FOX: 'The Cleveland Show' Is Certain To Be Canceled

Categories: Cancel/Renew Fox Shows,Cancel/Renew Index

Written By

March 26th, 2013

Click this link for the latest FOX renewal / cancellation information:


coffee-bear

Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts the network's decision on renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2012-13 season in May, 2013. (includes results from December 31, 2012- March 24, 2013):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
The Mob Doctor* canceled 0.31
Touch (F) :oops: 0.40
Fringe* (F) final season complete 0.50
Ben And Kate* canceled 0.60
The Cleveland Show :oops: 0.77
Raising Hope renewed 0.81
The Mindy Project renewed 0.84
Bob's Burgers renewed 1.04
Glee :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.10
American Dad renewed 1.11
New Girl renewed 1.12
Bones renewed 1.15
The Simpsons renewed 1.25
Family Guy renewed 1.43
The Following renewed 1.45

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Robert's rejiggered his prediction table and reduced the number of distinct prediction categories. That has several advantages.

One disadvantage though is that small prediction changes are no longer able to be headlined. That's less of a problem for him, he only comes up with one headline a week. The Cancellation Bear has to come up with five.

That's why The Cleveland Show finally moves from "likely to be canceled" to "certain to be canceled" this week.

Next week, the bear has another trick up his sleeve.

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. This season you can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.
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*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

From now through the end of the broadcast season in May, the Renew/Cancel Index values will only be calculated using new episodes airing during 2013. However, until new episodes of a show air in 2013, I will keep the "old"  Fall predictions in the table.

Want to know what the Fox Renew/Cancel Index table looked like at the end of the Fall season? Click here.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2013
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2013
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2013
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2013
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2013

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from past television seasons.

 
  • Jane Elliot

    Love this bear pic!

  • Laura

    Bill Gorman, if a show on FOX keeps getting between 2.0-2.3, that’s a definite lock for renewal right now?

  • Dan

    If any FOX show gets a 2.0 or above its considered a success, thats the case with any series on ABC & NBC. With CBS that’s the case with some dramas especially the 10pm shows.

    Unfortunately ABC, NBC, and CBS have barely renewed any shows and they have more series than FOX so its still a guessing game for a lot of those networks while FOX has been the easiest to figure out. Probably because the past 3 Mays, FOX has had a lot of bubble shows, where their fate could go either way.

    Glee will probably be renewed within the next few weeks, if not a little later.

  • Laura

    Thanks so much, Dan, for answering my question!

    New Girl has been getting 2.3 in the key demo lately. That’s why I was wondering if that is still considered a success or more of a bubble show. It did get a 2.6 for episodes 15 and 16, though!

  • http://tvbythenumbers.com Bill Gorman

    “Bill Gorman, if a show on FOX keeps getting between 2.0-2.3, that’s a definite lock for renewal right now?

    Yes.

  • Phil

    I will continue to watch Touch no matter what!

  • Ultima

    @Dan S
    Is it just me getting tired of all animation on Sundays ? I think the 9pm hour should be reserved for a drama or a couple comedies.

    The chance of a drama or live action comedies working on Sunday night is far, far below 100%. The chance of Animation Domination remaining successful in the near future is virtually 100%.

    They won’t change it anytime soon (especially not with four animated shows that need timeslots).

  • Herb Finn

    i’m hoping the american adaption of “Gavin & Stacey” will be picked up – but then Fox, like CBS, has limited comedy slots (for different reasons)

  • Laura

    Thanks, Bill! :)

  • Alan

    WHATS TAKING GLEE SO LONG??

  • SJ

    Bones fans are so annoying. They just keep whining about not wanting the show moved to Fridays, but wanting it to move to another night. Why? It’s doing well where it is. Why would Fox move it? It’s the only veteran drama that’s likely to return in fall 2014, with Glee likely withering into oblivion by next spring. Why would they ruin that by moving it again?

    Also, if they move Bones to Thursdays, they’d have to launch two hours of scripted content on Mondays at once, and that’s not easy (remember, The Following returns mid-season).

  • Dan

    @SJ – Agreed, Bones is better sticking on Mondays with a new series for next season, maybe FOX could air it 9pm Mondays should they find a better drama to air at 8. Glee will likely move to Fridays at 8 because its numbers are getting lower.

    @Laura – While New Girl’s ratings are down, they are still much better than any of FOX’s other comedies for the night as well as Hell’s Kitchen so relative to FOX’s other shows, New Girl is doing great. Same with The Following, it builds off of Bones by a good amount so its considered successful.

  • Ted Craig

    A few comments about Bob’s Burgers:

    1.) It does get buzz, just not the frat boy buzz of the MacFalane shows.

    2.) Which probably means a more attractive audience for many advertisers.

    3.) MacFarlane overkill could ruin Animation Domination. An hour and a half of the same crude humor is a bit much.

  • richard

    @headline better late than never
    Next stop, American Dad please!

  • will

    “The Cleveland Show” ends at 88 episodes. It’s done. I predict the same thing for “Glee” which ends at 88 this season too. There has to be a reason (syndication) that they ended both shows at the perfect 88 number.

  • http://tvbythenumbers.com Bill Gorman

    ““The Cleveland Show” ends at 88 episodes. It’s done. I predict the same thing for “Glee” which ends at 88 this season too.”

    Nonsense (on Glee). One of these things is not like the other.

    “There has to be a reason (syndication) that they ended both shows at the perfect 88 number.”

    4 seasons of the semi-standard 22 episodes not a simple enough reason for you?

  • JacobYates

    @Bill
    “If a FOX show keeps getting between 2.0-2.3 that’s a definite lock for renewal right now?

    “Yes”

    Argh!!! That just frustrates me further about Terra Nova!

  • Ted Craig

    @JacobYates

    How about between 2.0 and 2.3 and doesn’t lose money every time it airs.

  • HAPPY!

    What I think would be a good schedule for Fox 2013-2014

    Monday
    8-Bones
    9-The Following (Sept.-Nov.)/NEW DRAMA (Dec.-1st week of Mar.)/The Following (March-May)

    Tuesday
    8-Raising Hope
    8:30-The Mindy Project
    9-New Girl
    9:30-NEW COMEDY “Two Wrongs”

    Wednesday
    8-The X Factor/American Idol
    9:30-NEW COMEDY (8 weeks in the fall)/a different NEW COMEDY (10 weeks in the winter)

    Thursday
    8-The X Factor
    9-NEW DRAMA

    Friday
    8-Kitchen Nightmares
    9-Glee

  • JacobYates

    @Ted Craig
    What part of Kevin Reilly specifically stating “Terra Nova was PROFITABLE for the network” don’t you people understand? It must be the “PROFITABLE” part.

    Just because the show had a big budget, ($4 million per episode, compared to $3 million for an average network drama) doesn’t mean it didn’t make money. The fact that it made money with a budget that size should speak for something right?

    And lets not kid ourselves here. It would have fared better than Touch or Mob Doctor and we all know it.

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