NBC: Three Sitcoms Could Be Renewed Besides 'Parks & Rec', But The Cancellation Bear Is Still Chicken

Categories: Cancel/Renew Index,Cancel/Renew NBC Shows

Written By

March 12th, 2013

Click this link for the latest NBC renewal / cancellation information:


bear-chicken
Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts the network's decision on renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2012-13 season in May, 2013.  (includes results from December 31, 2012- March 10, 2013):


Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Do No Harm* canceled 0.50
Smash :oops: 0.65
Animal Practice* canceled 0.66
The New Normal :oops: 0.77
1600 Penn :oops: 0.78
Guys With Kids :oops: 0.82
Go On :| :| :| 0.89
Whitney :| :| :| 0.90
Deception :cry: :cry: 0.91
30 Rock* final season complete 0.93
Community :| :| :| 0.95
Grimm (F) :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.03
Parenthood* :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.08
Parks & Recreation :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.13
Law & Order: SVU :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.20
Chicago Fire :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.41
The Office final season 1.43
Up All Night :oops: pending
Revolution :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: pending

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The Cancellation Bear is of the mind that Community, Go On and Whitney are all potential NBC sitcom renewals (Parks & Recreation is certain to be renewed), but he's not making the move yet. Chicken? Cluck! But Community's 1.9 premiere rating said "certain renewal" and two weeks later it hit a series low 1.1 rating. Its recovered since then, but the cancellation bear is still worried about touching that potentially hot stove again.

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. This season you can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.
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*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

From now through the end of the broadcast season in May, the Renew/Cancel Index values will only be calculated using new episodes airing during 2013. However, until new episodes of a show air in 2013, I will keep the "old"  Fall predictions in the table.

Want to know what the NBC Renew/Cancel Index table looked like at the end of the Fall season? Click here.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2013
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2013
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2013
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2013
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2013

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ie. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from past television seasons.

 
  • Brian J

    @Dan:

    It seems like way too much to have three NCIS shows back to back, particularly when CBS has some spots in its schedule where it might do some good. I’d move NCIS: LA to either Wednesdays, Fridays, or Sundays, depending on what else CBS renews, moves, or launches, particularly in regards to comedies. It could hold its own, if not dominate, on any night.

    As far as what other networks might air Tuesdays at 9:00, who knows? I think it’s an underrated slot for CBS to try a comedy, but it seems like NCIS: LA will stay there, the new NCIS spin off will go there, or another drama would go there. Fox is a concern, to some degree, as New Girl is a good and popular show with some demographics, but it shouldn’t be that hard for ABC or NBC to counter program. ABC seems to be order a lot of non-family oriented shows, so perhaps it’ll try two or four comedies there. And then there’s NBC: I happen to think this a perfect spot for its MJF show, unless perhaps CBS puts a comedy there. If NBC did that, nobody would care what ABC put there, and New Girl, assuming it even stays there, wouldn’t be competing for exactly the same demographic.

    I focus on NBC the most, so for me, this is one of the most interesting slots. I don’t see Go On staying here unless it surges when The Voice returns, and if NBC doesn’t put its MJF show here, what other comedies might work? If the network puts a drama here, which one might it be?

    @Dan S:

    I’m less concerned about where Parks goes than whether it comes back. I’d like it to have more exposure, because it might be able to grow its audience, ever at this point, but it might be better for NBC to focus on building other nights.

  • Jazz

    Did Grimm start out on Friday last year or was it moved? I don’t remember.

    I believe Donald Glover from Community has something in the works.

  • Oliver

    @Brian J

    Both shows have cable deals (Parks with WGN America and Esquire, Community with Comedy Central) but neither have been offered for broadcast syndication (i.e. local TV stations).

  • Brian J

    @Oliver:

    Is there a big difference between those syndication offers?

    @Jazz:

    Donald Glover supposedly has a deal in the works to star in his own NBC show. Not that this necessarily prevents him from doing a final season of Community as well, but considering him, but Chevy Chase is leaving and Ken Jeong is signed on for an ABC comedy. Might these be indications the show is over?

  • andri

    Waiting for the foxhound cancellation of “the new normal” “guys with kids” “1 600 Penn ” foresting the end of the smasher. “Smash” outgoing Tv.

  • yusei fudo

    NBC 2013 2014 Scheduel
    Sunday
    mid season

    7:00pm:Dateline
    8:00pm:Hollywood Game Night
    9:00pm:The Apprentice
    10:00pm:Believe
    ____________________________________________________________________________
    Monday
    Fall
    8:00pm:The Voice
    9:00pm:The Voice
    10:00pm:Bloodline
    ____________________________________________________________________________
    mid season
    8:00pm:The Biggest Loser
    9:00pm:The Biggest Loser
    10:00pm:The Blacklist
    ____________________________________________________________________________
    Spring
    8:00pm:The Voice
    9:00pm:The Voice
    10:00pm:Bloodline
    ____________________________________________________________________________
    Tuesday
    Fall
    8:00pm:The Voice
    9:00pm: Revolution
    10:00pm:Parenthood
    ____________________________________________________________________________
    midseason
    8:00pm: Undatable
    8:30pm: Holding Patterns
    9:00pm:Revolution
    10:00pm:Parenthood
    ____________________________________________________________________________
    Spring
    8:00pm:The Voice
    9:00pm: Revolution
    10:00pm:Parenthood
    ____________________________________________________________________________
    Wendsday
    8:00pm: Wonderland
    9:00pm: Law & Order SVU
    10:00pm:Chicago Fire
    ____________________________________________________________________________
    Thursday
    8:00pm: Whitney
    8:30pm: Joe Joe & Jane
    9:00pm: Parks & Recreation
    9:30pm: Girl In A Coma
    10:00pm: GO On
    10:30pm: Family Guide
    ____________________________________________________________________________
    Friday
    8:00pm: The Sixth Gun
    9:00pm:Grimm
    10:00pm:Dracula

  • yusei fudo

    NBC 2013 2014 Schedule
    Sunday
    mid season

    7:00pm:Dateline
    8:00pm:Hollywood Game Night
    9:00pm:The Apprentice
    10:00pm:Believe
    ____________________________________________________________________________
    Monday
    Fall
    8:00pm:The Voice
    9:00pm:The Voice
    10:00pm:Bloodline
    ____________________________________________________________________________
    mid season
    8:00pm:The Biggest Loser
    9:00pm:The Biggest Loser
    10:00pm:The Blacklist
    ____________________________________________________________________________
    Spring
    8:00pm:The Voice
    9:00pm:The Voice
    10:00pm:Bloodline
    ____________________________________________________________________________
    Tuesday
    Fall
    8:00pm:The Voice
    9:00pm: Revolution
    10:00pm:Parenthood
    ____________________________________________________________________________
    midseason
    8:00pm: Undatable
    8:30pm: Holding Patterns
    9:00pm:Revolution
    10:00pm:Parenthood
    ____________________________________________________________________________
    Spring
    8:00pm:The Voice
    9:00pm: Revolution
    10:00pm:Parenthood
    ____________________________________________________________________________
    Wendsday
    8:00pm: Wonderland
    9:00pm: Law & Order SVU
    10:00pm:Chicago Fire
    ____________________________________________________________________________
    Thursday
    8:00pm: Whitney
    8:30pm: Joe Joe & Jane
    9:00pm: Parks & Recreation
    9:30pm: Girl In A Coma
    10:00pm: GO On
    10:30pm: Family Guide
    ____________________________________________________________________________
    Friday
    8:00pm: The Sixth Gun
    9:00pm:Grimm
    10:00pm:Dracula

  • 7 UP

    NBC realistically needs to end the 2-hour comedy block and just turn it into one hour with Community and P&R wrapping up their runs next season at 8pm. Then Go On with MJF when Community and P&R after the Olympics.

    Since Whitney is pretty much a reliable multi-cam with syndication value if renewed they could build another night around her again with the new multi-cams. The Chris D’elia thing is confusing but it probably all depends if Whit gets renewed or if that show gets picked up and NBC does a talent transfer. They can save GWK as a mid-season option and put it with Sean Hayes.

  • Douglas from Brazil

    Why people are writing long comments here?

  • Brian J

    @ 7 UP:

    Yeah, at this point, I’d want to see comedies on Thursdays is if they (a) let Parks and Community go for another season, perhaps a final one, or (b) put one of those shows, like Parks, paired with a niche show that would need some time to straighten itself out creatively, like The Office and Parks did. I think the MJF show could be better used on another night.

    The only other way NBC should handle the night is to have four entirely new comedies premiere, even if it puts the MJF show on another night. But because I think it needs to focus on making two or three work before trying to regain its foothold on multiple nights, I’m leaning against that notion. I think it’s better to buy a bunch of new ones and roll half of them out in the spring season.

    More specifically, put the new MJF show on Tuesdays, followed by, say, Welcome to the Family, and if/when those are hits, move Welcome to the Family or some similar single cam show to earlier in the night. Or just put one or two new comedies in front of it, trimming The Voice or moving the show. On Mondays, it could put one multi cam show on after The Voice at 9:30. If that show is a hit, it could move it up by a half hour or put a new multi cam show in front of it. If it doesn’t work, cancel it and put one or maybe two new multi cams on Mondays.

    That’s 3 comedies in the fall, not including some basically irrelevant runs of Parks and/or Community on Thursdays, and then 5 or 6 in the spring on between Mondays and Tuesdays. BUT if it goes with four on Tuesdays, it should consider splitting The Voice between Sundays and Mondays. It needs something to fill the void on Sundays once football is done, and The Voice could easily give NBC a big boost on the night. NBC could put that show on Sundays at 8:00, two new sitcoms on at 9:00, and then feature a new regular drama or the return of Hannibal or something similarly short.

    Why wouldn’t this work?

  • Brian J

    @Jazz:

    NBC planned to put four or five episodes of Grimm on Mondays in the late summer/early fall to help it gain viewers, but the reality shows before it fizzled. The first episode of The Voice was supposed to lead into the fourth/fifth episode of Grimm before it went back to Fridays, but NBC changed its mind at the last minute, instead putting on The New Normal instead.

  • Jazz

    @Brian J

    Thank you. Oh, that’s right. I think I remember some crazy stuff. Following Comic Con and the Olympics, they chose to air it in the summer but aired it on Monday for a while. Yes, that was super crazy.

  • Joseph

    When will the Cancellation Bear put “Smash” out of it’s misery??

  • Joseph

    Isn’t NBC going to carry Notre Dame college football games in prime-time on eight Saturday nights this Fall??

  • Brian J

    @Jazz:

    I don’t think it was that crazy. I just think it would have made more sense to use a big asset like America’s Got Talent to support that show or other shows, like Parenthood.

    This is where I am most frustrated with NBC: they aren’t doing a lot to build up their schedule.

    Anyway, these Monday airings convinced me Grimm has a kind of small but loyal audience. At this point, I think this audience would follow the show anywhere, so unless NBC is prepared to put four new comedies on Thursdays, I think Grimm would do well there. NBC could use America’s Got Talent to promote the show and help it settle into its new slot and surround it by one or two new dramas or one new drama and some niche shows like Parks or Community. If/when NBC has stronger comedies, it can then move them to Thursdays. I think it makes more sense to let a new, likely huge show like the MJF sitcom go on another night, where it has a better chance of dominating and thus helping grow the entire schedule.

    If not Thursdays, Wednesdays would work, too.

  • Brian J

    @Joseph:

    I didn’t hear about that, or forgot about it, assuming it’s true. As I said elsewhere, I am not a sports guy, so I don’t know much about who plays what games. But if that’s the case, NBC should think about putting something original on those nights, like The Biggest Loser.

    That should would also work on Fridays at 8:00, at least for part of the season. NBC could put, say, Chicago Fire there (I think this would work best on Fridays, for a few reasons) and/or a final shortened season of SVU, and then a new drama, or something like that.

  • Ultima

    @Joseph
    Isn’t NBC going to carry Notre Dame college football games in prime-time on eight Saturday nights this Fall?

    No.

  • sofaspud

    So at this rate, how likely is it that SMASH will even finish airing all of its episodes? It seems to be moving closer and closer to DO NO HARM territory.

  • Kavyn

    @Brian J: Sounds like something they could do, although I don’t see why they have to make it P&R/Community’s ‘final’ season.

    I’m sure they’ll just create another batch of comedies and try again this year, even if most of them do flop I’m sure they’re hoping for at least one of them to be a hit. I don’t understand why they’re not looking for more from the writers of P&R, 30 Rock, Community and The Office, since those four shows are quite highly regarded by the critics.

  • Nick

    What NBC should do for 2013-2014:

    Mon-
    8: The Voice/ The Biggest Loser
    10: Believe (new)

    Tue-
    8: The Voice/ Hollywood Game Night
    9: After Hours (new)
    10: Chicago Fire

    Wed-
    8: Parenthood
    9: Revolution
    10: Crossbones (new)

    Thu-
    8: Betty White’s Off Their Rockers
    8:30: Parks & Recreation
    9: Untitled Michael J. Fox project (new)
    9:30: Welcome to the Family (new)
    10: Law & Order: Special Victims Unit

    Fri-
    8: Dateline
    9: Grimm
    10: Dracula (new)

    Sat-
    8: Dracula (R)
    9: Law & Order: SVU (R)
    10: Saturday Night Live (R)

    Sun- (midseason)
    7: Dateline NBC
    9: Whitney
    9:30: Go On
    10: The Celebrity Apprentice

    Midseason – Rock Center with Brian Williams

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