NBC: Three Sitcoms Could Be Renewed Besides 'Parks & Rec', But The Cancellation Bear Is Still Chicken

Categories: Cancel/Renew Index,Cancel/Renew NBC Shows

Written By

March 12th, 2013

Click this link for the latest NBC renewal / cancellation information:


bear-chicken
Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts the network's decision on renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2012-13 season in May, 2013.  (includes results from December 31, 2012- March 10, 2013):


Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Do No Harm* canceled 0.50
Smash :oops: 0.65
Animal Practice* canceled 0.66
The New Normal :oops: 0.77
1600 Penn :oops: 0.78
Guys With Kids :oops: 0.82
Go On :| :| :| 0.89
Whitney :| :| :| 0.90
Deception :cry: :cry: 0.91
30 Rock* final season complete 0.93
Community :| :| :| 0.95
Grimm (F) :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.03
Parenthood* :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.08
Parks & Recreation :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.13
Law & Order: SVU :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.20
Chicago Fire :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.41
The Office final season 1.43
Up All Night :oops: pending
Revolution :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: pending

-
The Cancellation Bear is of the mind that Community, Go On and Whitney are all potential NBC sitcom renewals (Parks & Recreation is certain to be renewed), but he's not making the move yet. Chicken? Cluck! But Community's 1.9 premiere rating said "certain renewal" and two weeks later it hit a series low 1.1 rating. Its recovered since then, but the cancellation bear is still worried about touching that potentially hot stove again.

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. This season you can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.
-

*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

From now through the end of the broadcast season in May, the Renew/Cancel Index values will only be calculated using new episodes airing during 2013. However, until new episodes of a show air in 2013, I will keep the "old"  Fall predictions in the table.

Want to know what the NBC Renew/Cancel Index table looked like at the end of the Fall season? Click here.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2013
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2013
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2013
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2013
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2013

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ie. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from past television seasons.

 
  • Oliver

    They didn’t last year.

  • Oliver

    Its fun to read old posts. I stumbled over this gem:
    tvbythenumbers.zap2it.com/2009/10/12/dumping-ben-silvermans-garbage-whats-next-to-go-at-nbc-parenthood-trauma-parks-rec/30190/

    From October 2009: “Ben Silverman’s Garbage: What’s Next To Go At NBC? Parenthood, Trauma, Parks & Rec?”

  • Lesley

    Yes, they should declare pickups early for a change.

  • Brian J

    @Zachary:

    Why do you hope Go On will be back? Is it a personal favorite?

    Also, see what I am about to say right below this.

    @Nikki:

    Yeah, the lack of early pick ups seems…possibly troubling, unless these things are always, always late.

    But seriously, if NBC wanted Parks to have another season, wouldn’t it make it clear? It’d make it easier to promote, no? Perhaps it’s just waiting to see how its pilots turn out.

  • TyGuy

    I only watch SVU, Grimm, and Revolution. The rest is moving the deck chairs
    on the Titanic.

  • Lori

    Regarding early pick ups, last year they waited until the week before the May Upfronts to make the announcements for almost all their shows. The only shows I remember getting early pick ups last year on NBC were Grimm and Smash.

  • Michael

    Bear isn’t chicken, he’s just in a coma from all the other goodies NBC has been feeding him.

  • Oliver

    I completely blanked on Grimm/Smash being picked up in March, but it seems Lori is right. I do remember that the vast majority of their decisions were made in May around upfronts.

    I can see them renewing Chicago Fire early and possibly Revolution if its ratings hold, but I think they’ll hold up on everything else until upfronts.

  • Yessir

    Hmmm right now, I think P&R, Go On and TNN will survive. TNN, I gotta admit is 50-50, but NBC loves this show, Murphy produces it, it got good ratings in the fall, it repeats well, its DVR ratings are good so expect it to be the wildcard.

    Community has been getting dismal ratings, and for a show that has lasted for several seasons, why would NBC renew it? Whitney, I’m not sure about, Chris D’Elia has signed up for another NBC pilot so something has to be up. If it was for a FOX or ABC pilot, I wouldn’t be apprehensive but since he signed up for an NBC pilot, I doubt Whitney will return.

  • Davis

    Renewed:
    The Voice
    The Biggest Loser
    Parks & Rec.
    SVU
    Revolution
    Parenthood
    Grimm
    Chicago Fire
    Betty White
    Go On
    Whitney
    Community

  • The Other Tony

    Sunday

    7:00 – Football / Dateline (Midseason)
    8:00 – Football / The Blacklist (Midseason)
    9:00 – Football / Celebrity Apprentice (Midseason)
    10:00 – Football / Celebrity Apprentice (Midseason)

    Monday

    8:00 – The Voice / The Biggest Loser
    9:00 – The Voice / The Biggest Loser
    10:00 – Revolution (11/11 split) / The Sixth Gun (midseason)

    Tuesday

    8:00 – The Voice / The Biggest Loser (Results)
    9:00 – MJF
    9:30 – Then Came Elvis
    10:00 – Parenthood (11/11 split) / Wonderland (midseason)

    Wednesday

    8:00 – Whitney
    8:30 – Holding Patterns
    9:00 – I Am Victor
    10:00 – Chicago Fire

    Thursday

    8:00 – Community
    8:30 – Go On
    9:00 – Parks & Recreation
    9:30 – Brenda Forever
    10:00 – Law & Order: SVU

    Friday

    8:00 – Rock Center With Brian Williams
    9:00 – Grimm
    10:00 – Believe

    MIDSEASON: Happiness, Joe Joe & Jane, Assistance, Welcome to the Family, Untitled Robert Padnick Project, The Hatfields & McCoys, The Blacklist, The Sixth Gun, Wonderland, Ironside

  • Larry

    Wow Whitney was actually the most watched comedy of the week for NBC. So I guess the renewals start with P&R and Whitney then from there its up in the air. I can see Go On and GWK getting by. The rest like Community, 1600 Penn, and TNN are definite goners. Community might still get renewed but I think NBC has lost complete confidence in it.

  • Allen

    “So I guess the renewals start with P&R and Whitney”

    How would renewal start with Whitney but Community is a definite goner? Since Community returned: (Correct me if I’m wrong)

    Community – Whitney

    1.9 1.2
    1.2 1.2
    1.1 1.1
    1.2 1.2
    1.5 1.3
    1.1 1.2

    ???

  • Paula

    I really like Deception. It is entertaining and great characters! Give it a chance!

  • Ultima

    @Larry
    Wow Whitney was actually the most watched comedy of the week for NBC.

    Total viewers do not matter to advertisers or, subsequently, the networks. Making predictions based off of them is folly.

  • Ultima

    @The Other Tony
    10:00 – Revolution (11/11 split) / The Sixth Gun (midseason)

    NBC has the Winter Olympics next year, there’s no way that they will be able to fit programming inside split seasons again.

    It’s going to be fall, winter hiatus, five weeks, the games, late midseason premieres/returns.

  • Tammy

    How is a crap show like Parks & Rec getting renewed but not Smash? I think they need to evaluate who they’re sending Nielson boxes to.

  • Ultima

    @Tammy
    I think they need to evaluate who they’re sending Nielson boxes to.

    Having trouble accepting that nobody else is interested in a show that you like?

  • Elijah

    Is Grimm still going to be renewed even though it’s ratings dropped all the way to a 1.4 this week? Someone told me it’s now certain to be cancelled because of the drop in the ratings, and I really, really hope it gets renewed. Stinks that all the good shows get cancelled.

  • Oliver

    Grimm will be renewed. 1.4 is great for NBC on Friday.

© 2014 Tribune Digital Ventures