NBC: As NBC Sitcom Ratings Dive, They'll Still Have To Renew Some Of Them

Categories: Cancel/Renew Index,Cancel/Renew NBC Shows

Written By

March 5th, 2013

Click this link for the latest NBC renewal / cancellation information:


bear-knife
Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts the network's decision on renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2012-13 season in May, 2013.  (includes results from December 31, 2012- March 3, 2013):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Do No Harm* canceled 0.50
Animal Practice* canceled 0.66
Smash :oops: 0.67
The New Normal :oops: 0.77
1600 Penn :oops: 0.80
Guys With Kids :oops: 0.81
Whitney :| :| :| 0.88
Go On :| :| :| 0.90
Deception :cry: :cry: 0.91
Community :| :| :| 0.91
30 Rock* final season complete 0.93
Parenthood* :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.08
Parks & Recreation :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.11
Law & Order: SVU :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.17
Chicago Fire :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.38
The Office final season 1.40
Up All Night :oops: pending
Grimm (F) :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: pending
Revolution :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: pending

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The expression "Catch A Falling Knife" comes to mind when trying to figure out which of NBC's ratings diving sitcoms might survive the season (besides Parks & Recreation which will certainly be renewed).

If (and I think they will) renew more sitcoms than just Parks & Rec, they'll be choosing among shows that have all hit a 1.1 rating or less this season. Yikes. My best guess at this point is that one or more of Community, Go On and Whitney will be renewed, but that's as close as I'm getting to grabbing at the falling knives at this point.

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. This season you can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.
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*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

From now through the end of the broadcast season in May, the Renew/Cancel Index values will only be calculated using new episodes airing during 2013. However, until new episodes of a show air in 2013, I will keep the "old"  Fall predictions in the table.

Want to know what the NBC Renew/Cancel Index table looked like at the end of the Fall season? Click here.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2013
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2013
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2013
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2013
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2013

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ie. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from past television seasons.

 
  • Toxicate

    The definite renewals at this point are P&R and Whitney.

    Then from there it will be the ones they own like Guys with Kids and Go On.

    Cancelled will be Community, The New Normal, and 1600 Penn.

    If Community really needs more episodes that badly they can score them outside of NBC maybe on Comedy Central or something.

  • Jon

    Guys with kids is the best sitcom on NBC, yet sadly it has failed to catch an audience. I find it refreshing and a sitcom that you can let the whole family enjoy.

  • Lance B.

    @Toxicate

    how is whitney a definite renewal and community a definite cancellation

    when community is doing better and at a more competitive time slot??

  • Networkman

    I believe that NBC really wants Go On to work. And with it airing after The Voice, its ratings will increase to acceptable numbers for NBC to justify renewal. It will return with Parks & Rec in the Fall. I feel Community will once again come back at midseason for its final year. NBC should not air any comedies on Thursday. It should switch comedies to Tuesday & Wednesday nights.

    Tuesday
    8pm Roseanne Comedy
    8:30pm Ceelo Green Project

    Wednesday
    8pm Parks & Rec
    8:30pm Go On
    9pm Micheal J. FOX
    9:30pm Sean Hayes Project

  • Chris

    Tuesday
    8pm Sean Hayes pilot
    8:30 Guys With Kids
    9pm Joe Joe and Jane
    9:30 Whitney
    10pm Parenthood

    Wednesday
    8pm The Voice (results)
    9pm hour new comedies

    Thursday
    8pm Michael J Fox pilot
    8:30 Welcome To The Family
    9pm Parks and Rec
    9:30 Go On
    Community as midseason replacement at 8:30 on Thursday

  • blackrock1969

    @networkman

    The Cee-Lo Green project is dead.

  • Toxicate

    @ Lance B.

    Community is not doing better than Whitney, Whit is #2 comedy right now behind P&R, Community is in the middle of the pact. Wednesdays is much tougher than Thursdays and it really showed when Whit/GWK did really well in early January after the New Year then once ABC, FOX, and CBS programmed originals they went way back down. Community’s main competition is only Idol and BBT. Community is a dead show anyways look at its numbers lately.

    @ Chris

    The Tuesday schedule is perfect for the multi-cams, I think NBC is going to disband the two hour comedies on Thursdays and reduce the single-cams to 2 separate hours during the week probably Wednesdays and Thursdays.

    @ Jon

    It’s a shame that GWK never caught on but I think it was in a really bad situation and could probably shine in a much better situation NBC should really hang onto it.

  • Hugh

    The fact that Go On is capable of pulling 2s (even after The Voice) must get it a renewal.

  • omar

    this show will not come back
    Do No Harm*
    Animal Practice*
    Smash
    The New Normal
    1600 Penn
    Guys With Kids
    up all night

  • Rick

    You can’t cancel a series produced by Ryan Murphy with Ellen Barkin, Andrew Rannels and Justin Bartha on season one. You gotta give them more credit and take it to season two, at least. And I think that’s exactly what’s going to happen here. While The New Normal helped NBC win Tuesdays last fall, and in spite of the recent lose of audience, my bet is that they will give it a second chance. Perhaps it won’t be a full season, perhaps it will be a mid-season replacement, but I am certainly sure that they will give The New Normal a second season. Plus, none of the twenty-something pilots that NBC has ordered next season deals with a gay couple (a priori), so NBC has somewhat of a social responsibility to keep Brian and David up there.

  • Yessir

    @Rick

    I totally agree 100%. And that’s what’s gonna happen.

  • Lukes

    I remember when last year the NBC said that the way to proceed was to follow in the steps of Whitney.
    Well, I hope they’re enjoying the obvious result.

  • NBCya

    If NBC renews another season of Go on and TNN, It would be a dumb decision which will cause another hell season of NBC in 2013.
    Don’t forget Guys with Kids had been consistent more than Go on and TNN.
    Or just order mid-season of Go on like Community which will end this season.

    NBC has a huge potential like when ABC was several years ago.

    Just scrap all bad ratings sitcoms!!

  • NBCya

    I really like Matthew Perry but he chose a bad show. If NBC really wants to work with him, I suggest that He and Monica should be together and create Chandler and Monica which will be a huge hit of NBC and it will lead into the NBC’s golden days.

  • james

    go on is an amazing show i hope it doesnt get cancelled. its the only good sitcome on this network.

  • Steve sanders

    NBC…..now they have to pick the least smelliest turds in the bowl.

  • Ultima

    @Hugh
    The fact that Go On is capable of pulling 2s (even after The Voice) must get it a renewal.

    So when it can’t maintain a 2.0 average over its final four post-Voice episodes, it must be canceled.

  • Michael1

    “Community” suffered because NBC executives never considered the possibility that, rather than being bona fide hits, “Revolution” and “Go On” were simply the beneficiaries of being in after “The Voice.” NBC launched an entire campaign about how “Community” was moving to Friday Nights. Then, for some reason they decided to delay the start of “Community,” and keep it on Thursday. This has so far resulted in airing a Halloween episode on Valentine’s Day. I’m assuming the Muppet episode was originally intended for Christmas? Meanwhile, ratings for “Go On” have fallen below those of “Community.” Just because networks don’t care about retention rates doesn’t mean that they don’t matter.

  • Tasha

    TNN is a goner

  • Ultima

    @Toxicate
    Wednesdays is much tougher than Thursdays

    The Middle is tougher than The Big Bang Theory? You’re delusional.

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