CBS: 'Vegas' Is Certain To Be Canceled No Matter What Happens With 'Golden Boy'

Categories: Cancel/Renew CBS Shows,Cancel/Renew Index

Written By

February 26th, 2013

Click this link for the latest CBS renewal / cancellation information:


Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts the network's decision on renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2012-13 season in May, 2013. (includes results from December 31, 2012- February 24, 2013):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Made In Jersey (F)* canceled 0.36
CSI:NY (F)* :cry: :cry: 0.50
Blue Bloods (F) :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 0.51
Vegas :oops: 0.57
The Good Wife :| :| :| 0.57
The Mentalist :| :| :| 0.68
Hawaii Five-0 :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 0.78
Partners* canceled 0.79
CSI :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 0.81
Elementary :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 0.83
Criminal Minds :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.00
NCIS: Los Angeles :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.03
Rules of Engagement :| :| :| 1.03
Person Of Interest :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.11
Mike & Molly :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.14
How I Met Your Mother renewed 1.28
NCIS renewed 1.30
2 Broke Girls :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.31
Two and a Half Men** :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.43
The Big Bang Theory renewed 2.07

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With the premiere tonight of CBS' freshman drama Golden Boy, it seems well timed to take a closer look at the hopeful comments in the vein of "If Golden Boy fails, X will be saved".

Let's review the CBS drama situation, again, for the 473rd time.

  • CBS has premiered three new dramas each of the last seven Fall's.
  • Assuming CBS keeps the same number of drama hours next Fall, they'll need to cancel three of their Spring dramas to make room (ignore the already dead Made In Jersey, it is irrelevant). Currently, I am predicting those three canceled shows will be Vegas (certainly), CSI:NY (likely), and one of The Good Wife, The Mentalist or Golden Boy.
While the most common hypotheticals lean towards bad news for more dramas:
  • You think CBS will expand their sitcom time by an hour? Cancel another Spring drama.
  • You think CBS might air Undercover Boss at 8pm Friday next Fall? Cancel another Spring drama.
  • You think CBS will time share their dramas in partial seasons? Increase their drama time on Sunday-Friday? Or air new dramas on Saturday? Check your medication.

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. This season you can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.
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*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

** The Renew/Cancel Index does not attempt to predict shows ending because the cast or production company chooses to end them. These shows have the ratings for renewal, but rumored cast/production company moves may end the shows.

From now through the end of the broadcast season in May, the Renew/Cancel Index values will only be calculated using new episodes airing during 2013. However, until new episodes of a show air in 2013, I will keep the "old"  Fall predictions in the table.

Want to know what the CBS Renew/Cancel Index table looked like at the end of the Fall season? Click here.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2013
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2013
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2013
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2013
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2013

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from past television seasons.

 
  • alvar

    RENEW The Good Wife and The Mentalist and move them to 10pm or Friday timeslots.
    CANCEL CSI:NY and Vegas.
    MOVE Person of Interest or Elementary to Sunday 9pm

  • Nick

    What CBS should do for 2013-2014:

    Mon-
    8: How I Met Your Mother (full final season)
    8:30: Two and a Half Men
    9: 2 Broke Girls
    9:30: Super Clyde (new)
    10: Beverly Hills Cop (new)

    Tue-
    8: NCIS
    9: Untitled NCIS: LA spinoff (new)
    10: NCIS: Los Angeles

    Wed-
    8: Survivor
    9: Criminal Minds
    10: CSI

    Thu-
    8: The Big Bang Theory
    8:30: Mom (new)
    9: Person of Interest
    10: Intelligence (new)

    Fri-
    8: Undercover Boss
    9: Crazy Ones (new)
    9:30: Mike & Molly
    10: Blue Bloods

    Sat-
    8: Beverly Hills Cop (R)
    9: The Mentalist (R)
    10: 48 Hours Mystery

    Sun-
    7: 60 Minutes
    8: The Amazing Race
    9: The Mentalist
    10: Hawaii Five-0

  • John

    I don’t understand how and why CBS hack some shows? For instance, “The Good Wife”, might be better if it was left in one time slot. It’s been switched 3 times, I can’t keep up with the changes, and I don’t understand why it was switched. “Vegas”, the comments are right, DQuaid was doing a great job, never gave the audience a chance. The head of CBS rather waste quality time on afternoon talk shows…

  • Mark

    I watch and like vegas. Too many stupid not so funny comedies hangin on by what people.

  • Holly

    @John,

    For instance, “The Good Wife”, might be better if it was left in one time slot. It’s been switched 3 times, I can’t keep up with the changes, and I don’t understand why it was switched.

    The Good Wife has only been moved once.

  • Michael

    The dumbest thing you can do is cancel those shows!

  • Court

    I csiny come back

  • Hugh

    Vegas is half a great show. Quaid is unbelievable & annoying, and the procedural are boring. But the mafia casino stories and Chiklis are great. I hope a cable network picks it up for 13 eps, reduces the procedural a and ups the serialisation.

  • martinesque

    @alvar ~ “MOVE Person of Interest or Elementary to Sunday 9pm”

    Um, yeah…there’s no way they’re going to move PoI from Thursday. Have you seen the numbers? That show is doing really well in its Thursday slot. Not bad at all, even considering their competition. Elementary might be able to work on a Sunday, but still, I don’t see what’s wrong with it remaining on Thursday night in that same slot.

  • Allan

    Why are they canceling Vegas? It’s my favorite show. Damn, every time I get into one of these, they cancel it. Who gives a damn about golden boy. Stupid show.
    Grrrrrrrr.
    I’m getting very tired of these people canceling great shows. No wonder I’m renewing my cable

  • Darren

    CBS should NOT cancel Vegas. It is a really good show. Will be really bummed if it is cancelled.

  • F cooke

    Vegas should not be cancelled. This is one of the best new shows. On CBS this year. I hope that CBS will reconsider their decision and give Vegas a chance

  • Professor Emeritus P. Bagnolo

    VEGAS IS CANCELLED? That show is excellently so close to the reality of the town in the 1960’s. It is one of the few and best representations of what went on there in that era. I am sick of CBS incompetence we are through watching any of their shows. We will stick with PBS.

  • del

    I have to add by 2 cents worth (oh sorry, old timer here ….add my $ 3.75 )
    I highly suspect the intelligent executives of a multi-billion dollar network will use more than a single 18-49 statistic to determine the fate of their multi-million dollar revenue generating productions. To draw & hold 10+ million viewers of any age demographic in a premier season is a success. (NCIS’s first year was 11.84 million viwers) So, by offering a varied portfolio of shows, it will allow the network to expand their advertsing potential to a larger client base.(For example Bud-Light or Frito Chips is a perfect fit for Monday Night Football. Revlon or Le Chatteau for Glee. Froot Loops or Lego Toys for Saturday Morning Cartoons. Oil of Olay, Dr.Pepper or Ensure for Vegas) They can then move the show to a timeslight which best matches their audience (Friday nights I gather for geezers) To write the show off when Arrow was renewed by CW with only 3.5 million viewers is absurd….correct me if I’m wrong but a 3.0 rating (18-49) of 3.5 million is the same as 1.5 of 10 million.

  • Ed

    Vegas is awesome show… Best show since dallas…. Im so pissed that we lost so many episodes because of obama! They need to change times hat show was on! I have not watches a series show in 20 years and watched the piltband was hooked!

  • Ding

    The only thing that’ll rate well after two NCIS shows is LL Cool J walking around in one of his too tight long sleeve tshirts for an hour OR another NCIS.

    CBS could afford Vegas at 10pm it they just cut the fake bullet budget on NCIS LA by 50,000 bullets per show. The US Army fired fewer shots in Iraq than NCIS LA fires each week :)

  • DW

    TGW ended on the last week of April last year. remember may. you have the amazing race final that’s going to be 2 hrs. the next week survivor final that’s three hrs. then you have memorial day. there is nothing to say these shows ending early means that they are being cancelled.

  • Teadrinker1

    Gen Mentalist off the worst spot of the week (Sunday 10pm) and it will be back up in ratings. Who’s running that place, anyway?

  • spycomics

    @holly
    What millions of dollars is CBS throwing away? The potential ones? that might be made? if they can come up with a higher rated show in that time slot?? Where’s the show? Still on the shelf? Maybe next year? Since I’m not an industry insider like some of you geniuses must be, What I’d like to know is where/ at what level does lower total audience but better demo off set higher total audience with lower demo? If its all about the money, then does a 2.1 with 7 million viewers total bring in more $$ than a 1.4 with 10 million viewers, and if so how much more? I know it varies by day/time slot. A good general answer, if you’ve got one, would be nice. Also, just to be clear, its not like I’ve never had a show I like cancelled. I just don’t happen to agree with you on Vegas. If it happens, I’ll concede and shut up.

  • Paul

    I like Vegas much mre than Elementary!!! If Vegas was on another network it would be renewed at it’ current ratings. It always garners better
    18-49 & total viewers than Nashville or Chicago Fire – both will porbably be renewed – although Nashville has really been fallin.

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