NBC: As NBC Sitcom Ratings Dive, They'll Still Have To Renew Some Of Them

Categories: Cancel/Renew Index,Cancel/Renew NBC Shows

Written By

March 5th, 2013

Click this link for the latest NBC renewal / cancellation information:


bear-knife
Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts the network's decision on renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2012-13 season in May, 2013.  (includes results from December 31, 2012- March 3, 2013):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Do No Harm* canceled 0.50
Animal Practice* canceled 0.66
Smash :oops: 0.67
The New Normal :oops: 0.77
1600 Penn :oops: 0.80
Guys With Kids :oops: 0.81
Whitney :| :| :| 0.88
Go On :| :| :| 0.90
Deception :cry: :cry: 0.91
Community :| :| :| 0.91
30 Rock* final season complete 0.93
Parenthood* :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.08
Parks & Recreation :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.11
Law & Order: SVU :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.17
Chicago Fire :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.38
The Office final season 1.40
Up All Night :oops: pending
Grimm (F) :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: pending
Revolution :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: pending

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The expression "Catch A Falling Knife" comes to mind when trying to figure out which of NBC's ratings diving sitcoms might survive the season (besides Parks & Recreation which will certainly be renewed).

If (and I think they will) renew more sitcoms than just Parks & Rec, they'll be choosing among shows that have all hit a 1.1 rating or less this season. Yikes. My best guess at this point is that one or more of Community, Go On and Whitney will be renewed, but that's as close as I'm getting to grabbing at the falling knives at this point.

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. This season you can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.
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*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

From now through the end of the broadcast season in May, the Renew/Cancel Index values will only be calculated using new episodes airing during 2013. However, until new episodes of a show air in 2013, I will keep the "old"  Fall predictions in the table.

Want to know what the NBC Renew/Cancel Index table looked like at the end of the Fall season? Click here.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2013
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2013
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2013
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2013
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2013

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ie. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from past television seasons.

 
  • Chris

    Here’s what I would do. I would take a leap of faith with multi cam comedies on tuesdays or Friday night. If they go fridays I would move Grimm to Tuesdays. The lineup would be the Sean Hayes pilot, Guys WIth Kids, Joe Joe and Jane, and Whitney. On Thursday I would lead off with the Michael J. Fox pilot, then parks and rec, then Go On, and add a new comedy. Keep Community as a mid season replacement.

  • Dan

    @Ultima – NBC must have fired a lot of people over the years because chances are, you develop a sitcom for NBC, no one watches it.

    @Sandy – NBC would be crazy to renew Up All Night, they just dont want Will Arnett moving to CBS so they are keeping him under contract.

    I’d personally keep P&R & Go On on Thursdays and launch 2 new comedies beside them, then maybe keep Whitney and a new multi cam comedy, Wed at 8. Then I would hold Community for midseason.

  • Jennifer

    It makes no sense that Community and Whitney have three smilies and The New Normal just one. No sense at all. Anyway, Justin Bartha and Ryan Murphy have both confirmed to be working on a second season, while still pending of the May upfronts. Literal words by Bartha: “The network loves it, and we would love to do it. We’re optimistic”. NBC is actually protecting Go On and TNN. After tonight’s episodes, the comedies will return in April after The Voice. This will raise their viewers and grant them a second season.

  • Tommy M.

    @ Chris, it’s very unlikely Grimm gets moved. It works for them on Fridays and as a whole Friday isn’t as much of a problem for them as other nights. I think they’d be better off primarily focusing on fixing Thursdays next season. I’d also order a fall and spring cycle of The Biggest Loser as a stop gap. My NBC lineup would like like this next season –

    Mondays – The Voice, Revolution

    Tuesdays – The Voice, New Drama, Parenthood

    Wednesdays – The Biggest Loser (1hr,)Parks and Rec, Whichever other comedy may get renewed or a new comedy, Chicago Fire (if P&R and its companion comedy tank at 9 NBC could easily pull them and expand TBL to 2 hours. They could then burn off any remaining comedy episodes on Thursdays when everything else is in repeats)

    Thursdays – All new night- 4 new comedies, 1 new drama

    Fridays – the same

    Sundays (Midseason) Undecided.

  • Cyrax86

    @Jennifer, The cast & crew being optimistic and already thinking about season 2 means nothing. Two years ago it was the same with Outsourced, concepts for the sophomore season leaked when the show was cancelled. The New Normal is unlikely to gain new audiences next season and NBC can’t save all of the troubled comedies.

  • Jennifer

    @Cyrax86 I guess I’m really optimistic too ;)

    But still, NBC have publicly said that they do love these comedies, so I am thinking that, to be nice with Perry and Murphy, they might renew them for a short second season, to either take off or die with dignity…

  • Jazz

    Aww, I liked Outsourced. And now I like Deception. I guess I have a thing for troubled shows. Community.

    Outsourced had good moments but was not strong enough. I love Community but they have lost something. I am not enjoying this season’s shows as much as I did in the past. Deception did not come out strong. Its strongest episode was yesterday. That’s 9 episodes in on a freshman drama. Could be a little late to garner newer viewers. Especially when it ends in 2 weeks.

  • rob

    I love The New Normal and 1600 Penn is so funny. I laugh my head off!
    What can I do to keep them on the air.

  • Christine

    I think Community is definitely going to get a final year.

  • Tommy M.

    @ rob
    “What can I do to keep them on the air.”

    Unless you know a LOT of people that are Nielsen households there really isn’t much you can do except hope that NBC has some exceptionally low renewal standards this season.

  • Carmen

    @ Jennifer

    “NBC is actually protecting Go On and TNN. After tonight’s episodes, the comedies will return in April after The Voice. This will raise their viewers and grant them a second season”

    Possibly, even probably true. But so what? Both those shows have shown they cannot maintain an audience on their own.
    It would seem that NBC would be better off trying to launch new shows that might stand on their own and not be nothing more than an artificial hanger on.
    NBC needs legitimate hits not shows that reach barely acceptable levels on the strength of the lead in.
    This has been NBC’s problem for years now.

  • Tommy M.

    @ Jennifer, All networks love the shows they air until they cancel them.

  • diane

    I am so tired of bland comedy , I rather see them renew Deception and many fans enjoy that mystery/love drama! Please Kick Reality tv to the curb it has killed creativity and orginality in shows …Networks are too quick to go the easy route instead of get better shows.

  • HAPPY!

    My thoughts on a decent NBC schedule for next year

    Monday
    8-The Voice
    10-Revolution

    Tuesday
    8-The Voice
    9-NEW DRAMA
    10-Parenthood

    Wednesday (for certain weeks , 2 hour TBL’s air)
    8-The Biggest Loser (2 seasons a year)
    9-Parks and Recreation
    9:30-Community
    10-Chicago Fire

    Thursday
    8-NEW COMEDY
    8:30-NEW COMEDY
    9-NEW DRAMA
    9:30-NEW DRAMA
    10-SVU

    Friday
    8-Fashion Star
    9-Grimm
    10-Rock Center

    Sunday (Midseason)
    8-The Apprentice
    10-Ready for Love

    Midseason holds:
    Go on, or Whitney

  • TV Addict

    Community=life. Without it, we will all die. Fact.
    Community needs to be renewed for two more seasons.
    Point blank.
    End of discussion.
    It’s over.
    #sixseasonsandamovie

  • Tommy M.

    @ diane, Reality TV makes money, until that changes it’s not going anywhere. Some of the highest rated shows on TV are reality shows. You may say the networks are taking the easy route, but wouldn’t you if your job was to make as much money as you could with lower expenses?

  • HAPPY!

    What do you think of my schedule above?

  • Tommy M.

    @ Happy, other than some minor differences it looks a lot like mine ;-) I really don’t see NBC not having a 2 hour comedy block next season though.

  • Shelb

    @HAPPY! – Half hour dramas don’t happen on network TV (and rarely on cable, at that).

    I don’t think NBC will ever completely get rid of their Thursday comedy block. At least 2 hours of comedy will air on NBC on Thursday, forever. They just need to rethink their line-up.

    They should keep Parks and Recreation and Community. Find a time they don’t have huge competition like they do now. Develop a new show for Gob Bluth and then run all three with the Michael J. Fox sitcom at the 8PM slot as the anchor, if it’s at all a hit.

  • Beth Ann

    White trash Whitney does not deserve a renewal! Please renew GUYS WITH KIDS, it’s such an entertaining show with a great cast!

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