ABC: 'Body Of Proof' Is Likely To Be Canceled, But It Has Escaped The Bear Once Before

Categories: Cancel/Renew ABC Shows,Cancel/Renew Index

Written By

February 26th, 2013

Click this link for the latest ABC renewal / cancellation information:


Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts the network's decision on renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2012-13 season in May, 2013. (includes results from December 31, 2012- February 24, 2013):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Don't Trust The B in Apt 23* canceled 0.50
Last Resort* canceled 0.57
Happy Endings :oops: 0.59
Body Of Proof :cry: :cry: 0.59
Malibu Country (F) :| :| :| 0.61
Zero Hour :oops: (canceled 3/1) 0.62
Private Practice* canceled 0.63
666 Park Avenue* canceled 0.68
Last Man Standing (F) :| :| :| 0.69
The Neighbors :) :) :) :) 0.91
Revenge :) :) :) :) 0.92
Nashville :) :) :) :) 0.96
Castle :) :) :) :) 0.99
Suburgatory :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.06
The Middle :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.13
Once Upon A Time :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.28
Scandal :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.35
Grey's Anatomy :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.49
Modern Family :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 2.04

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3/1 Update: Zero Hour has been officially canceled. Only the timing was any surprise at all.
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The Cancellation Bear considers the prediction of certain cancellation for Body Of Proof to be his biggest miss of last season*.

Why did it happen? Even in hindsight, the bear's not certain. Was it the three episode ratings recovery at the end of the show's Spring run? Was it the California production tax credit? Nobody who really knows is talking to the bear.

But once burned on a show, the bear's twice shy. Otherwise, the 1.2 adults 18-49 premiere rating last week for Body Of Proof would have it predicted as certain to be canceled.

Instead, for now, the bear will make it only likely to be canceled. Stay tuned as the bear keeps his eye on the salmon, er show.

*While the bear piled up 3 misses on CW shows last season, they were all toss-up shows that were noted close calls and the bear's final guesses all went the wrong way. Robert leaned the other way on two of them and only missed one CW prediction.

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. This season you can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.

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*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

From now through the end of the broadcast season in May, the Renew/Cancel Index values will only be calculated using new episodes airing during 2013. However, until new episodes of a show air in 2013, the "old" Fall predictions will carry over.

Want to know what the ABC Renew/Cancel Index table looked like at the end of the Fall season? Click here.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2013
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2013
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2013
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2013
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2013

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from past television seasons.

 
  • Just Desserts

    Go The Neighbors!!! :)

  • Tom

    The Bear thinks BoP was a bigger miss than Fringe? (Admittedly, we knew about Fringe before the end of the season.)

    BoP certainly isn’t looking healthy, but I think it has a chance of renewal for the same reason it had last year – ABC wants an existing procedural they can quickly plug in if a Fall serial implodes out of the gate.

    So Castle’s scheduling is the critical issue here. If ABC holds Castle for spackle, then BoP is stone cold dead. If Castle gets a Fall slot, then if BoP doesn’t drop too much more it is likely to return.

  • Dan S

    I personally would downgrade MC to likely cancelled despite being a Friday show. LMS on the other hand will more than likely return next season. The other designations are spot on.

  • Clarke

    Glad the Neighbors is staying at likely renewal. I believe the show will be put on friday next season, probably replacing Malibu Country. The show is family-friendly, quirky and feels like a 90′s TGIF kind of show. I think it could thrive on Friday’s as it already has a small, yet loyal fan base.

  • rob60990

    Keep running Dana. ;)

  • http://tvbythenumbers.com Bill Gorman

    “The Bear thinks BoP was a bigger miss than Fringe? (Admittedly, we knew about Fringe before the end of the season.)”

    Than Fringe LAST season? Absolutely. I had Fringe no lower than a “toss up” the entire season until it was renewed. Perhaps you were thinking of Robert’s prediction.

    The PRIOR season Fringe was a big miss, perhaps the biggest of that season, but my memory grows foggy (as a self defense mechanism).

    “I personally would downgrade MC to likely cancelled despite being a Friday show. LMS on the other hand will more than likely return next season.”

    Were it not for BoP, I’d have done that this week, but I like to space things out.

  • Al

    ABC should cast Dana Delany in another show and canceled BoP.

  • Just Desserts

    @Al

    Maybe she should join Grey’s Anatomy together with Kate Walsh.

  • Kyle

    There’s still a chance for Body of Proof to recover once DWTS returns.

  • Al

    @Just Desserts

    Maybe in vixen role on new soap pilots like Venise or Gothica? And also on Nashville if series will gets second season.

  • Quadrey

    ABC said Body of Proof. Will be here all season

  • STEVEN

    i love body of proof so good and i love the switch up of the cast !! way better

  • Terry

    I like that BofP added the guy from Human Target. I really liked Human Target and was sorry to see it go.

  • Just Desserts

    @Clarke

    Frankly, I don’t get why everyone’s insisting The Neighbors should go to Friday when it’s currently working in its current time.

    I mean, it’s just a stone’s throw away from both The Middle and Suburgatory’s ratings so moving it may not work.

    And if both Last Man Standing and Malibu Country get renewed, then what happens?

  • Stephen Judson

    If BOP is around when Dancing returns, it has a chance. Then again last rating I saw of Dancing, they were pulling in a 2.4

  • THE OLD MAN

    Dana on GA, the soap for has beens–I like it!

  • TVDude

    I would just go on ahead and cancel The Neighbors. It’ll never do any better than Cougar Town or Happy Endings when moved outside of the post-Modern Family timeslot, so why waste time?

  • TVDude

    ^Sorry, pre-Modern Family, not post.

  • rob60990

    “Frankly, I don’t get why everyone’s insisting The Neighbors should go to Friday when it’s currently working in its current time.”

    Because it isn’t working in that timeslot. It’s underperforming and ABC can do better than below a 2.0 in between The Middle & Modern Family.

  • Thilia

    BOP was only brought back because it has been incredibly popular overseas. I believe that was mentioned in their renewal decision. I also wouldn’t expect Malibu Country and Last Man Standing to go anywhere at this point. They’ll likely get a fall 13 episodes when ABC tries to branch our more on their TGIF.

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