CBS: 'Vegas' Is Certain To Be Canceled No Matter What Happens With 'Golden Boy'

Categories: Cancel/Renew CBS Shows,Cancel/Renew Index

Written By

February 26th, 2013

Click this link for the latest CBS renewal / cancellation information:


Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts the network's decision on renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2012-13 season in May, 2013. (includes results from December 31, 2012- February 24, 2013):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Made In Jersey (F)* canceled 0.36
CSI:NY (F)* :cry: :cry: 0.50
Blue Bloods (F) :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 0.51
Vegas :oops: 0.57
The Good Wife :| :| :| 0.57
The Mentalist :| :| :| 0.68
Hawaii Five-0 :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 0.78
Partners* canceled 0.79
CSI :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 0.81
Elementary :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 0.83
Criminal Minds :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.00
NCIS: Los Angeles :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.03
Rules of Engagement :| :| :| 1.03
Person Of Interest :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.11
Mike & Molly :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.14
How I Met Your Mother renewed 1.28
NCIS renewed 1.30
2 Broke Girls :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.31
Two and a Half Men** :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.43
The Big Bang Theory renewed 2.07

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With the premiere tonight of CBS' freshman drama Golden Boy, it seems well timed to take a closer look at the hopeful comments in the vein of "If Golden Boy fails, X will be saved".

Let's review the CBS drama situation, again, for the 473rd time.

  • CBS has premiered three new dramas each of the last seven Fall's.
  • Assuming CBS keeps the same number of drama hours next Fall, they'll need to cancel three of their Spring dramas to make room (ignore the already dead Made In Jersey, it is irrelevant). Currently, I am predicting those three canceled shows will be Vegas (certainly), CSI:NY (likely), and one of The Good Wife, The Mentalist or Golden Boy.
While the most common hypotheticals lean towards bad news for more dramas:
  • You think CBS will expand their sitcom time by an hour? Cancel another Spring drama.
  • You think CBS might air Undercover Boss at 8pm Friday next Fall? Cancel another Spring drama.
  • You think CBS will time share their dramas in partial seasons? Increase their drama time on Sunday-Friday? Or air new dramas on Saturday? Check your medication.

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. This season you can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.
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*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

** The Renew/Cancel Index does not attempt to predict shows ending because the cast or production company chooses to end them. These shows have the ratings for renewal, but rumored cast/production company moves may end the shows.

From now through the end of the broadcast season in May, the Renew/Cancel Index values will only be calculated using new episodes airing during 2013. However, until new episodes of a show air in 2013, I will keep the "old"  Fall predictions in the table.

Want to know what the CBS Renew/Cancel Index table looked like at the end of the Fall season? Click here.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2013
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2013
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2013
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2013
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2013

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from past television seasons.

 
  • Mon

    It’s time to downgrade Vegas. The audience is just not finding it. Unforgatabble was “cancelled” with higher ratings.

  • Just Desserts

    Why is Rules of Engagement still on the bubble? If Friend Me never airs then CBS still got an extra slot, do they?

  • Ultima

    @Just Desserts
    Why is Rules of Engagement still on the bubble?

    If CBS doesn’t expand their comedy time, there is no room for Rules of Engagement on the fall schedule.

  • Dan S

    @ Mon, how can Vegas be downgraded from 1 frowny face ?
    I feel the end of the road has been reached for TGW & will likely be cancelled. I think TM on the other hand can hang on a bit longer, maybe moving to Fridays

  • Just Desserts

    Out if the three at risk, The Good Wife will be renewed and get a rightfully deserved final season otherwise CBS will unleash the “Curse of Ugly Betty” (shudders :( )

    @Ultima

    They could always premiere Rules in the spring like they did this year, could they?

  • Tom

    Given how the season’s gone, I wouldn’t bet against UB a)being renewed, and b)22 episodes ordered.

    As to which dramas get the axe, I suspect Vegas is knocked off, NY becomes a missing person (apparently the season finale was a cliffhanger? Bad form NY), Good Wife gets remanded to 10pm Fridays, and The Mentalist… stays where it is. I also assume Golden Boy is dead.

  • Tom

    Yes, CBS could do another 13 episode order of Rules for spackle, but
    1) It’s only half owned by CBS.
    2) It’s already in domestic syndication, so Sony’s half has no reason to produce it at a loss.
    3) It’s getting old and salaries are probably escalating past the point where you only want to use it as emergency spackle.

  • Max Vrany

    @Just Desserts, CBS only renewed it in the past for syndication episodes. Now that Rules is in syndication, they have less of a reason to keep it. That’s not to say they won’t renew it for midseason, it’s just less likely now than it was in the past.

  • Just Desserts

    @Everyone

    How I Met Your Mother is definitely ending next year, that frees up a slot, so I think that may have an impact.

  • fringewillget5seasons

    Vegas just never found an audience after the NCIS twins – doubt Golden Boy will either. Both should be gone.

    NY might stick around depending on what CBS plans for Fridays – nothing else does well there but even then, NY dipped. TGW tanks every show after it. Impossible to fit into a lineup without sacrificing ratings. Should be cancelled.

  • Reven8ger

    Rules of Engagement shouldn’t be on the bubble. CBS will renew the show because they always use it as a way to replace shows who are doing awful ratings (like Partners this year). I don’t see why the show should be canceled.

  • Ultima

    @Just Desserts
    They could always premiere Rules in the spring like they did this year, could they?

    Sure. However, for that to happen it has to be worthwhile financially for CBS and Sony and CBS actually has to have a need for it (if they have several good pilots, they won’t need it). Therefore, it’s likely to be a toss-up/bubble show for the entire season.

  • Mon

    @Dan S
    TVBTN has just downgraded Vegas so I said it’s (about) time ( = that I agree with their decision to downgrade it). Last week Vegas had 2 sad faces.

    @ Tom
    CSI: NY DID NOT end on a cliffhanger.

  • Anna Bones Clarkwood

    Tom, CSINY finale was NO cliffhanger. True, we don’t know what happened to them 10, 20, 50 yrs later & they can easily just keep on making new episodes but there was nothing that felt like a cliffhanger about it. Not every person/relationship story line was wrapped up, but it very well felt like we all could use our imaginations/minds to wrap most of them up very well. In fact, last years finale was way more a cliffhanger than this year was and even that I felt was a good enough series finale. This year, I honestly felt like I was watching a series finale, it just had that type of feel to it. Unlike CSI Miami which I need to rewatch b/c my mind is completely confused as to how things were left for the whole team. CSI Miami finale def felt like a cliffhaner to me.

  • Petar Ivanov

    POI rocks. Best scripted and acted crime drama lock for #2 CBS drama for the season and may beat rules and m and m which is huge for second season drama.

  • Dorothy

    CBS is nuts to cancel Vegas. Best new show this year….who runs this network anyway?!

  • Holly

    @Dorothy,

    who runs this network anyway?!

    People who want to make money.

  • THE OLD MAN

    It’s been awhile since I was told to check my meds but as always, I must say I like that scenerio

    However, I’ll play the wait & see game & hope the suspense doesn’t do me in

    Off to take my meds

  • Shepherd

    There’s no WAY VEGAS gets CANCELED!!! DQuaid is going to send a tweet to his 1.4 Billion followers this week, FINALLY alerting them to his presence on broadcast television and Vegas is going to pull +5.0s for the REST of the season!

    WooHoo!! My show’s so AWESOME, the laws of physics don’t even apply!! LOL

  • Michael1

    Here are a couple of ideas that other networks have tried in the past. Begin programming at 7:30 pm instead of 8 pm. Air 3 40-minute episodes in a 2-hour time frame. Have Snickers sponsor the episode, and then air it commercial free, like FOX did with 24.

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