When it comes to bubble status, like the Renew/Cancel Index we're focusing on the likelihood that a show will be renewed **for next season** (2013-14). Certain shows are toss-ups where based on the ratings, the renewal decisions could go either way and not be surprising.
Here, “canceled” is used interchangeably with “won’t be renewed for next season” and is not meant to imply a show will be yanked off the schedule in the current season though obviously the two outcomes are not mutually exclusive. The semantics police and lawyers should feel free to break out the handcuffs and plead their cases in the comments.
This Isn't The Renew/Cancel Index
Though the basic methodology is the same (intra-network relative ranking of shows by adults 18-49 ),unlike the Renew/Cancel Index which predicts what would happen if the season ended now, Bubble Watch prognosticates about what will happen by May. The two are still usually closely aligned, and almost certainly very closely aligned towards the end of the season.
I upgraded The Following back to likely renewal. I know some will complain that it should be a “certain renewal” and the rebound last week was a great sign for its prospects. If the season ended today, of course it would be renewed. But, The Following still has 9 out of its 15 episodes left to air. Know with certainty, that any commenters complaining it should be listed as a certain renewal right now are much more certain about its future prospects than I am!
Normally I hold shows on the bubble when they first premiere, but I moved Cult right to likely cancellation. I have no quarrel with anyone who suggests it should already be a certain cancellation, I’m just giving that another week or two.
Beauty And The Beast Downgraded
I’d been tempted to downgrade Beauty And The Beast for a while. While it had been out-performing it’s “on the bubble peers” similar to last year’s The Secret Circle, I didn’t like Beauty And The Beast’s position relative to the other shows on the bubble due to the fact that it has the best lead-in (The Vampire Diaries) that the CW has to offer. With Beauty And The Beast pulling a 0.5 adults 18-49 rating on Thursday out of the 1.3 adults 18-49 rating The Vampire Diaries drew, even I’m a Retentionista!
NBC
Barring big changes to the ratings, I’m unlikely to move the NBC shows around much before The Voice and Revolution return. The comedies were in a range of 0.9-1.4. And sure, a 1.4 is 56% better than a 0.9, it’s still in a range where (in your best Billy Preston voices) you can sing “56% better than nothing is nothing.”
I still haven’t downgraded either Smash or Deception to certain cancellation, but you can chalk that up to inertia and/or apathy. And sure, Deception outperformed Smash by 33% last week (“33% better than nothing is nothing!”) but Deception had the much better lead-in than Smash. Smash kept 100% of its lead-in, but in this case that isn’t good news.
It might irk Zero Hour fans that last week I moved it immediately to certain cancellation, but this week with similarly woeful ratings I have Body Of Proof on the bubble. But for now, there’s no history of listing Zero Hour as a likely or certain cancellation pretty much all season only to be proved wrong as is the case with Body Of Proof. View at as a one week sign of respect.
Note: only scripted shows that have aired at least one episode this season are in the table below.
| Show | Network | Status |
| 666 Park Avenue | ABC | Canceled |
| Don't Trust The B---- in Apartment 23 | ABC | Canceled |
| Last Resort | ABC | Canceled |
| Made In Jersey | CBS | Canceled |
| Partners | CBS | Canceled |
| Emily Owens, M.D. | CW | Canceled |
| Ben And Kate | Fox | Canceled |
| The Mob Doctor | Fox | Canceled |
| Animal Practice | NBC | Canceled |
| Do No Harm | NBC | Canceled |
| tvbythenumbers.com | ||
| Zero Hour | ABC | Certain Cancellation |
| 1600 Penn | NBC | Certain Cancellation |
| Guys With Kids | NBC | Certain Cancellation |
| Up All Night | NBC | Perhaps already cancelled |
| tvbythenumbers.com | ||
| Happy Endings | ABC | Likely Cancellation |
| CSI: NY | CBS | Likely Cancellation |
| Vegas | CBS | Likely Cancellation |
| 90210 | CW | Likely Cancellation |
| Beauty and the Beast | CW | Likely Cancellation |
| Cult | CW | Likely Cancellation |
| Cleveland Show, The | Fox | Likely Cancellation |
| Touch | Fox | Likely Cancellation |
| Deception | NBC | Likely Cancellation |
| The New Normal | NBC | Likely Cancellation |
| Smash | NBC | Likely Cancellation |
| tvbythenumbers.com | ||
| Body Of Proof | ABC | On The Bubble |
| Last Man Standing | ABC | On The Bubble |
| Malibu Country | ABC | On The Bubble |
| Good Wife, The | CBS | On The Bubble |
| Mentalist, The | CBS | On The Bubble |
| Rules of Engagement | CBS | On The Bubble |
| Carrie Diaries, The | CW | On The Bubble |
| Hart Of Dixie | CW | On The Bubble |
| Community | NBC | On The Bubble |
| Go On | NBC | On The Bubble |
| Whitney | NBC | On The Bubble |
| tvbythenumbers.com | ||
| Castle | ABC | Likely Renewal |
| Neighbors, The | ABC | Likely Renewal |
| Revenge | ABC | Likely Renewal |
| Suburgatory | ABC | Likely Renewal |
| Elementary | CBS | Likely Renewal |
| Hawaii Five-0 | CBS | Likely Renewal |
| Nikita | CW | Likely Renewal |
| Following, The | Fox | Likely Renewal |
| Mindy Project, The | Fox | Likely Renewal |
| Law & Order: SVU | NBC | Likely Renewal |
| Parks & Recreation | NBC | Likely Renewal |
| tvbythenumbers.com | ||
| Grey's Anatomy | ABC | Certain Renewal |
| Middle, The | ABC | Certain Renewal |
| Modern Family | ABC | Certain Renewal |
| Nashville | ABC | Certain Renewal |
| Once Upon A Time | ABC | Certain Renewal |
| Scandal | ABC | Certain Renewal |
| 2 Broke Girls | CBS | Certain Renewal |
| Blue Bloods | CBS | Certain Renewal |
| Criminal Minds | CBS | Certain Renewal |
| CSI | CBS | Certain Renewal |
| Mike & Molly | CBS | Certain Renewal |
| NCIS: Los Angeles | CBS | Certain Renewal |
| Person Of Interest | CBS | Certain Renewal |
| Two and a Half Men | CBS | Certain Renewal |
| Glee | Fox | Certain Renewal |
| New Girl | Fox | Certain Renewal |
| Raising Hope | Fox | Certain Renewal |
| Chicago Fire | NBC | Certain Renewal |
| Grimm | NBC | Certain Renewal |
| Parenthood | NBC | Certain Renewal |
| Revolution | NBC | Certain Renewal |
| tvbythenumbers.com | ||
| Big Bang Theory, The | CBS | Renewed |
| How I Met Your Mother | CBS | Renewed |
| NCIS | CBS | Renewed |
| Arrow | CW | Renewed |
| Supernatural | CW | Renewed |
| Vampire Diaries, The | CW | Renewed |
| American Dad | Fox | Renewed |
| Bob's Burgers | Fox | Renewed |
| Bones | Fox | Renewed |
| Family Guy | Fox | Renewed |
| The Simpsons | Fox | Renewed |
| tvbythenumbers.com | ||
| Private Practice | ABC | Final SeasonFinished |
| Gossip Girl | CW | Final SeasonFinished |
| Fringe | Fox | Final SeasonFinished |
| 30 Rock | NBC | Final Season Finished |
| The Office | NBC | Final Season |
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I think Cult,CD,BataB are gone.CD got a 0.4 and the only show to be renewed with those numbers is Nikita in its second seaso for syndication supposedly ..Dealine has CD,Nikita as toss ups and Beauty as “hopeful” which made me laugh cause its ratings/retention are bad even though I like it.With three 0.5s I doubt Beauty is doing well enough to be renewed for Fri.
Many shows live or lived thx to their lead in, just look at Go on and TNN they bombed or HE,Touch,Smash ecc.
@Nikki
Okay we get it. You’re a bitter Circle fan who wants to see Beauty in a pitchfork, I get it. Patience is a virtue and I’m pretty sure you’ll get what you desire.
Sheesh maybe then you’ll tone down a bit.
the new normal will make society view gay people in a positive sense.it is a show that can change the world for gay people.it is the only good gay show after queer as folk.it is unfortunate that the new normal is getting low ratings.
So basically you are saying the bubble race is between HOD and TCD? WOW
Oh well is not the end of the season, all I can say is the BATB is having a lot of new fans and its growing, many CW low ratings show stay on air not only because of the ratings there are other factors involved, ala Nikita, and please stop comparing to TSC that was another story!!!
We beasties are not only hoping for this show to get renewed, we are working hard even against all the people that dont even watch the show and for some reason hate on it. Its BEYOND ridiculous! Lets wait until it comes back from the hiatus, one thing tho if they renew wherever schedule they put this show on, most of the beasties will follow, since most of us are not even TVD or CW viewers, we are only there for that show.
if the carrie diaries gets renewed for second season it is possible that they might bring samantha,miranda and charlotte (in the lines of ‘summer in the city novel by candace bushnell’.that will be so much better!!!!…
Beaty and the Beast really? it has better ratings then Carrie Diaries and Hart Of Dixie so why ?
@Bill/Robert
Out of curiosity, do you guys watch any broadcast shows? Particularly, do you watch any CW show?
Beauty And The Beast is the best show of all time, has to be renewed. A series full of adventure, romance and action that deserves another season!
TCD had last week 0.4, previous week 0.5, how can it be on the bubble, and Beauty and the Beast that gain last week 0.6 can be likely to be cancel????
I love the show but they should of just moved Beauty to fridays to give it a test run. It kind of fits better with Nikita and then we could finally see if the show will hold up to a .5 or go under. I’m not shocked about Cult doing bad but to be honest, this week was terrible for the CW except for TVD and Supernatural. So if Beauty keeps getting .5′s or goes lower which is a possibility since its about to go on a two week hiatus or it may go up again like last time, then I think the show will get cancelled but their is still hope for all of the CW shows since they probably won’t announce the last bit of renewals till May. But Nikita and Hart are a likely renewal and I think that next season both shows will switch places with Nikita being on the bubble or likely cancellation and Hart being likely renewal.
I love beauty and the Beast e I believe in a second season
Maybe 90210 could be paired with the summer premiere of ANTM. Could be a good pair. ANTM did fairly well if I remember correctly. At least good enough for another season. And 90210 can’t sink further with last Monday’s ratings.
How fun would it be if the Superbowl would be on the CW next year. The Superbowl didn’t had that much of an impact on their schedule so why not give it to their little sis The CW. I know that it’s never gonna happen. But I like the thought.
Can, with backing from the tax credit, CBS-Studios give away Body Of Proof to CBS for free, or would that violate any laws of fair competition?
Beauty and the Beast is probably the only show on the CW that appeals to a wide range of viewers of all ages. It has a dedicated International Fan Base but, sadly, their opinions and support don’t seem to be important. USA viewers get to decide which shows the rest of us have access to. Well, if Beauty and the Beast does get cancelled, this Beastie will not watch any other show produced by the CW!
@danielcw
BOP is an ABC studios production, and it airs on ABC. I don’t think CBS has the rights to give it away.
The retention argument is total crap. It always has been. What makes anyone think that a show after TVD would retain TVD fans when they have a huge online fan base that would like to discuss a new episode after it has aired? The shows are dissimilar. They are different stories. They have different motivations, different draws, etc. And why was BatB the only show even downgraded from .6 to .5 this week after the half hour? That’s total garbage. They went to watch 1600 Penn on NBC with a lower rating than the Parks and Recs? Yeah, suuure… While TCD still remains OTB. Please, get over the Schwartz fixation.
Everybody keeps talking about the so call lead-in, well let me tell you that I don’t tune in for the TVD, I only like B&B, it’s the only CW show that I watch. Most of Beauty and beast fans don’t watch TVD either. It would be a great idea if they changed the day/time, B&B is on a tough timeslot. Even without the TVD as a lead-in, all those people would watch B&B anyway and maybe even more.
Renew Beauty and the former underwear model!Their chemistry is AMAZING
I’m a big fan of Nashville & even I’m surprised to see certain renewal. I’d have it at likely renewal since their numbers are so soft. I’d also downgrade MC, Go On & Whitney to llikely cancellation & Touch, Smash & TNN to certain cancellation.