NBC: As NBC Sitcom Ratings Dive, They'll Still Have To Renew Some Of Them

Categories: Cancel/Renew Index,Cancel/Renew NBC Shows

Written By

March 5th, 2013

Click this link for the latest NBC renewal / cancellation information:


bear-knife
Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts the network's decision on renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2012-13 season in May, 2013.  (includes results from December 31, 2012- March 3, 2013):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Do No Harm* canceled 0.50
Animal Practice* canceled 0.66
Smash :oops: 0.67
The New Normal :oops: 0.77
1600 Penn :oops: 0.80
Guys With Kids :oops: 0.81
Whitney :| :| :| 0.88
Go On :| :| :| 0.90
Deception :cry: :cry: 0.91
Community :| :| :| 0.91
30 Rock* final season complete 0.93
Parenthood* :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.08
Parks & Recreation :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.11
Law & Order: SVU :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.17
Chicago Fire :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.38
The Office final season 1.40
Up All Night :oops: pending
Grimm (F) :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: pending
Revolution :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: pending

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The expression "Catch A Falling Knife" comes to mind when trying to figure out which of NBC's ratings diving sitcoms might survive the season (besides Parks & Recreation which will certainly be renewed).

If (and I think they will) renew more sitcoms than just Parks & Rec, they'll be choosing among shows that have all hit a 1.1 rating or less this season. Yikes. My best guess at this point is that one or more of Community, Go On and Whitney will be renewed, but that's as close as I'm getting to grabbing at the falling knives at this point.

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. This season you can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.
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*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

From now through the end of the broadcast season in May, the Renew/Cancel Index values will only be calculated using new episodes airing during 2013. However, until new episodes of a show air in 2013, I will keep the "old"  Fall predictions in the table.

Want to know what the NBC Renew/Cancel Index table looked like at the end of the Fall season? Click here.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2013
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2013
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2013
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2013
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2013

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ie. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from past television seasons.

 
  • Ultima

    @Dan
    No, Parks may be here to stay for a while, If they cancel that, and Go On and Community flop next season and all of their comedies flop NBC will have nothing.

    Then maybe they’ll fire the people who keep green-lighting comedies no one wants to watch! :)

  • CoolRanchDoritos

    Parenthood & Chicago Fire- YAY!!!!!

    Oh Deception, i need another season please. don’t cancel. :(

  • Jonay

    Why doesn’t NBC cancel all their sitcoms except Parks and recreation and Community and next fall keep comedy for one one night only? because it is very clear comedies aren’t working for NBC like The CW, ordering more sitcoms is just gonna make the cancellation bear fatter :)

  • Ashley

    I would love nothing more than for Parks to get another season. It’s my favorite show to watch. But after hitting ratings highs in January and first week of Feb, it tanked on the 14th and the hour long ep on the 21st. (though even their tanking was better than all other of NBCs comedies I realize). I can’t imagine its ratings improving either with NBC’s weird scheduling coming up combined with the usual ratings plunge in the spring. Wondering if they will just cancel all their comedies. Start fresh. I hope if they do decide to cancel Parks , they will at least give them a final 13 order so they can finish the series how they would like.

  • Ultima

    @Ashley
    I can’t imagine its ratings improving either with NBC’s weird scheduling coming up combined with the usual ratings plunge in the spring.

    NBC might move it behind The Office for the end of the season.

  • Glue

    Community is the 7th rated scripted show on the network (Excluding The Office & 30 Rock since they’re ending this season). There are ten scripted shows above it (With worse ratings).

    Community will be renewed.

    With their 19 scripted show lineup this season, and four already cancelled, the chances for Community seem bright :D

  • Glue

    And By The Way, Parks and Recreation is doing well. I don’t see it getting a final season renewal, but a full new season renewal. (Not final)

  • cadburyeasteregg

    I’m just glad I don’t have any money betting on Deception. This seems to be NBC’s pet favorite and I’ve observed that the only people who watch it seem to be on ATRL, Lipstick Alley and TWOP. It’s basically a popcorn show that should have been pitched to The CW to begin with. The appeal of this show is mindboggling to me and Joanna/Julian is the dullest “ship” in years with absolutely no tension or sex appeal, it’s forced as hell. Also, what’s up with Haverstock? He’s not a consistent character at all, he keeps going from LOLWackyVillain to GrimdarkRuthlessGuy.

  • MichaelChickless

    ToXiX
    7 New Comedy
    730 New Comedy
    8 Parks & Recreation
    830 New Comedy
    9 Go On
    930 New Comedy
    10 Community
    1030 Whitney

    Is NBC going to 4 hours of Primetime next season?

  • The End

    @Wright

    Revolution WILL be renewed. NBC has invested a lot in this show and has high hopes it will succeed and continue to succeed on its current timeslot/day.

  • Ralphie

    Deception needs to be renewed

  • TomZ

    If NBC will renew Community I hope that they will not put it at 8.00 pm on Thursday again. Since the first season it was obvious that there it couldn’t do good ratings. Maybe on Friday or Tuesday it could.

    Go on dropped from a 3.2 (the second episode) to a 1.1, but I think NBC will renew it anyway, because they need to renew something XD

  • TV Gord

    As much as I love Community, all of the episodes so far this season have been a major disappointment for me. If Community returns with those numbers, I will be very surprised, (One thing I will say in its defense is that it’s been airing seven days a week here in Canada–on our cable channel, Comedy–and people I know are “discovring” it for a good time, so that bodes well for syndication in the U.S.)

    I think Whitney has improved a lot in season two, and I love Guys With Kids, so I hope NBC will show some faith in those shows. Go On will probably be renewed, but I think the concept is in serious need of revamping. It’s time for his character to move on from the group therapy setting (although some of the characters could/should stick around).

    1600 Penn is an embarrassment, and The New Normal isn’t much better.

    Finally, I think NBC should focus on rehabilitating its Thursday night lineup. I would lead off the night with Guys, followed by Whitney, Parks and Rec and then Go On. They could heavily promote the return of Tempestt Bledsoe and Matthew Perry to Must See TV, while springboarding the lineup into the future.

  • KT

    NBC’s Renew/Cancel Index is such a stark contrast to FOX’s right now. Fortunately, the only show I used to watch on NBC, I have stopped watching this season: Smash. This season is an abomination and I cannot remember the last time I have been so bored watching a TV show. I adored the show last season, but this season, I actually hate it. Total 180 degree shift.

  • Ultima

    @TV Gord
    Finally, I think NBC should focus on rehabilitating its Thursday night lineup. I would lead off the night with Guys, followed by Whitney, Parks and Rec and then Go On.

    How is putting for low rated comedies on Thursday going to rehabilitate the lineup?

  • Ultima

    Four*

  • Sandy

    I think NBC should (and might) renew all the comedies they did from 2011-12 into 12-13 for next season (Whitney, Up All Night, etc) they might keep 1600 Penn but it’ll be the only one likely at this point. NBC should refocus on their drama department anyway, I guess soon we’ll hear Dick Wolf has “spined-off” either ‘Law & Order: Chicago’ or ‘Law & Order: Toronto’, which may not be a bad idea.

  • chris

    Here’s what I would do. I would take a leap of faith with multi can comedies on Tuesdays or Friday night. If they go fridays I would move Grimm to Tuesdays. The lineup would be the Sean Hayes pilot, guys with kids,Joe Joe and Jane, and Whitney. On Thursday I would lead off with the Michael J.Fox pilot,then parks and rec, then Go On, and add a new comedy.Keep Community as a mid season replacement.

  • Tommy M.

    I really like Ultima’s idea about renewing P&R and moving it to Thursdays. I don’t know if I’d go so far as to say a final season but the move is a good idea. NBC needs to what ABC did and launch an entirely new night of comedies in the hope that it gets some attention. Even if they only get 1 or 2 keepers it would still be an improvement. Also an entirely new night would be easier to advertise than single shows all over the schedule like they did this season. I really think their problem has been using low rated veterans to launch new comedies.

    As far as the rest of their comedy lineup I say they cut their losses and start from scratch. P&R is the only one with remotely respectable ratings, but even it would be canceled on ABC with these kind of numbers (1.4 for the last original airing.) FOX would even consider cancelling it at the level!

  • Douglas from Brazil

    Grimm,Parenthood and Chicago Fire I see them renewed because they don’t need a lead-in like The Voice to perfom well and these 3 dramas win its timeslot without any help.Revolution is a tricky one,until now they are protected by The Voice,we dont see yet without that lead-in.
    Go on is another tricky one too,it depends how will perform when The Voice returns but we already seen how its awful ratings has been without lead-in.Community has a based-fans but its ratings are awful too.Parks and Rec,for me,is the only comedy being renewed but NBC will renew another too,Go On or Community one of them will be saved.

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