CW: 'Beauty & The Beast' Is Likely To Be Renewed

Categories: Cancel/Renew CW Shows,Cancel/Renew Index

Written By

April 9th, 2013

Click this link for the latest CW renewal / cancellation information:


ready bear

Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts the network's decision on renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2012-13 season in May, 2013. (includes results from December 31, 2012- April 7, 2013):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Cult (some F) :oops: (canceled 4/10) 0.34
90210 canceled 0.50
Emily Owens, M.D.* canceled 0.54
Nikita (F) :) :) :) :) 0.61
Gossip Girl* final season complete 0.61
The Carrie Diaries :cry: :cry: 0.73
Hart Of Dixie :) :) :) :) 0.91
Beauty And The Beast :) :) :) :) 0.94
Supernatural renewed 1.49
Arrow renewed 1.58
Vampire Diaries renewed 1.95

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In what may be the only real disagreement this season between the Cancellation Bear's Renew/Cancel Index and Robert's Bubble Watch, the bear is once again moving his Beauty & The Beast prediction back to "likely to be renewed".

Three reasons why the bear's making the move. Beauty & The Beast ratings relative to other CW scripted shows continue to hold in the 90%+ range which is typically signals "likely to be renewed" (retentionistas may begin their howling now). As noted in previous weeks, the CW has never begun a 10 hour Fall schedule without at least six hours of "veteran" scripted shows, and canceling Beauty & The Beast would leave them with just five. Finally, Beauty & The Beast is the only 100% CBS produced show currently on the CW schedule that's able to be renewed (Hart Of Dixie is CBS&WB). Although he doesn't have historical records to back it up, bear guesses that joint venture quid pro quo is likely to carry at least a little decision making weight.

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. This season you can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.

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From now through the end of the broadcast season in May, the Renew/Cancel Index values will only be calculated using new episodes airing during 2013. However, until new episodes of a show air in 2013, I will keep the "old"  Fall predictions in the table.

Want to know what the CW Renew/Cancel Index table looked like at the end of the Fall season? Click here.

Notes:

  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2013
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2013
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2013
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2013
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2012

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ex. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from the 2010-11 broadcast television season.

 
  • Richard Steven Hack

    Kavyn: ” We have no idea if Nikita already has syndication deals in place, so it’s too soon to say whether or not the show needs its 88 episodes or not. I’m under the impression that they’re preparing Nikita for syndication, which indicates they need their 88 episodes – unless of course if they already have all of their deals set (which we have’t heard of).”

    There is ZERO evidence that WBTV is willing to accept 66 episodes stripped syndication – although they have done so with other shows. Maggie Q said this season that the show would be wrapped up in four seasons. So I think it’s highly likely that season four is a lock regardless of the ratings.

    “BATB and Carrie are not in the same position syndication wise.”

    It’s irrelevant how many episodes each has because neither one could possibly hold ratings long enough to get through season two, let alone season three.

    “Nikita’s pretty much getting the same ratings it was getting last year, so I doubt it’ll drop to 0.1-0.2 ratings next year.”

    It has dropped from a season average of .5 to a season average of .36. So it could well drop to a .2 next season. Or not.

    “And even if it did – who cares, Nikita clearly isn’t getting renewed because of its ratings.”

    Correct.

    “HOD will be in a similar situation next season, and it is very likely to drop to Nikita levels if moved to Friday (and again, it wouldn’t matter because it would still get a fourth season).”

    Correct.

    “The CW broke a record last year by bringing in 5 pilots for the new season, so whose to say they don’t break another record and renew only 5 shows (TVD, SPN, Arrow, Nikita and HOD) instead of 6?”

    Absolutely agree. Bill’s notion that “history matters” is only true if there’s a CW FUTURE – which at this point is pretty doubtful given the low level of the network season average.

    “I do however think a BATB renewal is possible for Friday at 9″

    Definitely possible – and definitely a huge mistake.

    “I highly doubt TCD will get its renewal unless if it turned into an online or Summer series.”

    Which wouldn’t pay for itself either.

    “Although it’s true that new shows are expensive, that doesn’t justify renewing a low rated show like TCD after one season just to make profit. It’s better to just air a new show than renewing a low-rated one.”

    Absolutely correct. Especially since TCD wouldn’t make a profit.

    “I want to make the same argument with BATB, but I can’t because the CW would be idiots to put a new show on a Friday at this point in time.”

    The main issue with BATB is the alleged high international license fee. That’s the wild card for that show. If the show is profitable despite low ratings due to the international license fee, it could justify the CW renewing it if other factors aren’t considered more important – like how badly it will do in season two ratings-wise.

    “The other way I can see TCD getting the renewal over BATB is if they move HOD to Fridays instead, that way TCD/ANTM can pair up with HOD which would work nicely. ”

    Nope. Never happen. Would be utterly stupid on the CW’s part to pair it with anything else low-rated.

    “Moving Nikita to Tuesday’s death slot (9pm) and putting a new show at 8pm.”

    Nah. No significant benefit for Tuesday. Better to keep the incredibly stable HoD on its current night than move it to Friday. If HoD maintains its .5-.6 season average in season three as it has for seasons one and two, that’s totally the best move. Moving it to Friday, it might or might not keep that average. At least on a week night, if it keeps that average, it essentially “fixes” one time slot, albeit at a low profitability.

    “If they kept Arrow and SPN together”

    Which they should, because that totally fixes Wednesday.

    “then they can completely reinvent Mondays by putting two new shows there, which might actually work better (it could be worth the risk).”

    Agreed.

    “Otherwise, I would leave Arrow at Wed@8pm and move SPN to Mon@9pm and find new shows that pair well with them.”

    Leave Wednesday alone. The principle should be leave what works alone, and fix what doesn’t work. Friday, Wednesday and Thursday are all fixed next season (The Originals fixes the post-TVD slot and ANTM or repeats handles Friday with Nikita.) Leave HoD on its current night, that fixes one time slot on Monday/Tuesday. Then slot in three new shows to work on fixing the rest of Monday/Tuesday. Get one new show to “work” on Monday or Tuesday, then the following seasons work on the other time slots – and start working on replacing older failing shows on Wednesday and Thursday in later seasons.

    It’s the only logical move.

  • Immaculate

    “I’m not a retentionista per se, but the point of BATB is that it was put where it was to “fix” Thursday night’s retention problem with TVD. It didn’t work, just like TSC – which did much better ratings – didn’t work.”

    Just like your show Nikita didn’t either. So spare me.

    “That puts BATB on another night where it is likely to do a season average of, at best, .5.”

    Why? Because you say that the TVD retention must be providing some audience for it? How do you know? Talk about speculation. Too many other factors can play into why an audience doesn’t exist for a show live. For example, other competition on other channels.

    Ratings have dropped all across the board for the CW over the years. This points to at least a few things. Either people are tuning out of all shows on the network, or they are simply watching not watching it live, and it is not being picked up by the current Nielsen ratings measurement.

    “This is speculative, too. I say they can and will.”

    Oh the irony.

    “If the CW renews BATB, it will be a huge mistake for them.”

    Whatever you say couch critic. A huge mistake and your wish are not equivalent. I’m sure people in the industry are knocking on your door wondering what your thoughts are on the matter.

  • Adrian

    I can’t believe Deadline is right this time. Renewing Nikita for a short final season while keeping a show that has done 0.3 in only 13 episodes would be crazy and implies Pedowitz is an idiot and incapable of running the network.

    Inb4 Brandy begins with her nonsense, yes we know shows CAN be syndicated with less than 88 eps but the whole point is that it is easier to sold shows with more than 88 eps and more profitable also. Giving Nikita 6-13 episodes after 3 years of woeful ratings sort of defeats the point of enduring all those 0.3 and 0.4s (unless Asian syndication needs less episodes, we don’t know).

    BATB may snag a pity renewal barring an absolute ratings meltdown on Thursday. Still, they better not move it to Friday if renewed. It’s just too weak to go there, it’d be doing Cult numbers on Fridays. Better to stick HOD there, it’s ratings won’t matter anwyay.

  • Brandy

    @Tonya, no they didnt but SPN is a 9 pm show and The Originals is a VD spinoff and spinoffs always air after the original show and Originals is supposed to fix the problem of VD fans not tuning in ti shows after it.VD has been at 8pm its enitire run so far and that is highly unlikley to change.

  • Richard Steven Hack

    Brandy: “what you two dont understand is shows have been syndicated with less than 88 episodes,”

    RARELY! This is not a common occurrence!

    “so if CW can syndicate it with less they will.”

    REPEATING FOR THE IGNORANT: THE CW DOES NOT SYNDICATE SHOWS! The STUDIO does!

    While WBTV HAS syndicated shows with 66 episodes, this is NOT COMMON.

    “Flashpoint had 79,Til Death 81,Leverage 77,The Unit 69,Veronica Mars 64,yet all were syndicated.Reaper with 31 episodes just got syndicated on Fearnet. Even a couple freshman shows have been syndicated: Nashville on CMT,Arrow on WGNAmer,Secret Circle on Chiller.”

    There are two kinds of syndication: one where the full series of seasons is syndicated, the other where a network purchases just X episodes. They are not the same.

    “Nikitas not doing good ratings wise and a short season would avoid hiatuses and DST rsting drop.”

    Which are irrelevant because it’s on the Friday death night anyway and has only one season left. If they were going to stretch out Nikita’s final seasons, they would have done so with season three. It’s not like the ratings drop for season three couldn’t have been foreseen in season two.

    “If he can get it syndicated with fewer than 88, why wouldnt he instead of keeping it on and watching it go possible 0.1_0.0_0.2 by series end?”

    Because it doesn’t matter. The CW is getting the show from WBTV for next to nothing as it is. So the show remains profitable even if it gets a 0.0 rating.

    “if CD/,BATB are renewed”

    It would be BRAIN DEAD for TCD to be renewed for ANY amount of episodes. The show is NOT PROFITABLE. It has such low ratings that they can’t be making their money back on that show in season ONE, let alone any further airings.

    What part of NO AD REVENUE and NO SYNDICATION VALUE don’t you people get?

    Jesus, you people are hallucinating! You’re on CRACK or something!

    “that would allow to keep some old shows”

    They do NOT NEED to “keep some old shows!” The network is sinking like a stone! They need to DUMP ALL low-rated old shows and air new ones or they will KEEP sinking like a stone.

    You think the CW gives a rat’s butt about hanging on to TCD and BATB because they skew toward female viewers? That they’re going to bend over backwards making short seasons and summer shows and online shows for this stuff that hasn’t made the network a DIME?

    God, the notions you people come up with. The CW is a network out to make money by airing first run shows and developing syndication properties like every other network. They may be forward thinking in their efforts to license properties to other new media outlets, but the primary revenue source remains first run ad revenue and syndication revenue.

    Period. End of story.

  • Richard Steven Hack

    I’m no longer going to discuss this here. The hallucinations and the rabid BATB fans are too much. I’m wasting too much time trying to educate morons.

    TCD is dead. BATB SHOULD be dead. We’ll see in another six weeks.

    But I’ll tell you this. If BATB is canceled, your butts are MINE!

  • ryan

    @Richard Steven Hack

    ”I’m not a retentionista per se, but the point of BATB is that it was put where it was to “fix” Thursday night’s retention problem with TVD. It didn’t work, just like TSC – which did much better ratings – didn’t work. So we know The Originals is going to fix the problem next season. That puts BATB on another night where it is likely to do a season average of, at best, .5”

    first
    this season of BATB is not over yet you dont if the rating could gose up in the last 5 ep they have it could end up this season with 0.8 or 0.9 bec am sure the show is way more better now then starte and more ppl will come to watch it
    anyway and if that happend then the next season maybe at best will be 0.7 or 0.6 which is not that bad

    secondly

    ”If the CW renews BATB, it will be a huge mistake for them.

    Death to BATB!”

    i think they know better then you about there shows and they wont renew a show if they dont have to :)

    finally

    i think you just hate the show thats why you want it to get cancel
    so have to tell you i will be still here when it gets renwed and i think you have to apologizes to us BATB fans for being wrong and that you did placed your opinions based on your hatred for the show.

    and ohh ya btw Death to BATB!”
    plz grow up Richard :)
    BATB 4 EVER

  • Kavyn

    In every parallel universe out there, in which Pedowitz decides to pick up BATB for the 2012-2013 season and air it after TVD, I can assure you that in every single universe BATB will not reach a 0.8-0.9 rating in its final 5 episodes.

  • Adrian

    LOL some of these people make Bondoel and SMG4E look tame in comparison.

  • ryan

    @kavyn

    they already said this show will be like 0.4 by now but it still doing 0.6
    i guess we won’t know until we see it.
    even if it reach 0.7 it wont be bad btw :)

  • Kavyn

    I don’t think TSC dropped to under 0.4 either. It ended with either a 0.5 or 0.6 but those last few episodes all had 0.5 ratings. BATB is doing on par, if not better than TSC right now.

  • gem is truely outragious

    Ok we most likely wont find out anything till may right. well they could make their decisions before then but eh to be honest it does not matter in the long run right.
    @ Richard wow but i get it. it is getting um hefty in the cw boards so ya i think i might move on over to fox lol oh abc family has pll.

    @ Brandy and @Norma calm down ladies its tv

    @ The other Brandy cute how you made sure you did not make some of the other comments it is actually cute.

    Now all I will say is I dont like Nikita but I dont like mayo either and it effects no one else just like not liking nikita effects nothing. I dont particularly care for B&B either but I dislike it less so if it gets renewed great for it.

    As for everything else I just hope the cw has some really good shows next season because its long haul viability does not look good if they dont pick things up a bit.

    And can we get some syfy or hbo boards for me to play on……..

    :)

  • Merry M

    While I’m pleased with this, I still think that The Carrie Diaries should have a half-season renewal. Something is going to be cancelled, so it wouldn’t hurt to have something people like as a backup.

  • cris

    Go Beauty & the Beast!!!!

  • jessica

    Finally, Beauty & The Beast is the only 100% CBS produced show currently on the CW schedule that’s able to be renewed.

    LIES LIES LIES

    Beauty & The Beast is a Take 5/Whizbang/CBS produced show. All one need do is actually read the end credits of an episode other than the pilot which CBS did on their own. Why you never ever seem to acknowledge that baffles me, especially since ‘Canadian crap’ is a relatively common theme here and Beauty & The Beast satisfies all of the requirements for Canadian Content programming. All of these months you could have attributed the poor ratings to the show being Canadian. Canadian content commands a premium in Canada and since the Canadian broadcaster has no stake in making the show it should be a relative cash-cow for CBS to sell B&TB to Shaw compared to Hawaii Five-0 or NCIS. If CBS sold it without realising it is CanCon then they basically gave it away like Sony trying to get a few more episodes for syndication.

  • ZmaX

    *Update for my previous post.

    Craig Silverstein said on twitter that no decision like that has been made yet… (imo i think a 22 episode season is more likely)

  • Jane Elliot

    This is getting hysterical, in a very entertaining way :)

  • Claudia

    “They should be happy the show is quietly dumped – or at least as quietly as the fanatical BATB fans will allow”

    So Nikita fan boys are not fanatical? or any other fans would not act the same way when people are bashing the show they like bec they think is “crap”

  • Claudia

    @Immaculate Ditto Ditto

    “If the CW renews BATB, it will be a huge mistake for them.”

    Whatever you say couch critic. A huge mistake and your wish are not equivalent. I’m sure people in the industry are knocking on your door wondering what your thoughts are on the matter.

    THIS IS HILLARIOUS, TALKING ABOUT DOUBLE STANDARDS…..HUH?!

  • Brandy

    First, None of us work at cw and none of us know what will happen.If its true that Nikita will get a short final season/if cw is considering giving it a short final season then cw knows they can get it syndicated with less than 88.Its a win win-WB will syndicate it and get the syndication money and fans will get another season and a proper ending.We won’t know if it’s true til May so everyone should chill.

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