ABC: 'Happy Endings' Is Certain To Be Canceled

Categories: Cancel/Renew ABC Shows,Cancel/Renew Index

Written By

March 19th, 2013

Click this link for the latest ABC renewal / cancellation information:


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Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts the network's decision on renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2012-13 season in May, 2013. (includes results from December 31, 2012- March 17, 2013):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Don't Trust The B in Apt 23* canceled 0.50
Last Resort* canceled 0.57
Zero Hour* canceled 0.58
Happy Endings :oops: 0.61
Red Widow :oops: 0.62
Body Of Proof :cry: :cry: 0.63
Private Practice* canceled 0.63
Malibu Country (F) :| :| :| 0.64
666 Park Avenue* canceled 0.68
Last Man Standing (F) :) :) :) :) 0.73
The Neighbors :) :) :) :) 0.90
Revenge :) :) :) :) 0.96
Nashville :) :) :) :) 0.97
Castle :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.05
Suburgatory :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.08
The Middle :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.16
Once Upon A Time :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.26
Scandal :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.39
Grey's Anatomy :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.51
Modern Family :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 2.09

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With nothing new in the ABC predictions this week, and plenty of people continuing to ask the Cancellation Bear about Happy Endings, I figured I could throw it into the headline this week. I have no way of accurately guessing whether a cable network will want to pick it up, but fans are kidding themselves if they think ABC will renew it.

In other news, Body Of Proof ratings remain woeful, but if the California tax credit saved it last season, it could save it again this season. And I'm keeping Malibu Country as a "toss up" for now, hoping to be aided by either a late season ratings surge or dive. That would get me to make a change before the end of the season and get it into the headline.

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. This season you can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.

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*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

From now through the end of the broadcast season in May, the Renew/Cancel Index values will only be calculated using new episodes airing during 2013. However, until new episodes of a show air in 2013, the "old" Fall predictions will carry over.

Want to know what the ABC Renew/Cancel Index table looked like at the end of the Fall season? Click here.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2013
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2013
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2013
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2013
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2013

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from past television seasons.

 
  • Richard Steven Hack

    Chris: “What happened to Body of Proof in between last season and this one, anyway? ”

    They tried to retool it, I think, and made it worse. They dumped two boring cops and the boring investigator and replaced them with one boring cop and Mark Valley (who IS an improvement but doubtful he’s enough.)

    The problem is and will remain the lead character. She’s the most unlikeable person on television. Mark Sheppard’s Crowley on Supernatural is more liked than she is. :-)

    They can’t dump the character, so they’re stuck. There’s no way the show ever gets back up to 2.0.

    “The plots got insanely dumb, the direction in the first two episodes was terrible,”

    I agree, the first couple of episodes have been pretty bad. Jeri Ryan is stuck doing this pointless political move which basically sidelines her from the show completely. Apparently they couldn’t figure out how to make her useful since her only role from the get-go is to be a foil for Dana and that only works if Dana’s character is unlikeable which brings them back to square one on their main problem.

    If they had made Jeri’s character unlikeable and Dana’s likeable from season one, they might have had something that worked. Again we see a situation common with many shows where one character decision sinks the entire show.

    The problem with renewing the show for another season because of the bad ratings of the other shows is that this show will drop season to season like most shows and end up doing less than 1.0 in another season.

    And they can’t renew it aiming for syndication because it will take MORE than two seasons to get that magic 88 episodes.

    The show just has to be doomed unless for some reason it manages to climb back up to at least a steady 1.5, preferably 2.0 – and the tax credit actually helps.

  • Fred

    I just received the new TV GUIDE in the mail. Very informative article about new pilots being seriously considered by all the networks.
    Looks like the networks on concentrating on sitcoms for next season. ABC will most likely continue to try and build a new comedy block somewhere and solidify Wednesday 8:30 and 9;30 with new sitcoms.

  • Charmed

    Everyone is talking about Nashville being a ‘save face’ renewal, but what about Malibu Country and The Neighbors?

  • Fred

    @Charmed,

    According to the detailed article I just read in TV GUIDE: ABC (among other nets) is focusing on sitcoms for next fall. Many in fact. Not sure there will be room on the schedule for both Malibu Country and Neighbors. Perhaps 1 of them, but almost certainly not both. The edge goes to Neighbors. But I wouldn’t be shocked if Malibu Country gets renewed instead. The cast is very talented and low expectation Friday helps a lot.
    Nashville is a differnt story altogether. Its the only new drama that has a chance of being renewed. And it has potential for growth. A really high quality musical drama that truly deserves a second season.

  • Anyanka

    In defense of Happy Endings, it went all the way down to a 1.7 last year without the Modern Family lead-in. This was ABC’s way of testing how the show would do on its own, similar to how they’re testing now how The Neighbors and Suburgatory would do on their own. I don’t know what they were thinking scheduling it against New Girl and Go On (with The Voice lead-in) AND waiting until October 23 to premiere it. Most people who watch comedies on Tuesdays probably already settled into Fox comedies or NBC’s The Voice and comedies. Anyone who thinks The Neighbors can anchor a comedy block on Tuesday is a fool. I’m not trying to sound like a bitter Happy Endings fan, but come on. The Neighbors would get CW numbers on Tuesday.

    Deadline reports that the Once Upon a Time spin-off is intended as a kind of 13 episode mini-series that will air during Once’s hiatus between Fall and Spring. This sounds like a decent solution to the on and off again scheduling of awards season. But unless they air it partially in two-hour blocks, won’t that take up all of January through March? That’s a long hiatus.

  • The End

    @Heroes 10

    Dreadful schedule that. Once Upon a Time won’t be moved from Sunday and some of your choices for Sunday/Monday are just plain bizarre.

  • Yoyo

    My ABC Schedule:

    MONDAY
    8:00 – Dancing with the Stars
    10:00 – Nashville

    TUESDAY
    8:00 – Dancing with the Stars: Results
    9:00 – S.H.I.E.L.D
    10:00 – The Returned / Body of Proof

    WEDNESDAY
    8:00 – The Middle
    8:30 – NEW COMEDY
    9:00 – Modern Family
    9:30 – Suburgatory
    10:00 – NEW DRAMA

    THURSDAY
    8:00 – NEW DRAMA
    9:00 – Grey’s Anatomy
    10:00 – Scandal

    FRIDAY
    8:00 – Last Man Standing
    8:30 – The Neighbors
    9:00 – Shark Tank
    10:00 – 20/20

    SUNDAY
    8:00 – Once Upon a Time
    9:00 – Revenge
    10:00 – Castle

    Do you have any ideas to help me make a best Schedule ?

  • Will

    It’s always interesting to me when fans assemble fantasy fall schedules and include yet-to-premiere midseason entries. I mean, how do you know the quality and performance will merit season two?

    As others have pointed out, LMS and MC finales are this Friday, so the season performance for both is pretty much revealed. I love Happy Endings (as does ABC) and consider it by far the funniest show on network TV, and if it scores similar numbers to LMS and MC, it can come back next season. Too early to tell. (That said, I will be sad to see the MC cancelled. The quality really has improved the past several episodes. But, of course, people who don’t like traditional multicam-with-laugh-tracks sitcoms built for families still wouldn’t care for it.)

  • steve

    I love HE and will certainly miss it.
    I still have hope it will pull decent numbers on Fridays and give ABC something to think about.
    If TBS renews Cougar Town there may be hope for HE on TBS, but somehow I think it’s wishful thinking.

    I’ll enjoy the Friday night double doses and hope people actually watch it for an hour before the King of Friday nights–Shark Tank!

  • Lisa

    I completely agree about the re-tooled Body of Proof. Last season was at least watchable and I liked the 2 cops, especially Bud. This season is a train wreck. They made Dana’s character into an action hero and managed to make the usually charming Mark Valley much less than charming.

    I love Nashville and think that they have room to grow because it is fairly unusual for television – not a procedural where the main characters are cops, doctors, lawyers, etc… I really like the idea of pairing it with DWTS and think Nashville will benefit from the DWTS viewers.

    The only other ABC shows that I watch are Castle and Modern Family. I think that Castle will be moved from Mondays at 10 to make room for Nashville. It could easily be a 9 pm show and be a lead in for a new drama.

  • Ultima

    @Will
    It’s always interesting to me when fans assemble fantasy fall schedules and include yet-to-premiere midseason entries.

    It’s even more interesting when they include already-premiered midseason shows that are certain to be canceled! ;)

  • t04

    Castle monday !

  • Al

    Body of Proof has not a big budget, if ratings not will fall to 1.0, ABC will keep show for mid-season.

  • Deo

    @Heroes 10

    Unless you know something that I don´t, where is Castle in your schedule?!

  • Fred

    @Heroes 10

    Trying to figure out your schedule:

    What do you want ABC to air Wednesday 10:00? I’m guessing CASTLE, because its no where to be found.

    Where is ABC’s 35 year old 20/20?

    Where is ABC’s most anticipated new show next season, S.H.I.E.L.D.?

    Why place such a high rated show like SHARK TANK at 10:00? Better to replace with 20/20 and air SHARK TANK earlier. Yes your sacrificing 2 sitcoms, but SHARK TANK is much more profitable.

  • Davis

    Sunday
    AFHV
    SHIELD (new)
    Once Upon A Time
    OUAT spinoff (alice in wonderland?) (new)

    Monday
    DWTS
    Castle

    Tuesday
    DWTS
    Revenge
    Betrayal (new)

    Wednesday
    The Middle
    The Neighbors
    Modern Family
    Middle Age Rage (new)
    Venice (new)

    Thursday
    Nashville
    Greys Anatomy
    Scandal

    Friday
    Last Man Standing
    Malibu Country
    Suburgatory
    Super Fun Night (new)
    20/20

    ABC will need something to save for Sunday in case Shield fails, and that’s why I saved Shark Tank until Midseason. 4 new dramas and 2 new comedies-like the 2011-2012 schedule.

  • Melanie P.

    I would be nervous for Nashville if it was moved to Thursdays at 8 only because it has not been a good slot for a few other shows such as Missing and Charlie’s Angels and some others I have probably forgotten about. I don’t see how moving it to Monday’s at 10 would help either, after DWTS. Just because Dancing has the music vibe, it would help Nashville’s ratings much. I thought the country music fanbase, which is so large and strong and dedicated, would help Nashville alot and would be an even bigger hit, but so far this season, that has not happened. I still think it will get a second season though.

  • Lisa

    I used to like Body of Proof, but the changes this season have been awful. Megan is totally unlikeable now. I was really annoyed in one episode where Mark Valley’s character saved her from getting shot and asked if she was okay. She replied no, because her outfit got ruined. What kind of idiot has that reaction to someone saving her life? Too irritating! I’m also not a fan of Valley’s character, and I miss Peter, though I’m okay with the two cops from the previous seasons leaving. The lab guys should have gone right along with them.

    Anyway, if this show gets cancelled soon, I will not miss it.

  • Just Desserts

    @Davis

    I like your schedule with only a few tune-ups.

    Sunday
    AFHV
    Once Upon A Time
    SHIELD (new)
    Revenge (17)/Nashville (13)

    Tuesday
    DWTS
    OUAT spinoff (alice in wonderland?) (new)
    Betrayal (new)

    Thursday
    Shark Tank/Celebrity-Non-Celebrity Wife Swap/The Taste
    Grey’s Anatomy
    Scandal

    I don;t think that a two-hour Once would work and I don;t know where to put Nashville so a half-season Revenge + a half-season Nashville is the best solution.

  • Daniel (@critiqueoftv)

    I don’t want to live in a world where Happy Endings gets cancelled and the Neighbors gets renewed.

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