CBS: 'Rules of Engagement' Is Likely To Be Canceled

Categories: Cancel/Renew CBS Shows,Cancel/Renew Index

Written By

April 9th, 2013

Click this link for the latest CBS renewal / cancellation information:


bear-squeeze

Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts the network's decision on renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2012-13 season in May, 2013. (includes results from December 31, 2012-  April 7, 2013):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Made In Jersey (F)* canceled 0.36
CSI:NY (F)* :oops: 0.50
Blue Bloods (F) renewed 0.54
Golden Boy (one F) :oops: 0.55
Vegas (some F) :oops: 0.56
The Good Wife renewed 0.59
The Mentalist renewed 0.65
Partners* canceled 0.79
Hawaii Five-0 renewed 0.81
CSI renewed 0.83
Elementary renewed 0.86
Rules of Engagement :cry: :cry: 0.94
Criminal Minds :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.05
NCIS: Los Angeles renewed 1.06
Mike & Molly renewed 1.11
Person Of Interest renewed 1.13
How I Met Your Mother renewed 1.27
2 Broke Girls renewed 1.29
NCIS renewed 1.30
Two and a Half Men** :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.46
The Big Bang Theory renewed 2.09

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CBS' flurry of renewals appeared just before the Cancellation Bear locked down his "vacation week" poll post, and didn't have time to add much exposition.

The only real news in the CBS renewal announcement was the renewal of The Mentalist which the bear still had as a "toss up".

With the renewal of The Mentalist, CBS has signaled they're not going to be expanding their sitcom time next season (otherwise they'd not be able to premiere 3 new dramas as they have for the last seven seasons). That lack of new sitcom time means that Rules of Engagement could only return as a mid-season replacement unless CBS premieres no new sitcoms, which is inconceivable. While Rules was a mid-season replacement this season, the bear judges it to be unlikely to happen again, and have now moved the show's prediction to "likely to be canceled".

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. This season you can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.
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*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

** The Renew/Cancel Index does not attempt to predict shows ending because the cast or production company chooses to end them. These shows have the ratings for renewal, but rumored cast/production company moves may end the shows.

From now through the end of the broadcast season in May, the Renew/Cancel Index values will only be calculated using new episodes airing during 2013. However, until new episodes of a show air in 2013, I will keep the "old"  Fall predictions in the table.

Want to know what the CBS Renew/Cancel Index table looked like at the end of the Fall season? Click here.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2013
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2013
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2013
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2013
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2013

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from past television seasons.

 
  • Dan

    @Bill – Also keep in mind Amazing Race was only renewed for 1 season instead of 2 like in the 2007-2008 season (Correct me if I’m wrong) could it be possible that CBS not only holds UB but also Amazing Race for Midseason? In that case CBS could premiere 3 new dramas and expand comedy.

  • ProViewerShipNumbers

    John [Posted April 9, 2013 at 1:07 PM]
    _________________
    This past Sunday, the Cartoon Network and A&E averaged 4.06 million viewers at 11:30pm, so there is definately a large audience that wathes TV late at night on the weekends. CBS is would probably get at least 4.7 million people watching a comedy series **live** at 11:30pm on Sunday. With DVR ratings factored in, The Buddy System [TBS] could reach at least 6 million viewers. Airing TBS would also allow CBS to lower the ratings of the cable networks which are currently successful at 11:30pm.

    My sked has 13 comedy series because that format has been neglected by all TV networks since May 2004. If you want to be number one, you must take bold and strategic risks, so the placement of 4 comedies against ABC’s “Laugh On” is a smart one. No series currently airing on ABC is a smash hit. Modern Family [very overrated] has failed to peak in the 20 million range since debuting in 2009, while The Middle [B plus; TV’s most underrated comedy series; deserves to air on CBS] continues to be mistreated by ABC. Comedies against ABC’s comedies [especially at 8:30pm and 9:30pm] will give them a run for their money.

    The Good Wife is not the lowest rated drama on CBS! It has proven to be worthy of a 29 episode season in 2013.

    My strategy has **always** been a bold one because that is the only way to achieve great results. Case in point: My Saturday lineup guarantees a significant ratings increase [at least 500,000 viewers] over this season.

  • Adam

    SUNDAY
    8:00 The Amazing Race (Sept. 15)
    9:00 The Good Wife (Sept. 22) (22 ep)
    10:00 Anatomy of Violence (NEW) (Sept. 22)

    MONDAY
    8:00 How I Met Your Mother (FINAL) (Sept. 23) (24 ep)
    8:30 Mom (NEW) (Sept. 23) (13 ep+ )
    9:00 2 Broke Girls (Sept. 23) (24 ep)
    9:30 Mike & Molly (Sept. 30) (24 ep)
    10:00 Hawaii Five-0 (Sept. 23) (24 ep)

    TUESDAY
    8:00 NCIS (Sept. 17) (24 ep)
    9:00 NCIS: Los Angeles (Sept. 17) (24 ep)
    10:00 Beverly Hills Cop (NEW) (Sept. 24)

    WEDNESDAY
    8:00 Survivor (Sept. 18)
    9:00 Criminal Minds (Sept. 25) (24 ep)
    10:00 CSI (Sept. 25) (24 ep)

    THURSDAY
    8:00 The Big Bang Theory (Sept. 19) (24 ep)
    8:30 Two and a Half Men (Sept. 26) (24 ep)
    9:00 Person of Interest (Sept. 19) (24 ep)
    10:00 Elementary (Sept. 19) (24 ep)

    FRIDAY
    8:00 The Mentalist (18 ep) / Undercover Boss
    9:00 Intelligence (NEW) (Oct. 4) (22 ep)
    10:00 Blue Bloods (Sept. 27) (24 ep)

    MIDSEASON
    The Crazy Ones (13 ep)
    The Surgeon General (13 ep)

  • The End

    @Dan

    The show is renewed 2 seasons at a time.

  • Jon

    @ proshipviewers….no network is going to ever order 29 episodes of a tv show, just isn’t going to happen ever.

  • The End

    @Jon

    I wouldn’t worry, he’s probably high or something. It explains his choices and reasoning, basically don’t take him seriously.

  • Petar Ivanov

    @Nick
    Ding Ding Ding Ding!!! You’ve got the correct answer. You are smarter than a fifth grader! You are today’s champion and will be returning tomorrow! You’ve made a spectacular deal! You are the sole survivor! You’ve just won a million dollars!! (Kudos if you got all of those game show references). Anyway, they’re called fantasy schedules for a reason. There’s very little chance CBS uses ANYTHING anyone has put up on these pages.

    Than what is the point making these fantasy schedules? Kids games? Stupid. I will stop taking seriously these schedules they are so bad. Even worst network executive won’t make worse. I was with thinking that idea is to make the best schedule possible etc. I guess my bad.

  • The End

    @Petar Ivanov
    @Than what is the point making these fantasy schedules?

    Most do it for a bit of harmless fun from what I can understand, this is a ratings website and a website to discuss networks and schedules after all lol

    Although most schedules I’ve seen here have been dreadful, people like Nick are getting closer to actual upcoming schedules than what others on here are.

  • KJ Styles

    This is what I would do next season if I was CBS….

    Monday

    8:00 How I Met Your Mother (final season)
    8:30 Mom
    9:00 2 Broke Girls
    9:30 Friends With Better Lives
    10:00 Elementary

    Tuesday

    8:00 NCIS
    9:00 NCIS Red
    10:00 NCIS LA

    Wednesday

    8:00 Two & A Half Men
    8:30 Mike & Molly
    9:00 Criminal Minds
    10:00 CSI

    Thursday

    8:00 The Big Bang Theory
    8:30 Crazy Ones
    9:00 Person Of Interest
    10:00 Beverly Hills Cop

    Friday

    8:00 The Good Wife (Final Season)/Undercover Boss
    9:00 The Mentalist
    10:00 Blue Bloods

    Sunday

    7:00 60 Minutes
    8:00 The Amazing Race
    9:00 Survivor
    10:00 Hawaii Five-0

    They should expand their comedy time being that How I Met Your Mother is ending and 2 And A Half Men could very well end as well. They have enough strong dramas on the schedule, but when the aforementioned shows end they will only have a couple of strong comedies, so they should expand comedy time to try and build new hits.

  • ProViewerShipNumbers

    The End [Posted April 10, 2013 at 1:38 PM]: @Jon I wouldn’t worry, he’s probably high or something. It explains his choices and reasoning, basically don’t take him seriously.
    __________________________________
    Nice try, but I am not wounded by your insults, The End!

  • Tony JJ

    This is what CBS SHOULD do:

    MONDAY
    8:00 – How I Met Your Mother
    8:30 – FRIENDS WITH BETTER LIVES – NEW COMEDY
    9:00 – 2 Broke Girls
    9:30 – Mike & Molly
    10:00 – Elementary

    TUESDAY
    8:00 – NCIS
    9:00 – NCIS: LA
    10:00 – ANATOMY OF VIOLENCE – NEW DRAMA (NCIS: Red held for midseason)

    WEDNESDAY
    8:00 – Person of Interest
    9:00 – Criminal Minds
    10:00 – HOSTAGES – NEW DRAMA

    THURSDAY
    8:00 – The Big Bang Theory
    8:30 – MOM – NEW COMEDY
    9:00 – Two and a Half Men
    9:30 – THE CRAZY ONES – NEW COMEDY
    10:00 – INTELLIGENCE – NEW DRAMA

    FRIDAY
    8:00 – Hawaii Five-0
    9:00 – CSI
    10:00 – Blue Bloods

    SUNDAY
    7:00 – 60 Minutes
    8:00 – The Amazing Race/Survivor
    9:00 – The Good Wife
    10:00 – The Mentalist

    MIDSEASON – NCIS :Red

    What CBS WILL do (in the case comedy expansion HAPPENS):

    MONDAY
    8:00 – How I Met Your Mother
    8:30 – FRIENDS WITH BETTER LIVES – NEW COMEDY
    9:00 – 2 Broke Girls
    9:30 – Mike & Molly
    10:00 – Elementary

    TUESDAY
    8:00 – NCIS
    9:00 – NCIS: LA
    10:00 – NCIS: RED – NEW DRAMA

    WEDNESDAY
    8:00 – Survivor
    9:00 – Criminal Minds
    10:00 – HOSTAGES – NEW DRAMA

    THURSDAY
    8:00 – The Big Bang Theory
    8:30 – MOM – NEW COMEDY
    9:00 – Two and a Half Men
    9:30 – THE CRAZY ONES – NEW COMEDY
    10:00 – Person of Interest

    FRIDAY
    8:00 – Hawaii Five-0
    9:00 – CSI
    10:00 – Blue Bloods

    SUNDAY
    7:00 – 60 Minutes
    8:00 – The Amazing Race
    9:00 – The Good Wife
    10:00 – The Mentalist

    CBS really needs to expand comedy time especially with aging hits and the final season of HIMYM with TAAHM only having 1 or 2 years left. Plus their comedy pilots sound excellent. My SHOULD schedule has some more moves that I think would strengthen some days and move quite a bit which might be a little too much for CBS to do in one season.

    My WILL schedule keeps things a little more stable with the big move basically just thursdays shows due to the comedy expansion as well as CSI and Hawaii Five-0 moved to fridays to make room for newer shows. It also keeps Wednesdays more stable keeping Survivor put.

    THOUGHTS??

  • Tony JJ

    What makes me nervous about even my “what they will do schedule” is that it’s still too many moves and CBS usually keeps things pretty stable. But if they do expand comedy then they are going to have to make quite a bit of moves as my schedule suggests. But I think CBS is gonna have to REALLY LOVE their new comedy pilots (which I think is likely) to expand their comedy hours. Especially after this year’s failure ‘Partners’ and the non existent ‘Friend Me’.

  • Bradleigh H Horton

    NO REMAKE IS BETTER THAN HAWAII FIVE-0!

  • Pavelsauce

    @ProViewerShipNumbers
    CBS did not get to #1 taking “bold and strategic” risks. Univision did not gain absolute dominance over the Spanish networks that way either. I’ve got a word for you: stability. CBS is well-known for stability in their schedule. They don’t change timeslots willy-nilly. They have long-running shows help them keep the stability. Univision has been airing novelas in primetime for decades. That business model has worked perfectly well for it. What you’re suggesting is almost as big of a change as the rural purge itself. This isn’t the UK. No one watches TV on Saturdays.

  • ProViewerShipNumbers

    Pavelsauce [Posted April 11, 2013 at 9:08 AM]
    ________________
    I do not care about Univision! That network is trash!

    Great example of bold and strategic risk: CBS moved Survivor to Thursday at 8pm to compete with Friends in 2001, and placed CSI against Will & Grace & Just Shoot Me. They also aired a promising new drama, at the time, Without A Trace, against the ratings beast, ER [A minus; peaked at 43 million viewers; one of TV’s most hated series of all time], and reaped the rewards for several years.

    This past Saturday [4-6-13], NCAA Basketball’s peak was almost 20 million viewers! But as you put it “No one watches TV on Saturdays”. On 3-2-13, 48 Hours Mystery’s peak was 6 million viewers, but once again, you say that “No one watches TV on Saturdays”. On 1-5-13, football on NBC peaked at 31 million viewers, but it does not matter to you because “No one watches TV on Saturdays”. On 11-24-12, Saturday Night Football on ABC reached nearly 17 million viewers, but “No one watches TV on Saturdays”.

    Why do not not watch TV on Saturday? Because “No one watches TV on Saturdays”.

  • Pavelsauce

    I never said I don’t, but for the most

  • Pavelsauce

    I never said I don’t, but for the most part, what I meant by “no one watches TV on Saturday” is that Saturday has much lower ratings compares to Sundays and weekdays. Generally, scripted programming or most other shows would get lower ratings on Saturdays. I wasn’t attempting to take sporting events into account. In my argument, I wasn’t counting them. Taking risks can pay off, but I don’t think it’s very wise right now.

    At least you kept this discussion civil.

  • Sheri

    ProViewerShipNumbers’s “schedule” and ratings made me laugh. Obviously someone who doesn’t even like CBS shows trying to predict his fantasy schedule to get rid of disliked shows. But since everyone else likes them, that’s just not going to happen. Dramas aren’t going to be moved to Saturday. And new shows aren’t going to be started on Sunday “life support” slot! And shows that have potential to grow rather than ones that are hanging around just long enough to go into syndication.

    @Johnny C — We watch the NCIS shows because we love ‘em! Especially on the original NCIS, the character interpersonal relationships are fun and much better than shows that focus so much on plot that you don’t get to know the characters.

  • Sheri

    ProViewerShipNumbers — while I don’t agree entirely that “nobody watches TV on Saturdays,” you’re obviously ignoring the fact that you’re talking about putting scripted shows on Saturdays and yet giving examples of sports on Saturdays. That’s comparing apples and oranges. Many people will watch a one-off playoff game on a Saturday, yes. But will many people watch a scripted series regularly on Saturday nights? The realistic answer is “very unlikely”.

    Successful scripted series these days rely on themes and threads that carry over from week to week and weave throughout the season. Gone are the days when you could turn on an episode of Mannix or Bonanza or Charlie’s Angels and have it be a stand-alone episode that you could watch without feeling like you had missed something important by not seeing the last two weeks. Now, if you miss a couple of episodes, you’re missing part of the big picture. Most people aren’t going to get invested in a show that they only watch hit and miss. And, let’s face it, most people (as defined by a large enough number to give decent viewer ratings) aren’t going to commit themselves to a Saturday night show since that is the prime weekend night for going out and doing things, or winding down with friends and family after a hard day of hiking, gardening, house repairs and the like. So, yes. *Some* people do watch tv on Saturday nights. But how many people watch TV *consistently* every Saturday night. Obviously not enough for any of the networks to decide to run new scripted programming on those nights. No reason that would suddenly change now…

  • ProViewerShipNumbers

    Oh Saturday, what shall we do with you? How about this: One gigantic experiment to evaluate its true status. Such an experiment would have all TV networks [broadcast/basic cable/pay cable] which air scripted series to place their top 10 most watched series [or even their most critically acclaimed ones] on Saturday for at least 52 consecutive weeks. I understand that such an experiment is bold on an epic scale [it would take the meaning of competition to a whole new level], but I firmly believe that the rewards would be outstanding for the majority of networks.

    The research suggests that millions of people would watch their favorite TV scripted series if they were to always air on Saturday. This is true for series which have a cult following [NCIS, The Good Wife, True Blood, Revenge, Burn Notice, The Big Bang Theory, just to name a few]. The research also points to a higher chance of gaining new viewers [average age in the 40s] for said shows. CBS has always wanted to draw more viewers under 50, so this would be a great way of achieving that goal.

    Example for CBS on Saturday [52 weeks]:
    7 NCIS
    8 THE GOOD WIFE
    9 THE BIG BANG THEORY
    9 MIKE & MOLLY
    10 NCIS: LOS ANGELES
    11 PERSON OF INTEREST [this would cause Saturday Night Live to lose **at least** 10% of its audience]

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