NBC: As NBC Sitcom Ratings Dive, They'll Still Have To Renew Some Of Them

Categories: Cancel/Renew Index,Cancel/Renew NBC Shows

Written By

March 5th, 2013

Click this link for the latest NBC renewal / cancellation information:


bear-knife
Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts the network's decision on renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2012-13 season in May, 2013.  (includes results from December 31, 2012- March 3, 2013):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Do No Harm* canceled 0.50
Animal Practice* canceled 0.66
Smash :oops: 0.67
The New Normal :oops: 0.77
1600 Penn :oops: 0.80
Guys With Kids :oops: 0.81
Whitney :| :| :| 0.88
Go On :| :| :| 0.90
Deception :cry: :cry: 0.91
Community :| :| :| 0.91
30 Rock* final season complete 0.93
Parenthood* :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.08
Parks & Recreation :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.11
Law & Order: SVU :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.17
Chicago Fire :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.38
The Office final season 1.40
Up All Night :oops: pending
Grimm (F) :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: pending
Revolution :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: pending

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The expression "Catch A Falling Knife" comes to mind when trying to figure out which of NBC's ratings diving sitcoms might survive the season (besides Parks & Recreation which will certainly be renewed).

If (and I think they will) renew more sitcoms than just Parks & Rec, they'll be choosing among shows that have all hit a 1.1 rating or less this season. Yikes. My best guess at this point is that one or more of Community, Go On and Whitney will be renewed, but that's as close as I'm getting to grabbing at the falling knives at this point.

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. This season you can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.
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*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

From now through the end of the broadcast season in May, the Renew/Cancel Index values will only be calculated using new episodes airing during 2013. However, until new episodes of a show air in 2013, I will keep the "old"  Fall predictions in the table.

Want to know what the NBC Renew/Cancel Index table looked like at the end of the Fall season? Click here.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2013
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2013
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2013
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2013
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2013

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ie. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from past television seasons.

 
  • Michael1

    Parks & Recreation is both really good and really bad at the same time. The writing is clever, the plot twists are great, and it takes on issues that no other sitcoms touch, but it just has too many annoying characters, and the whole Jerry bashing just doesn’t make any sense. It’s great at retaining viewers of “The Office” but that’s about it. I’ve tried telling people about it, but it’s just too difficult to defend.

  • ArrestedDeveloper

    Come on Community! Renewed by default! Renewed by default! Renewed by default!

  • Ultima

    @Steve
    Whatever CBS cancels this year will probably be stronger than the majority of NBC ‘hits’ and might bring viewers over to the network.

    Nonsense. Most of what CBS is going to cancel is dramas, which is not what NBC is having a problem with. For example, Vegas was regularly losing head-to-head to Parenthood, how is NBC picking it up going to help them?

  • colt13

    NBC has problems. I like Whitney, but even I admit that the only reason I think it will get renewed is because the Office and 30 Rock are gone, Up All Night imploded and the New Normal wasn’t a smash.

  • James

    Go On is a good show, but honestly I can hardly stand to watch ‘normal’ TV anymore. Most of it is all the same, and the modern sitcom with rare exception is just bad.

    I’m generally happier just watching shows like Fraiser, or Scrubs on netflix, and no commercials to boot.

  • DanOregon

    I’ve been surprised how many nights NBC has pretty much just given away in recent months How many weeks did they air old SNL specials on Sundays from 9-11 and to think The Apprentice is worth two hours? Off Their Rockers is just an innings eater.
    Figure they’ll pair Go On with the Michael J. Fox sitcom in the fall.

  • Brian J

    @David Howell:

    I haven’t watched “Community,” so I can’t speak about the quality of new versus old, but if NBC and/or Sony really wants another season, my guess is that it will be burned off, with “Parks,” on Friday or even Saturday night. But does it want that? Donald Glover has a deal for his own NBC show, and Ken Jeong joined ABC’s “Spy.” If Chase is leaving, too, which he is, what’s the point in renewing it?

    CBS is interesting with its comedies, because it will either cancel at least two of them, have to expand on Thursdays, or have to open up another comedy block on another night. I don’t think they’ll cancel “Men” just yet, and now we’re down to one opening. My guess is, CBS will move “Men” to Thursdays at 9:00, put two new comedies at 8:30 and 9:30, and put one at 8:30 on Mondays. That’s at a minimum. It still might open up another comedy block somewhere.

  • Brian J

    @cadburyeasteregg:

    Ella Rae Peck has taken a role in “Welcome to the Family,” so I kind of figured “Deception” was cancelled.

  • Michael1

    @Brian J

    Community should pull a “Charlie Sheen” with everyone who is leaving. Maybe replace Donald Glover with Usher? Maybe put in Rob Schneider for Ken Jeong? They’ve already toyed with the idea of using Fred Willard for Checy Chase. They can spend the summer speculating, and then have 20 million people tune in for the season premiere. I mean, do you think anyone was tuning in to see the fallout from Alan Harper’s Ponzi scheme?

  • Miah

    Is all I care about is that Parks and Rec is renewed and renewed for a whole season. It is the only show on NBC that I get excited to watch and I think it is brilliantly written with the best cast ever. I laugh hysterically each week. I also love my Amy Poehler fix each week.

    Last year I was so excited to watch Go On and The New Normal. I got really into them at first but slowly lost interest and stopped watching. I loved Smash it’s first season and now can care less about it. I never liked Whitney and for some reason can not get into Community. I am not sure if it is because I am just anxious for Parks and Rec to air or what but I just can’t get into it. Clearly these are just my opinions. Everyone has different taste.

    NBC does need to rethink their schedule though. Community and Parks are up against The Big Bang Theory, Two and A Half Men and America Idol for god sake! If they do in fact love those 2 shows (from what I read, they do) and want them to last, they need to air on a different night. It seems like common sense.

  • Brian J

    @Michael1:

    Nobody really cares about “Chase” and he’s not embroiled in some huge scandal, so I doubt that would work.

    Also, who said they toyed with the idea of using Fred Willard?

  • Lucretia Lean Green

    I don’t get why NBC is pairing Fashion Star with Grimm…that makes no sense. They are so incompatible. Is Fashion Star just being burned off? Season One didn’t do so well so I was surprised it was renewed.

  • Kimberly

    Deception….. Please save this show. One seasons not enough. Ratings are slowly rising. I believe with more advertising in the right places. Deception will develop a good no great following.

  • NBC Fan

    @Kimberly

    What are you talking about? It’s ratings are not rising.

  • CBSviewer

    @ Kimberly

    Deception ratings:

    Episode 1 = 2.0 (5.66 million)
    Episode 2 = 1.6 (4.14 million)
    Episode 3 = 1.3 (3.61 million)
    Episode 4 = 1.2 (3.73 million)
    Episode 5 = 1.1 (3.08 million)
    Episode 6 = 1.2 (3.23 million)
    Episode 7 = 1.2 (3.13 million)
    Episode 8 = 1.2 (3.28 million)
    Episode 9 = 1.1 (3.35 million)

    Wow impressive rising !
    Just enjoy the remaining 2 episodes because the Show is DOA !

  • tony

    they need to cancel everything but the voice.

  • mando

    Actually, the characters in all of NBC sitcoms are so weird and awkward to be intimated with new viewers. Look at Parks and Rec’s ratings which has no longer attract new viewers, not to mention Community.

  • Fred

    NBC will have a tough time figuring out which low rated sitcom to renew. Unlike ABC, FOX and of course comedy king CBS, NBC has 0 sitcom hits.
    Parks does OK for NBC. But everything else should be axed. NBC needs to start fresh. Not going to happen though, NBC will continue to renew low rated shows like Community and most likely Voice dependent Go On. Maybe even Whitney because its not the lowest rated sitcom on NBC.
    The below line up is what I would do if I had control.

    2013 Fall season:

    SUNDAY:

    NFL

    MONDAY:

    VOICE
    NEW DRAMA- Allows the hopefully still strong Voice help another show.

    TUESDAY:

    VOICE
    NEW SITCOM- GO ON proved it can’t survive w/o Voice. Time for new sitcoms.
    NEW SITCOM
    PARENTHOOD-Wish NBC had more dependable shows like this. Kind of like Brother’s and Sister’s was for ABC.

    WEDNESDAY

    LAW & ORDER- Good counterprograming agaist X FACTOR and ABC sitcoms
    REVOLUTION- same as above
    CHICAGO FIRE- 10:00-caps off a full night of solid programs.

    THURSDAY

    PARKS & RECREATION
    NEW SITCOM
    NEW SITCOM
    NEW SITCOM- Time for NBC to take back Thursday with all- new sitcoms
    GRIMM-10:00- Rather not waste this on Friday. Ratings could improve here.

    FRIDAY

    All unscripted:
    BIGGEST LOSER
    Another cheap reality contest
    DATELINE- ROCK CENTER is currently getting creamed by 20/20 here. NBC can always bring it back if DATELINE can’t improve the slot. But it probably will do fine.

  • were123

    Comedies:
    Certain renewal: Parks and Community (the latter pulled 1.5 against TBBT and Idol last night, it’s here to stay).
    Likely: Whitney (1.3 is looking really good for NBC as it is right now).
    Toss up: Go On (the rating erosion is so atrocious that the might just drop it).
    Certain cancellaion: the rest

  • were123

    @Ultima
    I believe Steve meant comedies cancellations, for example Partners avaraged over 2s and that would have been a hit on NBC. On fall 2011 How to be a gentleman had a 2.6 avarage on its 2 initial episodes and got canned, that would have also been a hit on NBC

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