CBS: 'Golden Boy' Is Likely To Be Canceled

Categories: Cancel/Renew CBS Shows,Cancel/Renew Index

Written By

March 5th, 2013

Click this link for the latest CBS renewal / cancellation information:

distracted bear

Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts the network's decision on renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2012-13 season in May, 2013. (includes results from December 31, 2012- March 3, 2013):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Made In Jersey (F)* canceled 0.36
CSI:NY (F)* :cry: :cry: 0.50
Blue Bloods (F) :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 0.52
Vegas :oops: 0.58
The Good Wife :| :| :| 0.58
Golden Boy :cry: :cry: 0.64
The Mentalist :| :| :| 0.66
Partners* canceled 0.79
Hawaii Five-0 :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 0.79
CSI :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 0.80
Elementary :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 0.84
Criminal Minds :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.00
Rules of Engagement :| :| :| 1.03
NCIS: Los Angeles :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.04
Person Of Interest :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.12
Mike & Molly :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.12
How I Met Your Mother renewed 1.28
NCIS renewed 1.30
2 Broke Girls :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.30
Two and a Half Men** :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.45
The Big Bang Theory renewed 2.09

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The premiere ratings for CBS' freshman drama Golden Boy arrived at about the same time a malware attack hit our site. Because of that, the Cancellation Bear was a bit distracted and failed to appropriately note the grimness of the premiere ratings. The malware is now gone (fingers crossed!), and the undistracted bear is able to see that Golden Boy is likely to be canceled.

For those who missed last week's CBS post because of the site problems (with a bit of updating):

Let's review the CBS drama situation, again, for the 474th time.

  • CBS has premiered three new dramas each of the last seven Fall's.
  • Assuming CBS keeps the same number of drama hours next Fall, they'll need to cancel three of their Spring dramas to make room (ignore the already dead Made In Jersey, it is irrelevant). Currently, I am predicting those three canceled shows will be Vegas (certainly), CSI:NY (likely), and Golden Boy (likely).
The most common hypotheticals lean towards bad news for more dramas:
  • You think CBS will expand their sitcom time by an hour? Cancel another drama.
  • You think CBS might air Undercover Boss at 8pm Friday next Fall? Cancel another drama.
  • You think CBS will time share their dramas in partial seasons? Increase their drama time on Sunday-Friday? Or air new dramas on Saturday? Check your medication.

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. This season you can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.
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*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

** The Renew/Cancel Index does not attempt to predict shows ending because the cast or production company chooses to end them. These shows have the ratings for renewal, but rumored cast/production company moves may end the shows.

From now through the end of the broadcast season in May, the Renew/Cancel Index values will only be calculated using new episodes airing during 2013. However, until new episodes of a show air in 2013, I will keep the "old"  Fall predictions in the table.

Want to know what the CBS Renew/Cancel Index table looked like at the end of the Fall season? Click here.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2013
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2013
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2013
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2013
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2013

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from past television seasons.

 
  • Dinaminjo

    I think TGW gets a short mid-season renewal because
    - it still needs syndication
    - critics like it
    - mid-season dramas fail

    And if TM doesn’t beat it in the spring it will go the same road
    - Red John story needs a close
    - Bruno Heller has a new pilot
    - mid-season dramas fail

  • DW

    @ dan. they can do better on sunday. will they do better on sunday remains to be seen. if you cancel TGW and TM , and place something in there new , your going up against 2 big programs in SNF and TWD at 9 and the way ratings are going you may be only able to hit a 2.0 . now i was thinking today that it could be best to leave both TGW and TM on sunday for one more year , let revenge do its course same with TWD but to a lesser extent and plug 2 shows that would do better up against a falling revenge and other programming like whats on HBO or showtime.

  • Dan

    @DW – CBS will most certainly not leave TGW and TM on Sundays. Sundays is the day where old dramas go to die. CSI Miami went there, The Mentalist and The Good Wife went there, and my guess next season is Hawaii 5-0 may go there. One of TGW and The Mentalist will be cancelled which ever is renewed will stay on Sundays but if both are cancelled then its smart for CBS to air a new series in that slot.

  • Dan

    @CBS Viewer – None of those seem like actual possibilities, here are some

    CBS expands their comedy hour on Thursdays moving POI to 10 and Elementary to Mondays at 10, moving Hawaii 5-0 to Sundays. CSI moves to CSI NY’s old slot and a new drama airs Wed at 10. NCIS LA spinoff airs at 10 Tuesdays. CBS premieres

    If CBS doesnt expand comedy time then I still think POI will stay on Thursdays and a new drama will air Thursdays at 10. Elementary may still move to Mondays at 10, Hawaii 5-0 may move to Sundays. If CBS wants to keep Hawaii 5-0 put then Elementary could move to Sundays.

    Its hard to predict where CBS’s dramas will go but its just easier to say CSI NY, Vegas and Golden Boy are all cancelled while The Good Wife and Mentalist are 50/50.

  • Tommy M.

    @ Dan, I think it’s a very bad idea to air any new series on Sundays. The reason Sundays are one of CBS’s “boneyards” is because football typically runs late and the start times for programs on that night are erratic. That makes launching a new series even more difficult than it already is. I say they cancel TGW and move either H5-0 or CSI to it’s timeslot to milk the syndication money.

  • Mon

    I hope TNT picks up Golden Boy (produced by WB) becuyse it has some really interesting storylines ahead. It’s hard to imagine it would all be resolved in 13 episodes since that show has a 7-year gap between its flashbacks.

    It’s a race between Elementary and Hawaii Five-0 (and maybe CSI if it doesn’t recover) on which moves to a less desirable timeslot next season. However I can’t imagine CBS moving them all.

  • Vicki

    Keep Vegas, Good Wife, and Mentalist. Get rid of Amazing Race and Survivor. Never have watched and never will. Tired of so called reality shows. We watch CBS shows more than any other as long as they are comedy’s or dramas. Only two shows we watch on another network (SVU and Chicago Fire). We don’t turn the TV on on Wed. Until 9 and we used to not turn the channel on Tuesday evening at all from 8 to 11, but since they took Vegas off, we find something else at 10.

  • Nick

    What CBS should do for 2013-2014

    Mon-
    8: How I Met Your Mother (full final season)
    8:30: Two and a Half Men
    9: 2 Broke Girls
    9:30: Super Clyde (new)
    10: Beverly Hills Cop (new)

    Tue-
    8: NCIS
    9: Untitled NCIS: LA spinoff (new)
    10: NCIS: Los Angeles

    Wed-
    8: Survivor
    9: Criminal Minds
    10: CSI

    Thu-
    8: The Big Bang Theory
    8:30: Mom (new)
    9: Person of Interest
    10: Intelligence (new)

    Fri-
    8: Undercover Boss
    9: Crazy Ones (new)
    9:30: Mike & Molly
    10: Blue Bloods

    Sat-
    8: The Mentalist (R)
    9: Hawaii Five-0 (R)
    10: 48 Hours Mystery

    Sun-
    7: 60 Minutes
    8: The Amazing Race
    9: The Mentalist
    10: Hawaii Five-0

    Midseason – Elementary, The Good Wife, Rules of Engagement

  • CBSviewer

    @ Nick

    I agree with your Schedule except for Friday and Sunday. I don’t think CBS will sacrifice Mike & Molly on Friday. Plus Undercover Boss will premiere mid-season.
    For Sunday I agree Hawaii Five-0 should move there but not at 10. 9 seems to be better for the Show.
    Elementary will be Renewed for full Season. Also I think CSI: NY is better for mid-season than The Good Wife.

  • Elijah

    Am I the only one who wants Elementary to stay on Thursday after POI?

  • Nick

    @CBSviewer

    I don’t think CBS will sacrifice Mike & Molly on Friday.

    First, I want to stress that this is a “should” schedule, not a “will” schedule. It’s a suggestion, not a prediction.
    Secondly, I’m not moving Mike & Molly to Fridays to kill it. I think it would be a good fit for Fridays, and could do well, especially if Crazy Ones is a hit. Also, historically, CBS has a good track record on Fridays with scripted shows. While they actually haven’t had Friday comedies in a while (I think the last time was when they tried to build a faux-TGIF block with ABC outcasts in the 90′s), I think they’re ready.

    Plus Undercover Boss will premiere mid-season.

    Actually, there’s arguments that UB will and should premiere in the fall.
    A) It’s dependable, with good ratings.
    B) Fridays fail without it.
    C) When CBS first pushed UB back in 2010 it took everyone by surprise. CBS never pushes any shows back. The past 2 seasons could be a fluke. I could see CBS reverting, especially now that it’s not finding success with dramas outside of the NCISs and Person of Interest.

    I think CSI: NY is better for mid-season than The Good Wife.

    Methinks The Good Wife will be in a Fringe-like situation. 1 final midseason season for syndication padding is what should happen, but I think CBS will put it in the fall.

  • Thunder

    I think trying to predict renewals with only part of the data, is like trying to predict the weather. Looking out the window in the morning is the best way to predict the weather, and reading the fall schedule when it is released is the best predictor of next years renewals. Although, I get that is fun !

  • Tom R.

    I’m not sure why advertisers focus so much on the 18-to-49 demographic. I’m part of the 50+ demo; and it’s only now that I’ve made it to this point in my life that I really have disposable income for spending on what they’re trying to sell me. When I was in my 30′s and 40′s, all my money went into paying down mortgages, and funneling money into savings and 401(K)’s for retirement. Now that I’m older, the mortgages are pretty much all paid off; and I can afford to buy electronics, cars, remodel and upgrade major appliances, etc. If they want to put their ad dollars where it gets some real return, they ought to be focusing on the older demographic (folks like me) — where the money is. I guess I just don’t understand their logic.

  • Olka

    So many shows there haven’t renewed yet.
    Surprised.

  • sandy

    I guess I’m the only one sad about golden boy. Only 2 episodes but I think it’s a good show. Interesting characters and storylines. I just wish they were not moving it to Friday because that’s my cold case marathon day on ion.

  • Kevin

    Cancel Vegas, The Good Wife, and Golden boy. Keep CSI NY Please!! Assuming they will renew Rules since every comedy they tried to put on got canceled so they will have a back up plan once again. I would cancel 2 broke girls but that’s doing well. Keep The Mentalist for one more season to finally catch Red John then they could cancel it. Keep New York please!!

  • scarps

    i heard from a special source that CSI: NY has already been axed (has not been announced yet, but it has been cancelled.)

  • May

    So that’s mean TGW and TM are safe?

  • LisaNeedsBraces

    I guess I just don’t understand their logic.

    It’s very simple and has been explained over and over. 50+ year olds have brand loyalty. They by and large aren’t swayed by commercial advertising because they’ve gotten to a point in life where they’ve decided on most of the brands they want to buy. For example, the average 50 year old has likely owned several cars and knows exactly what they like, down to the model sometimes. A 52 year old Ford man is not going to suddenly buy a Honda because he saw a great commercial for one. He’s definitely not going to be persuaded by an ad that uses the latest hit song he doesn’t know. He’s going to rely on experience and if Fords were good to him, he’ll be loyal. That goes for big ticket items on down to things like what soap you buy and what coffee you use. If someone’s used Tide for 30 years it’s damn near impossible to get them to switch and advertisers know that targeting such people is a waste of their money.

    So who do you target? You target the young people who are exploring their different options and don’t have brand loyalty yet. The average 20 year old probably doesn’t have a regular coffee or a regular soap they’ve been using for years. They’ve probably only had one car if any. They’re probably recently out of their parents house and trying to make their own home. Many of them aren’t married yet and don’t have kids, so are less cautious when it comes to luxury items. A 60 year old with decades of budget planning is not going to truly impulse buy very often, even if they have more money.

  • JJF

    I like Nick’s schedule of doing a comedy hour on Friday. Been wanting that for over a season. And I also like the idea of premiering Intelligence after POI. It seems like a very natural fit and the cast on that one seems good. (JH needs to be back on TV.) POI/Intelligence might just work.

    But yes, CBS should try a Friday comedy block. It might work better than trying to force an already older-skewing drama again.

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