CW: "'The Carrie Diaries' Has No Lead In" & Other Nonsense

Categories: Cancel/Renew CW Shows,Cancel/Renew Index

Written By

March 12th, 2013

Click this link for the latest CW renewal / cancellation information:


nonsense-bear

Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts the network's decision on renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2012-13 season in May, 2013. (includes results from December 31, 2012- March 10, 2013):


Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Cult :oops: 0.42
90210 canceled 0.52
Emily Owens, M.D.* canceled 0.54
Nikita (F) :) :) :) :) 0.61
Gossip Girl* final season complete 0.61
The Carrie Diaries :| :| :| 0.79
Hart Of Dixie :) :) :) :) 0.90
Beauty And The Beast :| :| :| 0.95
Supernatural renewed 1.46
Arrow renewed 1.60
Vampire Diaries renewed 1.94

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One of the more ridiculous Fan Excuse Bingo plays the Cancellation Bear sees in our comments is something on the order of "The Carrie Diaries has no lead in". That's complete nonsense.

Do the bingo players imagine that CW affiliates broadcast dead air at 7:30pm?

As a matter of fact, the local syndicated shows that those CW affiliates broadcast at 7:30 averaged a 0.78 adults 18-49 rating from Monday -Friday last week, that's better than all but 3 of CW's primetime hours for original episodes.

Other similar nonsense phrases to look for from the bingo players "it's a self starter", "it gets no support", etc. Treat those confused bingo players as you wish.

I was waiting for another week of stable ratings before moving Hart Of Dixie to "likely to be renewed". Perhaps Robert was too. He beat me to it on Sunday. I pretty much agree with his HOD logic (2nd season show, ratings higher recently than TCD & BATB, CW won't cancel all 3), but differ a bit on The Carrie Diaries and Beauty & The Beast. While I believe that the CW will cancel one of the two, I don't believe they will cancel both. More on that next week.

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. This season you can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.

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From now through the end of the broadcast season in May, the Renew/Cancel Index values will only be calculated using new episodes airing during 2013. However, until new episodes of a show air in 2013, I will keep the "old"  Fall predictions in the table.

Want to know what the CW Renew/Cancel Index table looked like at the end of the Fall season? Click here.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2013
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2013
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2013
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2013
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2012

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from the 2010-11 broadcast television season.

 
  • Renee

    I like you Bill Gorman. That’s how to be blunt.

  • Cassie

    “@DonnaT
    *Facepalm* Angellica T and Cassie.

    How many times do you have to be informed that TSC is NOT coming back? Many of the actors have moved onto other projects.”

    We know it’s not coming back but that doesn’t change the fact that it’s CW’s Game of Thrones!!

    90210 is cancelled, Kennedy & Zylka are just guest stars. Zylka became a fan fave that why he was promoted to series regular.

    CW ONLY picked up & wrote The Originals because of CW’s one and only breakthrough actress Phoebe Tonkin. Everyone knows it’s a fact.

    Is Shelley on another show?

    Britt OBVS will never have her own show for now seeing her luck with shows when she’s the lead.

    I know I’m wasting my time on this lol but The CW knows this, they made the wrong decision of cancelling their Emmy worthy gem.

  • herpderp

    ROFL @ these TSC trolls.

  • Holly

    that doesn’t change the fact that it’s CW’s Game of Thrones!!

    Wow…just wow.

  • Kavyn

    @Cassie: You did not just compare TSC to Game of Thrones. Oh my God ahahaha.

    TSC was utter garbage. Just like BATB. The writing was HORRIBLE and the acting (from the kids, anyways) was HORRIBLE. The only reason people tuned in was because it was specifically designed to attract the TVD audience, and it failed. You have pretty kids that handle magic, each being some sort of stereotype portrayed awfully. You have relationship drama. I mean for real, TSC was much more similar to 90210 than it was to TVD.

    Dear God, you really need to watch Game of Thrones and NEVER make a comparison like that again. If you were trolling, you totally got me lol.

  • FLOP CW

    What’s the deal with “Games Of Thrones” , I mean , it’s a bad show.

  • Angellica .T.

    Yes cw made a very big mistake cancelling the secret circle and maybe thats what u think but i think me and cassie should keep beleaving in it because we have a feeling

  • FLOP CW

    TSC won’t be back , because actors have OTHER PILOTS / SHOWS.

  • Cassie

    TSC aside, I’m just glad for once a page wasn’t about TCD vs B&TB for once. Idk why fandoms of those 2 failed shows attack each other like there’s no tomorrow & you LITERALLY see the same points & excuses every week! B&TB having better lead-ins yada yada TCD to be the next GG and it failed yada yada. Those 2 are basically on the same level of CULT hahahahahaha.

    “Kavyn
    @Cassie: You did not just compare TSC to Game of Thrones. Oh my God ahahaha.

    TSC was utter garbage. Just like BATB. The writing was HORRIBLE and the acting (from the kids, anyways) was HORRIBLE. The only reason people tuned in was because it was specifically designed to attract the TVD audience, and it failed. You have pretty kids that handle magic, each being some sort of stereotype portrayed awfully. You have relationship drama. I mean for real, TSC was much more similar to 90210 than it was to TVD.

    Dear God, you really need to watch Game of Thrones and NEVER make a comparison like that again. If you were trolling, you totally got me lol.”

    You did not just compare TSC to B&TB hahahah! I agree tho, it was more similar to 90210 on most episodes. They screwed it up. The writers. Of course their cast stays flaw free.

  • Angellica .T.

    Secret circle is none like 90210 stupid come back. Back off wow let us beleave whatever we want dude its not u so go on about something else cuz we are not given up

  • Dan

    Ok, so TCD has a 0.7 lead-in. That still makes it a better.fighter than Batb, which last time scored a 0.5 out of TVD’s lead-in of 1.3! It’s exactly why TCD should be renewed and Batb cancelled. Pli
    s batb hitting 0.4 before its finale is highly likely with spring decreases. It will prove TCD’s the one to be renewed over it.

  • Cassie

    I just said for once TWICE oh god time to leave

  • Cassie

    @Angellica .T.
    Secret circle is none like 90210 stupid come back. Back off wow let us beleave whatever we want dude its not u so go on about something else cuz we are not given up

    OMG hahaha sorry I agreed to that but it’s true. There were episode around 10-15 that are so unnecessary and it was on it’s 1st season they should have focused on their main story lines. Too bad they improved a few episodes before the finaly/was cancelled. :(

  • Angellica .T.

    Yea

  • Davis

    @Heather

    Have you ever even LOOKED at the numbers?? “HART OF DIXIE” is one of the only shows that has maintained it’s ratings in the Tuesday death spot on The CW. Not to mention when you count it’s +7 DVR numbers it’s also the 4th highest rated show on CW (behind Supernatural, Arrow and TVD). It’s numbers have always been rock solid since it’s premiere. Not GREAT by any means, but always steady. Chances are no matter where you place it, it will always do the same number. It will surely be sticking around for AT LEAST 2 more seasons.

  • Bobby

    I hope Beauty and the beast is cancelled for the sole reason that its in The Secret Circle’s old place. God, it still pisses me off so much that was cancelled…

  • Rachel

    @Cassie

    LMAO

  • Cassie

    Amen @ Davis.

    Hart of Dixus Christ is kinda impressive given that (i know it’s repetitive) it was barely promoted and all of it’s audience are probably just from word of mouth & the show is simply just watcheable. I read a very memorable comment here before that it was like the ugly stepsister that everyone wanted to fail but look where it is now. I totally agree.

  • Lmw931

    They should just cancel both TCD and BATB the ratings are low and they will only drop further next year and if the CW are serious about changing the network both should be cancelled

  • Charmed

    I think TCD will be renewed, call me delusional all you want. BATB will soon be hitting 0.4′s. TCD is reliable and steady and would work well with HOD next season. If they had a choice between a show that gets 0.4′s after a 0.7 ‘lead in’, or a show that gets a 0.4 after a 1.3 lead in, what do you think they would pick?

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