much viewers love a show when the network is considering cancelling it? Some of these shows never get a chance to build an audience and poof they are gone. Hope ABC gives Friday night comedies a renewal. So sick of all the reality shows, cop shows, crazy shows and it is nice to laugh on Friday night with a family hour.

  • SJ

    @The End

    NO chance of Revenge not coming back. Zero.

  • StevenD

    I think it’d be bad to put Shields on Sunday at 9, with Football, The Walking Dead, and Animation Domination, theres so many better time slots wth less direct competition, though I’m sure it’d still do well.

    If it goes on Sunday it should go at 8, so it avoids The Walking Dead and most of Football (Starts a little after 8)

  • Rebecca

    Just take Zero Hour off and put on the rest of 666PA until they come up with something else to air. It can’t do any worse.

  • SJ

    Why would Once Upon a Time and Revenge move away from Sundays?! They’ve been doing well there in the fall. ABC just needs to schedule them better. The shows aren’t the problem, the scheduling is!

  • Jazz

    I watched Zero Hour after Once Upon a Time yesterday and it seemed to work for me. It doesn’t feel like a Thursday show. It seems to mix some magical mystery tour stuff from OUAT and conspiracy stuff from Revenge.

  • The End

    @SJ

    I honestly don’t know. Certainly if Revenge drops further in viewers it’l be in danger.

    And on your other point, Once certainly won’t be moved from Sunday, Revenge however wouldn’t surprise me.

  • Fred

    I realize Sunday at 9:00 is a tough timeslot (NFL, WALKING DEAD, AWARD shows etc…) But I feel ABC needs to go strong here. From what I have been reading SHIELD should be huge. Lots of comic book fans don’t care much for football or award shows. Who knows maybe SHIELD can beat WALKING DEAD!
    I rather see ABC put up a fight, than just give up here and air another cheap reality show.
    ABC might want to play it safer and air a new female oriented drama instead of Revenge, but I still rather see SHIELD help ABC succeed again on Sunday. I’m also counting on OUAT to rebound. OUAT plots have been steadily improving since earlier this season. Same for Revenge, but I want REVENGE returned to Wednesday 10:00.

  • Fred

    @Rebecca,

    I was enjoying the creepy 666 Park Ave and would love to see ABC air the reamining eps.

    BTW last weeks Cougar Town was one of the funniest eps this season. Might have been THE funniest. So glad this very enjoyable sitcom is back.

    Also can’t wait to watch Happy Endings again! Now here is a sitcom that would pair perfectly with CT. TBS must be thinking this over!!

  • SJ

    It’s foolish to think a male-skewing show like SHIELD can make inroads on such a female-oriented network. I’m actually surprised that, out of all the networks, it landed on ABC, the one it’s the least compatible with.

    Can comic book nerds really move the needle that much when it comes to a major network, which is essentially programming for the masses? SHIELD has cult favorite written all over it. As for the ratings, sure, I can see it being a moderate hit, with ratings in the 2.2-2.7 range if it’s executed properly, but beating The Walking Dead? Seriously?! Wow…

    @The End

    Why would Revenge drop further? It just grew by 30% and with no major competition in the way, I can’t possibly imagine it sliding again. It will gradually climb back to a nice, solid 2.0-2.2 range, maybe even a little higher, which should translate to 2.5-2.8 ratings in the fall, as most shows tend to rise from their spring averages – but still come slightly short of their previous fall averages.

    I can’t decide if panic, paranoia, or some thinly veiled hatred of the show (or the disappointment in the first part of season 2) is the reason why some are predicting Revenge to be cancelled, moved or given a shorter season 3 order. It’s funny, because Revenge isn’t really the type of show to draw many haters like Chuck, Fringe or Nikita were/are…

  • Ultima

    @SJ
    I’m actually surprised that, out of all the networks, it landed on ABC

    Disney owns both ABC and Marvel Studios, so it’s not that surprising. Surely they want to diversify the network as well – although maybe it was simply a necessity in order to get Joss Whedon to commit to Avengers 2.

  • JacobYates

    I don’t understand why LMS hasn’t been upgraded to likely renewal yet. I mean, the show is a self-starter on a Friday night and never had incredible ratings. That’s a lot to ask of a sophomore show. Unless ABC has some quota to fill on cancelled sitcoms, is LMS in any danger?

  • The End

    @SJ
    @is the reason why some are predicting Revenge to be cancelled

    Can’t speak for everyone else here, but I simply give an opinion based on the reported ratings and nothing more for this show. I really couldn’t care less if the show comes back, or is canceled in all honesty, I’m entirely neutral in my opinions here.

    I’ve been posting here a long time and haven’t in any way posted an opinion that would be deemed in any way ‘hating’ on any show. I’ve given constructive criticism here and there but no more.

    @Why would Revenge drop further? It just grew by 30%

    To be fair, the show still has a long way to go before it can be considered in any way secure. 1 episode showing an improvement when the show suffered a huge decline in viewers isn’t in anyway an indication that the show will make a miracle recovery.

  • Richard Steven Hack

    The Revenge huge decline was almost entirely the result of the competition that night. The (relatively small) bounce back this week proves that. Given the episode this week, I wouldn’t be surprised if it grows another two-tenths next week to completely bounce back from the decline.

    It’s not going to be canceled unless it drops severely over the next two months. I predict it will get a season three and then a season four for syndication reasons.

  • Richard Steven Hack

    Oh, and I think Revenge would continue to do well on either Sunday or Wednesday, as long as it isn’t scheduled against major events. I think it probably would do better on Sunday, though, with the OUAT lead-in (not that I’m a retentionista).

  • SJ

    @The End

    It has a “long way to go” before it’s considered secure? You do know that even if it held at a 1.8 it would still be at around ~90% of ABC’s scripted average, right? Also, the week before the declines started, Revenge had a 2.0 rating. This Sunday’s episode had a 1.8. It literally needs two more tenths to go back to where it was and there’s no reason to think it won’t gain those two tenths after the positive response the last episode got.

  • Fred

    I predicted that if I placed SHIELD in the tough SUN 9:00 PM slot I would get hammered. But ABC needs to take risky moves to get out of 4th place. Leaving REVENGE (and I’m a fan) on Sunday is just giving away the slot to others. ABC needs to be aggressive even if its foolish, to get serious ratings. Fans of OUAT may stick around for SHIELD and perhaps SHIELD might improve on OUAT. Btw I stated ” Who knows, perhaps SHIELD might beat TWD”
    I doubt that would happen, but crazier things have occured on network television. I never in a million years would have predicted TBBT would be getting these crazy high ratings at this stage of the game. ABC has the potential to have a scripted show with those kinds of ratings. OUAT (huge fan btw)was a superior effort that didn’t realize its full potential. SHIELD might have the right talent behind it to score big, even in a risky time slot.

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