CBS: 'Vegas' Is Certain To Be Canceled No Matter What Happens With 'Golden Boy'

Categories: Cancel/Renew CBS Shows,Cancel/Renew Index

Written By

February 26th, 2013

Click this link for the latest CBS renewal / cancellation information:


Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts the network's decision on renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2012-13 season in May, 2013. (includes results from December 31, 2012- February 24, 2013):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Made In Jersey (F)* canceled 0.36
CSI:NY (F)* :cry: :cry: 0.50
Blue Bloods (F) :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 0.51
Vegas :oops: 0.57
The Good Wife :| :| :| 0.57
The Mentalist :| :| :| 0.68
Hawaii Five-0 :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 0.78
Partners* canceled 0.79
CSI :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 0.81
Elementary :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 0.83
Criminal Minds :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.00
NCIS: Los Angeles :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.03
Rules of Engagement :| :| :| 1.03
Person Of Interest :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.11
Mike & Molly :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.14
How I Met Your Mother renewed 1.28
NCIS renewed 1.30
2 Broke Girls :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.31
Two and a Half Men** :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.43
The Big Bang Theory renewed 2.07

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With the premiere tonight of CBS' freshman drama Golden Boy, it seems well timed to take a closer look at the hopeful comments in the vein of "If Golden Boy fails, X will be saved".

Let's review the CBS drama situation, again, for the 473rd time.

  • CBS has premiered three new dramas each of the last seven Fall's.
  • Assuming CBS keeps the same number of drama hours next Fall, they'll need to cancel three of their Spring dramas to make room (ignore the already dead Made In Jersey, it is irrelevant). Currently, I am predicting those three canceled shows will be Vegas (certainly), CSI:NY (likely), and one of The Good Wife, The Mentalist or Golden Boy.
While the most common hypotheticals lean towards bad news for more dramas:
  • You think CBS will expand their sitcom time by an hour? Cancel another Spring drama.
  • You think CBS might air Undercover Boss at 8pm Friday next Fall? Cancel another Spring drama.
  • You think CBS will time share their dramas in partial seasons? Increase their drama time on Sunday-Friday? Or air new dramas on Saturday? Check your medication.

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. This season you can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.
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*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

** The Renew/Cancel Index does not attempt to predict shows ending because the cast or production company chooses to end them. These shows have the ratings for renewal, but rumored cast/production company moves may end the shows.

From now through the end of the broadcast season in May, the Renew/Cancel Index values will only be calculated using new episodes airing during 2013. However, until new episodes of a show air in 2013, I will keep the "old"  Fall predictions in the table.

Want to know what the CBS Renew/Cancel Index table looked like at the end of the Fall season? Click here.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2013
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2013
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2013
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2013
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2013

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from past television seasons.

 
  • Darin

    Why are you cancelling VEGAS. One of the few shows I watch on this network. Why can’t you leave a show on that people like. UGH.Guess I won’t be watching CBS anymore if you do cancel this show. Really like Vegas, along with the characters.

  • Holly

    Where is this linked that we’re getting all these Vegas comments?

  • patty

    Vegas is one of my favorite shows. Yes, I think it appeals to the older viewers. I grew up in the 60’s and can relate to the show. I hope it does not get cancelled!

  • http://tvbythenumbers.com Bill Gorman

    “Where is this linked that we’re getting all these Vegas comments?”

    Heavier than usual search traffic tonight as Vegas viewers tune to CBS and find Golden Boy on instead and wonder what happened to their show. Lots of “is Vegas canceled” type searches, for which we are, by design, all of the first several links.

    Looking now if there are any particularly heavy direct links. There aren’t any particularly big direct Vegas related links to the best of my ability to see.

    We’ve got a pretty big Twitter spike today vs. yesterday, but that’s pretty typical on a Tuesday, and I have no indication it’s particularly Vegas related.

  • Holly

    @Bill,

    Not related to this, but in case you didn’t see it, I had a question for you in the CW renewal/cancel thread.

  • http://tvbythenumbers.com Bill Gorman

    “@Bill,

    Not related to this, but in case you didn’t see it, I had a question for you in the CW renewal/cancel thread.”

    I did just answer it, likely unsatisfactorily.

    FWIW, if you want me to see a comment put the text “Bill Gorman” in it. That’s the bookmarked search I use.

  • Holly

    Good to know.

  • AppleStinx

    I’m going to bookmark this page for future reference.

  • Chelsea

    Meanwhile … VEGAS gets the axe while the thoroughly tasteless The Big Bang Theory, Mike & Molly, Two Broke Girls, and Two and a Half Men get renewed? I see.

  • Just Desserts

    @federo

    To clarify the “Ugly Betty Curse” is when a multi-awarded and critically acclaimed show post-syndication gets cancelled unceremoniously similar to Ugly Betty and “curses” the established timeslot it aired at allowing no new show to be successful there.

    i.e.

    ABC Thursdays 8:00 pm (Charlie’s Angels, Last Resort, Zero Hour…)

    ABC Sundays 10:00 pm for Brothers & Sisters (Pan Am, GCB, Park Avenue)

  • del

    With due respect Holly, your header photo could easily pass for a mugshot of mia rizzo. Good too see all the support for Vegas. Nothing I hate more than vesting time in a new series & having it cancelled before it has a chance to stretch its legs. Still maintain it wont be cancelled.

  • AppleStinx

    Who is Mia Rizzo?

  • Joe

    I agree, CBS is nuts to cancel Vegas. Best show this year and many possible topics for new shows. The cast is great. If nothing else seell the rights or let D. Quaid produce the show with some of his friends. I like it beeter at 9:00 pm move it with NCIS Los Angles.

  • del

    hi apple stinx, at the very top of this page, in the Vegas press photo, lead female actress to the left of Michael Chikless…ahhh Mia

  • Dan

    I’ve really enjoyed Vegas. Great acting, love the look and theme of the show, Las Vegas in the early 60’s. It’s a shame that an average of 10+ million viewers isn’t enough for CBS. Those are viewership numbers that most of the other networks would love on a Tuesday night.

    I’m hoping CBS gives Vegas another chance in a new timeslot, maybe matched up with Blue Bloods on Friday night, or if not, maybe another network will pick up the show.

    Dennis Quaid and company have put together a quality show, it’s too bad not enough people recognize that.

  • Ultima

    @spycomics
    What I’d like to know is where/ at what level does lower total audience but better demo off set higher total audience with lower demo?

    That number doesn’t exist. It’s not that older viewers (50+) are worth less than younger viewers (18-49), it’s that older viewers are not worth anything at all.

  • del

    I agree Dan, I too really like the theme of the show. All the actors are superb. It has a great flow & leaves you pining for the next episode. It’s the only show I make time to cue up live – just waiting for Dino & Francis to make an appearance.

  • Ultima

    Vegas is one of my favorite shows. Yes, I think it appeals to the older viewers.

    I’ve seen several variations on this comment.

    It really needs to be stressed that Vegas is not only doing bad in A18-49, but their A25-54 and total viewership numbers aren’t very good either. Everything on CBS does well with older audiences, Vegas is not special in that regard.

    Also, every show it is competiting with for a timeslot (shows on CBS, not on other networks) has potential or actual syndication revenue offsetting the lower ratings, while Vegas is not even remotely close to that.

    That is why it is going to be canceled.

  • AppleStinx

    @del

    Thanks. I can see the resemblance. A lot of actresses do try to emulate Holly’s elegance and looks.

  • Dan

    @Ultima:

    I get that Vegas isn’t doing well in the demographics, but according to the average season ratings to date on this site, it’s drawn an average of 12.8 million viewers, good for #19 overall. Something is wrong when Top 20 is considered “not very good.”

    I guess the show is cursed by the fact that it’s on CBS. ABC, FOX, and NBC would kill for 12.8 million viewers for a scripted drama series.

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