CBS: 'Rules of Engagement' Is Likely To Be Canceled

Categories: Cancel/Renew CBS Shows,Cancel/Renew Index

Written By

April 9th, 2013

Click this link for the latest CBS renewal / cancellation information:


bear-squeeze

Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts the network's decision on renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2012-13 season in May, 2013. (includes results from December 31, 2012-  April 7, 2013):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Made In Jersey (F)* canceled 0.36
CSI:NY (F)* :oops: 0.50
Blue Bloods (F) renewed 0.54
Golden Boy (one F) :oops: 0.55
Vegas (some F) :oops: 0.56
The Good Wife renewed 0.59
The Mentalist renewed 0.65
Partners* canceled 0.79
Hawaii Five-0 renewed 0.81
CSI renewed 0.83
Elementary renewed 0.86
Rules of Engagement :cry: :cry: 0.94
Criminal Minds :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.05
NCIS: Los Angeles renewed 1.06
Mike & Molly renewed 1.11
Person Of Interest renewed 1.13
How I Met Your Mother renewed 1.27
2 Broke Girls renewed 1.29
NCIS renewed 1.30
Two and a Half Men** :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.46
The Big Bang Theory renewed 2.09

-
CBS' flurry of renewals appeared just before the Cancellation Bear locked down his "vacation week" poll post, and didn't have time to add much exposition.

The only real news in the CBS renewal announcement was the renewal of The Mentalist which the bear still had as a "toss up".

With the renewal of The Mentalist, CBS has signaled they're not going to be expanding their sitcom time next season (otherwise they'd not be able to premiere 3 new dramas as they have for the last seven seasons). That lack of new sitcom time means that Rules of Engagement could only return as a mid-season replacement unless CBS premieres no new sitcoms, which is inconceivable. While Rules was a mid-season replacement this season, the bear judges it to be unlikely to happen again, and have now moved the show's prediction to "likely to be canceled".

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. This season you can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.
-
*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

** The Renew/Cancel Index does not attempt to predict shows ending because the cast or production company chooses to end them. These shows have the ratings for renewal, but rumored cast/production company moves may end the shows.

From now through the end of the broadcast season in May, the Renew/Cancel Index values will only be calculated using new episodes airing during 2013. However, until new episodes of a show air in 2013, I will keep the "old"  Fall predictions in the table.

Want to know what the CBS Renew/Cancel Index table looked like at the end of the Fall season? Click here.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2013
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2013
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2013
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2013
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2013

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from past television seasons.

 
  • DenverDean

    Why on earth would CBS move CSI to Friday when it is virtually tied with Elementary as the top 10 pm show (in a far more competitive slot with DD and the other dramas)? Sorry, I see it possibly moving to Tuesday at 10/9 out of Red; LA moves to Wed and CM to 10/9. No way CBS is going to cede that rating just yet. TM is more likely to move there.

  • samurai99

    @DenverDean

    In what universe are Nashville and Chicago Fire bigger competition than Scandal and Hannibal/Law and Order? Besides, Elementary needs a good timeslot one more season to get it to syndication protection.

  • HV

    SUNDAY
    7:00 60 Minutes (Sept. 8)
    8:00 The Amazing Race (Sept. 15)
    9:00 The Good Wife (FINAL) (Sept. 22) (22 ep)
    10:00 The Anatomy of Violence (NEW) (Sept. 22) (22 ep–canceled)

    MONDAY
    8:00 How I Met Your Mother (FINAL) (Sept. 23) (24 ep)
    8:30 Gaffigan (NEW) (Sept. 23) (22 ep)//Jacked Up (NEW) (Mar. 31) (8 ep–canceled)
    9:00 2 Broke Girls (Sept. 23) (24 ep)
    9:30 Ex Men (NEW) (Sept. 30) (10 ep–canceled)/Mike & Molly (Jan. 6) (18 ep)
    10:00 Hawaii Five-0 (Sept. 23) (24 ep)

    TUESDAY
    8:00 NCIS (Sept. 17) (24 ep)
    9:00 NCIS: Los Angeles (Sept. 17) (24 ep)
    10:00 NCIS: Los Angeles spin-off (NEW) (Sept. 24) (22 ep)

    WEDNESDAY
    8:00 Survivor (Sept. 18)/The Mentalist (Jan. 8) (15 ep–canceled)
    9:00 Criminal Minds (Sept. 25) (24 ep)
    10:00 CSI (Sept. 25) (24 ep)

    THURSDAY
    8:00 The Big Bang Theory (Sept. 19) (24 ep)
    8:30 Two and a Half Men (FINAL) (Sept. 26) (24 ep)
    9:00 Person of Interest (Sept. 19) (24 ep)
    10:00 Elementary (Sept. 19) (24 ep)

    FRIDAY
    8:00 Undercover Boss (Oct. 11)
    9:00 Second Sight (NEW) (Oct. 4) (22 ep)
    10:00 Blue Bloods (Sept. 27) (24 ep)

  • CBSviewer

    What CBS could do next season:

    MONDAY
    8:00 – How I Met Your Mother (24 episodes, One Hour Series Finale)
    8:30 – Mike & Molly (22 episodes)
    9:00 – 2 Broke Girls (24 episodes)
    9:30 – Mom (13-24 episodes)
    10:00 – NCIS: Los Angeles (25 episodes)

    TUESDAY
    8:00 – NCIS (24 episodes)
    9:00 – NCIS: Red (13-24 episodes)
    10:00 – Elementary (24 episodes)

    WEDNESDAY
    8:00 – Survivor
    9:00 – Criminal Minds (22 episodes)
    10:00 – CSI (22 episodes)

    THURSDAY
    8:00 – The Big Bang Theory (25 episodes)
    8:30 – Two and a Half Men (23 episodes)
    9:00 – Person of Interest (24 episodes)
    10:00 – Beverly Hills Cop (13-24 episodes)

    FRIDAY
    8:00 – Intelligence (13-16 episodes) / Undercover Boss
    9:00 – The Good Wife (22 episodes)
    10:00 – Blue Bloods (23 episodes)

    SUNDAY
    7:00 – 60 Minutes
    8:00 – The Amazing Race
    9:00 – Hawaii Five-0 (22 episodes)
    10:00 – The Mentalist (18 episodes) / Hostages (13 episodes)

    Thoughts ?

  • Ultima

    @CBS Viewer
    10:00 – The Mentalist (18 episodes) / Hostages (13 episodes)

    Thoughts ?

    I think that is at least seven episodes too many for that timeslot.

  • HV

    @Ultima
    Actually, if episodes aired every week September 15-May 25 except for two weeks in December and four weeks off for holidays or award shows, it could work.

  • rob60990

    CBS is not leaving 2.5 Men after TBBT another season. CBS just won’t waste that lead-in on a show that will be gone in about 2 years.

    “In what universe are Nashville and Chicago Fire bigger competition than Scandal and Hannibal/Law and Order?”

    Chicago Fire targets the same audience as CSI. There is zero crossover between Scandal & Elementary.

  • Networkman

    I feel CBS should put Person of Interest against Scandal. IMO, ABC has taken over the 10pm timeslot of Thursday. Why not compete for it? POI will be moved away from Grey’s Anatomy and also it will make it really hard for NBC to get a foothold on that slot.

    CBS should use the Thursday 9pm hour for comedies. The Office is finally over and this is the opportunity the network has been looking for to create a dominant 2 hour block. 2 Broke Girls should be able to garner better demo than what POI was getting versus Grey’s Anatomy. I’m just not sure it will be able to garner as many viewers as the drama.

  • Nick

    What CBS should do for 2013-2014:

    Mon-
    8: How I Met Your Mother (final season) (24 episodes)
    8:30: Two and a Half Men (17 episodes)*
    9: 2 Broke Girls (25 episodes)
    9:30: Mike & Molly (18 episodes)*
    10: Beverly Hills Cop (new) (13 episodes)

    * Whichever of these two gets better ratings gets expanded to 22, the other gets burned off and replaced by Crazy Ones or Super Clyde.

    Tue-
    8: NCIS (24 episodes)
    9: NCIS: Red (new) (20 episodes)
    10: NCIS: Los Angeles (24 episodes)

    Wed-
    8: Survivor
    9: Criminal Minds (22 episodes)
    10: CSI (23 episodes)

    Thu-
    8: The Big Bang Theory (25 episodes)
    8:30: Mom (new) (13 episodes)
    9: Person of Interest (24 episodes)
    10: Intelligence (new) (13 episodes)

    Fri-
    8: Undercover Boss (24 episodes)
    9: Elementary (22 episodes)
    10: Blue Bloods (22 episodes)

    Sat-
    8: Beverly Hills Cop (R)
    9: Hawaii Five-0 (R)
    10: 48 Hours Mystery

    Sun-
    7: 60 Minutes
    8: The Amazing Race
    9: The Good Wife (13 episodes)
    10: Hawaii Five-0 (23 episodes)

    Midseason – The Mentalist

  • court

    I jest went one more season of csiny love show cbs is make big mask
    cancellation it places Renewed it love watch. vegas suck.

  • Petar Ivanov

    @Networkman
    POI is CBS #2 drama of the season and one of the two CBS shows that are UP season to season. Can you guess which is the other CBS show? If CBS move it to 10 pm will kill all the momentum and growing for season 3. That is why they can’t do that last season and won’t do it this season. CBS politics is to put aging(more expensive) and droping shows at 10pm than to friday until they make money from it. Not their new hits. They even clean summer from big brother so PoI can rerun on its slot. PoI is just to big to move now.

    @Nick
    Elementary to friday is crazy idea. Won’t happen. CBS will want that show for syndication not to kill it.

    In general most of these fantasy schedules or so called “What CBS should do” are really fantasy. Some not ever for that universe. At least some people get it that they can’t go with 29-30 episodes for a show.

    ps Only bad days for CBS are friday and sunday. If they will change something will be there but i doubt that. I think they will give up on sundays(stay the same) and put there only aging shows or reality.

    Still doubt that cbs will go with single cam hour.

  • Petar Ivanov

    @CBS is not leaving 2.5 Men after TBBT another season.

    All other shows after TBBT collapse hard. TAHM at least is veteran and hold well. And without TBBT lead-out that show can drop a lot too. Its too expensive to risk that.

  • Nick

    @Petar Ivanov

    POI is CBS #2 drama of the season and one of the two CBS shows that are UP season to season. Can you guess which is the other CBS show?

    FYI, 3 CBS shows are up year-to-year: Person of Interest, Big Bang Theory, and 48 Hours.

    Elementary to friday […] Won’t happen

    Who cares? I don’t expect my schedule to happen.

    CBS will want that show for syndication not to kill it.

    Who says I’m killing it? Shows have carved out a niche on Fridays (Blue Bloods, CSI:NY, Ghost Whisperer), and it will get an actual lead-in in Undercover Boss. Fridays might be OK for it. It should at least survive to season 4.

    In general most of these fantasy schedules or so called “What CBS should do” are really fantasy.

    Ding Ding Ding Ding!!! You’ve got the correct answer. You are smarter than a fifth grader! You are today’s champion and will be returning tomorrow! You’ve made a spectacular deal! You are the sole survivor! You’ve just won a million dollars!! (Kudos if you got all of those game show references). Anyway, they’re called fantasy schedules for a reason. There’s very little chance CBS uses ANYTHING anyone has put up on these pages.

  • Tony JJ

    Mom should be aired out of Big Bang Theory. It has the most potential and coming the creator of TBBT should help. Remember two and a half men helped Big Bang Theory become a hit, before it got moved behind TAAHM it was a bubble show.

    I’ve never been as excited for CBS’ pilots than I am this pilot season. They have some great looking comedies and dramas. Standouts: Mom, Crazy Ones, McCarthy’s, Friends with Better Lives, Greg Garcia Comedies, Debra Messing one. Dramas: Hostages, Intelligence, Anatomy of Violence.

    I honestly think CBS should hold NCIS spin off for midseason, retool it a little after mixed reaction from audiences. With promising new dramas they should hold this show back much like they did with Criminal Minds: Suspect Behavior.

  • blackrock1969

    Proposed CBS schedule:

    Mon.
    8:00 How I Met Your Mother
    8:30 Mom (new)
    9:00 2 Broke Girls
    9:30 Mike & Molly
    10:00 Beverly Hills Cop (new)

    Tue:
    8:00 NCIS
    9:00 NCIS: Los Angeles
    10:00 Criminal Minds

    Wed.
    8:00 Survivor
    9:00 NCIS: Red (new)
    10: CSI

    Thu.
    8:00 The Big Bang Theory
    8:30 Two and a Half Men
    9:00 The Crazy Ones (new)
    9:30 Super Clyde (new)
    10:00 Person of Interest

    Fri.
    8:00 Elementary
    9:00 The Advocates (new)
    10:00 Blue Bloods

    Sun
    7:00 60 Minutes
    8:00 The Amazing Race
    9:00 Hawaii Five-0
    10:00 The Mentalist

    Midseason: The Good Wife

    Thoughts are welcome.

  • Dan

    My guess is UB will be held for midseason so CBS can still crowd their schedules with more new shows.

    With The Mentalist and God Wife being renewed (likely both for final seasons). The fate of CSI NY, Vegas, and Golden Boy are sealed, they all wont be returning.

    Criminal Minds and Two and a Half Men will certainly be renewed once contracts are worked out.

    Rules of Engagement has been saved time and time again and its last minute renewal last May helped CBS this season fill a hole in the schedule but next season CBS will want more comedy and with the Rules’ actors signing on for new pilots, a new contract negotiation seems unlikely.

    The only thing that bothers me is, while CBS wants to premiere 2 new shows (One on Monday and one on Thursday post Big Bang) without sitcom expansion they cant do this with 5 returning comedies, Last season I was concerned about this but they ended up having their usual new comedy on Mondays (Partners) and Two and a Half Men moving to Thursdays (which I did not expect) The only way CBS can have 2 new comedies premiere in the fall without sitcom expansion is by having the final How I Met Your Mother season air midseason and be shortened (Which is likely given Jason Segal’s movie schedule) This way CBS can air 2 Broke Girls, Mike & Molly, Two and a Half Men and a new comedy on Mondays and Big Bang and another new comedy on Thurs and have HIMYM return midseason. However if this doesnt happen then with 5 returning comedies airing in the fall and no comedy expansion then CBS cannot premiere 2 new comedies.

  • ProViewerShipNumbers

    The End [Posted April 9, 2013 at 10:28 AM]
    _________________
    Please tell me you’re trolling…

  • Dan

    Here’s my schedule if CBS doesnt expand sitcom time which looks reasonable

    Sunday
    8:00 Amazing Race
    9:00 The Good Wife
    10:00 Hawaii 5-0

    It’s unlikely CBS will want to premiere a new drama sundays so if CBS wants to premiere dramas during the week, its likely Hawaii 5-0 moves to Sundays

    Monday
    8:00 Two and a Half Men
    8:00 Mom
    9:00 2 Broke Girls
    9:30 Mike & Molly
    10:00 Elementary or New DRAMA

    I’m skeptical with this but if CBS cant expand comedy but wants to premiere 2 new comedies in the fall HIMYM’s final season would have to be for midseason. If CBS’s wants to keep TBBT and TAAHM on Thursdays then they could have HIMYM for fall but it seems more likely CBS would

    Tuesday
    8:00 NCIS
    9:00 NCIS RED
    10:00 NCIS LA

    It seems CBS may not want to break the NCIS team apart so 3 NCIS seems likely for Tuesdays

    Wednesdays
    8:00 Survivor
    9:00 Criminal Minds
    10:00 NEW DRAMA

    It seems likely that CBS would want to premiere a new drama Wed at 10, and why not. If CBS moves CSI to CSI NY’s old slot that would help things for both nights.

    Thursdays
    8:00 The Big Bang Theory
    8:30 NEW COMEDY
    9:00 Person of Interest
    10:00 Elementary or NEW DRAMA

    CBS probably wants to air a new comedy post Big Bang. If they cant expand sitcom time then POI will remain at 9 and Elementary will stay Thurs at 10. If a new drama is picked to air Thurs at 10 Elementary will move to Mon at 10.

    Friday
    8:00 CSI
    9:00 The Mentalist
    10:00 Blue Bloods

    In the past 3 seasons CBS has tried new dramas on Fridays and besides Blue Bloods, they have all flopped. If CBS holds UB for midseason putting veterans like CSI at 8, Mentalist at 9 and keeping Blue Bloods at 10 could make for a very good Friday for CBS.

  • Jon

    @CBS viewer….this is a great idea, and years ago this was done quite often, it was done only once this year to my knowledge and that was for the pilot to the Munsters remake, which looks like will never get off the ground. This might be a more helpful tool in the future for networks to look at doing this more often, so they don’t waste time buying into a show.

  • Jon

    the 10pm slot on tuesdays has been problematic for CBS in recent years, I think with the new NCIS spinoff, they will pretty much lock down that night, however I would rather see it premier after Person of interest on Thurday night, to kind of break it up just a bit.

© 2014 Tribune Digital Ventures