CBS: 'Golden Boy' Is Likely To Be Canceled

Categories: Cancel/Renew CBS Shows,Cancel/Renew Index

Written By

March 5th, 2013

Click this link for the latest CBS renewal / cancellation information:

distracted bear

Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts the network's decision on renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2012-13 season in May, 2013. (includes results from December 31, 2012- March 3, 2013):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Made In Jersey (F)* canceled 0.36
CSI:NY (F)* :cry: :cry: 0.50
Blue Bloods (F) :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 0.52
Vegas :oops: 0.58
The Good Wife :| :| :| 0.58
Golden Boy :cry: :cry: 0.64
The Mentalist :| :| :| 0.66
Partners* canceled 0.79
Hawaii Five-0 :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 0.79
CSI :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 0.80
Elementary :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 0.84
Criminal Minds :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.00
Rules of Engagement :| :| :| 1.03
NCIS: Los Angeles :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.04
Person Of Interest :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.12
Mike & Molly :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.12
How I Met Your Mother renewed 1.28
NCIS renewed 1.30
2 Broke Girls :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.30
Two and a Half Men** :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.45
The Big Bang Theory renewed 2.09

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The premiere ratings for CBS' freshman drama Golden Boy arrived at about the same time a malware attack hit our site. Because of that, the Cancellation Bear was a bit distracted and failed to appropriately note the grimness of the premiere ratings. The malware is now gone (fingers crossed!), and the undistracted bear is able to see that Golden Boy is likely to be canceled.

For those who missed last week's CBS post because of the site problems (with a bit of updating):

Let's review the CBS drama situation, again, for the 474th time.

  • CBS has premiered three new dramas each of the last seven Fall's.
  • Assuming CBS keeps the same number of drama hours next Fall, they'll need to cancel three of their Spring dramas to make room (ignore the already dead Made In Jersey, it is irrelevant). Currently, I am predicting those three canceled shows will be Vegas (certainly), CSI:NY (likely), and Golden Boy (likely).
The most common hypotheticals lean towards bad news for more dramas:
  • You think CBS will expand their sitcom time by an hour? Cancel another drama.
  • You think CBS might air Undercover Boss at 8pm Friday next Fall? Cancel another drama.
  • You think CBS will time share their dramas in partial seasons? Increase their drama time on Sunday-Friday? Or air new dramas on Saturday? Check your medication.

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. This season you can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.
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*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

** The Renew/Cancel Index does not attempt to predict shows ending because the cast or production company chooses to end them. These shows have the ratings for renewal, but rumored cast/production company moves may end the shows.

From now through the end of the broadcast season in May, the Renew/Cancel Index values will only be calculated using new episodes airing during 2013. However, until new episodes of a show air in 2013, I will keep the "old"  Fall predictions in the table.

Want to know what the CBS Renew/Cancel Index table looked like at the end of the Fall season? Click here.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2013
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2013
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2013
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2013
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2013

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from past television seasons.

 
  • Jeff (Canada)

    For CBS’s sitcoms, it’s really an embarrassment of riches for them. BBT, 2.5 Men, HIMYM, 2BG, Rules and M&M are all doing decent enough to be renewed. So if they keep the same amount of time in the schedule for comedies, I think they should renew all 6 and put Rules on at midseason again, and debut 1 new comedy in the fall.

  • DW

    it sounds like les’s problem is his monday at 830. he was talking about it yesterday. and the way he was talking about older shows and if he needs to drop a show it will go to netflix and live in rerun heaven.

  • JacobYates

    Looks like Vegas’ only chance now is a summer renewal. Unless Mentalist and TGW both cave in on themselves and Vegas experiences a rebound (a big one at that) it has no chance to be on the fall schedule next year.

  • psychic

    Is this good news for The Mentalist? (With the demise of Fringe and the renewal of Bones, it’s all I really care about. I’m also a Big Bang Theory fan, but its fate goes without saying.)

  • Lee

    Based on the past few years with the midseason failures wouldn’t it be wise to scrap the idea of premiering a new drama in the spring.

    Isn’t it possible that they just cancel Vegas and Golden Boy along with the already gone Made in Jersey.

    Renew all 3 of CSI:NY, The Good Wife and The Mentalist and keep 1 back for a shortened season to begin in the spring replacing one of the other 2 which will also have a shortened season in the fall rather then trying these doomed premieres, all 3 will almost certainly be final seasons regardless of which ones get renewed so only having between 12-14 episodes wont hurt

  • Just Desserts

    The Good Wife will be saved!!!!

  • James

    I have to agree with Jeff(Canada).

    If Rules keeps up these ratings, I see no reason why it wouldn’t be renewed. If for no other reason to use it the same way they have been, put it in whenever and wherever they need it.

  • Billy

    ROE is very unlikely to be renewed. Patrick Warburton and David Spade are already in other pilots. They know its fate has most likely already been sealed.

  • Paul

    The Good Wife to 9pm on Fridays – PLEASE. Unless CBS is satisfied with their Sunday schedule being destroyed due to sports overruns. Put The Good Wife at 10pm. CSI:NY gone.

    Rules of Engagement is a goner. The cast is ready to move on. With the new NCIS, it doesn’t look likely to expand to 2 2-hour comedy blocks. Premiere one new comedy with one on the back burner for midseason.

  • Michael1

    @DW

    The problem with Monday @ 8:30 is that it gets hit twice by Monday Night Football which has the opening kickoff at 8:30 Eastern, and winds down at 9:00 pm Pacific. Two Broke Girls, with 2 female leads, was a nice counter-programming to this in 2010-11, and actually improved off of its lead-in. He should slide that show back to 8:30, unless he has another show with no non-immigrant white male characters. And no, gay male characters won’t cut it, but it was a good thought. Unless he wants to air a drama at 8pm and delay HIMYM until mid-season.

  • DW

    sunday from 9-11 monday at 830 tues at 10 and friday from 8-10 are their trouble spots. sunday is easy to understand with football and TWD in the fall , friday is friday. less was talking about having alot of “old shows” meaning if its over 5 years its going. so bye to CSI:NY and mentalist. i could see them moving TGW down to 10 bring over NCIS : LA to sunday at 9 and put the new spin-off tues @ 9.

  • Rebecca

    I’m alright if Rules ends soon….it looks like the wedding will happen soon (the bride has her dress now) and Jeff and Audrey will have their baby soon. Tired of the “Russell and Timmy go out to get girls” thing; I’d just like to see the other two couples resolve their story lines.

  • s0303

    i’m thinking the good wife is going to be renewed…it beat the mentalist this week and cbs has more interest in tgw due to ownership…also cbs signed josh charles to next season about a month ago…why would they do that if they were planning on cancelling the show???

  • Shepherd

    *Yawn*

    I guess I care less about TM and TGW’s prospects than I thought when I clicked on this post. :)

  • Ultima

    @Lee
    Based on the past few years with the midseason failures wouldn’t it be wise to scrap the idea of premiering a new drama in the spring.

    The point of holding a drama for midseason is to act as a buffer against multiple failures in the fall, so they don’t get stuck airing repeats in an hour for most of the season.

    They’re going to put their three strongest dramas on during the fall, so the odds of success for their midseason replacement are going to be extremely low.

    It’s hard to just hold a veteran drama as a replacement, because if they actually have a very successful freshman class, then there’s nowhere to put the drama they held (look at NYC 22 last season).

  • Max Vrany

    CBS has a nice gap in their index too, but they’re not going to cancel all the shows on the short end of the gap like ABC could.

  • Bob

    CBS has an embarrassment of riches. They are the only decent network where people actually watch the shows. Sure they have some poor spots, but their poor spots would be instant renewals on any other network. CBS may just be the network to outlast all the others. NBC probably will be the first network to die off.

  • Ken

    Don’t forget – how could you – that Unforgettable is coming back in the summer. In the unlikely event that it does well, it could take out another drama too.

  • Anna Bones Clarkwood

    Am I right to assume that, unless Blue Bloods ratings gets a lot better, that after a full 2013-2014 season, it most likely won’t be renewed based on ratings? Which should mean that the writers should go into the season thinking it as a final season so whatever stories they wanted to have occur/wrap-up they do so.

    1. 52% (even though it’s on Friday) is just way too low, even lower than TGW/TM. In fact, only 2% higher than CSINY.

    2. Unlike H50, it doesn’t have a great syndication deal. It does have one, right?

    3. I know it def has to be in the conversation even if 2 of “this years 3″, plus Elementary s2 & another not that good new show ratings season occurs.

    4. In fact, H50 with it’s Syndi deal so high, provided it covers more episodes beyond ~88+eps, is actually more likely not to be in the “which of these shows gets r/c” conversation. This translates into even less shows possible to be cancelled based on ratings/known syndi deals.

  • Elijah

    I hope some executive at CBS is smart enough to realize how successful Vegas is and understands ratings don’t really show you the whole Picture.

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