CBS: Has Time Finally Run Out For 'Rules Of Engagement?'

Categories: Cancel/Renew CBS Shows,Cancel/Renew Index

Written By

March 26th, 2013

Click this link for the latest CBS renewal / cancellation information:


time_out_bear

Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts the network's decision on renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2012-13 season in May, 2013. (includes results from December 31, 2012- March 24, 2013):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Made In Jersey (F)* canceled 0.36
CSI:NY (F)* :cry: :cry: 0.50
Blue Bloods (F) :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: (renewed 3/27) 0.53
Golden Boy (one F) :oops: 0.56
The Good Wife :) :) :) :) (renewed 3/27) 0.59
Vegas :oops: 0.60
The Mentalist :| :| :| (renewed 3/27) 0.64
Partners* canceled 0.79
Hawaii Five-0 :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: (renewed 3/27) 0.81
CSI renewed 0.82
Elementary :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: (renewed 3/27) 0.86
Rules of Engagement :| :| :| 0.95
Criminal Minds :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.04
NCIS: Los Angeles :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: (renewed 3/27) 1.07
Mike & Molly :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: (renewed 3/27) 1.12
Person Of Interest :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: (renewed 3/27) 1.13
How I Met Your Mother renewed 1.29
2 Broke Girls :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: (renewed 3/27) 1.30
NCIS renewed 1.31
Two and a Half Men** :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.45
The Big Bang Theory renewed 2.09

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Currently in its seventh season, Rules of Engagement will have aired 100 episodes by the end May, 2013. Has time finally run out on it?

There's lots of chatter about different members of the cast signing on for parts in new pilots. Doesn't that mean the show will be canceled? Not necessarily. Those parts are second position, if Rules gets renewed the cast members will be back.

Far more concerning for fans should be CBS' schedule restrictions. Unless CBS increases the time in its primetime schedule for sitcoms, there's likely no room left for Rules. Could it be renewed again and held for 13 episodes in the spring like this season? Maybe. But that's a stretch. Sadly, the Cancellation Bear has no ability to guess accurately whether CBS will expand its sitcom time.

The cancellation bear is keeping the show as a "toss up" until the last possible minute, cynically hoping that events will bail him out and he won't have to make a guess. But guess he will if necessary!

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. This season you can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.
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*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

** The Renew/Cancel Index does not attempt to predict shows ending because the cast or production company chooses to end them. These shows have the ratings for renewal, but rumored cast/production company moves may end the shows.

From now through the end of the broadcast season in May, the Renew/Cancel Index values will only be calculated using new episodes airing during 2013. However, until new episodes of a show air in 2013, I will keep the "old"  Fall predictions in the table.

Want to know what the CBS Renew/Cancel Index table looked like at the end of the Fall season? Click here.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2013
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2013
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2013
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2013
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2013

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from past television seasons.

 
  • Tommy M.

    @ Jacob Yates,

    “I understand that it’s what makes the advertisers money, but how did it come to be the demo that makes the money?”

    The reason that the 18-49 demo is so desirable is because they are harder to reach than the 25-54 demo because the 18-49 demo watches less TV. In a nut shell if you get high ratings in the 18-49 demo the odds are you are also getting high ratings in the 25-54 and other demos as well because they basically come along for the ride.

  • http://tvbythenumbers.com Bill Gorman

    “But on the other side, they’re getting paid. So there’s that.”

    Paid for 100 episodes. Something the vast majority of folks in TV can only dream about. Such mistreatment.

  • Dan

    @Billy – Exactly, While those Pilots are in second position technically, why would 4/6 actors get new pilots if it wasnt so certain that the show wont return. The show is done but it had a really good run.

    @Anyone talking about Hawaii 5-0 – The show has a syndication deal for the past 2 years, even if the ratings are going down, CBS wouldnt cancel it with 70 episodes. Hawaii 5-0 has 2 more full seasons before its in any danger. Its numbers aren’t bad enough to have it getting cancelled and since its CBS owned, I expect 100+ episodes, same logic goes for Blue Bloods and likely next season Good Wife.

  • StevenD

    I think Rules is done, but it had a good run and will go out on its own terms.

    CBS should add an extra hour of comedy next year so they can launch more, and then cut back in the fall of 2014 if needed.

  • bluejays

    @Bill. I’m a gonna copy and paste this on every single Monday thread from now on:

    ”H50 has effectively the same ratings as CSI since Jan 1, above The Mentalist, only slightly below Elementary, and and above every other 10pm drama on ABC and NBC except Scandal.
    Yep, struggling.”

  • bluejays

    @CS strowbridge – but ALL CBS ten pm shows have dropped massively from last year. The Mentalist was getting 2.6’s or so and is now below two every week. CSI went from mid to high two’s to low two’s on average and even below two’s some weeks. Elementary is only slightly stronger than the pack and not by anything significant statistically at all.

    HFO is not struggling any more than any other CBS show at ten is struggling – thats an actual numerical fact. It is right up there with the pack. Last year it was ahead of the pack – by a fair bit at one point so yes it isn’t the stand out ten pm hit it was last year but it isn’t struggling either. It’s doing okay and is a bog standard ten pm procedural numbers wise.

  • Ultima

    @DM
    For the writers, will they get any indication that they can end the show properly or will it just get axed?

    They’re writing the 100th episode as a series finale, so I don’t think they’re going to be caught surprised…

  • Ultima

    @Purple Drazi
    Did you see the Zap2it article with Michael Chickless? He says:

    “”A lot of people try to play television executive, and the fact of the matter is that they really don’t know what they’re talking about,” the warm and candid Chiklis reasons to Zap2it. “The television landscape has changed dramatically, particularly over the last five years, so a lot of this nonsense about [appealing to] ‘the key demographic’ is over. It’s no longer relevant.”

    Network executives have been making this same argument for more than a decade. They want advertisers to pay for A25-54 or even total viewers, because they have a larger share of those viewers relative to cable than they do with A18-49.

  • Dan S

    I think that CBS will in fact add 1 hr of comedy. That being the Robin Williams comedy Crazy Ones & I think it’ll be paired with another single cam. I believe Survivor could move to Sun after AR & put the new comedies on Wed at 8pm. ROE for all intents & purposes is finished all the same.

  • Tommy M.

    @ Dan S, I think CBS learned their lesson about a comedy block at 8 on Wednesdays after the disaster they had with the Old Christine/Gary Unmarried block. If they expand their comedy hours it would make more sense to extend the Thursday night block. Survivor works on Wednesdays, I don’t see them changing that anytime soon.

  • Rollie Dethloff

    A lot of people want TGW, H5O, TM, and CSI to be the next ones to take over the Fridays at 9pm slot. How do you guys think Criminal Minds, Person Of Interest, or an NCIS would do there?

  • Jonathan

    @Moon

    So you think a sitcom starring Robin Williams won’t get a full season?

    The seventh highest grossing actor in film history won’t get a full year?

    No, just no.

  • Pepper

    I’m excited that H50 is gonna be renewed but I’m already worried about next year :(

  • alvar

    CBS won’t make any radical changes to their schedule while they are in such a strong position. Elementary will likely move to 9pm Sunday to replace The Good Wife, opening up the 10pm Thursday post Person of Interest slot to launch a new drama. The Mentalist and The Good Wife will be renewed and used to fill 10pm Sunday and 9pm Friday, and CSI NY will probably be cancelled. As for comedy, CBS will probably launch a new show in the Comedy Monday block and either renew Rules or have a second new comedy for midseason.

  • PurpleDrazi

    @ Jacob Yates,

    “I understand that it’s what makes the advertisers money, but how did it come to be the demo that makes the money?”

    Tommy gave a good explanation above but I’ll expand it a bit. The key thing to remember here is that advertisers want viewers to watch the shows LIVE. (It’s more likely you will see commercials that way.)

    There is a larger majority of “older” viewers that watch live than younger viewers. To borrow a saying from my grandmother…You can’t swing a dead cat without hitting a 50+ viewer. :-) The 18-49 demo is less likely to watch live TV. They are busy partying, raising kids, going to school, etc… and are more likely to DVR a show or watch on line or quite simply not watch at all. They are hard to reach and therefor advertisers are willing to pay more to reach them. Shows that attract a LIVE 18-49 demo are highly desired by the networks.

  • PurpleDrazi

    @Rollie Dethloff
    “A lot of people want TGW, H5O, TM, and CSI to be the next ones to take over the Fridays at 9pm slot. How do you guys think Criminal Minds, Person Of Interest, or an NCIS would do there?”

    I think they would do better than what is there now but still take a big hit in the ratings. Which is why CBS would never move them there. Friday is a dumping ground for shows that are on their last legs or just can’t make it during the week. There is absolutly no reason at all for CBS to even consider moving one of those three shows there.

    I could see Criminal Minds possibly being moved to Sunday but that’s it.

  • Tyrellan

    So with Vegas being moved to Friday’s, does that mean CBS is throwing it to the wolves – or do you think they realize they’re not getting the viewers, but want to keep it – so moving it to Friday’s to see what happens? We know golden boy was supposed to be on Friday’s; with NCIS: RED coming out – I gotta wonder if GB will get cancelled; and Tuesday will be all three NCIS shows….

  • Tyrellan

    @ Rollie Dethloff: There is no way in hell NCIS is going to move from where it is. Hell will freeze over LONG before that ever happens.

  • Moon

    @ Jonathan

    I think Robin Williams is an old Actor and Crazy Ones will attract old viewers. CBS’s comedies are doing very well and it’s difficult for a new one to be a hit.

  • Sheri

    Pavelsauce, no, in the US that isn’t true. It’s only one newer method of punctuation that puts it outside the quotation marks, and not everyone teaches that, even. Prior to that, it has always been taught in the US that the question mark goes INSIDE the quotation marks. It’s another case where sloppy writing is changing rule instead of people following rules.

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