ABC: 'Zero Hour' Is Certain To Be Canceled

Categories: Cancel/Renew ABC Shows,Cancel/Renew Index

Written By

February 19th, 2013

Click this link for the latest ABC renewal / cancellation information:


Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts the network's decision on renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2012-13 season in May, 2013. (includes results from December 31, 2012- February 14, 2013):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Don't Trust The B in Apt 23* canceled 0.50
Last Resort* canceled 0.57
Happy Endings :oops: 0.58
Malibu Country (F) :| :| :| 0.62
Private Practice* canceled 0.63
666 Park Avenue* canceled 0.68
Zero Hour :oops: 0.69
Last Man Standing (F) :| :| :| 0.70
The Neighbors :) :) :) :) 0.90
Revenge :) :) :) :) 0.93
Castle :) :) :) :) 0.96
Nashville :) :) :) :) 0.96
Suburgatory :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.07
The Middle :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.13
Once Upon A Time :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.30
Scandal :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.34
Grey's Anatomy :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.47
Modern Family :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 2.05

-
This is a special "short week" holiday edition of the ABC Index, having been written the evening of Friday, February 15 with ratings through only February 14.

That thud you heard on Thursday night was the 1.4 adults 18-49 rating for the premiere of Zero Hour, the Cancellation Bear's latest meal in ABC's Thursday 8pm timeslot. Enjoy it while you can, it's certain to be canceled.

Happy Endings has been downgraded to certain to be canceled. It didn't make the headline this week, but there's always next week!

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. This season you can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.

-
*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

From now through the end of the broadcast season in May, the Renew/Cancel Index values will only be calculated using new episodes airing during 2013. However, until new episodes of a show air in 2013, the "old" Fall predictions will carry over.

Want to know what the ABC Renew/Cancel Index table looked like at the end of the Fall season? Click here.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2013
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2013
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2013
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2013
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2013

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from past television seasons.

 
  • The End

    @SJ

    Exactly, the show has a long way to go. It suffered a huge drop in overall viewers, which like with any show with seriously hardcore fanboys, have made excuses to cover the shows failings. And a single episode showing a minor recovery isn’t much in a way of a sign of things to come. And as said I don’t buy the excuses being given.

    I’m not specifically talking about you here but a lot of fanboys of shows on this website, and in general live and die by the logic that their show will absolutely come back, ratings be damned, all those who think otherwise are haters. Ignoring all logical arguments in the process.

    I’m just saying, it would be wise to give Revenge a few more episodes before proclaiming it to of had a miracle revival that will 100 percent without a doubt secure a renewal.

  • omabin

    My insistence on moving Revenge is not an opinion on the performance of the show on Sundays, which I think has been good enough, apart from this winter’s crazy scheduling, and I am actually a am a huge, huge revenge fan. It is actually a merit to the show because I simply think it is needed elsewhere and I also think that DWTS needs to come to Sundays as soon as possible to get away from the voice and from the cbs comedies. It is very female skewing so it is perfect coutner-programming to all the male skewed events on sunday night. Revenge, following the compatible DWTS Results on Monday and paired with Castle should be able to hold its own and stay around the 2.5 mark IMO. And then ABC would have a Tuesday wide open for rebuild with Shield without the results show hurting the night due to the lack of compatibility with shield.

  • Matt H.

    Last week Community was certain to be renewed. The credibility of your certainty is getting flimsy.

  • SJ

    @The End

    I’m done discussing this topic with you. If you think that two tenths of a ratings point is such an uphill climb, and a 30% increase is “minor” you obviously have an agenda against the show. I’ll see you back in May when Revenge is renewed for a full 22-episode season and left on Sunday at 9pm. You’ll be looking like a fool, that much I can guarantee.

    @Fred

    ABC will be out of fourth place for sure because NBC won’t have the Super Bowl next season. They definitely need more hits, but Shield isn’t gonna be it.

  • catsrule

    I would like The Middle paired with Malibu Country in the fall. I know they’re single-cam/multicam but that shouldn’t matter. I’ve watched every episode of The Middle and want something good paired with it, didn’t like The Neighbors and Suburgatory. And I think MC could tie/beat LMS on Friday if it had the whole half hour. LMS isn’t a hit, it doesn’t deserve an overrun.

  • Rebecca

    @Fred
    I agree, CT was pretty good. I’m enjoying the current season, streaming on the project-free-tv site a day after it airs on TBS. Not positive that TBS would save another show just yet, even if HE would pair nicely with CT. We’ll see what happens. I’m just glad the rest of the HE episodes will air starting at the end of March.

  • blh

    Who makes these decisions on what is cancelled?

  • blh

    Nevermind. I just read the renew/cancel index.

  • randyaw

    Couldnt really get into it, surprising though as I was really looking forward to it.

  • Nick

    What ABC should do for 2013-2014:

    Mon-
    8: Dancing With the Stars/ The Bachelor
    10: Nashville

    Tue-
    8: Dancing With the Stars: Results/ Winter Wipeout
    9: Revenge
    10: Body of Proof

    Wed-
    8: The Middle
    8:30: Suburgatory
    9: Modern Family
    9:30: Knock Knock (new)
    10: Birthright (new)

    Thu-
    8: Grey’s Anatomy
    9: Scandal
    10: Rise & Fall (new)

    Fri-
    8: Last Man Standing
    8:30: Now What? (new)
    9: Shark Tank
    10: 20/20

    Sat- (midseason)
    8: Shark Tank (R)/ Winter Wipeout (R)
    9: Castle (R)
    10: Primetime: What Would You Do?

    Sun-
    7: AFHV
    8: Once Upon a Time
    9: SHEILD (new)
    10: Castle

    Midseason- Red Widow, How to Live With Your Parents (for the Rest of Your Life)

    I want to know everyone’s opinion on this: Should I switch Revenge & Scandal or are they fine where they are? The Thursday slot is the more luctrative one, with a better lead-in and a new show as a lead-out. Also, that show could potentitally become the Thursday anchor when Grey’s Anatomy makes its inevitable exit.

    @SJ

    ABC will be out of fourth place for sure because NBC won’t have the Super Bowl next season.

    No, because NBC has the winter Olympics in winter 2014. I think it brings up the average the same amount as the Super Bowl.

  • Doug

    ABC really hasn’t learned anything in scheduling its Sunday shows. Desperate Housewives, in its early seasons, chased The Golden Globes off of Sunday, and flattened the Grammys. But in the later seasons, it took a hit opposite those shows, and never recovered the ratings. I know that ABC has to air SOMETHING opposite the Globes and the Grammys, but they seem to be doing long term damage to their series by doing it. Hopefully they’ll get some flexibility with the Oscars (recently rumored to be moving to January), and then they can avoid wasting new episodes opposite big special programming. Despite the fact that it is February sweeps, they would have been FAR better off saving the last 3 episodes of OUAT and Revenge (airing opposite Golden Globes, Grammys, and football) for March.

  • Becker

    This is exactly why Network TV continues to see an eroding audience. I watched Zero Hour and it was extremely interesting. I broke my rule about watching new shows for the 1st year because everytime I get interested in a new show, it gets cancelled. I’m done with the networks!

  • thesnowleopard

    @Sherri
    Meh. If a miracle occurs and it grows out of cancellation-worthy numbers, they can always change their minds.

  • Tony JJ

    @ SJ

    Great schedule! I’ve agreed with everything you’ve said in this thread, and although I would move a few things on the schedule, it is one of the better fan made schedules I’ve seen. I agree ABC should take a risk on Mondays and switch Bachelor and Dancing with the Stars, but like you said doubt it will happen. The huge question mark is how will Dancing do when it returns with a new cast, maybe it was the all-star format that the audience didn’t care for.

    And I also agree with you about Shield. I don’t know if it has mass appeal, but you never know. I see is getting picked up unless it’s awful and I see ABC betting big on it, I’m sure it will premiere great, but I wonder about it’s staying power. Tuesdays at 8 is where I see the best spot for it. This spot need a drama hit and the slot itself is weak. ABC should take advantage of that and slot it here. Or they will risk it in Thursdays at 8, which could be a good idea.

    and I agree with you that ABC will definitely renew Revenge and it won’t be moved from Sundays at 9. If ABC really thinks that have a massive hit for post OUAT I could see it sliding down to 10 pm Sundays, but that is the ONLY move I could see happening.

    And I love all these Scandal fans wanting to move GA to 8, Scandal to 9, and new drama at 10. That sounds awesome on paper, but in reality it would never happen and wouldn’t be a great decision. Grey’s is still ABC’s second highest rated show, which could go on for a few more years if Shonda wants. And Scandal is stay at 10pm and let it flourish. and continue to grow. Why move it to 9 and risk having it “underperform”, plus it is the best 10pm show with the sex scenes, etc.

    (P.S. I love both Revenge and Scandal!)

    ABC’s comedy situation is tricky to guess. Middle and Modern Family are for sure renewals. Suburgatory and Last Man Standing are both certain to come back. Malibu Country and The Neighbors are both well performers, but could go either way. ABC may want to get Happy Endings to syndication, since they co-produce it, so I think they’ll either talk to TBS into taking it or will renew it and it will be comedy spackle. Family Tools seems DOA. How to Live……. is a huge question mark. It should do decently and will most likely garner a renewal, but it could just turn out to be another Apt. 23.

    Ah! There’s nothing like TV show cancellations/renewals/fantasy schedules/upfront season!

  • Tony JJ

    Oh and ABC needs to stop worrying about Sundays in February sweeps. It’s hurting Sundays for the rest of the season. run them straight through to December and bring them back in March. All with no repeats.

  • Tony JJ

    EDIT: first post when talking about Shield should be “TUESDAYS AT 9″ instead of “TUESDAYS AT 8″

  • Mike

    In regards to the title of this post, all I have to say is the following:
    “… from the people that brought you ‘Community is Certain to be Renewed'”

    C’mon Bill and Robert, you’re better than this. You and I both know that you can’t draw any statistical significant conclusion from a single data point. Is this the kind of journalistic integrity to expect from you moving forward? You can’t deny the headline is very misleading and doesn’t tell the actual story at all. Are you that desperate for a few measly ad dollars that you feel the need to post such obvious click bait? Why not just load up the website with even more ads? I already have to endure text-based ads on the site for low interest credit cards, banner ads for banks and credit unions, and sidebar ads for shoes.

  • cliff

    I guess the people who are slamming ZH only after one episode must either be in shock because it was not another reality show or a documentary by the fat guy with glasses who wears a baseball cap. Give it a chance.

  • alvar

    @Nick

    I like the idea of moving Grey’s and Scandal forward on Thursdays, but that’s probably something ABC should test first before making permanent. The only drama I could realistically see ABC moving is Scandal (based on its ratings surge this season) to improve weaker nights. I doubt that they’ll move Nashville, Revenge or Castle (all of which are doing fine where they are) and I don’t see them launching new drama on Sunday against the competition.

  • HV

    Here is what you cancel: Happy Endings, The Neighbors, Zero Hour, and possibly Red Window. Renew everything else. Pilots to be picked up to series: Sheild, Spy, Mixology (saved for midseason), Doubt or Lucky 7.
    Sheild: Sunday @ 9:00 or Thursday @ 8:00.
    Doubt/Lucky 7: Thursday @ 8:00 or Sunday @ 10:00
    (Revenge moves to Sunday @ 10:00 if Sheild is Sunday @ 9:00)
    Now let me explain. Sheild does not belong at Sunday @ 10:00. It would go good after Once Upon a Time. It would also go good at 8:00. Thursday @ 8:00 is open. Revenge is staying on Sunday, it belongs with Once Upon a Time, the question is, @ 9:00 or 10:00.
    Spy: Wednesday @ 9:30.
    Suburgatory: Tuesday @ 9:00.
    HTLWYP(FTROYL): Tuesday @ 9:30.
    Family Tools: Wednesday @ 8:30. Canceled.
    Mixology: Midseason replacement for Family Tools.
    Now let me explain. ABC only has one comedy slot. Spy takes that slot. Family Tools is renewed because ABC doesn’t have much to go by. It will be canceled in fall 2013. It will probably air a total of 13 episodes over 2 seasons. Mixology replaces it. Tuesday needs to be filled, and Suburgatory and HTLWYP(FTROYL) would do well there.
    Everything else stays in the same timeslot. We don’t want to confuse people! Keep it generally the same!

© 2014 Tribune Digital Ventures