NBC: Three Sitcoms Could Be Renewed Besides 'Parks & Rec', But The Cancellation Bear Is Still Chicken

Categories: Cancel/Renew Index,Cancel/Renew NBC Shows

Written By

March 12th, 2013

Click this link for the latest NBC renewal / cancellation information:


bear-chicken
Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts the network's decision on renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2012-13 season in May, 2013.  (includes results from December 31, 2012- March 10, 2013):


Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Do No Harm* canceled 0.50
Smash :oops: 0.65
Animal Practice* canceled 0.66
The New Normal :oops: 0.77
1600 Penn :oops: 0.78
Guys With Kids :oops: 0.82
Go On :| :| :| 0.89
Whitney :| :| :| 0.90
Deception :cry: :cry: 0.91
30 Rock* final season complete 0.93
Community :| :| :| 0.95
Grimm (F) :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.03
Parenthood* :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.08
Parks & Recreation :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.13
Law & Order: SVU :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.20
Chicago Fire :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.41
The Office final season 1.43
Up All Night :oops: pending
Revolution :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: pending

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The Cancellation Bear is of the mind that Community, Go On and Whitney are all potential NBC sitcom renewals (Parks & Recreation is certain to be renewed), but he's not making the move yet. Chicken? Cluck! But Community's 1.9 premiere rating said "certain renewal" and two weeks later it hit a series low 1.1 rating. Its recovered since then, but the cancellation bear is still worried about touching that potentially hot stove again.

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. This season you can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.
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*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

From now through the end of the broadcast season in May, the Renew/Cancel Index values will only be calculated using new episodes airing during 2013. However, until new episodes of a show air in 2013, I will keep the "old"  Fall predictions in the table.

Want to know what the NBC Renew/Cancel Index table looked like at the end of the Fall season? Click here.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2013
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2013
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2013
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2013
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2013

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ie. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from past television seasons.

 
  • Rebecca

    Saturday burn-off coming for Smash, and moves for GO and TNN – no link here but see new article on TVBTN. It’ll be interesting to see how GO fares on Thursdays even with just two Thursdays involved.

  • Kitsune

    Armchair Scheduling GO GO GO!

    MONDAYS:
    8 – Revolution
    9 – Grimm
    10 – The Sixth Gun

    Assuming The Voice does not return in September, it should return in late October. This will allow it eight weeks to air the Auditions, Battles, and Knockouts before Christmas, then the live shows can start after New Years. This will allow about five or six episodes of Revolution and Grimm to air BEFORE The Voice takes over the slot. Revolution should hopefully remain strong enough to anchor the night. Revolution would then air the rest of its 16 (or so) episodes during the mid-season (or if Sixth Gun fails, return to 10 PM) and Grimm will go back to Fridays at Halloween. Once The Voice exits in February, 9 PM should be populated by Crossbones or Believe.

    TUESDAYS
    8 – Betty White’s Off Their Rockers
    8:30 – Go On
    9 – Michael J Fox
    9:30 – About a Boy
    10 – Parenthood

    Same thing here. The Voice comes back in October. OTR and Go On can then be used as filler. Air The Gates or Welcome to the Family here if MJF or About a Boy bomb. If Parenthood is short-ordered (or if 9 PM totally tanks), plan to air The Secret Lives of Husbands and Wives on this night. Biggest Loser should come back in March.

    WEDNESDAY
    8 – Whitney
    8:30 – Joe, Joe, and Jane
    9 – Hatfields and McCoys
    10 – Chicago Fire

    Whitney might not be strong enough to hold the night, but if JJJ is successful, pull Whitney and swap in Holding Patterns. Regardless, hold Holding Patterns and Ironside for midseason.

    THURSDAY
    8 – Community
    8:30 – Parks and Recreation
    9 – Assistance
    9:30 – Girlfriend in a Coma
    10 – Law and Order SVU

    Assistance and GiaC seem compatible, what with female leads. If Assistance or Girlfriend tanks, put Craig Robertson here. Or The Gates or Welcome to the Family.

    FRIDAY
    8 – Dateline NBC
    9 – Rock Center with Brian Williams
    10 – Dracula

    10 PM should be Revolution or Grimm or The Sixth Gun repeats until October. Grimm will return to 9 PM here and Dracula will premiere with it. Whichover of Crossbones and Believe does not premiere on Monday at midseason should go here.

    SUNDAY
    7 – Sunday Night Football

    At midseason, 7 should be Dateline NBC, 8 should be Celebrity Apprentice, 10 should be Rock Center. If the comedy pilots do especially well, consider blocking an hour of the leftovers here (Craig Robertson and Welcome to the Family maybe?) and paring Celebrity Apprentice down to an hour.

  • Oliver

    According to Deadline, NBC is bringing back The Sing-Off for the holidays.

    I never understood why they cancelled it. Yes, it flopped in the fall, so why not revert to the previous format that worked rather than axing it entirely? I bet it does big business launched behind The Voice.

  • Jennifer

    NBC is airing Go On and TNN originals for March 19th and 26th, then Go On moves to Thursdays AND The New Normal has its season finale on April 2nd, after The Voice! Two episodes merged in a 1h season finale, after the biggest flagship of the network. This could be indicatory that they do want to save the series. If they promote it heavily, TNN’s finale could actually jump above 1.5 really easily, and grant it a second season.

  • Funeral Dinner

    I don’t think Go On & The New Normal will get renewed over Whitney. Both new shows are doing worse than Whitney was in it’s first season (eat that Whitney trolls), but NBC could possibly give Go On a pity renewal with 13 episodes. But I think Guys with Kids is definately cancelled and TNN is down in viewers every week.. even if it’s all about demo, losing viewers every week is bad when you’re already below 3 million.

  • steve sanders

    Chris D’elia (male lead on whitney)has a new pilot coming on NBC,so I’m pretty sure Whitney wont be back.

  • chrisss

    @ steve sanders

    I keep reading that, but I haven’t seen it reported anywhere…

  • Brad

    Stop being such a chicken bear! I need to know the fate of Community before NBC announces it!

  • Jackson

    NBC has to bring new people to the block. At this point, considering costs and possibilities, I would renew Go On and The New Normal (particularly the last one) before Whitney or Community. The later two have had enough years to build on something, but couldn’t. Go On and TNN, re-tooled, still have a chance to take off next season. Actually, both comedies were doing pretty fine last fall before NBC aired them without The Voice. That was too soon. That was like removing the training wheels of a children’s bike on day two. You can’t expect Go On and TNN to build an audience against older shows like NCIS, Mindy or New Girl without a powerful lead-in on first season…

  • Fred

    NBC FALL 2013

    SUNDAY

    NFL

    MONDAY

    THE VOICE-2 Hrs
    New drama-10:00- Allows The Voice to help another show while it still can.

    TUESDAY

    THE VOICE
    NEW SITCOM- GO ON proved to be a disaster w/o the strong lead in.
    NEW SITCOM
    PARENTHOOD-10:00- Solid player here.

    WEDNESDAY

    REVOLUTION
    CHICAGO FIRE
    LAW & ORDER SUV-10:00

    Thursday

    PARKS & RECREATION- No sitcom can compete against BBT, but P&R at least has a core fan base.
    New sitcom-
    COMMUNITY
    New sitcom
    GRIMM-10:00- This show can entice more viewers here than slow Friday. Deserves a chance to grow.

    Friday

    New reality contest.
    ROCK CENTER-should improve on its awful 10:00 performance
    DATELINE-10:00 – should do better than Rock Center here and compete with 20/20.

  • Brian J

    @Kavyn:

    It seems like they are looking into deals with those writers/producers or have signed them in recent months to new deals, but that doesn’t always produce a show right away.

  • Brian J

    @Kitsune:

    I’m not sure that would work, since NBC seems determined to air two blocks of The Voice in one season but will probably give it a long break, like it did this time.

  • Zachary

    Whitney, 1600 Penn and Guys with Kids are all dead in the water as members of their casts have signed on for new shows. It’s very rare for a show to be renewed after that (Happy Endings and uh…), so I don’t think we’ll be seeing any of them. While I happen to really like 1600 Penn, getting rid of Whitney and letting Chris D’Elia and Rhea Seehorn move onto better projects is more than worth it.

    I doubt The New Normal will be back. I seriously hope Go On will be.

  • NBC Fan

    @Jackson

    “You can’t expect Go On and TNN to build an audience against older shows like NCIS, Mindy or New Girl without a powerful lead-in on first season…”

    Both shows didn’t face NCIS and The Mindy Project isn’t even a older show. New Girl isn’t that old

    ” At this point, considering costs and possibilities, I would renew Go On and The New Normal (particularly the last one) before Whitney or Community.” N

    Whitney and Community are closer to syndication. Also,both shows seem very niche and it’s hard for shows like that to grow. Both shows could grow if they had The Voice as their lead- in again,but after Go On ‘s sub-par retention n ad
    The New Normal’s drop below a 1.0 , I doubt NBC will be willing to put them after The Voice next fall.

  • Fred

    cont…

    If Community doesn’t improve a bit in the fall, then NBC should give it a short season and replace it with something else.Possibly Go On. NBC must constantly play with the Thursday line up until it finds the right mix.

  • Fred

    cont…

    Community already has sydication rights anyway. So NBC may just cancel it and try something new.

  • Rebecca

    @chrisss
    Chris D from Whitney being cast in a new pilot HAS been reported, I think by Deadline and by TVGuide. Doesn’t mean he’ll be held to it….Whitney would take precedence if renewed. But I don’t think it will be.

  • Maggie

    I really hope TNN isn’t cancelled…although it looks kind of hopeless. It’s gotten a lot better since the premiere. They’ve stopped doing the Archie Bunker stuff with Ellen Barkin all of the time.

  • Kitsune

    @ Brian J
    Yeah, that’s the big flaw with my scheduling, haha. Unless they have Adam, Blake, Shakira, and Usher coach the Fall, then bring back Xtina, Cee Lo, and two new judges for the Spring cycle.

    The problem is that this season, assuming it runs 14 weeks, will end in June. I do believe they can realistically roll out a season by the end of September without much trouble, but I think they might want to consider testing a Revolution-led block for a few weeks on Mondays, even if it is in August.

  • Nikki

    does anyone know if NBC will do any early pick ups? Im interested to see if Parenthood will be back. I hope so.. thats good tv.

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