ABC: Be The Cancellation Bear, Which ABC Shows Would You Cancel?

Categories: Cancel/Renew ABC Shows,Cancel/Renew Index

Written By

April 2nd, 2013

Click this link for the latest ABC renewal / cancellation information:


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Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts the network's decision on renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2012-13 season in May, 2013. (includes results from December 31, 2012- March 27, 2013):


Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Don't Trust The B in Apt 23* canceled 0.50
Last Resort* canceled 0.57
Zero Hour* canceled 0.58
Happy Endings :oops: 0.61
Red Widow :oops: 0.62
Private Practice* canceled 0.63
Malibu Country (F) :| :| :| 0.65
666 Park Avenue* canceled 0.68
Body Of Proof :cry: :cry: 0.69
Last Man Standing (F) :) :) :) :) 0.74
The Neighbors :) :) :) :) 0.89
Revenge :) :) :) :) 0.96
Nashville :) :) :) :) 0.97
Suburgatory :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.05
Castle :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.06
The Middle :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.16
Once Upon A Time :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.25
Scandal :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.40
Grey's Anatomy :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.52
Modern Family :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 2.10

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This is a special short week version of the post. The table above includes news and ratings through Wednesday, March 27. only.

No changed predictions from the Cancellation Bear this week (although the bear has his eye on Body Of Proof for next week), he's soaking up the sun, but it's your chance to be the bear.

Which ABC show(s) not currently renewed or canceled would you devour? (Vote for as many shows, as many times as you want. As are all internet polls, this is meaningless.)

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. This season you can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.

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*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

From now through the end of the broadcast season in May, the Renew/Cancel Index values will only be calculated using new episodes airing during 2013. However, until new episodes of a show air in 2013, the "old" Fall predictions will carry over.

Want to know what the ABC Renew/Cancel Index table looked like at the end of the Fall season? Click here.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2013
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2013
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2013
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2013
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2013

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from past television seasons.

 
  • HV

    @eridapo
    That’s a cool cancelation index.

  • Nick

    I haven’t answered a single poll all day!

    Pass the popcorn, please.

  • Anyanka

    Why do so many people think the Neighbors will be renewed? It’s the lowest rated single-camera comedy besides Happy Endings. There is no way ABC will try another Tuesday comedy block with the Neighbors, which is pulling weaker numbers than Happy Endings did on Wednesday, even with Modern Family repeats as its lead-in. Unless ABC plans on sticking it on Fridays for the rest of its run, where do people expect the Neighbors to go? Stay on Wednesdays as the weakest (and youngest) show?

    A line-up along the lines of this makes much more sense:

    The Middle
    Suburgatory
    Modern Family
    New Comedy

    I suppose they could dump both Suburgatory and the Neighbors on Friday to launch two new comedies on Wednesday. I still think people are over-estimating renewal odds for the Neighbors.

  • bluejoni

    So people really DO watch these horrible sitcoms ???? They’re just horrible and infantile !!!

  • Jon

    Up until this year I had never watched body of proof, so when it came around this year I decided to give it a chance. I really wanted to like Body of Proof, but the main character is just so unlikeable it kind of tears down the rest of the show.

  • Kitsune

    Scandal at 10%

    What the heck are you on, TVBTN?

  • anotherhour

    Sunday IS a tough night for ALL broadcast shows, I’ve only seen The Amazing Race, Family Guy, American Dad and 60 Minutes hit the 2.2-2.6 range in the last month, Now with The Walking Dead done its 3rd season maybe we might see some growth for Revenge and OUAT on Sunday. As for Last Man Standing it should get renewed and keep it with Malibu, it’s not that bad. And Body Of Proof has increased since its premiere, thats pretty good for a mid-season show

  • Tommy

    How freakin crazy or you people. Why the hell is Body of Proof second. It’s Bloody amazing! The ratings are improving, the show is improving and megan is becoming much less mean now that she has settled back into her work. Her partner died, i think it’s fine for her to be angry.

  • MadS

    I LOVE NASHVILLE! Please do not cancel it. REVENGE and NASHVILLE are my 2 favorite ABC shows.

  • Becca Keener

    @cancellation bear/ Announce that Malibu Country has been renewed and then, go hibernate.

  • KennyA

    If i were ABC the schedule would look like this next season

    Monday:
    8pm: DWTS/Bachelor
    10pm: New Drama

    Even though DWTS has fallen a lot it will be renewed. ABC has a lot of problems with the current schedule so they need to fix the other timeslots first before moving/cancelling DWTS.
    Castle should be moved. It had 5 Seasons behind DWTS and the difference between Episodes which are after DWTS and Episodes withouth that Lead-In isn’t that big so it could work on another night.

    Tuesday:
    8pm: DWTS Result
    9pm: Castle
    10pm: Nashville (13-16 Episodes)/Body of Proof (10 Episodes)

    I really believe Castle could work Tuesdays. They still have an option to move it elsewhere if the ratings sink. I only believe Nashville will be renewed because ABC always renwed at least one Drama each season. All 1st Season Dramas are already cancelled except this one.
    When Body Of Proof returned i knew ratings would be up when DWTS returns (like last Season i think). So they could renew it for about 10 Episodes and could only air it in Spring after DWTS. It has better ratings than Nashville, Revenge and it isn’t much difference to other shows like Castle or even Once…

    Wednesday:
    8pm: The Middle
    8:30pm: New Comedy
    9pm: Modern Family
    9:30pm: How To Live With Your Parents/New Comedy (7-10 Episodes)
    10pm: New Drama

    The Middle and Modern Family will never be moved until there cancellation. I really hope How To Live will be renewed and that its going to be funny. I love Sarah Chalke! If it’s renewed it will end before the Season is over and a new Comedy will air at the end of the Season (like this and last Season)

    Thursday:
    8pm: Shark Tank
    9pm: Grey’s Anatomy (Final Season)
    10pm: Scandal

    I hope ABC won’t premiere a new show at 8pm. It will not work. I would air Shark Tank or switch Shark Tank with DWTS Results (Altough i doubt this will happen, but actually i think this could really work!)

    Friday:
    8pm: Last Man Standing
    8:30pm: Malibu Country
    9pm: Suburgatory
    9:30pm: New Comedy
    10pm: ?

    I think the ratings are good enough for Friday. They’ll probably move Suburgatory here…

    Sunday:
    8pm: Once Upon A Time/Once: Wonderland (New Drama)
    9pm: Revenge
    10pm: New Drama

    Altough this New Drama will be cancelled after it’s 1st Season…

  • D Diva

    can someone please explain to me the Scandal v. Revenge beef on these boards? I really don’t understand.

  • Cj morton

    Renew Castle, LMS, MC! Anything else, whatever!

  • sue

    @D Diva
    a guy named max used to constantly go on this site saying scandal is better than revenge, which he started and now paris is starting this battle its only a few people really and they dont have anything better to do than to constantly start ridicolous battles

  • Sarah

    I don’t understand why so many people would cancel Scandal, it’s the second highest rated drama on ABC. I don’t even watch the show and it would be insane to cancel it.

  • sue

    hi

  • sue

    @sarah
    its just the people that hate scandal so much

  • D Diva

    @sue

    ahhh. it makes sense now. thank you.

  • One

    Everything except The Middle and Suburgatory. It’s all idiotic drivel. America should be ashamed of itself for supporting this intellectually bankrupt network.

  • Sarah

    Thanks Sue! A show that inspires that much hate makes me want to watch it.

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