NBC: Three Sitcoms Could Be Renewed Besides 'Parks & Rec', But The Cancellation Bear Is Still Chicken

Categories: Cancel/Renew Index,Cancel/Renew NBC Shows

Written By

March 12th, 2013

Click this link for the latest NBC renewal / cancellation information:


bear-chicken
Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts the network's decision on renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2012-13 season in May, 2013.  (includes results from December 31, 2012- March 10, 2013):


Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Do No Harm* canceled 0.50
Smash :oops: 0.65
Animal Practice* canceled 0.66
The New Normal :oops: 0.77
1600 Penn :oops: 0.78
Guys With Kids :oops: 0.82
Go On :| :| :| 0.89
Whitney :| :| :| 0.90
Deception :cry: :cry: 0.91
30 Rock* final season complete 0.93
Community :| :| :| 0.95
Grimm (F) :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.03
Parenthood* :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.08
Parks & Recreation :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.13
Law & Order: SVU :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.20
Chicago Fire :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.41
The Office final season 1.43
Up All Night :oops: pending
Revolution :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: pending

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The Cancellation Bear is of the mind that Community, Go On and Whitney are all potential NBC sitcom renewals (Parks & Recreation is certain to be renewed), but he's not making the move yet. Chicken? Cluck! But Community's 1.9 premiere rating said "certain renewal" and two weeks later it hit a series low 1.1 rating. Its recovered since then, but the cancellation bear is still worried about touching that potentially hot stove again.

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. This season you can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.
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*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

From now through the end of the broadcast season in May, the Renew/Cancel Index values will only be calculated using new episodes airing during 2013. However, until new episodes of a show air in 2013, I will keep the "old"  Fall predictions in the table.

Want to know what the NBC Renew/Cancel Index table looked like at the end of the Fall season? Click here.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2013
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2013
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2013
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2013
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2013

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ie. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from past television seasons.

 
  • Davis

    Sunday
    SNF

    Monday
    The Voice
    Believe (new)

    Tuesday
    The Voice
    Hatfields & McCoys (new)
    Parenthood

    Wednesday
    Whitney
    Brenda Forever (new)
    Revolution
    Chicago Fire

    Thursday
    Community
    Parks & Rec.
    MJF (new)
    Go On
    Law & Order: SVU

    Friday
    Dateline
    Grimm
    Dracula (new)

  • HAPPY!

    @Davis
    Great schedule. That is one of the best I have seen so far.

  • The Other Tony

    @Ultima –

    That’s a good point, I totally forgot about the Winter Olympics.

    What they could do is run both Revolution and Parenthood, each for 13 episodes, from September through December. Then both of them would return in the spring to finish a Back-Nine order for their respective seasons, following the conclusion of the Winter Olympics.

    I guess the Olympics means that NBC doesn’t need quite so many new series to wait in the wings, this year…

  • Elijah

    I remember when I thought, along with everyone else, that Grimm was not going to last and be one of the first new shows cancelled last year. I’m so happy that shows like Grimm can survive, even when they take 50 month hiatuses and have leadins such as Fashion Star. It defies all logic really, how can this show put up the ratings it does with the way it’s treated?

  • steve

    Grimm survives because a lot of Buffy The Vampire Slayer fans (including myself) watch it!

  • Brian J

    @Davis:

    That’s not a bad schedule, but I wonder if NBC might be better served by pairing off certain series and focusing on less competitive nights to launch its comedies. By that, I mean putting, say, Believe, Bloodline, and The Sixth Gun all on the same night and trying to launch a comedy block on Mondays.

    @The Other Tony:

    Problem is, NBC should probably want to launch more series next season, as it has a good promotional platform in the Olympics. It could order a lot of new series but not launch all of them in the fall, giving those that actually do launch in the first half of the season more promotion and a bigger initial tune in.

    @Elijah:

    It’s been a pleasant surprise and one that shows that NBC is doing some things right. But it hasn’t been 50 months; it’s only been 15 weeks, as this season started way early for Grimm.

    I also think NBC should consider moving it to a new night. It almost certainly won’t do any worse than it does now and could in fact do much better. I’ve suggested that NBC could move the show to Thursdays at 9:00 and put America’s Got Talent before it in the summer to give it more exposure. NBC could also pair the show with similar dramas and try to zig while others zag on the night, aka chasing a different type of viewer.

  • Miranda

    They should renew Whitney and Go On because they are excellent!

  • Jose Antonio Santos

    But we love The New Normal!!!! Grrrr :O

  • meg NY

    Keep Go On! Love all of them…quirky bunch!

  • Jordan

    uh if Go On goes to Thursdays, it’s going to die. It needs a good lead in.

  • RenewCommunityyouSOBS

    This week’s episode of Community was the funniest 30 minutes of TV I’ve seen in years. It was so good I went to iTunes and downloaded it afterward so I could watch it on the train to work the next day. I wonder if NBC looks at the passion of the fans as well as the viewers? I’d be delighted to buy another full season of Community if they’d keep it on the air.

    Heck, they could just put Dean Pelton up there for a half-hour and I’d watch.

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