CBS: Be The Cancellation Bear, Which CBS Shows Would You Cancel?

Categories: Cancel/Renew CBS Shows,Cancel/Renew Index

Written By

April 2nd, 2013

Click this link for the latest CBS renewal / cancellation information:


bear-eats-bunny

Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts the network's decision on renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2012-13 season in May, 2013. (includes results from December 31, 2012- March 27, 2013):

 


Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Made In Jersey (F)* canceled 0.36
CSI:NY (F)* :oops: 0.50
Blue Bloods (F)  renewed 0.53
Golden Boy (one F) :oops: 0.55
The Good Wife renewed 0.59
Vegas :oops: 0.60
The Mentalist renewed 0.65
Partners* canceled 0.79
Hawaii Five-0 renewed 0.81
CSI renewed 0.83
Elementary renewed 0.87
Rules of Engagement :cry: :cry: 0.94
Criminal Minds :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.05
NCIS: Los Angeles renewed 1.06
Mike & Molly renewed 1.10
Person Of Interest renewed 1.14
How I Met Your Mother renewed 1.26
2 Broke Girls renewed 1.28
NCIS renewed 1.30
Two and a Half Men** :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.46
The Big Bang Theory renewed 2.10

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This is a special short week version of the post. The table above includes news and ratings through Wednesday, March 27 only.

Which CBS show(s) not currently renewed or canceled would you devour? (Vote for as many shows, as many times as you want. As are all internet polls, this is meaningless.)

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. This season you can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.
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*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

** The Renew/Cancel Index does not attempt to predict shows ending because the cast or production company chooses to end them. These shows have the ratings for renewal, but rumored cast/production company moves may end the shows.

From now through the end of the broadcast season in May, the Renew/Cancel Index values will only be calculated using new episodes airing during 2013. However, until new episodes of a show air in 2013, I will keep the "old"  Fall predictions in the table.

Want to know what the CBS Renew/Cancel Index table looked like at the end of the Fall season? Click here.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2013
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2013
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2013
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2013
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2013

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from past television seasons.

 
  • Goku

    I would cancel whole CBS. Every procedural drama and every not funny comedy with laughtrack.

  • omabin

    @Nick,

    CBS doesn’t leave returning shows to midseason, so every schedule you do like that is not a plausible one (especially because you are leaving not 1, but 2 shows).

    This is what I would do (assuming no comedy expansion, which I still say it is a major mistake):

    Monday
    How I Met Your Mother
    Mom
    2 Broke Girls
    Mike and Molly
    Beverly Hill Cops

    Tuesday
    NCIS
    NCIS-LA
    Hawaii Five-0

    Wednesday
    Survivor
    Criminal Minds
    CSI

    Thursday
    The Big Bang Theory
    Two and a Half Men
    Person of Interest
    Intelligence

    Friday
    The Good Wife [13 eps]/Undercover Boss
    Elementary
    Blue Bloods

    Sunday
    The Amazing Race
    Hawaii Five-0
    The Mentalist

    With comedy expansion:

    Monday
    How I Met Your Mother
    Friends with Better Lives
    2 Broke Girls
    Super Clyde
    Hawaii Five-0

    Tuesday
    NCIS
    NCIS-LA
    Beverly Hill Cops [I would swap it with Five-0, this is just to prevent further moves]

    Wednesday
    Person of Interest
    Intelligence
    Criminal Minds

    Thursday
    The Big Bang Theory
    Mom
    Two and a Half Men
    Super Clyde
    Elementary

    Friday
    The Good Wife [13 eps]/ Undercover Boss
    CSI
    Blue Bloods

    Sunday
    The Amazing Race
    Survivor
    The Mentalist

  • Ultima

    @Happy
    9-NEW DRAMA “Intelligence”
    10-The Mentalist (15 eps.)/The Good Wife (15 eps.)

    Have you ever looked a full season schedule for CBS? The only have room for ~46 total episodes of their Sunday dramas.

    Also, when was the last time CBS held a veteran drama for midseason? I can’t think of any in the past decade.

    8-The Amazing Race (Undercover Boss during hiatus)
    8-Survivor (Undercover Boss during hiatus)

    That’s still only 7-8 episodes of Undercover Boss (airing twice a week several times).

    Friday
    9-Elementary

    Why would they move their only freshman drama renewal to Friday?! The show is doing decently and they obviously need it to last for at least four seasons.

  • Ultima

    @Nick
    Midseason – Elementary

    That’s even more ridiculous than the guy who put it on Friday!

  • Ultima

    @Ben
    they help to pay the bills that allows CBS to renew shows such as The Good Wife

    With its syndication deal, I’m pretty sure The Good Wife is pulling a profit for CBS…

  • Ben

    @Ultima

    The Good Wife is a very low rated show. With the execption of Blue Bloods (Friday) it’s the lowest rated program that CBS has renewed so far this year. CSI: NY, Vegas, and Golden Boy have ratings similar to The Good Wife and they are Probably going to be cancelled.
    I doubt if The Good Wife is making that much of a profit for CBS and almost certainly not as much of a profit as Criminal Minds, Two and a Half Men and Rules of Engagement earn for the network.

  • TVDude

    I would cancel everything but 2.5 Men and Criminal Minds.

    I know Rules is a bubble show as always and could swing either way, but there’s no reason for it to stick around financially or creatively. It filled a nice spot this season, but next year might not be necessary since I don’t see much evidence of CBS expanding their sitcom lineup. Even if they did, keeping Rules wouldn’t be required.

  • Californiadgd

    Monday:
    8:00 HIMYM
    8:30 Two and a Half Men
    9:00 2 Broke Girls
    9:30 Mike & Molly
    10:00 New Drama

    Tuesday:
    8:00 NCIS
    9:00 NCIS: Red
    10:00 NCIS: LA

    Wednesday:
    8:00 Survivor
    9:00 Criminal Minds
    10:00 CSI

    Thursday:
    8:00 The Big Bang Theory
    8:30 New Comedy
    9:00 POI
    10:00 New Drama

    Friday:
    8:00 Hawaii Five-0
    9:00 The Good Wife
    10:00 Blue Bloods

    Sunday:
    8:00 The Amazing Race
    9:00 Elementary
    10:00 The Mentalist

  • Ultima

    @Ben
    I doubt if The Good Wife is making that much of a profit for CBS and almost certainly not as much of a profit as Criminal Minds, Two and a Half Men and Rules of Engagement earn for the network.

    Criminal Minds? Sure. However, I don’t think the other two are as clear cut as you think.

    CBS doesn’t own Rules of Engagement and given that it’s hit 100 episodes and the cast contracts are up, they probably can’t get a good deal for it from Sony and it’s ratings aren’t even that great.

    As for Two and a Half Men, it has great ratings and repeats well, but CBS doesn’t own it and it is a relatively expensive show due to its age and Kutcher’s salary. It might be more profitable for CBS than The Good Wife is, or maybe they’re cutting it close on the costs because they think it pays off by boosting their Thursday dramas.

  • Ben

    @Ultima

    The ratings for Rules of Engagement are far better than The Good Wife ratings. If Rules of Engagement does not get renewed, it will probably be the most watched show from any network not to return in September 2013.

  • Anna Bones Clarkwood

    Another obvious one like FOX.

    Renew TAAHM & CM.
    Let Go of CSI:NY (it’s def lowest of returning shows this year, 2nd lowest of all) & ROE (100ep/Not CBS owned/contracts are up/storylines will be ended/lack of comedy space to fill for 2013-2014).
    Cancel Vegas & Golden Boy.

    Get 3 dramas & 4 comedies. 3 of those comedies for midseason. 1 for if another Partners occurs & 2 for a drama slot, probably Friday ala Made In Jersey. But, if they decide to put either TGW &/or TM on Friday b/c debuting New on Friday or Elementary/POI wouldn’t be a good idea. Moving CSI:LV to Fri, not advisable IMO either. Then that means Sun is probably where it opens up mid season even though against Animation Domination for mid season comedies is not ideal. Otherwise, they could try comedy @10pm come midseason on Tue or Thu, if that’s where a show fails.

    An idea for a schedule:

    Fall 2013
    Sun
    7&8 same
    9 New Drama
    10 New Drama or one of TGW/TM

    Mon
    Same

    Tues
    NCIS night

    Wed
    Same

    Thur
    same

    Fri
    8 One of TGW/TM or New Drama
    9 One of TGW/TM or New Drama
    10 same

    I’d hope for 1 New Drama each Fri & Sun & 1 of TGW/TM moves to Fri OR both new on Sun & both TGW/TM move to Fri.
    Elementary is going to struggle to make it to 4 seasons. Probably 3&4th will be on Fri or Sun, maybe even mid season 2nd to better promote that inevitable mid season drama.
    I’d like to Move it off of Thursday but since CBS doesn’t like to move a lot of shows, i.e. messing with most of Tue & Wed, & moving it to Sun @ 9, doesn’t make too much sense, it has to stay & hope for a 2nd season boost.

    Next season, it’s all but known that the bottom of the barrel shows will be BB/TGW/TM, which is what will allow Elementary & H50 to last another season or more. In E’s case, 4 seasons is all but guaranteed, unless s2 is so bad that it’s better to keep TGW/TM going. This is irregardless to the New Dramas b/c of the 3 show buffer & probably 1 more new shows as well.

  • FringeFan

    Cancel Golden Boy, Vegas, and Rules of Engagement.

    Renew CSI: NY for a final season perhaps 13 episodes (rating demos are horrendous, but overall viewers is pretty darn good), Criminal Minds, and Two & a Half Men for a final season.

  • starship

    CSI NY, Vegas, and Golden Boy are getting the boot.

    Rules of Engagement is ending as well, but I wouldn’t technically call it cancelled since from my understanding most of the cast’s contracts are up and they’ve been cast in new pilots (as a first option).

  • Anna Bones Clarkwood

    @Ben,

    Yes, but that’s b/c it’s on CBS, which doesn’t have many holes. Only 3 drama hours and 30min of Comedy.

    Right now, pretending that CBS didn’t renew TGW/TM/BB/Elementary, weakest slots
    Sun
    9&10

    Mon
    8:30

    Tue
    10

    Wed
    none

    Thu
    10

    Fri
    ALL 3

    For a total of 7hrs30min.

    However, so much is already renewed that all that’s left is:
    Sun
    None

    Mon
    8:30 (Rules?)

    Tue
    10 (NCIS:RED!)
    Wed – no CM is not an open slot
    None
    Thur – no TAAHM is not an open slot
    None
    Fri
    8&9 (minus some Undercover Boss filler)

    So, yeah, for CBS, there really isn’t room for ROE. It’s better to order 2 comedies (1 for mid season) than deal with a now expensive ROE.

    If it were on any other Network, it would easily be renewed. Just cause NBC has to renew Parks&Rec or ABC will renew Neighbors et all or Fox will renew Mindy, doesn’t mean CBS should renew ROE.

    Personally, I would have let go of Elementary & kept ROE & added a comedy hour, for 1yr, in order to try & get something ready for HIMYM & eventually TAAHM & M&M/2BG. Since TAAHM is real expensive & demo is trending down & Mon is trending down, but can last until syndication.

  • ProViewerShipNumbers

    CBS 2013-2014 schedule

    SUNDAY: 7 -60 MINUTES [solid C]; 8 -HALF A HEART; 9 -UNTITLED NCIS: LOS ANGELES SPIN-OFF [19 episodes]; 10 -BLUE BLOODS [19 episodes][D minus]

    MONDAY
    8 HOW I MET YOUR MOTHER [FINAL SEASON][17 episodes][B minus][this should have been its last season]
    8 Friends With Better Lives [23 episodes]
    9 MIKE & MOLLY [25 episodes][D minus]
    9 TWO AND A HALF MEN [FINAL SEASON][19 episodes][F minus]
    10 CRIMINAL MINDS [22 episodes][this show should end in 2015][B minus]

    TUESDAY: 8 -NCIS [29 episodes][C minus]; 9 -THE GOOD WIFE [29 episodes][solid A]; 10 -NCIS: LOS ANGELES [27 episodes][C minus]

    WEDNESDAY
    8 The McCarthys [23 episodes]
    8 UNTITLED TAD QUILL PROJECT [23 episodes]
    9 2 BROKE GIRLS [22 episodes][F minus; "beyond vile" as some executives would say]
    9 Ex-Men [23 episodes]
    10 CSI [21 episodes][should end in 2015][B minus]

    THURSDAY [most important day on TV]
    8 THE BIG BANG THEORY [29 episodes][solid F]
    8 Unauthorized Greg Garcia Project [25 episodes]
    9 PERSON OF INTEREST [29 episodes][B plus]
    10 Hostages [23 episodes]

    FRIDAY: 8 -White People (created by J.T. Rogers) [19 episodes]; 9 -THE MENTALIST [FINAL SEASON][19 episodes][D minus]; 10 -ELEMENTARY [23 episodes][D minus]

    SATURDAY: 7 -THE AMAZING RACE [FINAL SEASON][Solid F] | UNDERCOVER BOSS [FINAL SEASON][DECEMBER][C plus]; 8 -SURVIVOR [D minus] | COMEDY REPEATS [DECEMBER - MAY]; 9 -Hawaii Five-0 [19 episodes][Solid F]; 10 -VEGAS [20 episodes][C minus] | GOLDEN BOY [MARCH] [15 episodes][C minus]

  • Ultima

    @Ben
    The ratings for Rules of Engagement are far better than The Good Wife ratings.

    CBS gains syndication revenue from The Good Wife, but not from Rules of Engagement, which makes up for the ratings difference and more.

  • Ultima

    @ProViewershipNumbers

    That schedule isn’t even remotely realistic. Seems like a lot of effort for delusional nonsense.

  • Ben

    @Anna Bones Clarkwood,

    You make some very good points in your post, however, considering how many times Rules of Engagement has brought in the viewers in the past when CBS has 30 minutes to fill, “Schedule Spackle”, the network had better hope they can find something good to replace it, should they decided to cancel it once and for all.

    Rob and Partners did not work out for CBS, so Rules had to fill their time slots.

    A bird in the hand is worth two in the bush. Cancelling a popular series and replacing it with something that’s a dud, critically and ratings wise, has happened to a lot of networks, including CBS.

    CBS had better be very sure before they decided it’s time to cancell Rules of Engagement. This is the same network that cancelled and uncancelled Unforgettable last year.

  • Holly

    @Ultima,

    CBS doesn’t own Criminal Minds either.

  • Mark

    CBS Fall 2013 Predicted Schedule

    Sun
    8:00-Undercover Boss
    9:00-The Good Wife
    10:00-New Drama

    Mon
    8:00-HIMYM
    8:30-2 Broke Girls
    9:00-Criminal Minds
    10:00-New Drama

    Tuesday:
    8:00-NCIS
    9:00-NCIS RED
    10:00-The Mentalist

    Weds
    8:00-The Amazing Race
    9:00-Survior
    10:00-CSI

    Thursday:
    8:00-Big Bang
    8:30-Mike & Molly
    9:00-2 & Half Men
    9:30-New Comedy
    10:00-POI

    Friday-
    8:00- Blue Bloods
    9:00-Hawaii 5-0
    10:00-Elementary

    CBS is in great position because of there shows compared to most so only minor tweaks need to be made to keep it fresh. Moving Hawaii 5-0 to Friday makes sense as does making Blue Bloods an 8pm show it is family friendly. Elementary is a good match. Moving the Mentalist to Tuesday at 10pm makes sense because it will beat anything any another network places there, and it being an established show it will win the slot. Putting the Amazing Race on Wed at 8 puts a more family friendly spin on the reality show, and then follow it up with survivor should help both shows.

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