NBC: 'Hannibal' Starts As Likely To Be Renewed

Categories: Cancel/Renew Index,Cancel/Renew NBC Shows

Written By

April 9th, 2013

Click this link for the latest NBC renewal / cancellation information:

Our Renew / Cancel Index predicts the network's decision on renewal or cancellation for scripted broadcast primetime shows by the end of the 2012-13 season in May, 2013.  (includes results from December 31, 2012- April 7, 2013):

Program Status Renew/ Cancel Index
Do No Harm* canceled 0.50
Smash canceled 0.64
Animal Practice* canceled 0.66
1600 Penn* :oops: 0.74
Guys With Kids* :oops: 0.81
The New Normal* :cry: :cry: 0.83
Whitney* :| :| :| 0.88
Community :| :| :| 0.89
Deception* :oops: 0.91
Go On :| :| :| 0.92
30 Rock* final season complete 0.93
Grimm (F) :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.01
Parenthood* :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.08
Hannibal :) :) :) :) 1.13
Parks & Recreation :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.14
Law & Order: SVU :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.20
Chicago Fire :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.37
The Office final season 1.43
Revolution :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: 1.69
Up All Night :oops: pending

While the cancellation bear would like no better to have the chance to devour rookie drama Hannibal with a nice Chianti and some fava beans, the show's premiere ratings last week were plenty good enough on ratings challenged NBC to have the bear begin his prediction for its future at "likely to be renewed". Early predictions are subject to rapid change, stay tuned.

The observant will note that the bear has moved The New Normal prediction up to "likely canceled" from "certain to be canceled". With its recent ratings gains airing after The Voice, it's cancellation is not nearly as certain as 1600 Penn or Guys With Kids.

A note to those in denial, there has been no formal announcement that Smash has been canceled, but when a show is sent to Saturday during its run, it has been canceled. There will be no formal announcement.

Better to Follow The Bear, Than Be Chased By Him. This season you can follow the Cancellation Bear on Twitter via @TheCancelBear. The Cancellation Bear will retweet all the Renew/Cancel Index post titles and links as well as engage in a little more back and forth banter than we do on our standard @TVbytheNumbers Twitter feed.

*shows no longer on the air have their Renew/Cancel Index "frozen" at the point they left the schedule.

From now through the end of the broadcast season in May, the Renew/Cancel Index values will only be calculated using new episodes airing during 2013. However, until new episodes of a show air in 2013, I will keep the "old"  Fall predictions in the table.

Want to know what the NBC Renew/Cancel Index table looked like at the end of the Fall season? Click here.


  • :oops: - certain to be cancelled by May, 2013
  • :cry: :cry:- more likely to be cancelled than renewed by May, 2013
  • :| :| :| - toss up between renewal or cancellation by May, 2013
  • :) :) :) :) - more likely to be renewed than cancelled by May, 2013
  • :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: - certain to be renewed by May, 2013

The Renew/Cancel Index is the ratio of a scripted show's new episode adults 18-49 ratings relative to the new episode ratings of the other scripted shows on its own network. It's calculated by dividing a show's new episode Live+Same Day adults 18-49 average rating by the Live+Same Day new episode average of all the new scripted show episodes on the show's own network. The network's average ratings in the calculation are not time weighted (ie. hour long shows are not weighted twice what 30 minute shows are).

(F) -Fridays: Shows airing on Fridays were renewed with significantly lower than average Indexes.

How would the Renew / Cancel Index Have Done Predicting Last Season's Scripted Show Fates? Check out how the Renew / Cancel Index predicted renewals and cancellations from past television seasons.

  • Hardline_Pro

    NBC is doing much better than it did last year…

  • Fred

    NBC 2013 Fall:




    Voice-2 Hours
    New Drama

    Time for VOICE to help promote a new drama while it is still hot.


    Voice-1 Hour
    New Sitcom
    New Sitcom

    Go On and New Normal proved to be utter disasters w/o the Voice lead in. NBC is better off trying new sitcoms next season.
    Parenthood shouldn’t be moved. The fan base for this one is very loyal and
    does fine in the slot.


    Voice-1 hour
    Chicago Hope-10:00

    Expanding the Voice another hour on Wednesday will help NBC win the night. While the Voice is still powerful, NBC should maximize it. Revolution should continue to do well despite the move and Chicago Hope should improve with the stronger lead in.


    Voice-1 hour
    Parks & Recreation
    New sitcom
    Law & Order-10:00

    By airing the Voice on Thursday for an hour, NBC can finally compete against CBS’s strong comedy duo and provides P&R a good lead for a change.


    New drama-10:00 (Dracula)?

    Voice expands to 5 hours and 4 nights. This expansion will help NBC on Wed and Thurs. If Hannibal proves to be a hit for NBC this spring, it will most likely return next spring.
    3 new sitcoms and 2 new dramas.

  • Fred


    I meant Chicago Fire.

  • omabin

    @Bill Gorman,

    Great story, did not know that. I will take what they say with an even bigger grain of salt from now on.

  • jane

    I think TV executives are not as “rational” as they pretend to be. i dont think they were with Smash either. i think there is more personal interest,despite ratings etc, than they like to admit.

    If they want something they move the earth to help it on. If they dont want something they dont bother so much.

    Its not an exact science!

  • Bill

    The premiere wasn’t too bad, but i’ll have to wait and see how the season plays out to decide if i keep watching it or not. So far, i definitely enjoy Bates Motel more.

  • CrimTV

    Why does everyone think that NBC will put Parenthood after The Voice when it seems to do perfectly fine in the 10pm hour without The Voice lead-in!

  • HV

    7:00 Sunday Night Football/Dateline NBC (Jan. 5)
    9:00 (Sunday Night Football)/The Apprentice (Jan. 5)

    8:00 The Voice (Sept. 9)/Biggest Loser (Jan. 6)/The Voice (Mar. 31)
    10:00 Dracula (NEW) (Sept. 9) (10 ep)/The Black List (NEW) (Jan. 6) (10 ep–canceled)/Dracula (NEW) (Mar. 31) (9 ep)

    8:00 The Voice (Sept. 10)/Betty White’s Off Their Rockers (Jan. 7)/The Voice (Apr. 1)
    9:00 Go On (Sept. 10) (24 ep)
    9:30 Undateable (NEW) (Sept. 17) (22 ep)
    10:00 Parenthood (FINAL) (Sept. 10) (22 ep)/Rand Ravich (NEW) (Mar. 25) (10 ep–canceled)

    8:00 Revolution (Sept. 11) (24 ep)
    9:00 Chicago Fire (Sept. 11) (24 ep)
    10:00 Chicago Fire spin-off (Sept. 11) (22 ep–canceled)

    8:00 Community (FINAL) (Sept. 19) (10 ep)/Joe, Joe, and Jane (Jan. 9) (13 ep)
    8:30 MJF (NEW) (Sept. 19) (24 ep)
    9:00 The Gates (NEW) (Sept. 19) (22 ep)
    9:30 Parks & Recreation (FINAL) (Sept. 19) (24 ep)
    10:00 Law & Order: SVU (Sept. 12) (24 ep)

    8:00 Crossbones (NEW) (Sept. 20) (19 ep)//Grimm (Mar. 28) (10 ep)
    9:00 Grimm (Sept. 20) (10 ep)/Dateline NBC (Jan. 3)
    10:00 Rock Center with Brian Williams (Sept. 6)

  • Fred


    Trying to understand the logic:

    Why did you put FINAL after Parenthood? It’s one of NBC most consistent dramas.

    Why did you cancel so many new shows before they even aired?

    I never read about the Chicago Fire spinoff, seems to new and not strong enough for a spinoff yet.

    Why did you cancel the CF spinoff already?

    Why would NBC continue to air the ultra low rated Rock Center against the much stronger 20/20?

  • Nevid

    8:00 The Voice
    10:00 Hatfields and McCoys (New)

    8:00 The Voice
    9:00 Michael J. Fox Project (New)
    9:30 Go On
    10:00 Parenthood

    8:00 Revolution
    9:00 Chicago Fire
    10:00 After Hours (New)

    8:00 Community
    8:30 The Gates (New)
    9:00 Parks and Recreation
    9:30 Assistance (New)
    10:00 Law and Order: SVU

    8:00 Hannibal
    9:00 Grimm
    10:00 Dracula (New)

  • JoeyDavid

    Re: Hannibal..NBC originally ordered 13 episodes, so the question is will it be renewed after those 13 episodes. Btw, it’s filmed in Toronto.

  • HV

    I have seen quite a few people say that next season will be Parenthood’s final one. I think that makes sense, as it would have reached syndication, NBC needs more room for new things 2014-15 and I don’t think NBC will have less than 3 hours of comedy per week.
    I am predicting next year’s entire schedule (except for summer) including weather the show will continue after the season.
    I agree that the Chicago Fire spin-off will not be successful (that is why I have listed it as canceled), but I think it will make it to television, as Chicago Fire is one of NBC’s top shows.
    Well, NBC did it this year, what makes you think they would think differently next year?

  • cadburyeasteregg

    I think Hannibal and Cancel Bear are going to have a fun time consuming Smash and Deception.

  • Richard Steven Hack

    I think Hannibal may grow out of its premiere, but it’s obviously more than likely that it will drop. We’ll just have to see how far. The premiere was one of the more compelling – if somewhat “arty” – premieres I’ve seen this season. It may be that it remains compelling for the audience or it may be that the “art” and the gore and the intensity grind the audience down. We’ll see.

    I suspect it’s one of those shows where the audience either loves it or hates it.

    Revolution has been awful. It’s improved slightly in the last couple episodes due to a slight tightening of focus and the increased scream time of Elizabeth Mitchell. In this week’s episode, they finally tried to explain the loss of electricity – and managed to compound the stupidity of the premise by deliberating explaining that we’re breathing in the electricity-absorbing nanotech – forgetting that the human body runs on electricity as they have all along.

    First Rule of Science Fiction: Never let writers with zero knowledge of science write science-fiction. That’s been TV’s sci-fi major problem since its inception.

    Revolution is doing so badly behind The Voice that season two is likely to be its final season.

  • stevenD

    Heres my idea for a fall schedule:

    Monday: 8-10 The Voice
    10-11 Believe or Bloodline

    I’d imagine one of those two shows would be picked up, and get the Revolution treatment. I wish that it’s Bloodline

    Tuesday: 8-9 The Voice

    9-10 After Hours
    10-11 Chicago Fire

    I feel like its easier to get retention and stable viewing with a show like After Hours then a show like The Sixth Gun or Bloodline, so give them one night. Chicago Fire could gain more of an auidence here (unless the spin-off followings through)

    Wednesday: 8-9 Happiness (Sean Hayes)/ Untitled John Mulaney show
    9-10 The Sixth Gun
    10-11 Revolution

    I still think a multi-cam block could work here, it would just have to be advertised right. The Sixth Gun sounds like a self-starter, so it could easily provide a lead in for Revolution

    Thursday: 8-9 Parks/Community
    9-10 MJF and Go On or Welcome to the Family
    10-11 Law and Order: SVU

    SVU repeated decently here. MJF is a self starter for obvious reason, so putting it behind The Voice is a waste. Nothing from 8-9 will launch well in the fall. Replace a Community with a mid-season comedy

    Friday: 8-9 Dracula
    9-10 Grimm
    10-11 Dateline
    Gives Grimm a compatable lead in, and ends the night stable. It could start at Halloween though to have Grimm on less repeats

    Sunday: NFL. After the Olympics, I think The Biggest Loser and Parenthood would be a great pairing, giving a stable night.

    one of I am Victor and The rand ravich project
    Hannibal (if it does well)
    Assistance or Brenda Forever (replacing community)
    The Biggest Loser
    I wouldn’t be shocked to see whitney or another multi-cam as backup

    any thoughts?

  • Kim

    As long as NBC keeps Whitney and New Normal, everything will be alright between me and them.

  • Fred


    Thanks for the response.
    I now understand your logic.
    But I don’t expect NBC to allow Rock Center continue to languish on Friday 10:00. Maybe in the summer but not during the season. They already have a successful news magazine , Dateline.

  • Nick

    What NBC should do for 2013-2014:

    8: The Voice
    10: Believe (new) (11 episodes)

    8: The Voice
    9: After Hours (new) (13 episodes)
    10: Chicago Fire (22 episodes)

    8: Parks & Recreation (24 episodes)
    8:30: Betty White’s Off Their Rockers (22 episodes)
    9: Revolution (22 episodes)
    10: Crossbones (new) (13 episodes)

    8: Parenthood (24 episodes)
    9: Untitled Michael J. Fox project (new) (24 episodes)
    9:30: Welcome to the Family (new) (13 episodes)
    10: Law & Order: Special Victims Unit (23 episodes)

    8: Dateline
    9: Grimm (22 episodes)*
    10: Dracula (new) (13 episodes)*

    * Premiere the weekend before Halloween, to make an event out of it and carry the post-premiere high into November sweeps.

    8: Dracula (R)
    9: Law & Order: SVU (R)
    10: Saturday Night Live (R)

    Sun- (midseason)
    7: Dateline
    8: The Biggest Loser
    10: Wonderland (new) (13 episodes)

    Midseason – Whitney (15 episodes)

  • bjssp

    I’m curious to see how well it builds, if at all. It seems to be well regarded and NBC is replaying the premiere tomorrow night.

  • yusuf

    renewed hannibal
    the serie has watchers at arab

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