NBC: Be The Cancellation Bear, Which NBC Shows Would You Cancel?

Categories: Cancel/Renew Index,Cancel/Renew NBC Shows

Written By

April 2nd, 2013

Click this link for the latest NBC renewal / cancellation information:


bear
Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts the network's decision on renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2012-13 season in May, 2013.  (includes results from December 31, 2012- March 27, 2013):


Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Do No Harm* canceled 0.50
Smash canceled 0.64
Animal Practice* canceled 0.66
1600 Penn :oops: 0.76
The New Normal :oops: 0.77
Guys With Kids* :oops: 0.81
Whitney :| :| :| 0.89
Deception :oops: 0.91
Community :| :| :| 0.92
30 Rock* final season complete 0.93
Go On :| :| :| 0.94
Grimm (F) :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.01
Parenthood* :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.08
Parks & Recreation :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.16
Law & Order: SVU :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.22
Chicago Fire :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.42
The Office final season 1.45
Revolution :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.83
Up All Night :oops: pending

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This is a special short week version of the post. The table above includes news and ratings through Wednesday, March 27 only.

No changed predictions from the Cancellation Bear this week, he's soaking up the sun, but it's your chance to be the bear.

Which NBC show(s) not currently renewed or canceled would you devour? (Vote for as many shows, as many times as you want. As are all internet polls, this is meaningless.)

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. This season you can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.
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*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

From now through the end of the broadcast season in May, the Renew/Cancel Index values will only be calculated using new episodes airing during 2013. However, until new episodes of a show air in 2013, I will keep the "old"  Fall predictions in the table.

Want to know what the NBC Renew/Cancel Index table looked like at the end of the Fall season? Click here.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2013
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2013
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2013
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2013
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2013

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ie. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from past television seasons.

 
  • Lisbeth Slander

    @Purple

    HAHA! That was my first thought as well. Whoever said NBC should cancel Parenthood….you are crazy! It’s one of the best shows on network television!

  • Cougar Town Forever

    I am assuming that Tommy Mickens is just trying to pick an argument, or is related to the producer of the show. It is so painfully obvious that TNN should be cancelled. That said, it’s wired that two episodes of it are airing after the Voice tonight. It kind of feels like NBC is trying anything to bring it back. I actually wouldn’t be stunned to see it back. NBC has done wackier things.

  • Alecia

    @ MaryAnn
    So why don’t they do away with some of those low rated comedies instead, and go with more drama hours?

    That’s something I’ve wondered about myself. The ratings for their comedies are absolutely horrible and damn near all of them should get cancel but because NBC standards are so low a show like Go On will probably get renew. I don’t see why they couldn’t have another hour of drama since those are doing much better.

  • cadburyeasteregg

    I wish people that claim to like ‘Deception’ would actually explain why they found it good. The show was incredibly rushed with a terrible amount of plotholes. We know next to nothing about the characters as people, most of them are emotional robots written as plot devices. Julian/Joanna were also the most forced relationship ever put to television. Dwight Haverstock was an all too obvious remake of Dan Fielding crossed with Joey Heric and unconvincing as a character because he was so poorly written.

  • CBSviewer

    Cancel: Whitney, 1600 Penn, The New Normal, Guys with Kids, Up all Night and Deception.

  • THE OLD MAN

    Went with all the obvious: GWK, TNN, 1600, UAN & Deception

    Think they should move Whitney & Community to Sat 9:00-10:00

  • THE OLD MAN

    @ Kevin K

    I own stock in GE, too so go back & research NBC (especially their cable holdings) & I’m confident that frowny face won’t be frowning!

  • Anthony

    You forget we’re talking about NBC here. A 1.3 for a sitcom is good for them, almost very good.

    For instance, Whitney got a 1.0 for BOTH new episodes last week, and it’s still in “toss-up” range.

    You clearly ignored the second bullet point in my comment, which is a major part of the reason TNN is certain to be cancelled. It completely flopped when it wasn’t airing after the Voice. It’s ratings are only remotely acceptable when the show is on after the Voice, which if renewed, would not be the case next season.

  • jen

    I would cancel all comedies but Parks & Rec (and move it off Thursday) . Start fresh with 4 new shows anchored by Sean Hayes at 8 and MJF at 9.

    NBC doesn’t need a sacrificial lamb (Community) at 8, they need a show people might watch. At this point Community is shedding viewers. The argument that the loyal core fanbase can be counted on to provide a stable if somewhat low rating no longer exists. Continuing to lead off with a show most viewers have rejected might create an impression that the new shows fit well with Community.

    If desperation results in another renewal they really need to move it off Thursdays and this time stick to the plan.

  • Anna Bones Clarkwood

    I say cancel all comedies save for Parks & Rec, Community & Whitney.

    Parks & Rec gets a full season…probably more seasons as well, unless the cast asks for too much $. In fact, I’d try & lock in a 2 year cast deal.

    For Community/Whitney, I’d use them as the 1st to replace flop comedies. Which means, that I’d bring them into the schedule mid to late Oct, if needed. Which also means that those shows should start production as if they were going to air in the fall & all season. If/When flop comedies occur, I’d give them more episodes.

    Since Voice & W/O Voice is such a factor, I’d also consider renewing any comedy that is willing to work dirt cheap for only a Winter/Non Voice season.

    However, this is my 1st year with in regards to Olympics, so all the above is based more on if next season was a non Olympics season. I don’t know how many hours per week & weeks Olympics takes up primetime NBC schedule.

  • TVDude

    I would cancel: 1600 Penn (low ratings), Guys With Kids (low ratings), Up All Night (it has no solid cast and low ratings), The New Normal (low ratings/can’t stand on its own), Whitney (low ratings, another season puts it too close to syndication “forcing” NBC to keep a low rated show around longer), Deception (low ratings).

    My fake schedule for the fall would look like this:
    Monday:
    The Voice-New Show
    Tuesday:
    The Voice-New Comedy-Go On- Revolution
    Wednesday:
    Parenthood – New Drama – Chicago Fire
    Thursday:
    Community-Parks and Recreation- Two New Comedies- Law and Order: SVU
    Friday:
    Dateline-Grimm-Hannibal or New Drama

    Midseason: Go On moves to Thursdays at 8pm to replace Community, a new comedy launches in Go On’s place.
    Parks and Recreation (for a final full season), Community (for a final 13 episodes), Go On, Law and Order:SVU, Chicago Fire, Parenthood

  • Nick

    What NBC should do for next season:

    Mon-
    8: The Voice/ The Biggest Loser
    10: Believe (new)

    Tue-
    8: The Voice/ Hollywood Game Night
    9: After Hours (new)
    10: Chicago Fire

    Wed-
    8: Parks & Recreation
    8:30: Betty White’s Off Their Rockers
    9: Revolution
    10: Crossbones (new)

    Thu-
    8: Parenthood
    9: Untitled Michael J. Fox project (new)
    9:30: Welcome to the Family (new)
    10: Law & Order: Special Victims Unit

    Fri-
    8: Dateline
    9: Grimm
    10: Dracula (new)

    Sat-
    8: Dracula (R)
    9: Law & Order: SVU (R)
    10: Saturday Night Live (R)

    Sun- (midseason)
    7: Dateline NBC
    9: The Celebrity Apprentice

    Midseason – Whitney, Rock Center with Brian Williams

  • HV

    @Cougar Town Forever
    “should be” and “will be” are different things to NBC.

  • Rave Mystery

    I just care about Whitney staying because it is the only show that got me watching NBC again after friends and Frazier ended. I also liked guys with kids but if it came down to it Whitney is the better show. before anyone talks this is how I feel so don’t talk about me like I don’t know good tv. We like what I like and you like what you like.

  • Rave Mystery

    Any show that depends on another show to draw in viewers maybe shouldn’t be renewed. I know Whitney had lost viewers this season but at least could be stable without a lead in and Community since its been on for four seasons the least NBC could do is give it a full final fifth season.

  • Fin

    I don’t know why people keep saying this season has been awful for NBC or that everything sucked. I mean yes the Jan-Mar was a seriously bad period but that was to be expected; NBC is the only network this season with two dramas likely (if not certain) to be renewed (something no other network can claim). Granted its comedy didn’t do well, but in comparison to the last four years it has only produced two viable dramas (Parenthood, Grimm) and two comedies (Community, Parks & Recreation). I think this season has gone superb when compared to other networks and its past years. You can’t expect NBC to suddenly produce masses of hits, but leading for a season in premiering new dramas is a strong start.

  • omabin

    What NBC should do:

    Monday
    The Voice
    The Voice
    The Sixth Gun

    Tuesday
    The Voice
    Crossbones or Believe
    Revolution

    Wednesday
    The Biggest Looser/ Parenthood
    The Biggest Looser/ After Hours
    Chicago Fire

    Thursday
    Community
    Parks and Recreation
    New Comedy
    New Comedy
    Law and Order: SVU

    Friday [Hallowen Start]
    Dateline
    Grimm
    Dracula

    Remember: they have the Olympics next year, so no need to have TBL bridge the voice cyles! Use it in the fall instead to stabilize wednesdays and guarantee a stable lead-in for chicago fire so that it can continue to grow. At the same time, that allows to reduce the number of hours needed to promote in the early fall to three: the monday and tuesday drama and the thursday comedy hour (the comedies must be self starters). After Hours can be launched after a very strong olympics promotional effort while benefiting from a stable, albeit non spectacular, lead-in in Parenthood and a fairly compatible lead-out in Chicago Fire. Meanwhile, launch Grimm and Dracula on Hallowen to benefit from theme and to reduce in-season hiatus, while reducing the promotional effort of early fall on other nights. Friday can be used up until then to repeat The Sixth Gun and Crossbones or Believe.

  • Ultima

    @Alecia
    I don’t see why they couldn’t have another hour of drama since those are doing much better.

    Given that all five of their fall dramas will be renewed, I wouldn’t be surprised if NBC went from a 5/5 drama/sitcom split (in hours) last fall to 7/3 this fall.

    They never even got the fifth hour going this year and will be down to only two hours of sitcoms for the rest of the season starting next week.

  • KT

    Whitney! PLEASE! I HATE that show. Not funny at all. 1600 Penn is almost as bad. I also hope they cancel Guys With Kids & The New Normal. And how is UAN not cancelled it?

  • Jack

    Cancel all the comedies on the bubble except Community and then pair that with P&R and have a new hour of comedy next year.

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