FOX: Be The Cancellation Bear, Which Fox Shows Would You Cancel?

Categories: Cancel/Renew Fox Shows,Cancel/Renew Index

Written By

April 2nd, 2013

Click this link for the latest FOX renewal / cancellation information:


bear fish

Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts the network's decision on renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2012-13 season in May, 2013. (includes results from December 31, 2012- March 27, 2013):

 


Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
The Mob Doctor* canceled 0.31
Touch (F) :oops: 0.40
Fringe* (F) final season complete 0.50
Ben And Kate* canceled 0.60
The Cleveland Show :oops: 0.77
Raising Hope renewed 0.81
The Mindy Project renewed 0.83
Bob's Burgers renewed 1.04
Glee :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.10
American Dad renewed 1.11
New Girl renewed 1.12
Bones renewed 1.14
The Simpsons renewed 1.25
The Following renewed 1.42
Family Guy renewed 1.43

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This is a special short week version of the post. The table above includes ratings through Wednesday, March 27 only.

No changed predictions from the Cancellation Bear this week, he's soaking up the sun, but it's your chance to be the bear.

Which Fox show(s) not currently renewed or canceled would you devour? (Vote for as many shows, as many times as you want. As are all internet polls, this is meaningless.)

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. This season you can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.
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*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

From now through the end of the broadcast season in May, the Renew/Cancel Index values will only be calculated using new episodes airing during 2013. However, until new episodes of a show air in 2013, I will keep the "old"  Fall predictions in the table.

Want to know what the Fox Renew/Cancel Index table looked like at the end of the Fall season? Click here.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2013
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2013
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2013
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2013
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2013

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from past television seasons.

 
  • Max Vrany

    @Sky, Music Licensing is a small portion of the $3 million each episode of Glee costs.

  • Bob

    Only 24 percent for Glee…how disappointing. I only voted for that one out of the three even though I never watched the other two. lol. Glee has been on long enough.

  • Sky

    @Max Vrany: I realize this. At most, the licensing fee would be around $210,000 per episode. I’m just saying that the idea that Glee is making millions off of music sales is a fallacy (perhaps in its heydey this was true, but not now). Looking at the sales of the best-selling song from episode 4×15, “Come What May,” which sold 17,950 copies in its first week. That song sells for $1.29 on iTunes, so it would net $23,155.50. That’s not taking into account the cut that Apple would take from the iTunes sale and that Columbia Records would get as Glee’s record company. So you can see how if Glee spent $30,000 to license that song, they would feasibly LOSE money on it.

    By the way, that $3 million per episode was the cost of an episode in season 1. The cast was much smaller then (and making less money than they do now) and there were less songs. Given how large the cast is and how many more songs they use, I would imagine costs per episode are higher these days.

    Don’t get me wrong, the show is still profitable, but that’s almost entirely because of TV ad revenue. But I wonder if Fox can still charge $224,345 per 30 second commercial during Glee like they did this season.

  • denroy3

    FOX probably second guessing renewing The Following so soon. That show turned from weak to a dog real quick.

  • OWL

    Glee
    Just because…

  • jerry f.

    2 broke girls……not funny any more.

  • Ultima

    @denroy
    FOX probably second guessing renewing The Following so soon. That show turned from weak to a dog real quick.

    It’s the highest rated scripted show on FOX…

  • TVDude

    @Cammie,
    Glee was at 8pm before this season, has it become more mature recently or something? Either way, it wouldn’t make a difference.

    I wouldn’t cancel Glee, but the Ryan Murphy needs to have an end in mind. I doubt Fox will cancel it without giving it a chance to have some sort of series finale. They seem to be behind the show. I am curious how long the show can go though, or that apartment in New York will end up being completely full of Lima graduates.

  • omabin

    I would go very heavy on dramas next season because they really need them and they are better to stabilize a schedule than comedies:

    Monday
    Bones
    Glee [13 eps final Season]/ The Following

    Tuesday
    Delirium
    New Girl
    The Mindy Project

    Wednesday
    The X-Factor/ Idol
    The X-Factor/Idol
    New Comedy

    Thursday
    The X-Factor/Idol
    New Drama

    Friday
    Raising Hope/ New Reality
    Raising Hope/ New Reality
    Kitchen Nightmares

  • omabin

    That would be two new dramas and 1 new comedy. I know everyone says I am cray for canceling Glee, because after all it is still doing good for Fox’s standards, but I think it will collapse without the talent shows lead-in and that probably got way too expensive back when it was the highest rated drama on TV to be on the levels it is today (see House). So I think a final season announcement is the best way to proceed. If they want to do a full season, have it replacing Raising Hope on Fridays come midseason to leave room for the following. But Fox must launch 2 new dramas on the Monday-Thursday schedule and must be serious about them.

  • TeeVeeViewer

    I would’ve cancelled both of the laugh-free “comedies,” The Mindy Project and New Girl. They’re dreck.

  • tvlog

    Cnacel Glee or Bring Smash over! Cleveland show needs time slot not against Sports on broadcast tv! Fox knows no cartoon goes against NFL! Touch will match with The Following! Fridays should be Touch at eight and The Following at nine! Glee is dead!

  • Brad

    I bet The Cleveland Show will get one more season so FOX can have an easier time syndicating it as a five-season series.

  • Richard Steven Hack

    If the FBI agents get any more stupid on The Following, I’d cancel that. Of course, it’s renewed already. As for the rest of Fox, cancel everything since I’m not watching any of their crap this season except The Following.

  • Californiadgd

    Monday:
    8:00 Bones
    9:00 The Following

    Tuesday:
    8:00 New Drama
    9:00 New Girl
    9:30 The Mindy Project/New Comedy

    Wednesday:
    8:00 X Factor/AI(?)

    9:30 New Comedy (6 eps)

    Thursday:
    8:00 X Factor/AI
    9:00 New Drama

    Friday:
    8:00 Glee
    9:00 Raising Hope/Kitchen Nightmares

    Sunday:
    As usual

  • starship

    Touch and The Cleveland Show will obviously be cancelled and Glee is clearly getting a fifth season (and I doubt it’s going to be the final one).

  • Ultima

    @Brad
    I bet The Cleveland Show will get one more season so FOX can have an easier time syndicating it as a five-season series.

    FOX would have renewed it months ago if they were planning on airing it next season.

  • Hardline_Pro

    The Cleveland Show

  • Joel

    American Idol will hopefully be put to rest in the cancellation heaven. Opening up some time for the Fox schedulers

  • Joel

    @Brad I bet The Cleveland Show will get one more season so FOX can have an easier time syndicating it as a five-season series

    It was already sold to a syndication deal that is why it had the three year pickup deal at the beginning

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