NBC: As NBC Sitcom Ratings Dive, They'll Still Have To Renew Some Of Them

Categories: Cancel/Renew Index,Cancel/Renew NBC Shows

Written By

March 5th, 2013

Click this link for the latest NBC renewal / cancellation information:


bear-knife
Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts the network's decision on renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2012-13 season in May, 2013.  (includes results from December 31, 2012- March 3, 2013):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Do No Harm* canceled 0.50
Animal Practice* canceled 0.66
Smash :oops: 0.67
The New Normal :oops: 0.77
1600 Penn :oops: 0.80
Guys With Kids :oops: 0.81
Whitney :| :| :| 0.88
Go On :| :| :| 0.90
Deception :cry: :cry: 0.91
Community :| :| :| 0.91
30 Rock* final season complete 0.93
Parenthood* :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.08
Parks & Recreation :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.11
Law & Order: SVU :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.17
Chicago Fire :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.38
The Office final season 1.40
Up All Night :oops: pending
Grimm (F) :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: pending
Revolution :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: pending

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The expression "Catch A Falling Knife" comes to mind when trying to figure out which of NBC's ratings diving sitcoms might survive the season (besides Parks & Recreation which will certainly be renewed).

If (and I think they will) renew more sitcoms than just Parks & Rec, they'll be choosing among shows that have all hit a 1.1 rating or less this season. Yikes. My best guess at this point is that one or more of Community, Go On and Whitney will be renewed, but that's as close as I'm getting to grabbing at the falling knives at this point.

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. This season you can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.
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*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

From now through the end of the broadcast season in May, the Renew/Cancel Index values will only be calculated using new episodes airing during 2013. However, until new episodes of a show air in 2013, I will keep the "old"  Fall predictions in the table.

Want to know what the NBC Renew/Cancel Index table looked like at the end of the Fall season? Click here.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2013
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2013
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2013
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2013
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2013

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ie. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from past television seasons.

 
  • James

    Monday
    The Voice
    Believe

    Tuesday
    The Voice
    Hatfields & McCoys
    Parenthood

    Wednesday
    Law & Order: SVU
    Ironside (new)
    Chicago Fire

    Thursday
    Whitney
    Parks & Recs
    MJF
    Go On
    Revolution

    Friday
    Grimm
    Dracula(new)
    Dateline

  • Sandy

    What NBC should do, cancel Law & Order: SVU (which is now one of NBC’s worst shows, quality speaking, this show used to be better. I don’t know if it’s Meloni’s departure or the new writers, but SVU is horrid now) and bring back the flagship Law & Order — a show NBC knows will bring in an audience, it did for 20 years straight. ER too, NBC could use a powerful medical drama:

    ER and Law & Order revivals should really be in the works for NBC.

  • Sandy

    @James

    NBC is NOT going to start a night with dark nature/subject shows like SVU and Grimm, people would be on their asses to have these shows moved or canceled.

  • iggy

    My best guess

    Tuesday
    new – multi-cam
    Whitney

    Thursday
    Parks & Rec
    Go On
    Michael J. Fox
    new – single-cam

  • Nick

    What NBC should do for 2013-2014:

    Mon-
    8: The Voice/ The Biggest Loser
    10: The Sixth Gun (new)

    Tue-
    8: The Voice/ Hollywood Game Night
    9: After Hours (new)
    10: Chicago Fire

    Wed-
    8: Parenthood
    9: Revolution
    10: Crossbones (new)

    Thu-
    8: Betty White’s Off Their Rockers
    8:30: Parks & Recreation
    9: Untitled Michael J. Fox project (new)
    9:30: Welcome to the Family (new)
    10: Law & Order: Special Victims Unit

    Fri-
    8: Dateline
    9: Grimm
    10: Dracula (new)

    Sat-
    8: Believe (R)
    9: Law & Order: SVU (R)
    10: Saturday Night Live (R)

    Sun- (midseason)
    7: Dateline NBC
    9: Whitney
    9:30: Go On
    10: The Celebrity Apprentice

    Midseason – Rock Center with Brian Williams

  • MaryAnn

    With its dramas doing so much better than its sitcoms, why doesn’t NBC switch an hour of comedies next fall for a additional drama?

  • KJ Styles

    @Bill Gorman- If you’re certain that several sitcoms with crappy ratings will be renewed, I wouldn’t put any of them at “certain to be cancelled” status except maybe Up All Night. While some of them will definitely be cancelled, it’s hard to predict which ones.

    Personally, I think Parks and Rec and Community will definitely be renewed, Go On is likely, and the rest ranked between toss ups and likely cancellations.

  • HAPPY!

    OOPS…I made a couple of typos on Thursday, i meant to put comedies at 9 and 9:30. Here is my updated schedule.

    Monday
    8-The Voice
    10-Revolution

    Tuesday
    8-The Voice
    9-NEW DRAMA
    10-Parenthood

    Wednesday (for certain weeks , 2 hour TBL’s air)
    8-The Biggest Loser (2 seasons a year)
    9-Parks and Recreation
    9:30-Community
    10-Chicago Fire

    Thursday
    8-NEW COMEDY
    8:30-NEW COMEDY
    9-NEW COMEDY
    9:30-NEW COMEDY
    10-SVU

    Friday
    8-Fashion Star
    9-Grimm
    10-Rock Center

    Sunday (Midseason)
    8-The Apprentice
    10-Ready for Love

    Midseason holds:
    Go on, or Whitney

    Thoughts?

  • Ultima

    @Happy
    Midseason holds:
    Go on, or Whitney

    Why? They have the Olympics to promote new shows for midseason.

    I don’t think a second post-Olympics preview is going to make people watch Go On! ;)

    Also, they’ll have more than one new drama in the fall; drop The Biggest Loser to midseason.

  • alvar

    Dear NBC,

    Please cut comedy time next season, and completely rethink Thursday nights – neither are working for you. Commission comedy based on quality and not for the sake of boasting the most comedy hours of all broadcast networks. Order full seasons of Parenthood, Grimm, Revolution, Chicago Fire and SVU and try to place at least one hit show on every night of the week to bring viewers into your other programs. Abandon long hitauses to avoid alientating viewers, and instead utilise mid season replacements. Use The Voice again to launch new shows, but keep it to one season per year so you don’t risk diluting the brand. Perhaps even consider broadening your reality staple beyond The Voice and Biggest Loser and try to replicate the successes of your hit dramas when developing new ones.

  • Chris

    Community and Parks and Rec will be the comedies that get renewed.

  • tvwatcher

    Comcast aka Cabletown is running NBC into the ground life imitates art (30 Rock reference).

  • tvlog

    Community should be with Whitney on Wednesday! Up all night and Guys with Kids should merged into new show this fall! Michael J Fox show goes production for this season! Park and Recreation should the lead and Micheal J Fox show should be anchor of Thursday Night new line up! Grimm and Revolution should be team up! Smash and Parenthood should be Wednesday! Facing ABC’s Modern Family and Nashville! Chicago Fire should be behind The Voice on Mondays! Tuesday! Law and Order SUV should go back on Tuesday Night at Ten clock Eastern and Pacific/nine central and mountain! Sunday! Telemundo do Sundays after football! English version of its top telenovelas into minature miniseries! Fire Donald Trump midseason! Hire his service for Summers!

  • HAPPY!

    @Ultima
    Ok, scratch the idea of midseason holds and just cancel both shows. How about airing only a fall Biggest Loser and previewing a new drama during the Olympics to take its place after the Olympics?

  • KevinY

    The Michael J Fox sitcom is going to be a giant hit. Not enough people even know about it’s existence yet (it has a full 22 episode order). In the two big articles the LA Times ran about NBC’s sinking ratings they never even mentioned the Michael J Fox sitcom. Poor reporting.

  • stevenD

    I think Parks, Go On, and Whitney will come back next year. Not sure about Community. TNN isn’t really compatable with any of the pilots for NBC this year, and the ratings are so low, so i think it’ll be cancled.

    Sean Hayes and another multi-cam will be an hour of comedy. Whitney would be a back up for that block. I hope they pick up Holding Patterns. Although not a family comedy, it’s the first multi-cam in a while that I would be willing to check out.

    MJF I think would pair with Go On, or a single cam family comedy, with Welcome to the Family looking the most promising. Go On would be a safer bet, but NBC really wants a family comedy block.

    I like the idea of The Voice/After Hours/Chicago Fire on Tuesday. Chicago Fire is decent, and with After Hours being compatable, they could make for a powerful duo

  • Verus

    WHy couldn´t they drop all five non performing comedies ? Would it be too much of development hell ?

  • James

    @ Nick

    How are they going to repeat Believe on Saturdays if it’s not in the normal schedule?

  • Michael

    They renew Whitney…and it’s all in Syndication on that show. BIG decision for the NBC execs. I’m leaning towards renewal due to its seniority and Syndication Gods needing a new show to ‘comb’ now that Office/30 Rock are gone.

    Community is a Toss-up. I’d say renewal due to the fact it has a ‘mob/cult’ following. But once again….this will be a Spring/Summer Program. HOWEVER…out of the 3 this is MOST LIKELY TO BE CANCELLED…mainly due to Chevy Chase’s Departure and the fufillment for Syndication (84 eps) if Renewed…expect a short season to get it to 94/96.

    Go On….If they keep it after “The Voice” it will most likely too be renewed.

    As for Dead show shockers…GWK has the best SLIMIEST chance of renewal out of
    Up All Night, 1600 Penn, and New Normal.

    All 3 previously stated should be renewed. Possibly. But I will say this….They need 2 hours of Comedy (Thursday)

    Could this be the NEW NBC Comedy Thursday Lineup for the fall?? :O

    = Whitney 8
    = Go On 8:30
    = Parks and Rec 9
    = New Show (Michael J. Fox) 9:30

  • blackrock1969

    Another crack at an NBC lineup…

    Mon.
    8:00 The Voice
    10:00 Bloodline (new)

    Tue.
    8:00 The Voice results
    9:00 untitled Sean Hayes (new)
    9:30 Joe, Joe and Jane (new)
    10:00 Parenthood

    Wed.
    8:00 untitled Rand Ravich (new)
    9:00 Chicago Fire
    10:00 I Am Victor (new)

    Thu.
    8:00 Parks and Recreation
    8:30 Assistance (new)
    9:00 untitled Michael J. Fox (new)
    9:30 Go On
    10:00 Revolution

    Fri.
    8:00 Grimm
    9:00 Law & Order: SVU
    10:00 Dateline NBC

    Midseason: Community, The New Normal

    Thoughts and suggestions are welcome.

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