FOX: Why Wasn't 'Glee' Renewed Yesterday?

Categories: Cancel/Renew Fox Shows,Cancel/Renew Index

Written By

March 5th, 2013

Click this link for the latest FOX renewal / cancellation information:


Surprised_Bear_8772

Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts the network's decision on renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2012-13 season in May, 2013. (includes results from December 31, 2012- March 3, 2013):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
The Mob Doctor* canceled 0.31
Touch (F) :oops: 0.43
Fringe* (F) final season complete 0.50
Ben And Kate* canceled 0.60
The Cleveland Show :cry: :cry: 0.72
Raising Hope renewed 0.81
The Mindy Project renewed 0.84
Bob's Burgers renewed 1.09
Glee :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.11
New Girl renewed 1.16
American Dad renewed 1.16
Bones renewed 1.17
The Simpsons renewed 1.29
The Following renewed 1.50
Family Guy renewed 1.50

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The Cancellation Bear has been asked lots of questions about why Glee wasn't among the shows renewed by Fox yesterday (none of which were any surprise). The bear assumes it's due to contractual wrangling, but that's just a guess, the bear doesn't work via "inside information". The bear would be startled if Glee wasn't renewed

Where the heck is The Goodwin Games? In an update last week, it's premiere was announced for May 20. May 20? Yep, it's certain to be canceled already, but that's for next week's headline.

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. This season you can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.
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*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

From now through the end of the broadcast season in May, the Renew/Cancel Index values will only be calculated using new episodes airing during 2013. However, until new episodes of a show air in 2013, I will keep the "old"  Fall predictions in the table.

Want to know what the Fox Renew/Cancel Index table looked like at the end of the Fall season? Click here.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2013
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2013
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2013
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2013
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2013

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from past television seasons.

 
  • RyanCanada

    Glee is getting good again

  • DamC

    Here’s my take on FOX’s schedule next season:

    SUNDAY:
    7- The OT/Repeats
    8- The Simpsons
    8:30- Bob’s Burgers (September-February)/ American Dad (March)/ Bob’s Burgers (April-May)
    9- Family Guy
    9:30- American Dad (Fall)/ Murder Police (January-March)*/ American Dad (April-May)

    *13 episodes, premieres after the NFC Championship

    MONDAY:
    8- Bones (Fall)/Boomerang (January-March)*/ Bones (April-May)
    9- Rake (Fall)/Bones (January)/ The Following (February-May, starts the day after the Superbowl)

    *2-hour premiere on a Sunday, right after the Divisional round of the NFL playoffs, then on Mondays for 11 weeks.

    TUESDAY
    8- NEW COMEDY
    8:30- NEW COMEDY
    9- Glee

    WEDNESDAY
    8- The X Factor (Fall)/ American Idol (January-May)
    9- Rake (January)/ American Idol (February-April) / Rake (April-May)*

    * the lead actor on Rake only signed up for 17 episodes per season. it can easily share its timeslot with Idol. If the show is cancelled after 13 episodes, then it’s gone by January.

    THURSDAY
    8- The X Factor/American Idol
    9- New Girl/Mindy Project

    New Girl would air a 1-hour episode after the Superbowl. I would only give 13 episodes to Mindy, with a back 9 order if the show brings decent ratings.

    FRIDAY
    8- Kitchen Nightmares (late October-February)/COSMOS (March-May)
    9- REPEATS (Fall)/ Raising Hope (January-May)*
    9:30- REPEATS

    FOX would order 4 comedies, with two premiering in the Fall, if both bomb as well as The Mindy Project, Raising Hope would be used on Tuesdays, airing 22 episodes from January. If the new comedy hour is a success, then Raising Hope would be on Fridays, with 22 episodes from January.

    FOX could also order a third drama (maybe Delirium) with a limited order, 8 to 10 episodes, that can take Glee’s timeslot during its hiatus, or Rake’s timeslot on Wednesdays, if it bombs in the fall. It could also be moved to Summer.

  • MichaelChickless

    Cancel The Cleveland Show, and move Touch to FX.

  • Dan

    @Bill – I know you need the headlines, now that almost every show’s fate is sealed. But according to deadline’s article, Glee’s negotiations are ongoing. It’s just speculation as of now but it seems the series will certainly be renewed for a fifth season within the next couple of weeks.

    But that will give the site enough time to rotate between “Glee is still certain to be renewed”, “The Cleveland Show is still likely to be renewed” and “Touch is still certain to be cancelled”

  • ToXiX

    The Flintstones is dead now. No longer bring it up. Thank you.

    Murder Police is the next new animated fox show.

  • Ultima

    @Toxix
    The Flintstones is dead now. No longer bring it up.

    Link?

  • THE OLD MAN

    Nothing to say since FOX has basically said it all, so I’ll call it a wrap

  • Dakota

    Sunday
    Animated Fox Shows

    Monday
    Bones
    JJ Abrahms project/ The Following

    Tuesday
    Glee
    New Girl
    New Comedy

    Wednesday
    X Factor/Idol

    Thursday
    X Factor/Idol
    Delirium (new)

    Friday
    Kitchen Nightmares
    Raising Hope
    New Comedy

  • Dakota

    THOUGHTS?

  • R

    @Dakota

    You forgot The Mindy Project…

  • tommie

    @Jacob Yates
    I doubt any ratings improvement (bar a massive one) will save Cleveland now – all ordered episodes will have aired by the end of this season and an animated show can take around 9-12 months to produce. Fox also has Murder Police in the pipeline…

  • Sky

    Okay, I’m finally going to take a stab at what Fox’s schedule might look like next season. This is assuming that Fox only renews Glee for a final 13-episode 5th season.

    SUNDAY
    7:00 – The OT (Fall) /animation reruns (perhaps American Dad moves to 7:30 starting mid-season)
    8:00 – The Simpsons
    8:30 – Bob’s Burgers
    9:00 – Family Guy
    9:30 – American Dad (Fall) / Murder Police (starting mid-season)

    MONDAY
    8:00 – Bones
    9:00 – Glee (Fall) / The Following (starting mid-season)

    TUESDAY
    8:00 – new drama
    9:00 – new comedy
    9:30 – new comedy

    WEDNESDAY
    8:00 – X-Factor (Fall) / American Idol (starting mid-season)

    THURSDAY
    8:00 – X-Factor (Fall) / American Idol (starting mid-season)
    9:00 – New Girl
    9:30 – The Mindy Project

    FRIDAY
    8:00 – Raising Hope
    8:30 – sitcom repeat
    9:00 – Kitchen Nightmares / other reality show

  • lll

    @Sky
    Looks good. Risky giving Tuesdays an all-new feel. If the Cleveland Show has any more shows left it should be burned off in the midseason after or before American Dad.

  • Common Anomaly

    Kitchen Nightmares – Friday 8 PM

    01/21/11 – 05/20/11 – 14 Episodes – 18-49 demo – 1.62
    09/23/11 – 03/30/12 – 17 Episodes – 18-49 demo – 1.48
    10/26/12 – 03/01/13 – 11 Episodes – 18-49 demo – 1.14

  • Ted Craig

    To all the fantasy execs, Why would Fox move the New Girl?

  • toadytoady

    I love The Bear.
    More Bear!

  • Meliwa

    @JacobYates–my guess is MacFarlane has another show in the pipeline and Fox definitely wants to keep someone happy who’s collective franchises are worth roughly $1B.

    As for Glee, Fox itself has announced there are some negotiations going on. That usually means Fox wants the production company to lower their costs. I’m predicting unless the series is frontloaded with money to the producers and director and they can trim their budgets easily there, it means the cast will be much smaller next season.

  • Patrick Ausgewahlt

    I agree with the part about the Cleveland Show. When it was returned to its original post Simpsons, pre Family Guy slot it’s ratings show up over half a percentage point. Cancel Bob’s Burgers

  • Sky

    @Ted Craig – I think moving New Girl do the post-X-Factor/Idol spot would serve the show well. It seems to grow from whatever its lead-in is, and right now, XF/Idol is the best lead-in Fox has to offer.

    This past season, the cost for a 30-second commercial slot during New Girl was one of the 5 most expensive on TV. That rate was based on its ratings during its first season. When it had Glee as its lead-in, it consistently grew in the demo. I think it would get better numbers if it aired after XF/Idol and therefore make that pricey commercial slot worth it for advertisers.

  • CBSviewer

    Im not a big fan of FOX but I think this is the only thing to do:

    MONDAY
    8:00 – Bones
    9:00 – NEW DRAMA / The Following

    TUESDAY
    8:00 – Raising Hope
    8:30 – NEW COMEDY
    9:00 – Glee

    WEDNESDAY
    8:00 – The X-Factor / American Idol

    THURSDAY
    8:00 – The X-Factor / American Idol
    9:00 – New Girl
    9:30 – The Mindy Project

    FRIDAY
    8:00 – Kitchen Nightmares
    9:00 – NEW REALITY

    SUNDAY
    7:30 – Bob’s Burgers
    8:00 – The Simpsons
    8:30 – NEW ANIMATION
    9:00 – Family Guy
    9:30 – American Dad !

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