NBC: Be The Cancellation Bear, Which NBC Shows Would You Cancel?

Categories: Cancel/Renew Index,Cancel/Renew NBC Shows

Written By

April 2nd, 2013

Click this link for the latest NBC renewal / cancellation information:


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Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts the network's decision on renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2012-13 season in May, 2013.  (includes results from December 31, 2012- March 27, 2013):


Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Do No Harm* canceled 0.50
Smash canceled 0.64
Animal Practice* canceled 0.66
1600 Penn :oops: 0.76
The New Normal :oops: 0.77
Guys With Kids* :oops: 0.81
Whitney :| :| :| 0.89
Deception :oops: 0.91
Community :| :| :| 0.92
30 Rock* final season complete 0.93
Go On :| :| :| 0.94
Grimm (F) :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.01
Parenthood* :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.08
Parks & Recreation :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.16
Law & Order: SVU :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.22
Chicago Fire :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.42
The Office final season 1.45
Revolution :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.83
Up All Night :oops: pending

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This is a special short week version of the post. The table above includes news and ratings through Wednesday, March 27 only.

No changed predictions from the Cancellation Bear this week, he's soaking up the sun, but it's your chance to be the bear.

Which NBC show(s) not currently renewed or canceled would you devour? (Vote for as many shows, as many times as you want. As are all internet polls, this is meaningless.)

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. This season you can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.
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*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

From now through the end of the broadcast season in May, the Renew/Cancel Index values will only be calculated using new episodes airing during 2013. However, until new episodes of a show air in 2013, I will keep the "old"  Fall predictions in the table.

Want to know what the NBC Renew/Cancel Index table looked like at the end of the Fall season? Click here.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2013
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2013
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2013
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2013
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2013

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ie. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from past television seasons.

 
  • JDinCanada

    Everything but Whitney . It’s the most original compelling show on NBC this year . They must save it !

  • Justin

    The New Normal

  • HAPPY!

    1600 Penn
    Guys With Kids
    Up All Night
    The New Normal
    Whitney
    Deception

  • Tommy Mickens

    Let us all remember how long Bill Gorman has kept The New Normal in the “Certain to be Cancelled” column when it gets renewed.

    It’s beyond preposterous that it’s “certain” to be cancelled, when it jumped up in ratings last week, and is having two episodes after the Voice tonight (that will obviously do good, for an NBC sitcom).

    At WORST, TNN should be in “likely” to be cancelled territory, but it’s obvious NBC is wanting to save this show looking at its schedule placement for its last shows of the season.

  • Rebecca

    Cancel Whitney, Up All Night, Deception, and The New Normal, and keep the rest going.

  • Jonay

    Why hasn’t Up All Night been canceled yet???

  • MaryAnn

    I have to assume that the only reason Deception is a sure cancellation, with a .91 on your index (and right in the middle of the list), is that it is the lowest rated NBC drama. So why don’t they do away with some of those low rated comedies instead, and go with more drama hours? Deception got a great deal more exciting just in the last couple of episodes, and it is disappointing that it apparently has no chance of coming back.

  • Justin121

    New Normal, 1600 Penn, Up All Night.

    Renewed Guys with Kids, Whitney, et al.

  • PurpleDrazi

    Move Grimm and Parenthood somewhere else and then cancel the whole network!

  • Kevin K

    I don’t watch ANYTHING on NBC and I’m embarrassed to say I own stock in GE which partially owns NBC. :-(

  • 1313 SVU Lane

    Kevin K

    Actually, NBC is now wholly owned by Comcast, for now GE no longer produces entertainment with NBCUniversal.

  • Anthony

    Let us all remember how long Bill Gorman has kept The New Normal in the “Certain to be Cancelled” column when it gets renewed.

    It’s beyond preposterous that it’s “certain” to be cancelled, when it jumped up in ratings last week, and is having two episodes after the Voice tonight (that will obviously do good, for an NBC sitcom).

    At WORST, TNN should be in “likely” to be cancelled territory, but it’s obvious NBC is wanting to save this show looking at its schedule placement for its last shows of the season.

    1. The show “jumped up” to a still absolutely pitiful 1.3 rating.
    2. IF (and that is a huge if) the show does get renewed for next season, it assuredly will not be placed in the post Voice timeslot. When the Voice was off the air, on numerous occasions, TNN scored BELOW a 1.0 ratings (and dropping as low as a .7). That is pure garbage and won’t be renewed.

  • Anthony

    I have to assume that the only reason Deception is a sure cancellation, with a .91 on your index (and right in the middle of the list), is that it is the lowest rated NBC drama. So why don’t they do away with some of those low rated comedies instead, and go with more drama hours? Deception got a great deal more exciting just in the last couple of episodes, and it is disappointing that it apparently has no chance of coming back.

    Deception is certain cancellation because of a combination of two factors. It is the lowest rated drama, and it had the best available lead in at the time it was airing (Biggest Loser). Those two factors make it more likely to be cancelled. It would have had a better (but still not great) chance had it received those ratings in say the Thursday 10pm slot.

  • frodo

    I would cancel New Normal, 1600 Penn, Up all Night(no Christina means no UAN), Guys with Kids, Deception and Go on. All flops. Go On and New Normal without the Voice can barely get a 1.0. Whitney is horrible show but at least its steady on its own.

  • Michael1

    Tonight is the moment of truth for “The New Normal.” If it can retain over 60% of its lead-in from “The Voice” it may make NBC forget about all of the times that it lost to “The Big Bang Theory”…when it was was airing a rerun…on TBS!!!

  • Red Jane

    It’d be quicker to list which NOT to cancel as most stuff has sucked this season at NBC….

  • hello

    Looking at this list i honestly couldn’t care less about NBC

  • Tommy Mickens

    1. The show “jumped up” to a still absolutely pitiful 1.3 rating.

    You forget we’re talking about NBC here. A 1.3 for a sitcom is good for them, almost very good.

    For instance, Whitney got a 1.0 for BOTH new episodes last week, and it’s still in “toss-up” range.

  • Ultima

    @Tommy Mickens
    Let us all remember how long Bill Gorman has kept The New Normal in the “Certain to be Cancelled” column when it gets renewed.

    I’m guessing you won’t be around to eat crow when its cancelled.

    It’s beyond preposterous that it’s “certain” to be cancelled, when it jumped up in ratings last week, and is having two episodes after the Voice tonight (that will obviously do good, for an NBC sitcom).

    Actually, it’s completely reasonable to think that a scripted show on NBC would be canceled after a 0.7 rating for a regular airing.

    It’s their second lowest rated sitcom!

    This might shock you, but ANY of their sitcoms would get a ratings boost from airing after The Voice…

  • Bob

    The only one I care about is Guys with Kids. It is a great show!

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