CBS: 'The Good Wife' Is Likely To Be Renewed, But What About 'The Mentalist'?

Categories: Cancel/Renew CBS Shows,Cancel/Renew Index

Written By

March 19th, 2013

Click this link for the latest CBS renewal / cancellation information:


polar-bear-detroit-zoo

Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts the network's decision on renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2012-13 season in May, 2013. (includes results from December 31, 2012- March 17, 2013):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Made In Jersey (F)* canceled 0.36
CSI:NY (F)* :cry: :cry: 0.50
Blue Bloods (F) :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 0.53
Golden Boy (one F) :oops: 0.54
The Good Wife :) :) :) :) 0.58
Vegas :oops: 0.59
The Mentalist :| :| :| 0.65
Partners* canceled 0.79
Hawaii Five-0 :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 0.81
CSI :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: (renewed 3/20) 0.81
Elementary :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 0.85
Rules of Engagement :| :| :| 0.96
Criminal Minds :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.02
NCIS: Los Angeles :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.05
Person Of Interest :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.12
Mike & Molly :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.15
NCIS renewed 1.31
How I Met Your Mother renewed 1.31
2 Broke Girls :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.33
Two and a Half Men** :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.44
The Big Bang Theory renewed 2.07

-
3/20 To the surprise of only the long term comatose, CSI was renewed.
-
The long awaited (at least by the CBS CFO) syndication deal for The Good Wife was announced last week. Of course the financial terms in the press release were superlatively glowing, they always are.

Given that no one in public knows the detailed terms of the deal, nor the financial production details of the show, can the Cancellation Bear be certain the deal will get the show renewed for a fifth season? No. But without knowing any details, and needing to make a prediction eventually anyway, the bear's willing to guess that it's a net positive for another season, and that's why the show is now "likely to be renewed".

Why can't Vegas be renewed with spring ratings almost identical to The Good Wife? Sorry Vegas fans, woeful ratings are tolerated in third and fourth season shows that are bound for syndication. Rookie shows get no such break.

That leaves The Mentalist as the only CBS drama predicted as a "toss up". If CBS keeps its drama hours the same as they were in Fall 2012, it will likely get renewed. But if CBS either expands its sitcom time, or adds Undercover Boss to the Fall 2013 schedule, it's getting canceled. Sadly, I have no way of judging those possibilities right now. If ever. Still, it'll likely be in the headline next week.

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. This season you can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.
-
*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

** The Renew/Cancel Index does not attempt to predict shows ending because the cast or production company chooses to end them. These shows have the ratings for renewal, but rumored cast/production company moves may end the shows.

From now through the end of the broadcast season in May, the Renew/Cancel Index values will only be calculated using new episodes airing during 2013. However, until new episodes of a show air in 2013, I will keep the "old"  Fall predictions in the table.

Want to know what the CBS Renew/Cancel Index table looked like at the end of the Fall season? Click here.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2013
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2013
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2013
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2013
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2013

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from past television seasons.

 
  • Jonay

    CBS needs to cut their losses and renew Rules of Engagement and cancel all the mediocre dramas!!

  • Rebecca

    @JacobYates
    I forgot to mention you could check the site for TVGuide, too. They have a section with pilots listed and described (with its stars, when known). Should be easy to find on their main page.

  • Charmaine

    The writers have stated that The Mentalist was picked up for 2 seasons and although i am aware this in NO WAY confirms its renewal due to the nature of networks and their unpredictability i feel it has a good shot at renewal. Purely because there is a loyal fan base (myself included) and after SO many seasons CBS must be aware that the Red John story line has to be concluded organically and not rushed or left open-ended and would therefore give Bruno a heads up in order for him to do that. Also with the ratings having gone up recently (i am aware not as high as previous seasons but up in a crappy time slot) as well as Simon’s news worthiness with his recent star on hollywood walk of fame i feel positive about its renewal. I am biased i LOVE this show. I do hope CBS picks it up.

  • Roger

    Mentalist is the best show on TV. But it’s running its course and they could do a half season to wrap up the Red John thing and go out with a bang.

    The Good Wife is a terrible show. Mentalist is a very good show but it’s too smart for the NCIS crowd. CBS should just jump the shark and come out with another NCIS. Maybe NCIS Gold Rush to capture a market they’ve missed?

  • KJ Styles

    “The Good Wife is a terrible show. Mentalist is a very good show but it’s too smart for the NCIS crowd. CBS should just jump the shark and come out with another NCIS. Maybe NCIS Gold Rush to capture a market they’ve missed?”

    I disagree. The Good Wife is an excellent show. I used to like the Mentalist but the Red John storyline is getting tired. It almost feels like Inspector Gadget and Dr. Claw. I do agree with those that say that they shouldn’t cancel it without wrapping up that storyline though.

    I thought the Good Wife was doomed until it got the syndication deal. But now I think it has the exact same chances as the Mentalist. I get the feeling that both shows are going to be renewed, even if only for 13 episode final seasons. Sadly, this and the fate of Rules Of Engagement are the only storylines for the CBS index for the rest of the season.

  • DW

    TGW is one of my favorite shows. it has low ratings and 4 years under it. if it gets dropped by CBS , fine it had its run. TM fans just relax you’ve had five good years. its on reruns on TNT. and they are not giving up a 2.3 for a 1.8 unless that 2.3 is really expensive.

  • The End

    The Amazing Race and Survivor won’t be paired together on a Sunday, it just won’t happen. Not to mention their production cycles are completely different.

  • Nancy

    TGW is a fantastic show. I hope CBS moves TGW to 10pm on Sunday. So I could watch Downton Abbey at 9pm and TGW at 10pm on Sunday. It’s hard to decide witch show to watch live and DVR the other show.

    This is why TGW ratings go down when Downton Abbey is on PBS.

    Both shows have fantastic writers and actors. They both have critical acclaim.

    I get so tired of the CBS (Cops Broadcasting System)!!!!!!!!!!!!!

  • Travis

    I really hope Criminal Minds is renewed. It’s my favorite tv show ever and the only program i actually take time to watch! Please please please renew criminal minds!

  • ProViewerShipNumbers

    Since I began watching THE GOOD WIFE, I **knew** it would produce at least 100 episodes! How? I began to think critically about the TV industry – past and present, and not just blindly follow the beliefs of others! The best thing for THE GOOD WIFE (or any TV series for that matter) is its high quality writing, acting, directing, and production values! That has always and will continue to be a major factor when deciding to renew or cancel a series! If Veronica Mars were trash, it would not have produced 64 episodes! If Everwood were trash, it would not have produced 89 episodes! If Felicity were trash, it would not have produced 84 episodes! If Alias (one of TV’s most hated series of all time) were trash, it would not have produced 105 episodes! THE ONLY THING A SERIES HAS CONTROL OVER IS ITS QUALITY, AND THAT, IN THE END, GOES A LONG WAY!!!!!!!!!!

  • Paul

    With all the overruns, etc, the 10pm CBS Sunday slot is a sinkhole. Stick The Good Wife there and let it air for a few more years. Or, put it at 9pm on Fridays. Only options, really. The Mentalist’s time has come and went. CBS rarely does 13 episodes seasons. If they were to begin, The Mentalist would be a good one to use as a hole for a new drama opening.

  • dianamack

    I hope for both of them to be renewed. They’re in a solid timeslot, CBS always won the Sunday nights in viewers, and about the ratings, well, it’s timeslot’s fault and I think CBS knows that.

  • were123

    Has nobody thought of this? Both TGW and The Mentalist are renewed, each for a final season of 13 episodes; one premieres in the fall and the other one is mid season. That way it’s like renewing a show for a 26 episode season and having one cancelled and as such there’s an opening for a new drama.
    Of course, I’m not sure if CBS wants to juggle like that, but I think it would be a smart move as they could also renew CSI: New York as a back up in case nothing pans out on Fridays other than Blue Bloods.

  • Petar Ivanov

    People who think that CBS will move Person of interest are not sane or at least need more medication to take. PoI is #2 CBS and broadcast drama in main demo. Beating with wide margin(in originals) rules originals and with smaller margin mike and molly originals. PoI reruns beat both comedies repeats with good margin. And 1 hour already hit drama is way cheaper to produce and advertise/promote than two 30 minute comedies. I am sorry that i will disappoint you(again) but you will be fired as cbs executives. I said ‘again’ because last year i read the same strange comments about ultra conservative and smart cbs executives/network. Thursday is best CBS day with wide margin beating all other days. Doubt that they will change it. Only Elementary can be moved so they will use POI lead-out for new drama. PoI is most compitable for new cbs drama and think next season will be best possible drama lead with NCIS decline. Now with season 3(dramas hit prime) CBS will see how big PoI will grow(if any) and than they will deside how will proceed – as anchor show or 10 pm show.

    ps In every way until original(actors) contracts ended(in season 4 or season 5 not sure) is gold mine for CBS. After that all 4 main big leads Caviezel, Emerson, Taraji Henson and Kevin Chapman will want to cash in.
    But even now Jim take 125 000$ per episode and still enough time for movie per year(this year action with stallone and schwarzenegger). Michael the same with 110 000$ per episode and time for movies( cast in some Woody Allen movie). And Taraji hear around 50 000$ per episode. She has time for movies too(nominated for oscar and emmy in miniseries). Kevin Chapman is not movie star so no problem about that. His salary per episode is uknown.

  • bluejays

    @Timotey – CBS just want to get shows to syndication. They don’t own The Mentalist and by putting Elementary in a safe slot they give it the best chance to get a deal.

    Plus after seeing how all CBS ten pm shows have tanked you can’t compare The Mentaists performance last season to Elementarys this. And I say that as a fan of The Mentalist and someone who thinks Elementary is dire.

  • Winomaster

    The Good Wife looks like an expensivly produced show, so it needs better ratings than The Mentalist for renewal. So, even though the mentalist ratings have weakened, I imagine they will be renewed. But I have to say that the quality of the episodes have not lived up to my expectations. Their male lead, Baker (?) I think is a hit with the public. But the writing seems not to have been supported by the production company.

    A pattern you often see in TV productions (and in war, incidentally) is that you reinforce success and punish initial failure. This means that TV shows are often produced cheaply in their initial season. But if the public warms to the premise and the stars, the production company supports that success with more spending in the second season to improve production values and the writing. I see no evidence of that with The Mentalist. The show is not improving enough to keep the public coming back. Some say the network is not supporting the show with a favorable time slot. But the network supports shows that are being supported by their producers. And the network is just not seeing that with The Mentalist. So, all concerned have abandoned “The Mentalist” and if it manages a renewal, it likely wont win renewal the next time around.

  • PeteyMAK

    Y’know, this is about the only website that says the Mentalist is on the bubble. Just about every other reputable one puts it in the “likely renewal” catagory.

    If CBS cancels the Mentalist for Undercover Boss, I may never watch the network again.

  • JC

    The Mentalist is the only show I watch (on broadcast) that I’m really concerned about right now. All the others are safe, or I don’t really care (Body of Proof). It’s true that it’s had five years, but if it gets cancelled without being able to wrap up the Red John arc it will be very frustrating. :(

  • Matthew Chapman

    Update to the table time:CSI has been renwed

  • CBSviewer

    CSI = Renewed !!!!

© 2014 Tribune Digital Ventures