CBS: 'Rules of Engagement' Is Likely To Be Canceled

Categories: Cancel/Renew CBS Shows,Cancel/Renew Index

Written By

April 9th, 2013

Click this link for the latest CBS renewal / cancellation information:


bear-squeeze

Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts the network's decision on renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2012-13 season in May, 2013. (includes results from December 31, 2012-  April 7, 2013):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Made In Jersey (F)* canceled 0.36
CSI:NY (F)* :oops: 0.50
Blue Bloods (F) renewed 0.54
Golden Boy (one F) :oops: 0.55
Vegas (some F) :oops: 0.56
The Good Wife renewed 0.59
The Mentalist renewed 0.65
Partners* canceled 0.79
Hawaii Five-0 renewed 0.81
CSI renewed 0.83
Elementary renewed 0.86
Rules of Engagement :cry: :cry: 0.94
Criminal Minds :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.05
NCIS: Los Angeles renewed 1.06
Mike & Molly renewed 1.11
Person Of Interest renewed 1.13
How I Met Your Mother renewed 1.27
2 Broke Girls renewed 1.29
NCIS renewed 1.30
Two and a Half Men** :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.46
The Big Bang Theory renewed 2.09

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CBS' flurry of renewals appeared just before the Cancellation Bear locked down his "vacation week" poll post, and didn't have time to add much exposition.

The only real news in the CBS renewal announcement was the renewal of The Mentalist which the bear still had as a "toss up".

With the renewal of The Mentalist, CBS has signaled they're not going to be expanding their sitcom time next season (otherwise they'd not be able to premiere 3 new dramas as they have for the last seven seasons). That lack of new sitcom time means that Rules of Engagement could only return as a mid-season replacement unless CBS premieres no new sitcoms, which is inconceivable. While Rules was a mid-season replacement this season, the bear judges it to be unlikely to happen again, and have now moved the show's prediction to "likely to be canceled".

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. This season you can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.
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*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

** The Renew/Cancel Index does not attempt to predict shows ending because the cast or production company chooses to end them. These shows have the ratings for renewal, but rumored cast/production company moves may end the shows.

From now through the end of the broadcast season in May, the Renew/Cancel Index values will only be calculated using new episodes airing during 2013. However, until new episodes of a show air in 2013, I will keep the "old"  Fall predictions in the table.

Want to know what the CBS Renew/Cancel Index table looked like at the end of the Fall season? Click here.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2013
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2013
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2013
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2013
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2013

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from past television seasons.

 
  • The End

    @ProViewerShipNumbers

    Would love to know in what way or form saying someone is probably high because they are posting strange, if not bizarre comments is classed as an insult. Is English not your first language?

  • ProViewerShipNumbers

    The End [Posted April 11, 2013 at 2:06 PM]
    ______________________
    Look, I have said that my strategies have always been bold, calculated [I analyze years of research], risky and unpredictable. With that type of strategy, the results, if successful, will be outstanding!

    I encouraged others to attack NBC’s once formidable “Must See TV” lineup, and the results allowed the competition to decimate a long-running institution. There is no way I would have allowed Seinfeld to reach nearly 80 million viewers in May 1998. I suggested the renewal of NBC’s Kings because it could have become a Mad Men type of series – sublime and full of richness. I would even attack the Super Bowl’s dominance in the ratings because I have big you-know-what.

    You insulted me! I was just giving my opinions without judging others!

  • TheFrenchGuy

    What CBS should do:

    MONDAY
    8:00 – How I Met Your Mother (24 episodes)
    8:30 – Crazy Ones (13-22 episodes)
    9:00 – 2 Broke Girls (24 episodes)
    9:30 – Mike & Molly (22 episodes)
    10:00 – Beverly Hills Cop (13-24 episodes)

    TUESDAY
    8:00 – NCIS (24 episodes)
    9:00 – NCIS: Red (13-24 episodes)
    10:00 – Criminal Minds (24 episodes)

    WEDNESDAY
    8:00 – Survivor
    9:00 – NCIS: Los Angeles (25 episodes)
    10:00 – CSI (23 episodes)

    THURSDAY
    8:00 – The Big Bang Theory (25 episodes)
    8:30 – Mom (13 episodes) / Bad Teacher (13 episodes)
    9:00 – Person of Interest (24 episodes)
    10:00 – Elementary (24 episodes)

    FRIDAY
    8:00 – Intelligence (13-16 episodes) / Undercover Boss
    9:00 – The Good Wife (22 episodes)
    10:00 – Blue Bloods (23 episodes)

    SUNDAY
    7:00 – 60 Minutes
    8:00 – The Amazing Race
    9:00 – Hawaii Five-0 (22 episodes)
    10:00 – The Mentalist (18 episodes) / Hostages (10-13 episodes)

    Thoughts ?

  • Pavelsauce

    Wouldn’t local news air at 11? That schedule is WAY too risky.

  • Pavelsauce

    I’m talking about ProViewerShipNumbers’ Saturday schedule.

  • Pavelsauce

    @The French Guy
    Where’s 2.5 Men?

  • The End

    @ProViewerShipNumbers

    Wait so you were being genuinely serious with your schedule and thoughts?

    @You insulted me! I was just giving my opinions without judging others!

    No I haven’t. I was critical, big difference.

    @TheFrenchGuy

    Great effort, though you need Two and a Half Men on Thursday to make that schedule pretty much perfect. Kudos.

  • TheFrenchGuy

    @ The End and Pavelsauce

    Is that better ?

    MONDAY
    8:00 – How I Met Your Mother (24 episodes)
    8:30 – Crazy Ones (13 episodes) / Mom (13 episodes)
    9:00 – 2 Broke Girls (24 episodes)
    9:30 – Mike & Molly (22 episodes)
    10:00 – Beverly Hills Cop (13-24 episodes)

    TUESDAY
    8:00 – NCIS (24 episodes)
    9:00 – NCIS: Red (13-24 episodes)
    10:00 – Criminal Minds (24 episodes)

    WEDNESDAY
    8:00 – Survivor
    9:00 – NCIS: Los Angeles (25 episodes)
    10:00 – CSI (23 episodes)

    THURSDAY
    8:00 – The Big Bang Theory (25 episodes)
    8:30 – Two and a Half Men (23 episodes)
    9:00 – Person of Interest (24 episodes)
    10:00 – Elementary (24 episodes)

    FRIDAY
    8:00 – Intelligence (13-16 episodes) / Undercover Boss
    9:00 – The Good Wife (20-22 episodes)
    10:00 – Blue Bloods (23 episodes)

    SUNDAY
    7:00 – 60 Minutes
    8:00 – The Amazing Race
    9:00 – Hawaii Five-0 (22 episodes)
    10:00 – The Mentalist (18 episodes) / Hostages (10-13 episodes)

    Mid-Season: Bad Teacher (8-10 episodes).

  • Pavelsauce

    @The French Guys
    Yes, it is. H50 seems like a better fit for Sundays. There doesn’t seem to be much audience overlap between it and the Monday comedies. The way you scheduled it after TAR would make more sense, IMO. My reasoning is that they both feature exotic settings. There’ll probably more audience overlap between them. TGW isn’t doing as well as it should on Sundays, so I see your reasoning for the move to Fridays. Best of all, you still kept stability in the schedule. Overall, it’s a really good schedule.

    P. S. I’m not asking you to change your schedule for this, but what would you think of Tuesday night being NCIS night next fall? I. e. that night being nothing but NCIS and its spinoffs.

  • TheFrenchGuy

    @ Pavelsauce

    I think an NCIS night on Tuesday is dangerous for the new spin-off (Red) and for the Mothership. NCIS: Los Angeles should moveto Wednesday to make room for Red on Tuesday at 9. Plus, LA will probably help CSI and Criminal Minds will fix Tuesday at 10. LA is now strong enough to move.

  • ProViewerShipNumbers

    My proposed CBS schedule is, without a doubt, the best one being offered on this website! It features a variety of programming in quite a few unconventional timeslots. I firmly stand behind my schedule for America’s most watched TV network!

    I will even consider other daypart [morning/afternoon] changes that must take place to decrease the competition’s numbers. My schedule will lead to an automatic increase in viewership, especially in traditionally neglected timeslots.

    One thing I would like to see is a comedy night like no other: Saturday from 7pm to 12:30am. Yep, 11 comedies, with the last one airing at 11:58pm to compete with Saturday Night Live’s second half hour. Talk about being bold, huh? Comcast will not be pleased!

    Why didn’t The WB and UPN take more bold risks from 1995 to 2006? They certainly had a handful of series worth watching like Felicity, Veronica Mars, Girlfriends, Dawson’s Creek, Everwood [A minus; how I love this show so much!], just to name a few.

  • Petar Ivanov

    @Example for CBS on Saturday [52 weeks]:
    7 NCIS
    8 THE GOOD WIFE
    9 THE BIG BANG THEORY
    9 MIKE & MOLLY
    10 NCIS: LOS ANGELES
    11 PERSON OF INTEREST

    You should take your madication. That is beyond craziness. You put almost all cbs hit shows on saturday. No words. Just no words.

  • Petar Ivanov

    @TheFrenchGuy

    Good ideas but too much cahnges. And cbs won’t put single cam after multi cam. never. But you get point for at least more realistic schedule.

    ps ncis la without ncis lead in is dead. People are already tired and spin off in my opinion will bomp hard. Its already lowest rated drama on 9 pm not name good wife. and ncis red is ncis spin off. So will be after la not ncis.

  • Sheri

    ProViewerShipNumbers – No, yours is really the worst schedule for CBS offered on the site. You don’t have any backing for your statements, either. If they moved established shows like that to Saturday night, my feeling is that casual viewership would drop off but the die-hard fans would still watch the shows… only they’d be watching it from their DVRs or DVDRs. That would mean poor showing in Nielsen ratings since they rate first time viewers. It would also certainly mean that most people would zap through the commercials. So, while people might still watch it, the commercial slots would sell for far less than at their times on other nights. Not something a network wants in some of their best shows.

  • ProViewerShipNumbers

    You people really love the current state of television! None of the CBS schedules, except for mine, posted on this site guarantee a ratings increase. My proposed schedule should be implemented by CBS because it lays the foundation for the future! Do your schedules revolve around where CBS should be in 2016? No, they are and have always been about now…today…at this moment…and never about the future!

    Why can’t you people understand the simple fact that millions of people watch TV on Saturday?

    I would love to be in charge of a basic cable or premium cable TV network. I would certainly improve TNT, Encore [most subscribed pay network], or USA’s ratings.

    I have a huge list [at least 50 series] of potential scripted TV series and limited series [not minseries] that will spark the interests of millions of Americans. Would you like to see them? I am very interested in TV development and strategy.

  • TheFrenchGuy

    @ Petar Ivanov

    You said: “People are already tired in my opinion and spin-off will bomb hard”

    NCIS averages 22 million viewers this season and is now TV’s #1 Show. NCIS: Los Angeles has an average of 18 million viewers. Both shows have their Best season EVER. They have never been more popular and people are far to be tired.

  • CBSviewer

    @ ProViewerShipNumbers

    Million of people ARE NOT watching TV on Saturday. There is a good reason if networks air repeats on Saturday and airing originals there would be a disaster.

  • lll

    @The French Guy
    Your schedule is way better than ProViewerShipNumbers because it’s stable. There are few changes to the schedule and you seem to know how CBS has this ‘if it ain’t broke don’t fix it’ rule. Bold to move Criminal Minds to Tuesday and NCIS:LA to Wednesday but it works for me. CM will silence the Tuesdays at 10/9c death slot while NCIS:LA on Wednesdays will help it to stand on it’s own in a reliable time slot. TGW on Friday? Makes sense, since its on it’s last legs. H50 to Sunday. I too sense a move coming but I thought it would be Friday. Sunday makes sense too. Beverly Hills Cop is exactly where I thought it would be. All you need to do is have a midseason drama and you’re set.

  • TheFrenchGuy

    @ III

    Thanks ! My mid-season drama is Hostage. I put it on Sunday at 10 to replace The Mentalist in March-April.

  • The End

    @TheFrenchGuy

    Very well done there, though my only issue would be the number of episodes you have allocated for some shows. For example Person of Interest Season 3 will at most have 23 episodes, at the least 22, it depends on how Jonathon Nolan wants the show to pan out. If he can conclude the next seasons arc in 22 episodes, we’l likely see that.

    In some cases you’l have to reduce a shows episode order a bit because of scheduling conflicts.

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