ABC: 'Zero Hour' Is Certain To Be Canceled

Categories: Cancel/Renew ABC Shows,Cancel/Renew Index

Written By

February 19th, 2013

Click this link for the latest ABC renewal / cancellation information:


Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts the network's decision on renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2012-13 season in May, 2013. (includes results from December 31, 2012- February 14, 2013):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Don't Trust The B in Apt 23* canceled 0.50
Last Resort* canceled 0.57
Happy Endings :oops: 0.58
Malibu Country (F) :| :| :| 0.62
Private Practice* canceled 0.63
666 Park Avenue* canceled 0.68
Zero Hour :oops: 0.69
Last Man Standing (F) :| :| :| 0.70
The Neighbors :) :) :) :) 0.90
Revenge :) :) :) :) 0.93
Castle :) :) :) :) 0.96
Nashville :) :) :) :) 0.96
Suburgatory :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.07
The Middle :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.13
Once Upon A Time :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.30
Scandal :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.34
Grey's Anatomy :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.47
Modern Family :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 2.05

-
This is a special "short week" holiday edition of the ABC Index, having been written the evening of Friday, February 15 with ratings through only February 14.

That thud you heard on Thursday night was the 1.4 adults 18-49 rating for the premiere of Zero Hour, the Cancellation Bear's latest meal in ABC's Thursday 8pm timeslot. Enjoy it while you can, it's certain to be canceled.

Happy Endings has been downgraded to certain to be canceled. It didn't make the headline this week, but there's always next week!

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. This season you can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.

-
*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

From now through the end of the broadcast season in May, the Renew/Cancel Index values will only be calculated using new episodes airing during 2013. However, until new episodes of a show air in 2013, the "old" Fall predictions will carry over.

Want to know what the ABC Renew/Cancel Index table looked like at the end of the Fall season? Click here.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2013
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2013
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2013
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2013
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2013

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from past television seasons.

 
  • Doug

    You know what is ironic about The Bachelor? Back in 2002 when it launched, it was basically ABC’s attempt to get on the reality bandwagon with CBS having Survivor in its pocket (TAR was still weak at that point). Fox would later find its reality flagship in American Idol, and NBC in The Apprentice (although it’s now The Voice). The Bachelor was successful for a while, but then ABC came up with DWTS, and it was sidelined, and almost cancelled.

    Here we are, 10 years later, and The Bachelor is doing significantly better than all of the above, save American Idol. It truly is the proverbial cockroach that will never, ever die.

  • Bee

    for ABC next season..

    1. SHIELD is a no-brainer and feels like it could be something big or could at least open big. it’s got the avengers connection and looks like one of those genre shows or whatever you call them (revolution, OUAT, V, etc) that start big cus of the fancy, promotable content and then survive based on quality.

    2. ABC doesn’t like to move stuff around. i think nashville should actually stay on wednesdays. that was the death slot for them and it’s been doing a solid, steady job there. DWTS is not strong enough of a lead-in. nashville def. has potential for growth and will grow if ABC maintains buzz over the summer and provides it with a better lead-in.

    3. greys, then scandal, and then a new show or revenge at 10PM on thursdays is an interesting design, but putting grey’s in the death slot is very risky and unlikely.

    4. happy endings :(

  • alvar

    @HV

    Comedy hasn’t worked on Tuesdays this year and I don’t think ABC would risk damaging other brands there. SHIELD does seem a likely candidate for the Thursday 8pm serialised drama slot. Wednesdays will probably be The Middle, Suburgatory, Modern Family and How to Live With Your Parents and perhaps a new comedy for Fridays replacing Malibu Country.

  • SJ

    @Tony JJ

    The reason why I don’t see ABC moving Revenge or even sliding it to 10pm – other than because it’s doing fine – is that, even if it were underperforming, networks are too stubborn to admit defeat and move their shows two years in a row. Sometimes that pays off and the show actually keeps building in its new time slot (e.g. The Big Bang Theory), sometimes it doesn’t (e.g. The Good Wife), but that’s the risk they’re willing to take.

    You know, I’ve asked this question before, but I think it’s a good time to re-open this discussion: can three dramas work on one night? ABC has been trying to make it work on Thursdays and Sundays but it’s just not clicking. The Desperate Housewives/Brothers & Sisters combo was working so well because ABC had reality at 8pm. As soon as Once Upon a Time stepped in, they’ve struggled at 10pm (Pan Am, GCB, 666 Park Avenue).

    Let’s look at Thursdays: ABC had Ugly Betty and Grey’s Anatomy from 8-10 and couldn’t find anything that would work out of Grey’s, their biggest show at the time. Then, Private Practice moves there at mid-season 2009 and does great, but Ugly Betty starts to fade and is moved to Fridays next season. Now ABC has Grey’s and Scandal and again, no luck at 8pm… It’s certainly something to think about. CBS has also had a rough go of it on Tuesdays ever since The Good Wife moved. Maybe some variety on each night is warranted.

    Scandal could move to 9pm and probably will, but only when Grey’s is done. There is just no way that Grey’s Anatomy will ever leave its time slot for as long as it’s on the air (my guess is, one more season).

  • SJ

    What, no poll for Body of Proof?

    I think ABC will have a pretty great night:

    The Taste – 2.0
    The Bachelor Special – 2.8
    Body of Proof – 2.4

  • DeanW

    What ABC should do next season:

    MONDAY
    8:00 – Dancing with the Stars / The Bachelor
    10:00 – Nashville

    TUESDAY
    8:00 – Dancing with the Stars: Results
    9:00 – S.H.I.E.L.D
    10:00 –

    WEDNESDAY
    8:00 – The Middle
    8:30 – Bad Management
    9:00 – Modern Family
    9:30 – Suburgatory
    10:00 – The Returned

    THURSDAY
    8:00 – Murder in Manhattan / Killer Woman
    9:00 – Grey’s Anatomy (Final Season)
    10:00 – Scandal

    FRIDAY
    8:00 – Last Man Standing
    8:30 – The Neighbors
    9:00 – Shark Tank
    10:00 – 20/20

    SUNDAY
    8:00 – Once Upon a Time
    9:00 – Revenge
    10:00 -’Castle

  • DeanW

    Tuesday at 10 = Body of Proof

  • The End

    @SJ
    @The reason why I don’t see ABC moving Revenge or even sliding it to 10pm – other than because it’s doing fine

    Let’s not forget the fact this is nothing but opinion. Feel free to claim otherwise.

    @you obviously have an agenda against the show

    I’m not the one spouting fanboy nonsense claiming it to be fact. It’s hard to discuss ratings with someone who is displaying all the fanboy signs of denial.

    As said an endless amount of times, my opinions are based on the ratings of the show and nothing more.

  • The End

    @You’ll be looking like a fool, that much I can guarantee.

    I’ll look forward to it. It could be my first time being incorrect about a shows chances of survival on here, what an exciting prospect that would be, as I’ve been spot on with all my show death predictions here.

    Excuse the double post, I missed this part, as it was lost among the fanboy nonsense aimed at me.

  • donnie

    ABC just needs to cancel everything

  • Ted Craig

    @SJ

    “I think ABC will have a pretty great night.”

    They didn’t.

  • a p garcia

    Zero Hour is a zero, even Ashley Judd’s Missing was better. I don’t think that if ZH were on CW it would succeed.

  • Fred

    The heavily promoted Body of Proof premiered lower than I anticipated. Doesn’t look like it will see another season. I now need to make some amendments to my proposed ABC 2013/2014 schedule:

    SUN

    AFHV 7:00 ABC is making a fortune on this.
    OUAT – This expensive show needs higher ratings soon.
    SHIELD – Risky, but may work well with OUAT and help improve on REVENGE
    NASHVILLE 10:00 – Feels like a Sunday Night show to me.

    Lots of fans of the OUAT/SHIELD genre don’t care much for the NFL or AWARDS SHOWS. Yes TWD certainly is a factor, but ABC needs to be strong here and build up SUNDAY again. Counting on NASHVILLE to build a larger following here too.

    MON

    DWTS/BACHELOR 2 Hours
    NEW DRAMA- 10:00 Time for CASTLE to move and give a new drama a shot here.

    TUES

    DWTS/BACHELOR/THE TASTE- The lower rated TASTE only if ABC doesn’t want another BACHELOR night.
    CASTLE- ABC should give up on sitcoms here for a while.
    NEW DRAMA- 10:00 Allows CASTLE to provide a decent lead in for a change.

    WED

    MIDDLE
    SUBURGATORY
    MODERN FAMILY
    NEW SITCOM
    REVENGE – 10:00- Time to come back home.

    THURSDAY

    GREY’S- better than expensive drama experiments.
    SCANDAL- Will be helped by GREY’S and help a new 10:00 PM drama
    NEW DRAMA- 10:00-

    FRIDAY

    SHARK TANK- ENTIRE SEASON. Milk it for all that its worth.
    PRIMETIME/THE TASTE- Or another low cost show
    20/20- Caps off a lucrative night.

  • Nick

    @alvar

    I like the idea of moving Grey’s and Scandal forward on Thursdays, but that’s probably something ABC should test first before making permanent.

    I agree. But that could be as easy as Scandal having a 2-hr season finale & Grey’s having a special 8 pm finale.

    The only drama I could realistically see ABC moving is Scandal (based on its ratings surge this season) to improve weaker nights.

    They could move more than that. I think Nashville will move next season. Of course, this sched is just my opinion. I seriously doubt ABC will do anything close to it.

  • Sara

    Sunday…

    AFHV, OUAT, Revenge, Killer Woman

    Monday…
    DWTS\Bachelor, Nashville

    Tuesday…
    Last Man Standing, Spy, SHIELD, Castle

    Wednesday…

    The Middle,Suburgatory, Modern Family, Safe at Home, Doubt

    Thursday…

    DWTS results,Grey’s Anatomy, Scandal

    Friday…

    Shark Tank, Happy Endings( or Mixology if Happy Endings is canceled), Super Fun Night, 20/20

  • omabin

    I think BOP is in a fairly unique situation for ABC. Rumor has it (I don’t know where the source is, and it could be false, but I have seen it in multiple commentaries) that it won some sort of award in California that translates into a tax benefit that makes the show about 30% cheaper to produce than the other shows. Also, the show has been selling internationally. There was some British broadcast that bought like a month ago season 6 of castle and season 4 of bop, should they ever be made. I usually ignore these factors for the most part, but seeing how BoP was renewed last year despite of its ratings, I think we need to take them into account, because if they were true last year, they might be true next year too. The ratings probably can’t fall any further, but if they go back up when DWTS returns, I think there is a chance ABC sticks it to friday nights to get it to syndication.

  • MJDB

    My takes:

    America’s Funniest Home Videos-Certain Renewal
    Once Upon a Time-Certain Renewal
    Revenge-Likely Renewal
    Dancing With the Stars-Certain Renewal
    Castle-Likely Renewal
    Happy Endings-Certain Cancellation on ABC, TBS might pick it up and pair it with Cougar Town (not that I’m a fan of either of those shows)
    The Bachelor-Certain Renewal
    The Middle-Certain Renewal
    The Neighbors-On the Bubble
    Modern Family-Certain Renewal
    Suburgatory-Certain Renewal
    Nashville-Likely Renewal
    Zero Hour-Certain Cancellation
    Grey’s Anatomy-Certain Renewal based on ratings, On the Bubble due to contracts
    Scandal-Certain Renewal
    Last Man Standing-Likely Renewal
    Malibu Country-On the Bubble
    Shark Tank-Certain Renewal
    Primetime: What Would You Do?-Likely Renewal
    20/20-Certain Renewal

  • Ben

    Monday
    8:00-DWTS/The Bachelor/DWTS
    10:00-Castle

    Tuesday
    8:00-DWTS results/The Taste/DWTS
    9:00-NEW COMEDY (13 episodes)/Family Tools (12 episodes)
    9:30-Suburgatory (24 episodes)
    10:00-NEW DRAMA

    Wednesday
    8:00-The Middle
    8:30-The Neighbours
    9:30-Modern Family (24 episodes
    9:30-NEW COMEDY(13 episodes)/How To Live With Your Parents (12 episodes)
    10:00-Nashville

    Thursday
    8:00-Grey’s Anatomy
    9:00-NEW DRAMA
    10:00-Scandal

    Friday
    8:00-Last Man Standing
    8:30-Malibu Country
    9:00-Shark Tank
    10:00-20/20

    Sunday (no new episodes from last week of January to first week of March to avoid ratings drop during award season)
    8:00-Once Upon a Time
    9:00-NEW DRAMA
    10:00-Revenge

    Please give me your comments and suggestions about how I can improve this schedule.

  • LM

    @Ben I like the idea of no new episodes on Sundays. It seems like they almost do this in the fall anyway minus maybe one awards show week. I like to see it tried in the spring as well (could avoid Downton and some of The Walking Dead).

  • Fred

    @Ben

    Where do you want to place SHIELD?
    Not sure if you realize this, but ABC is counting on it as the next big show based on Marvel comics.

© 2014 Tribune Digital Ventures