ABC: 'Happy Endings' Is Certain To Be Canceled

Categories: Cancel/Renew ABC Shows,Cancel/Renew Index

Written By

March 19th, 2013

Click this link for the latest ABC renewal / cancellation information:


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Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts the network's decision on renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2012-13 season in May, 2013. (includes results from December 31, 2012- March 17, 2013):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Don't Trust The B in Apt 23* canceled 0.50
Last Resort* canceled 0.57
Zero Hour* canceled 0.58
Happy Endings :oops: 0.61
Red Widow :oops: 0.62
Body Of Proof :cry: :cry: 0.63
Private Practice* canceled 0.63
Malibu Country (F) :| :| :| 0.64
666 Park Avenue* canceled 0.68
Last Man Standing (F) :) :) :) :) 0.73
The Neighbors :) :) :) :) 0.90
Revenge :) :) :) :) 0.96
Nashville :) :) :) :) 0.97
Castle :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.05
Suburgatory :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.08
The Middle :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.16
Once Upon A Time :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.26
Scandal :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.39
Grey's Anatomy :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.51
Modern Family :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 2.09

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With nothing new in the ABC predictions this week, and plenty of people continuing to ask the Cancellation Bear about Happy Endings, I figured I could throw it into the headline this week. I have no way of accurately guessing whether a cable network will want to pick it up, but fans are kidding themselves if they think ABC will renew it.

In other news, Body Of Proof ratings remain woeful, but if the California tax credit saved it last season, it could save it again this season. And I'm keeping Malibu Country as a "toss up" for now, hoping to be aided by either a late season ratings surge or dive. That would get me to make a change before the end of the season and get it into the headline.

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. This season you can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.

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*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

From now through the end of the broadcast season in May, the Renew/Cancel Index values will only be calculated using new episodes airing during 2013. However, until new episodes of a show air in 2013, the "old" Fall predictions will carry over.

Want to know what the ABC Renew/Cancel Index table looked like at the end of the Fall season? Click here.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2013
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2013
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2013
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2013
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2013

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from past television seasons.

 
  • Fred

    cont…

    The 10:00 hour on Sunday would most likely be filled with the 2nd hour of DWTS/BACHELOR. If so, move NASHVILLE to Tuesday 10:00. NASHVILLE should improve on what BOP has been managing.

  • Richard Steven Hack

    “In other news, Body Of Proof ratings remain woeful, but if the California tax credit saved it last season, it could save it again this season.:

    Except it benefited from a significant uptick – from 1.4 to 2,0 – in its last few episodes last season which I submit was likely an equally significant factor.

    It won’t do that again this season being currently at 1.2. Not impossible, of course, but unlikely. Two down faces is very justified.

  • Ted Craig

    @Just Desserts

    Most shows see their ratings rise after syndication begins.

  • michael

    I will be terribly sad if ABC cancels Happy Endings, but no one can say they didn’t give it a fair shot.

  • Samunto

    Very true. On paper i too though Suburgatory was the perfect fit for Modern Family but clearly wasn’t. Then again, the show isn’t as good as it was last season. Creatively it just took a nose dive and lost the balance between quirky & comedy.

  • Fred

    @Richard Steven Hack

    Such a shame Body of Proof is doing so badly. ABC really needs hit procedurals like CBS. They last longer and prosper in syndication.

    Next season ABC will may attempt a new procedural or two. But ABC tends to gravitate to the serial type dramas.

  • Samunto

    Body of Proof has been steady though at a very low level. The only boost it’ll get from DWTS will be more older viewers. But chances of it’s renewal aren’t that bad.

  • Fred

    @Patrick,

    I’m also not a fan of these types of cheap reality contests. However, I highly enjoy most of ABC’s scripted shows.
    ABC needs to air the cheap stuff in order to make up for the very expensive scripted failures.
    So I’m all for shows like SHARK TANK, BACHELOR, DWTS, SPLASH etc…. if they help ABC.

  • Denise

    NooooooooooooOOOOOOOOOOOOOOooooooooooooooo! LOVE THAT SHOW!! :(
    Maybe TBS or whoever got Cougar Town will pick it up!

  • Dan

    @Just Desserts – hating a show and being realistic about their chances of survival are two completely different things. I love The Neighbors, Happy Endings and Apartment 23 but compared to shows lik Duburgatory which I don’t care for too much the former 3 have less of a chance of returning due to ratings. Apartment 23 is dead, Happy Endings is near death and The Neighbors has a chance though I wouldn’t be surprised if ABC cancelled it altogether.

  • Denise

    Trophy Wife!?!? REALLY!?!? ughhhhhhhhhhhh

  • omabin

    I strongly disagree with this Happy Endings certain prediction. Its relative ratings in terms of the other ABC comedies not called Modern Family are not that low that a big syndication factor can’t put it right in the middle of the hard to interpret mess that is ABC’s bubble comedies. I may be a fool for you for saying this, but I think it really is a tossup. And yes, I am a fan of the show, but typically I think I am able to be objective enough when predicting these things…

    Anyway, my ABC schedule for next season:

    Sunday:
    Once Upon a Time/ Winter Wipeout/ Once Upon a Time
    DWTS/ Wife Swap/ DWTS
    DWTS/ The Taste/ DWTS

    Monday
    DWTS Results/ The Bachelor/ DWTS Results
    Revenge/ The Bachelor/ DWTS Results
    Castle

    Tuesday
    Shark Tank
    Shield
    Big Thunder or Gothica

    Wednesday
    The Middle
    Suburgatory
    Modern Family
    New Comedy
    Nashville [13 eps order, if it doesn’t grow, replace it at midseason]

    Thursday
    Grey’s Anatomy
    Scandal
    New Female Skewing Drama

    Friday
    Last Man Standing
    Malibu Coutry
    New Reality
    20/20

    New Shows: 3 New Dramas, 1 New Comedy [Same as Last Fall, Minus 1 Comedy, Plus one new reality]
    Moves: – DWTS to Sundays, Revenge to Mondays, Shark Tank to Tuesdays. I don’t think they are that many

  • rob60990

    “hating a show and being realistic about their chances of survival are two completely different things.”

    Exactly. It’s doing poorly in a good timeslot and ABC would be foolish to keep it there. If Suburgatory can go back to being able to hold a good chunk of The Middle’s audience which The Neighbors can’t, then that will pretty much seal The Neighbor’s fate of not airing on Wednesday.

  • SJ

    People who are moving The Middle to Tuesdays in their fantasy schedules are either high or mentally not all there. It has as much chance of moving as Modern Family, Grey’s Anatomy or Once Upon a Time. Translation – NONE!

    Happy Endings is done for on ABC. Maybe TBS will pick it up, maybe someone else will… I don’t know. I hope it gets saved somehow, but I don’t expect ABC to do the saving.

    The Neighbors, if renewed, is either moving to Tuesday, Friday or mid-season (where it also won’t end up on Wednesdays). But a Fall Wednesday slot is not happening.

    Also, I don’t think ABC should try comedy again on Tuesdays. They’ve failed at that two years in a row now. I’d just move Shark Tank and Castle there and, combined with DWTS, have a nice, stable, older-skewing programming block that is able to compete with the NCIS storm on CBS and Fox’s niche comedies.

    As for Revenge, my personal wish is that ABC moves it back to Wednesdays at 10 to get it away from all the cable competition and football/award season breaks. But realistically, it’s not happening. It’s staying where it is. I just hope ABC schedules it better next season.

  • Anthony Parello (AP076)

    Bill Gorman,

    Just a thought. I really love the Renew/Cancel index. But on Mondays or Tuesdays when all five are rolled out it can be a lot to follow.
    Have you ever considered rolling out one a day over the course of the week? One network per day.

  • John

    i think that if happy endings can atleast tie malibu country (its only .03 away) then it could have a slight chance of being renewed. obviously trying to match last man standing (.12 away) would be ideal, but that seems unlikely. i really hope someone renews it though its a fantastic show and very underrated.

  • Fred

    updated ABC schedule for next season:

    Sunday:

    AFHV-7:00
    OUAT
    DWTS/BACHELOR (when DWTS ends) 2hours-This move should increase ratings here

    Monday:

    DWTS/Another highly profitable unscripted program when DWTS ends
    CASTLE-Time for this long running hit to help a new show.
    NEW DRAMA-10:00

    Tuesday: risky yes. but ABC used to be strong here with sitcoms on Tuesday. Why not start the night off with one of ABC best?

    MIDDLE-
    NEIGHBORS- if renewed, if not, a new sitcom
    SUBURGATORY
    NEW SITCOM
    NASHVILLE-10:00 should improve upon BOP’s ratings

    Wednesday:

    LAST MAN STANDING-I know its a risk, but should perform OK.
    NEW SITCOM
    MODERN FAMILY
    NEW SITCOM
    REVENGE-10:00- should improve upon NASHVILLE’S ratings.

    Thursday:

    NEW DRAMA- SHIELD-should improve upon past ABC drama failures
    GREY’S ANATOMY
    SCANDAL-10:00-

    FRIDAY

    SHARK TANK
    PRIME TIME-another unscripted program later in the season
    20/20-10:00

  • Fred

    The above schedule is a sound (if a bit bold) way for ABC to begin getting out of 4th place. Obviously the new sitcoms and dramas must be strong and the returning shows must hold up and not colloapse. I’m mainly talking about, OUAT, REVENGE, DWTS and BACHELOR.

  • Penny

    I don’t think I can face it yet. HE is one of the best written comedy’s on TV in recent years. It sucks that it’s so underrated.

  • THE OLD MAN

    That California Tax Credit speaks volumes!

    “California Dreaming” on such a winter’s day!

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