CBS: Has Time Finally Run Out For 'Rules Of Engagement?'

Categories: Cancel/Renew CBS Shows,Cancel/Renew Index

Written By

March 26th, 2013

Click this link for the latest CBS renewal / cancellation information:


time_out_bear

Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts the network's decision on renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2012-13 season in May, 2013. (includes results from December 31, 2012- March 24, 2013):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Made In Jersey (F)* canceled 0.36
CSI:NY (F)* :cry: :cry: 0.50
Blue Bloods (F) :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: (renewed 3/27) 0.53
Golden Boy (one F) :oops: 0.56
The Good Wife :) :) :) :) (renewed 3/27) 0.59
Vegas :oops: 0.60
The Mentalist :| :| :| (renewed 3/27) 0.64
Partners* canceled 0.79
Hawaii Five-0 :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: (renewed 3/27) 0.81
CSI renewed 0.82
Elementary :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: (renewed 3/27) 0.86
Rules of Engagement :| :| :| 0.95
Criminal Minds :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.04
NCIS: Los Angeles :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: (renewed 3/27) 1.07
Mike & Molly :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: (renewed 3/27) 1.12
Person Of Interest :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: (renewed 3/27) 1.13
How I Met Your Mother renewed 1.29
2 Broke Girls :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: (renewed 3/27) 1.30
NCIS renewed 1.31
Two and a Half Men** :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.45
The Big Bang Theory renewed 2.09

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Currently in its seventh season, Rules of Engagement will have aired 100 episodes by the end May, 2013. Has time finally run out on it?

There's lots of chatter about different members of the cast signing on for parts in new pilots. Doesn't that mean the show will be canceled? Not necessarily. Those parts are second position, if Rules gets renewed the cast members will be back.

Far more concerning for fans should be CBS' schedule restrictions. Unless CBS increases the time in its primetime schedule for sitcoms, there's likely no room left for Rules. Could it be renewed again and held for 13 episodes in the spring like this season? Maybe. But that's a stretch. Sadly, the Cancellation Bear has no ability to guess accurately whether CBS will expand its sitcom time.

The cancellation bear is keeping the show as a "toss up" until the last possible minute, cynically hoping that events will bail him out and he won't have to make a guess. But guess he will if necessary!

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. This season you can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.
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*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

** The Renew/Cancel Index does not attempt to predict shows ending because the cast or production company chooses to end them. These shows have the ratings for renewal, but rumored cast/production company moves may end the shows.

From now through the end of the broadcast season in May, the Renew/Cancel Index values will only be calculated using new episodes airing during 2013. However, until new episodes of a show air in 2013, I will keep the "old"  Fall predictions in the table.

Want to know what the CBS Renew/Cancel Index table looked like at the end of the Fall season? Click here.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2013
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2013
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2013
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2013
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2013

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from past television seasons.

 
  • Tommy M.

    @ Ken, shows don’t need to be a 1.0 to be considered a certain renewal. Typically dramas (that don’t air on Fridays) are considered certain renewals if they are .80 or higher, meaning that their average ratings are 80% or higher compared to the networks average.

  • Ken

    @RyanCanada, below 1.0 on the Renew/Cancel index.

    I’m not saying Elementary is unlikely to be renewed. I’m just saying it seems somewhat less certain than all the other shows with five green smiley faces.

  • C.S.Strowbridge

    Bill Gorman: “Yep, struggles.”

    I think you can officially declare Hawaii Five-0 is struggling. It has to be an expensive show to make, but syndication will save it for at least one more season.

    On the other hand, the rest of Monday is is great for CBS.

  • MaryAnn

    I am looking at Vegas. Seems strange not to mention the fact that it is moving to Fridays in April and we will have a whole new ball game in terms of its ratings — and for its chances for renewal. Here’s hoping that it will pair so well with Blue Bloods that it will be renewed!

  • Bri

    @Moon

    why 25 episodes for NCIS:LA? and why 22 for CM? CM got 24 episodes in the last 5 seasons.

    I doubt there will be two new shows on Tuesday after NCIS. Agreed on Wednesday, CBS may still want to move Survivor if it does maybe they could move NCIS:LA or POI there, NCIS work well at 8pm maybe LA would too.

    On Friday I can see H50 and Blue Blood but I think CSI:NY is done with.

    Like you, I see new shows on Tuesday at 10pm and on Thursday and Sunday. I don’t see CBS moving Elementary on Sunday, I can see CBS trying to give it a good timeslot and keep it on the schedule until it reach syndication. I think Elementary will stay on Thursday but POI will be moved.

  • MaryAnn

    @Tommy M. So why does this make Beauty and the Beast a tossup? It has a .90 or higher and is listed as a tossup.

  • ToXiX

    Cancel Good Wife & replace it with Elementary next season.

    I watch neither of these shows but I think

    Elementary + The Mentalist

    Would be a good pairing.

  • http://tvbythenumbers.com Bill Gorman

    “I think you can officially declare Hawaii Five-0 is struggling.”

    H50 has effectively the same ratings as CSI since Jan 1, above The Mentalist, only slightly below Elementary, and and above every other 10pm drama on ABC and NBC except Scandal.

    Yep, struggling.

  • JacobYates

    @Bill
    A few questions:

    1. Where would H50 be on the index if it wasn’t in season 3?
    2. What kind ratings would Vegas have to pull on Friday to even be considered for renewal?

  • THE OLD MAN

    @ Moon

    I agree w/ Mon-Weds, but I would have:

    THURS Unchanged
    FRI 8:00 UB 9:00 2 sitcoms 10:00 BB
    SAT 8:00 movies & doc features 10:00 48 Hrs
    SUN 7:00 60M 8:00 TAR 9:00 H50 l0:00 TGW

  • http://tvbythenumbers.com Bill Gorman

    “I am looking at Vegas. Seems strange not to mention the fact that it is moving to Fridays in April and we will have a whole new ball game in terms of its ratings — and for its chances for renewal. Here’s hoping that it will pair so well with Blue Bloods that it will be renewed!”

    Vegas is dead. It wasn’t moved to Friday for “a whole new ball game”, it was moved there because it’s dead.

  • http://tvbythenumbers.com Bill Gorman

    “1. Where would H50 be on the index if it wasn’t in season 3?”

    Likely renewal.

    “2. What kind ratings would Vegas have to pull on Friday to even be considered for renewal?”

    I don’t bother with “what if” hypotheticals.

  • Tommy M.

    @ MaryAnn,

    Vegas’ Tuesday ratings are just barely better than what the other Friday show’s ratings are. It’s very unlikely that Vegas will keep it’s same ratings when it moves, so I wouldn’t be so optimistic. I really think the move to Fridays was more about seeing if Goldenboy could do well enough on Tuesdays and burning off the remaining episodes of Vegas.

  • Tommy M.

    @ MaryAnn,

    The CW is a different animal. I think that’s one of the few cases where lead-in really matters.

  • rob60990

    I think Rules is done even if CBS expands comedy hours. For a CBS comedy, its ratings are pretty bad.

  • Heradite

    “Those parts are second position, if Rules gets renewed the cast members will be back.”

    Actually it’s more complicated than that since the deals for the cast members (except for Adhir Kalyan) are actually up at the end of this season. I’d say that even if none of the pilots in get picked up that there’s a chance that CBS won’t come up with a new deal because they seem ready to move on. If they do get picked up, then they might chose to go with the new pilots (except for Adhir Kalyan). David Spade, Patrick Warburton, and Bianca Kajlich aren’t really in “second” position because their contracts are up.

    It’s also interesting to note that Patrick Warburton is on a CBS pilot and if it gets picked up I would say it’s unlikely they’ll recast him in order to bring back Rules of Engagement. I wouldn’t rule that it’s out but I think dismissing the cast joining pilots because of “second position” is foolish.

  • Tommy M.

    @ Heradite,

    Their contracts may be up, but I think the cast would choose to stick with Rules if it were renewed because cast salaries are usually higher for a show that would be in it’s 8th season vs a new show that could only see 13 episodes (and possibly fewer.)

  • Jason Portney

    I have watched TM from the beginning, so I really hope The Mentalist gets a proper send-off.

    Not like Without A Trace or CSI: Miami did. I know the Mentalist is way down from prior years and its TNT syndication ratings are not that good BUT I am hopeful.

    Hopefully CBS announces a 13 episode shortened final season for next year. If not, I hear BBC’s Sherlock Holmes is better than the TM.

    Bill – I know what the ratings keep showing but what are you hearing from your sources (insiders)?

  • tv#1

    A possible CBS 2013-2014 schedule could be…

    Mon:
    How I Met Your Mother
    Friends with Better Lives
    2 Broke Girls
    Mike and Molly
    Reckless

    Tue:
    NCIS
    NCIS:RED
    NCIS:LA

    Wed:
    Person of Interest
    Intelligence
    Criminal Minds

    Thur:
    The Big Bang Theory
    MOM
    The Crazy Ones
    Two and a Half Men
    CSI

    Fri:
    Survivor
    Hawaii 5-0
    Blue Bloods

    Sun:
    60 Minutes
    The Amazing Race
    Elementary
    The Good Wife (Final Season 13 eps./The Mentalist 13 eps.)

    Mid-Season:
    Rules of Engagement (I still think it has some life left to it)
    Hostages

  • Dan

    Rules of Engagement is done, here’s the reasons

    1) Both David Spade and Patrick Warburton have found new Pilots

    2) Ratings are down from the previous seasons

    3) The actors contracts are up for this season, In order to renew the show for an 8th season, CBS would have to draw up all new contracts. Something that would be hard to do unless they really wanted to keep the show.

    4) Syndication is no longer an issue since the show is already sold and it will have exactly 100 episodes by May.

    5) The season finale according to the creator has been written to wrap up the show (Jen & Adam getting married and Audrey and Jeff having their baby)

    6) CBS has 5 guaranteed returning comedies, its likely that instead of bringing Rules back for midseason they could just air a new comedy.

    The show is done, but at least it gets a good finale.

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