CBS: 'Golden Boy' & 'Vegas' Are Certain To Be Canceled, But The 3rd Drama Canceled Isn't So Certain

Categories: Cancel/Renew CBS Shows,Cancel/Renew Index

Written By

March 12th, 2013

Click this link for the latest CBS renewal / cancellation information:


uncertain-bear

Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts the network's decision on renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2012-13 season in May, 2013. (includes results from December 31, 2012- March 10, 2013):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Made In Jersey (F)* canceled 0.36
CSI:NY (F)* :cry: :cry: 0.50
Blue Bloods (F) :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 0.52
Golden Boy :oops: 0.53
The Good Wife :| :| :| 0.58
Vegas :oops: 0.58
The Mentalist :| :| :| 0.65
Partners* canceled 0.79
Hawaii Five-0 :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 0.80
CSI :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 0.80
Elementary :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 0.85
Rules of Engagement :| :| :| 0.99
Criminal Minds :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.01
NCIS: Los Angeles :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.04
Person Of Interest :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.12
Mike & Molly :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.13
NCIS renewed 1.30
How I Met Your Mother renewed 1.30
2 Broke Girls :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.31
Two and a Half Men** :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.46
The Big Bang Theory renewed 2.09

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Golden Boy is staying on Tuesday (after one disastrous Friday outing last week), and Vegas is moving to Fridays. That's just rearranging deck chairs on the Titanic, both shows are going to be dinner for the Cancellation Bear.

CBS will cancel at least one more of its spring dramas to make room on their schedule next Fall. That cancellation will come from among CSI:NY, The Good Wife and The Mentalist. Sadly, whatever decision metrics CBS will use are completely hidden to us, and my guess that of those three CSI:NY is going away boils down to two things (1) It's oldest, and likely most expensive, and (2) its season ended early, with only 17 episodes. Admittedly, those are a shaky basis for my prediction, but if I'm going to decide by the end of the season regardless, that's all I'm likely to have.

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. This season you can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.
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*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

** The Renew/Cancel Index does not attempt to predict shows ending because the cast or production company chooses to end them. These shows have the ratings for renewal, but rumored cast/production company moves may end the shows.

From now through the end of the broadcast season in May, the Renew/Cancel Index values will only be calculated using new episodes airing during 2013. However, until new episodes of a show air in 2013, I will keep the "old"  Fall predictions in the table.

Want to know what the CBS Renew/Cancel Index table looked like at the end of the Fall season? Click here.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2013
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2013
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2013
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2013
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2013

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from past television seasons.

 
  • Ultima

    @Happy

    The Mentalist(short final season)

    What does CBS get out of that?

    Elementary
    Person of Interest

    I doubt CBS is going to move its two youngest dramas to weaker timeslots at the same time. I understand wanting to try and fix those nights, but that would be a very risky move.

  • Ultima

    @Mrspapajohn
    CBS does NOT do well in the area of comedies

    CBS has five of the six highest rated comedies on TV… :roll:

    I agree completely with Holly. Complaining that CBS needs to cut sitcom and reality hours to make room for more dramas, when they already have the most drama hours, by far, of any network, just makes you look ridiculous.

  • sirg0rd

    Don’t cancel GB…potential is there…needs more time.

  • Anthony Parello (AP076)

    @Mrspapajohn
    “Finally, when are networks going to realize that we are SO tired of “reality” series. “Undercover Boss?” C’mon.”

    Really? Complaining about “reality” on CBS? They started the fall with 2 hours of 2 reality competition shows in the Fall. Undercover Boss was a pinch hitter brought in when Made in Jersey struck out early.

    CBS has the smallest reality footprint of all of the big four networks. It has no multiple hour or night affairs like The X-Factor, The think , Dancing with the Stars etc.

    People who complain about “reality” shows (differentiated for news magazine and law shows here) seldom to bother to do their homework.
    If memory serves the networks had 71 scripted show premier this fall but had only 7 reality shows. The number does go up though when new scripted shows implode or the hiatuses of the shows begin.

  • carbar

    I hope they keep Golden Boy, I like it a lot, but the title
    altho’ appropriate for the story is a bad title. Huge fan of
    Chi McBride’s, and seems he can’t get a hit series since the one
    he had on Fox — yrs ago.

    Accidently stumbled on it on a Friday’s airing, had no idea it was on
    that night. I hope, CBS gives it a better chance, because it’s a good
    show IMO. Only CBS show I watch is Mike & Molly. Tried getting into The GW,
    but after missing several episodes early on in 1st season gave up on it.

  • C’est Qui l’Papa

    Schedule of my dreams

    MONDAY
    8:00 – How I Met Your Mother
    8:30 – Rules of Engagement
    9:00 – 2 Broke Girls
    9:30 – Mom
    10:00 – Beverly Hills Cop

    TUESDAY
    8:00 – NCIS
    9:00 – NCIS: Red
    10:00 – Person of Interest

    WEDNESDAY
    8:00 – Survivor
    9:00 – Criminal Minds
    10:00 – CSI

    THURSDAY
    8:00 – The Big Bang Theory
    8:30 – Crazy Ones
    9:00 – Two and a Half Men
    9:30 – Mike & Molly
    10:00 – NCIS: Los Angeles

    FRIDAY
    8:00 – Intelligence / Undercover Boss
    9:00 – Hawaii Five-0
    10:00 – Blue Bloods

    SUNDAY
    8:00 – The Amazing Race
    9:00 – Elementary
    10:00 – The Good Wife

    I know this Schedule is impossible.

  • Danie

    People thinking and hoping The Mentalist is gonna get canceled will be surprised.

  • Bunny

    Never miss Blue Bloods, Person of Interest,Criminal Minds,CSI Investigations,CSI NY,NCIS,NCIS Los Angeles. Very good line up.

  • NE1

    Awe poor Golden Boy. He does have fabulous golden highlights, but I guess that’s not enough.

  • NE1

    Advice for How I Met Your Mother: Bring on this Mother asap! No more, gasp, ‘your mother had just walked down the same street 15 minutes ago’, we’re all getting tired of that. It’s not a shark if it’s in the title, we want to see her.

  • ric cam

    Vegas is the first drama series I’ve enjoyed since the West Wing, why not cancel dumb not real reality shows like survivor or not so amazing race

  • Merrily Snider

    The only thing these networks seem to know how to do is reality TV. The only reality show I watch is So You Think You Can Dance and I’m about over that one too. American Idol is over but doesn’t know enough to lay down and die. The Voice has been renewed and I watched it last year for the first time. There was a lot of talent on the show but they kept pushing this one girl who was if anything, just a fair singer. She won. I’m done with that show now. Dancing with the Stars has gotten to be the same way. The best dancers don’t win. It is frustrating for people like Maksim Cmeroviskiy, who is a fabulous dancer and works so hard. He wont be on this season so no motivation to watch that show. IMHO, he’s the only draw.

    Golden Boy just started and it is being cancelled already? I was beginning to like it. Figures. I have always loved The Mentalist so, obviously that will be cancelled. It doesn’t make me want to watch the inferior shows that will be coming out next season because they will be gone before the end of the season even if they have promise.

    If anyone is looking for a new show that has the repartee of 2.5 men while Charlie was still there, Charlie has a new show on FX called Anger Management. It is very funny and has a good cast.

  • Holly

    @Merrily Snider,

    <iThe only thing these networks seem to know how to do is reality TV.

    Complaining about the abundance of reality TV on CBS just makes you look silly.

  • tom

    if CBS cancels Vegas, this will be as massive a mistake as Numbers and Ghost Whisperer was = “idiots”

  • Couch

    I cannot believe they are going to cancel Golden Boy! I mean…I liked Blue Bloods for a bit…but it’s the same frickin’ episode every time. There’s a crime…and they all have dinner talking about it…soooooooo stupid! Cancel that show…but it’s probably fodder for the old folks. And mind you, I’m a big Tom Selleck fan…grew up with him in the 80s!

    But Golden Boy is refreshing with it’s minimal background story arc from episode to episode rather than typical shows that just end every week. I guess it’s ’cause people (most of them) have the attention span of a gnat and can’t follow season long storylines unless there are lots of guns and explosions via shows like 24 and whatnot.

    I just found out about Golden Boy yesterday and spent hours catching up to the last episode on the internet. I wish I’d known about it earlier. I would’ve been a weekly fan from the pilot. And yet stupid shows like How I Met Your Mother keep getting renewed!!! WTH! What’s with all these stupid sitcoms getting renewed all the time?

    I’m so sick of network TVs screwing up chances for great shows because of lack of advertising and mismanaging tv show time slots!!
    The only new show that CBS has that’s great is Elementary…and Golden Boy, while not as good, has great acting…which can’t be said of other shows. And what’s worse with Blue Bloods is the firing of Jennifer Esposito and replacing her with a 2 bit actress nobody’s ever heard of…or at least not me!

    And what’s the deal with Hawaii Five-O? That show is just plain terrible. CBS, if they cancel Golden Boy, will have only 3 good shows the entire week! Person of Interest, Elementary, and, in it’s own lovable way…NCIS…the original. The Los Angeles version was stale before season 1 finished!

    Please don’t cancel a great show like Golden Boy! I know people probably don’t watch it ‘causw the title sucks…as I almost skipped it because I thought, with a name like Golden Boy, it was going to be another stupid sitcom. When I found out it was a police show with a twist, I gave the first episode a shot…and had to immediately watch the rest, to my pleasant satisfaction! Get with it CBS! Stop being the network known as the Nursing Home channel like you were for a couple of decades! You started making and picking up good shows only to cancel them just when they got good!

    I guess the Fall Season will bring it’s usual suspects of formula hospital and lawyer shows that stink but will stay on the air for 6 seasons or more.
    Man! I’m so upset right now! Ruined my day! And Vegas should DEFINITELY get cancelled ’cause it was horrible to begin with! A cowboy show set in 1960s Las Vegas. How someone rubber stamped that idea blows my mind…regardless of how good the actors are!

    I guess it will be mostly cable shows for me from now on! At least they give the benefit of the doubt and keep shows on the air to see how they will fare over the ling haul. Look at how Southland is doing after it was cancelled on network TV after only 5 episodes or so! Now, Southland is considered to be the best cop show on years…if not a decade or more.

    Anyway…that’s my 2 cents…or more like a dime since this is the longest post I’ve ever written….and the ONLY ONE I’ve ever written about a TV show!

    Good luck keeping viewers with such lousy decisions! Oh well…maybe a cable channel will pick it up since cable doesn’t expect a 22 Nielsen share for every damn show they put on the air! Sooooooo stupid!!!

    Couch :-(

  • Couch

    Oh yeah….I forgot The Mentalist which is also a fabulous show…and if they DO cancel it, they better resolve the Red John storyline in a satisfactory way. I’d be sad if they cancelled it…but after 5 years, I’d kinda like to fins out who Reams John is since they’ve been dragging it out for far too long. I’d say a 6th season would be great with them concentrating on Red John for at least 2/3 of the shows….and then a grand finale. Nobody can be upset over a six year run. Even NCIS should probably hang up it’s dancing shoes since it’s been on for a LOOOOOONG time.

    But, as bad as CBS is, even a blind squirrel will gather a couple of acorns…like Elementary and Person of Interest (both fabulous shows with great acting!). But get rid of Blue Bloods. It’s just an extremely bland tv show with half-a55ed acting. The only reason to watch it is because Bridget Moynihan is still amazingly gorgeous…and that’s just a perverted reason to watch a show, ya know.

    OK…enough! Still upset over the news that Golden Boy is probably gonna be cancelled because America has the dumbest…most intellectually challenged viewing population in the world! I mean…it’s sad when people flock to the theater to see the new Transformers movie…but avoid films with actually trained actors like Ralph Firmness or even Keira Knightley! I mean…Will Smith has a new summer movie that will showcase his no talent son in it…just ’cause he can…and it will probably earn a few hundred million when you know the movie is gonna stink just from the one preview I’ve seen. This nepotism crap just ruins the film industry. I think 2012 was THE WORST movie year on record. I think I only enjoyed Argo…and Skyfall (’cause I’m a Bond fan). The rest I watched on the internet because $10 for crappy movies isn’t worth it any longer. And even renting the others kinda upset me ’cause I felt that I should’ve been paid to watch them!

    That’s it! I’m done crying about things beyond my control. Makes me wish I had focused my college courses towards film so that at the age of 43, I might’ve been in a position to influence things a tad bit and gotten the studios to purchase movies that are good…not just movies that a handful of people believe the uneducated masses will like because they believe themselves to be so much smarter than the rest of us!

    Cheers!

    Couch ;-)

  • Edna K

    Why would you cancel Vegas? It is a great show. Moving it to Friday night will definitely be its demise. Who watches TV on Friday night?

    Why are the seasons so short for some of these shows? I have noticed that NCIS doesn’t run from Sept to April anymore. Lots of repeats between Christmas and the middle of Feb. Criminal Minds is the same.

  • Holly

    @Edna K,

    Why would you cancel Vegas? It is a great show. Moving it to Friday night will definitely be its demise. Who watches TV on Friday night?

    Because it gets low ratings, which means it doesn’t make as much money. And it was moved to Friday because of the bad ratings.

    Why are the seasons so short for some of these shows? I have noticed that NCIS doesn’t run from Sept to April anymore. Lots of repeats between Christmas and the middle of Feb. Criminal Minds is the same.

    The TV season is 34 weeks but most shows only get 22 episodes, which means repeats and hiatuses. The cost of producing more episodes (and the difficulties of writing and producing that many episodes) outweighs any benefit gained from not running repeats.

  • Sandy A

    I would rather see The Mentalist or CSI:Miami cancelled than Vegas. Give Vegas a chance in a new time slot on Friday’s just before Blue Bloods. You might be surprised when the ratings go up!

  • SCasas

    As long as they renew Criminal Minds I’m happy!

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